Strickerje From United States of America, joined Feb 2001, 723 posts, RR: 1 Reply 1, posted (10 years 2 months 2 weeks 2 days 10 hours ago) and read 2092 times:
The 747-400 is still quite new and still in production, so few of them are being phased out unless to be replaced by a smaller aircraft due to decreased traffic. If this is the case, then the 777-300ER would be a possible substitute, as it is slightly smaller. As a replacement for older aircraft, it's most comparable in size to the classic 747's (those without the stretched upper deck) and a significantly cheaper to operate. This was, I believe, initially Boeing's targeted market, as there are still many older 747's in service with many different airlines. But, returning to your original question, I would think it unlikely that an airline that is doing well in terms of loads would consider the 777-300ER as a 747-400 replacement as they are intended for slightly different markets.
Hkg82 From Hong Kong, joined Apr 2002, 1219 posts, RR: 1 Reply 2, posted (10 years 2 months 2 weeks 2 days 1 hour ago) and read 1967 times:
Wow, only 1 reply to this thread? Well, here's mine...
The 773ER will definitely replace some 747s where the route demands the distance, but not the capacity. I think a lot of the 747s (especially the –400 variant) will be converted to freighters or combis, where the airlines want either a large freight capacity or a mix of the two, like how KLM fly (or used to fly) to HKG from AMS with a combi, so they can carry both a substantial number of passengers and a high volume of cargo.
Na From Germany, joined Dec 1999, 9692 posts, RR: 10 Reply 5, posted (10 years 2 months 2 weeks 1 day 21 hours ago) and read 1833 times:
The market of any kind of aircraft type is overlapping the market share of others. The 747/744/773 is no exception although the twin is only capable to snap a small part of the Jumbo market. The A380 is certainly a bigger threat to the grand "Queen of the skies". If now some airlines replace older 747s and maybe 744s in a few years with 773s I bet that Boeing will launch a new 747 once the A380 is there. And a vastly more economical version of the 744 with new engines would be able to re-posess lost territory.
The freighter version of the 744 alone makes it almost certain that the 747 will be produced well into the next decade because it got no competitor.