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787 First Flight Bets Part 3 (and 748 Also)  
User currently offlineWestWing From United States of America, joined Feb 2005, 2134 posts, RR: 7
Posted (4 years 11 months 1 day 23 hours ago) and read 5481 times:

With today's announcement of yet another delay in the 748 program, I thought it might be interesting to have yet another thread to capture our guesses about the exact date for the first flights of both the 787 and the 748. The dates should be based on local time at PAE.

Previous guesses for the 787 from: 787 First Flight Bets Part 2 (by ZBBYLW Jun 14 2009 in Aviation Polls)

March 3, 2009: Bbinn333
March 20 2009: 787seattle
March 29 2009: Allpress
April 9, 2009:MEA-707
April 11, 2009: Pilotboi
April 14,2009:Isitsafenow
April 20, 2009: sebjacques92
May 15, 2009: ZBBYLW
June 1, 2009: B747forever
June 12, 2009: ACDC8
June 13, 2009: 767nutter
June 29, 2009: Kappel
July 4, 2009: Part147
July 7, 2009: AirframeAS
July 8, 2009: TGIF
July 10th, 2009: PHLapproach
July 16, 2009: CairnterriAIR
July 21, 2009: Af773atmsp
August 4, 2009: PGNCS
August 7, 2009: ERJ135
August 18, 2009 N776AU
August 30, 2009: Virgin747lgw
September 10, 2009: Super80DFW
September 17, 2009: OHLHD
September 27, 2009: RussianJet

October 10, 2009: Mal787
October 11, 2009: SAS A340
October 20, 2009: BlueShamu330s
January 15, 2010: DocLightning
March 22, 2010: UltimateDelta

---------------------------------------------------------------

I'll start. My current guesses are:

787: 17-Dec-2009 (anniversary of the Wright brothers' first flight)
748: 09-Feb-2010 (anniversary of the 747-100 first flight)


The best time to plant a tree is 40 years ago. The second best time is today.
10 replies: All unread, jump to last
 
User currently offlineF.pier From Italy, joined Aug 2000, 1523 posts, RR: 9
Reply 1, posted (4 years 11 months 1 day 20 hours ago) and read 5469 times:

It seems something like the end of the world day foreseen in the past by Jehovah's Witnesses.

User currently offlineTGIF From Sweden, joined Apr 2008, 276 posts, RR: 0
Reply 2, posted (4 years 10 months 2 weeks 4 days 18 hours ago) and read 5303 times:



Quoting WestWing (Thread starter):
July 8, 2009: TGIF

I'm I allowed to go at it again?  Smile

I was over in SEA on June 23rd when they announced the wing box issues. I looked forward to going up to PEA to spot it, but that went down the drain...

787:
West Wing: 17-Dec-2009 (anniversary of the Wright brothers' first flight)
TGIF: 24-Feb-2010

748:
West Wing: 09-Feb-2010 (anniversary of the 747-100 first flight)
TGIF: 03-Mar-2010 (one week after the 787. They won't let the 748 in the air before the 787)


User currently offlineDocLightning From United States of America, joined Nov 2005, 19608 posts, RR: 58
Reply 3, posted (4 years 10 months 1 week 3 days 21 hours ago) and read 5167 times:



Quoting WestWing (Thread starter):
January 15, 2010: DocLightning

I think it was a good year ago I made this prediction and I'm sticking with it. I think it will be early 1Q2010. I think 4Q2009 is just too ambitious.


User currently offlineKPHXFlyer From United States of America, joined Mar 2008, 413 posts, RR: 1
Reply 4, posted (4 years 10 months 1 week 3 days 20 hours ago) and read 5163 times:

787: 21-Dec-2009.

748: 30-Apr-2010.


User currently offlineWestWing From United States of America, joined Feb 2005, 2134 posts, RR: 7
Reply 5, posted (4 years 9 months 4 weeks 1 day 8 hours ago) and read 4998 times:



Quoting DocLightning (Reply 3):
I think it was a good year ago I made this prediction and I'm sticking with it. I think it will be early 1Q2010. I think 4Q2009 is just too ambitious.

While I do hope the 787 will fly before the year end, it is looking a bit bleak. Since Boeing have not yet announced a firm target date, your prediction is likely to be accurate. Of course, in the months after the first flight Boeing may face more challenges during the test phase than they have estimated. But at least getting the aircraft airborne would be a huge milestone, and a much needed confidence boost for Boeing.



The best time to plant a tree is 40 years ago. The second best time is today.
User currently offlineJetfuel From Australia, joined Jan 2005, 2225 posts, RR: 0
Reply 6, posted (4 years 9 months 4 weeks 1 day 2 hours ago) and read 4986 times:

waiting waiting waiting

Than after the 1st flight we wont here a peep out of them for another year...



Where's the passion gone out of the airline industry? The smell of jetfuel and the romance of taking a flight....
User currently offlineIsitsafenow From United States of America, joined Feb 2004, 4984 posts, RR: 23
Reply 7, posted (4 years 9 months 4 weeks 20 hours ago) and read 4969 times:

SECOND CHANCE.......
787......DEC 28th, 2009
747-8 JAN 21th, 2009
safe



If two people agree on EVERYTHING, then one isn't necessary.
User currently offlineATCtower From United States of America, joined Dec 2007, 542 posts, RR: 3
Reply 8, posted (4 years 9 months 4 weeks 13 hours ago) and read 4957 times:

787: 03/16/2010
748: 05/15/2010

So I may be optimistic, or pessimistic as some may say, I guess those are the best I can come up with.



By reading the above post you waive all rights to be offended. If you do not like what you read, forget it.
User currently offlineIsitsafenow From United States of America, joined Feb 2004, 4984 posts, RR: 23
Reply 9, posted (4 years 9 months 3 weeks 1 day 12 hours ago) and read 4838 times:

Note reply 7...
I did it again...
Should read for the 747-8
JAN 21, 2010
safe  banghead 



If two people agree on EVERYTHING, then one isn't necessary.
User currently offlineWestWing From United States of America, joined Feb 2005, 2134 posts, RR: 7
Reply 10, posted (4 years 9 months 2 weeks 6 days ago) and read 4781 times:

Here is a consolidated summary of the guesses so far. The speculation for the 787 is that the first flight target date is "just before Christmas", so KPHXFlyer may have the closest 787 guess.

787:

17-Dec-2009 : WestWing
21-Dec-2009 : KPHXFlyer
28-Dec-2009 : IsItSafeNow
15-Jan-2010 : DocLightning
24-Feb-2010 : TGIF
16-Mar-2010 : ATCTower
22-Mar-2010 : UltimateDelta

748:

21-Jan-2010 : IsItSafeNow
09-Feb-2010 : WestWing
03-Mar-2010 : TGIF
30-Apr-2010 : KPHXFlyer
15-May-2010 : ATCTower



The best time to plant a tree is 40 years ago. The second best time is today.
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