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|Topic: Airlines And H5N1, What If?|
Posted 2005-11-17 14:40:28 and read 1399 times.
I heard a radio program last night where the host mentioned the last SARS outbreak...and the airline passenger who made 7 connecting flights before notifying anyone that he was not well.
The host said that, due to the incident of SARS and the airline passenger, if H5N1 is ever suspected of transferring via airline passenger....that the authorities will immediately ground all airline operations worldwide for the duration (which could be 3 months to 2 years).
My question is, what will happen to commercial aviation if this virus takes off and all commercial operations are suspended?
|Topic: RE: Airlines And H5N1, What If?|
Posted 2005-11-17 14:57:38 and read 1385 times.
If that happens I think the disruption and death that occurs will keep us all too occupied to even worry about commercial aviation - the 1918 'flu epidemic killed millions at a time when it still took weeks to travel around the globe , not hours .
There was a drama programme on British TV in the mid '70s called "Survivors" and the opening credits showed a scientist-type travelling around the world getting his passport stamped in various places and getting sweaty and feverish as he kept going - and of course kept spreading his infection to everyone he passed in airports on the way - while fictitious ( and particularly virulent - I think the kill rate was something like 97%) it was grimly fascinating . The current "H5N1" has been around 50% fatal - if an easily spread human to human version of that gets out then we are talking massive global human misery and economic disruption - I think it would be a killing blow to the current commercial aviation system ( remember how close CX came to shutting down over SARS - at one point they were operating about 25% of their schedule - I read somewhere that they admitted that if it went down to 20% they would need to shut down temporarily )
If and when international commerce opened up again afterwards it would be in a very different form and I think it would be safe to say that none of the big names of today would still be around - here's hoping they manage to keep this under control .
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