WestWing From United States of America, joined Feb 2005, 2114 posts, RR: 8 Posted (3 years 8 months 2 weeks 2 days 22 hours ago) and read 3864 times:
With today's announcement of yet another delay in the 748 program, I thought it might be interesting to have yet another thread to capture our guesses about the exact date for the first flights of both the 787 and the 748. The dates should be based on local time at PAE.
Previous guesses for the 787 from: 787 First Flight Bets Part 2 (by ZBBYLW Jun 14 2009 in Aviation Polls)
March 3, 2009: Bbinn333
March 20 2009: 787seattle
March 29 2009: Allpress
April 9, 2009:MEA-707
April 11, 2009: Pilotboi
April 14,2009:Isitsafenow
April 20, 2009: sebjacques92
May 15, 2009: ZBBYLW
June 1, 2009: B747forever
June 12, 2009: ACDC8
June 13, 2009: 767nutter
June 29, 2009: Kappel
July 4, 2009: Part147
July 7, 2009: AirframeAS
July 8, 2009: TGIF
July 10th, 2009: PHLapproach
July 16, 2009: CairnterriAIR
July 21, 2009: Af773atmsp
August 4, 2009: PGNCS
August 7, 2009: ERJ135
August 18, 2009 N776AU
August 30, 2009: Virgin747lgw
September 10, 2009: Super80DFW
September 17, 2009: OHLHD
September 27, 2009: RussianJet
October 10, 2009: Mal787
October 11, 2009: SAS A340
October 20, 2009: BlueShamu330s
January 15, 2010: DocLightning
March 22, 2010: UltimateDelta
I was over in SEA on June 23rd when they announced the wing box issues. I looked forward to going up to PEA to spot it, but that went down the drain...
787:
West Wing: 17-Dec-2009 (anniversary of the Wright brothers' first flight)
TGIF: 24-Feb-2010
748:
West Wing: 09-Feb-2010 (anniversary of the 747-100 first flight)
TGIF: 03-Mar-2010 (one week after the 787. They won't let the 748 in the air before the 787)
DocLightning From United States of America, joined Nov 2005, 16934 posts, RR: 57 Reply 3, posted (3 years 7 months 3 weeks 4 days 20 hours ago) and read 3550 times:
KPHXFlyer From United States of America, joined Mar 2008, 413 posts, RR: 1 Reply 4, posted (3 years 7 months 3 weeks 4 days 19 hours ago) and read 3546 times:
WestWing From United States of America, joined Feb 2005, 2114 posts, RR: 8 Reply 5, posted (3 years 7 months 2 weeks 7 hours ago) and read 3381 times:
Quoting DocLightning (Reply 3): I think it was a good year ago I made this prediction and I'm sticking with it. I think it will be early 1Q2010. I think 4Q2009 is just too ambitious.
While I do hope the 787 will fly before the year end, it is looking a bit bleak. Since Boeing have not yet announced a firm target date, your prediction is likely to be accurate. Of course, in the months after the first flight Boeing may face more challenges during the test phase than they have estimated. But at least getting the aircraft airborne would be a huge milestone, and a much needed confidence boost for Boeing.
The best time to plant a tree is 40 years ago. The second best time is today.
Isitsafenow From United States of America, joined Feb 2004, 4984 posts, RR: 26 Reply 7, posted (3 years 7 months 1 week 6 days 19 hours ago) and read 3352 times:
SECOND CHANCE.......
787......DEC 28th, 2009
747-8 JAN 21th, 2009
safe
If two people agree on EVERYTHING, then one isn't necessary.
ATCtower From United States of America, joined Dec 2007, 484 posts, RR: 3 Reply 8, posted (3 years 7 months 1 week 6 days 12 hours ago) and read 3340 times:
787: 03/16/2010
748: 05/15/2010
So I may be optimistic, or pessimistic as some may say, I guess those are the best I can come up with.
By reading the above post you waive all rights to be offended. If you do not like what you read, forget it.
Isitsafenow From United States of America, joined Feb 2004, 4984 posts, RR: 26 Reply 9, posted (3 years 7 months 1 week 11 hours ago) and read 3221 times:
Note reply 7...
I did it again...
Should read for the 747-8
JAN 21, 2010
safe
If two people agree on EVERYTHING, then one isn't necessary.
WestWing From United States of America, joined Feb 2005, 2114 posts, RR: 8 Reply 10, posted (3 years 7 months 4 days 23 hours ago) and read 3164 times:
Here is a consolidated summary of the guesses so far. The speculation for the 787 is that the first flight target date is "just before Christmas", so KPHXFlyer may have the closest 787 guess.
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