VirginFlyer From New Zealand, joined Sep 2000, 4579 posts, RR: 40
Reply 2, posted (11 years 3 months ago) and read 6227 times:
You should be careful of taking a single year's figues as evidence of a trend. For all we know, the 777 could log 80 orders next year, and the A330/340 10. It would be better to look at a trend over a number of years. Now, if the 777 logs few orders next year, and the year after, then yes, something is obviously up (or down)...
"So powerful is the light of unity that it can illuminate the whole earth." - Bahá'u'lláh
Gamarocchi From Italy, joined Nov 2003, 198 posts, RR: 1
Reply 8, posted (11 years 2 months 4 weeks 1 day 16 hours ago) and read 5677 times:
I think it is losing a little of market share but the problem with this year's orders is just that because of the bad economy the widebody orders have been generally low. Hadn't EK chosen to buy Airbus, Airbus' sales wouldn't look so strong. If Boeing is smart enough to wait, when the economy picks up again there will be lots of new orders for the 777 and I hope also for the 747 (I am not so sure that BA and JAL and ANA are going to choose the 380, and also I think that not all the 747 they have are going to be replaced with 777s)
Paddy From Taiwan, joined Jul 2003, 390 posts, RR: 0
Reply 15, posted (11 years 2 months 4 weeks 17 hours ago) and read 4842 times:
This is a bit of a digression, but it does pertain to 777 orders: There were rumors that NW was going to be purchasing 773ER's or A345/6's sometime in the next few years to replace their old 742's. Is this still likely or have they decided that the smaller A330's will be adequate? If they are getting something bigger do you think it will be the 777 or the A340? I would love to see an A345 or B773ER in their new c/s!
Rjpieces From , joined Dec 1969, posts, RR:
Reply 16, posted (11 years 2 months 4 weeks 13 hours ago) and read 4636 times:
AFAIK, they ruled out the A346 and the A380. It is between more 744s, more A330s, or 777s....I have the feeling they will go for the 777. If they do that they can later introduce the 7E7, assuming the two have commonality.
Alessandro From , joined Dec 1969, posts, RR:
Reply 17, posted (11 years 2 months 4 weeks 12 hours ago) and read 4618 times:
I think the B777 and B747 are the 2 of Boeings current planes that have most future, despite the good sales of the B737.
I hope to see a B777 tanker in the future as well, depends how long the B767 tanker will be around...
Capt078 From United States of America, joined Jul 2003, 421 posts, RR: 1
Reply 18, posted (11 years 2 months 4 weeks 12 hours ago) and read 4506 times:
certainly, one year of aircraft orders is not indicative of a trend. and looking at total order bookings, the 777 outsells the a340.
but in truth, orders are not as important as people think. one should look at deliveries for an indication of production and popularity. airlines frequently enter and exit orders, and often with little warning. this is particularly true with large airlines that have other orders with the same manufacturer.
this is not to say that orders are not important, they are. but production and delivery are a truer reflection of a manufacturer's position, as revenue is not fully realized until delivery. looking at deliveries, the 777 outpaced the a340.
Gigneil From United States of America, joined Nov 2002, 16347 posts, RR: 81
Reply 21, posted (11 years 2 months 4 weeks 8 hours ago) and read 4264 times:
Most technologically advanced aircraft on the market
Typical ConcordeBoy blabber. One could easily argue that the 10-years-newer 345 or 346 are, and that the 773ER will be comparable when it finally enters service.
I have the feeling they will go for the 777. If they do that they can later introduce the 7E7, assuming the two have commonality.
Why? They've just started taking 330s, they certainly won't want to throw them all away until they've flown at least 50 years.
There is no evidence one way or the other on the 777 and 346. They have already disqualified the 772ER, and for no other reason than they disliked the pratt performance. That certainly doesn't give either the 773ER or A346 an advantage, or disadvantage.
Shenzhen From United States of America, joined Jun 2003, 1717 posts, RR: 2
Reply 22, posted (11 years 2 months 4 weeks 3 hours ago) and read 4127 times:
Didn't KAL place a LOI for 777s at Paris. This should be firmed up in the near future. In addition to the Singapore, BA, Qatar orders, I wouldn't be surprised if ILFC and GECAS make a significant order in 2004. They did lease all the -300ERS that were on order to Emirates. 2005 should see some orders from the airlines based in the US, as they come out of recession.
I think in addition to the quantity of the orders, people should also look at the quality of the airlines buying.
Na From Germany, joined Dec 1999, 10934 posts, RR: 9
Reply 24, posted (11 years 2 months 3 weeks 6 days 14 hours ago) and read 3847 times:
The original post is of cause pointless. The fall in orders for the 777 might be extreme, but so was the rise in 777 orders in the last years.
It´s just cyclical. If the 773ER is a hit in terms of performance, I bet (even if I don´t like that aircraft) we´ll see a good sales performance in the next 2 - 3 years, although nowhere near the untypical year 2000 boom. I don´t think the 777 will loose ground to the A340/330s in average sales. There is no reason for it to be afraid of that.
Just remember that the 747 is around since 1969 in its various variants- and had its top order years 1988/89!
Nudelhirsch From Germany, joined Oct 2003, 1438 posts, RR: 18
Reply 25, posted (11 years 2 months 3 weeks 6 days 13 hours ago) and read 3610 times:
As the Dollar is not too high at the moment and boeing has potential to outsource some minor works to customer countries as a nice little "persuading-gift"...as airbus doesn't have (was discussed here before), it's not completely unlikely that Boeing will face some orders. then most LCC still stick to 737 technology, some of them still flying 732s. This could be a point for Boeing. Then I heard somewhere, that some people are speculating about a 717 order from NWA...don't know where I got this from...
742s are being phased out, so 777 and 744 face some need as soon the industrie is closer to having recovered.
Then, one cannot forget, that Airbus as an international consortium with quite some political interests as well...every CEO would deny, but somehow the carriers of the partnership countries are somewhat supposed to buy Airbus. As the A vs B war has not found a winner yet, one can probably say, they both make great aircrafts, so the need for a 742 substitute and the Dollar situation might help a bit.
And sure, taking orders is one thing, payment is upon shipping, so every undelivered is just some wasted bucks (the internet-guy who had to put the order online, as soon as it came in, the ink still wet...) so nobody should judge by orders.