QantasA332 From Australia, joined Dec 2003, 1500 posts, RR: 25 Posted (10 years 8 months 2 weeks 2 days ago) and read 4694 times:
No, you read that right -- nowhere did I mention NWA DC9s!
With QF's 767 fleet aging and the previously domestic A330s being moved to international routes, it seems as if a domestic workhorse replacement is needed. When do you think Qantas' 767s will be replaced, and with what? A32X? 7E7? 767-400?
High_flyr69 From Australia, joined Apr 2001, 510 posts, RR: 0
Reply 1, posted (10 years 8 months 2 weeks 2 days ago) and read 4665 times:
QF's 762's as most will know are very close to extinction there are barely a handful left. the 763's are roughly around 14 years old on average so i think QF will stick with the 763's for a while yet. If QF were to replace the 763's i would think 7E7 might be on the cards.
Diplomacy is the art of saying 'Nice Doggy' until you find the shot gun
Dalecary From , joined Dec 1969, posts, RR:
Reply 3, posted (10 years 8 months 2 weeks 2 days ago) and read 4587 times:
I understand that QF is still interested in the 739X and may launch the plane(if it is ever launched). The 739X will have similar pax capacity to the 762s but obviously way less cargo capacity.
On the WB front, I still think(no evidence,just my thoughts) that QF is hovering b/w more 330s and 7E7s(maybe combined with 777s). The 330s have proved less than adequate on short-haul domestic services but seem far better on the MEL/SYD-PER sectors. The 7E7,on paper, looks better equipped for short-haul services and is being designed for this role. QF must be having a good look at it. The base model is a touch smaller than the 332 and significantly lighter, seemingly making it a better domestic workhorse. Don't know if QF have a definite role for the 777 at this stage,in both terms of capacity and range. It has always been a bit big for them and really wouldn't suit domestic ops to any significant degree, but it's potential on international sectors is certainly high. Maybe they will go with the entire 7E7 family, as they seem happier having something smaller than a 772ER for longer-thinner routes.
You just never know with QF, but I think they have yet to be convinced that the A330 is the complete 767 replacement package and exercising of further 330 options is far from certain.
Tullamarine From Australia, joined Aug 1999, 1596 posts, RR: 0
Reply 7, posted (10 years 8 months 2 weeks 1 day 22 hours ago) and read 4353 times:
Over the next year QF will be transferring their lower yielding routes to Jetstar. This means the overall capacity of the mainline domestic fleet will decline and will be replaced by Jetstar's capacity. Only yesterday Geoff Dixon said that Jetstar eventually aims to be 33% of the domestic market. Currently QF mainline domestic is about 67% of the market so much of Jetstar's growth will come at the expense of mainline. In effect the 762s are being replaced by Jetstar's A320s.
In years to come a replacement for the 763s will have to be found but given mainline domestic will be a very different beast by then it is proably too early to speculate what type of plane that will be.
Dalecary From , joined Dec 1969, posts, RR:
Reply 9, posted (10 years 8 months 2 weeks 1 day 19 hours ago) and read 4219 times:
Is Dixon saying that Jetstar(JQ) will have 33% of the total domestic market by 200??? or is he saying they are aiming to have 1/3 of the new buisiness generated over a specific time-period???. I have been trying to find the interview without success.
Whatever, I believe QF will eventually require a 763 WB replacement on domestic routes(look at the prevelance of 767s on the MEL-SYD-BNE golden triangle now). Being slot constrained,SYD airport will always have WBs flying to the larger cities(particularly on the Eastern seaboard). Downgrading QF 763s to JQ 320s wouldn't seem to be a smart move out of SYD to me.
Still, there is no real need for QF to replace 763s yet. They are still relatively young and seem to do their job well. But when the time comes, the WB domestic routes could only be operated by 330/7E7. The 330 has proved to be less than ideal, and that is why I think Boeing has a real chance to garner a QF 7E7 order.
Bd1959 From Australia, joined Oct 2002, 450 posts, RR: 2
Reply 12, posted (10 years 8 months 2 weeks 1 day 17 hours ago) and read 4114 times:
I saw the Business Sunday programme - it was not a very well edited piece to try and understand who was planning what and where. Full transcript here: http://businesssunday.ninemsn.com.au/businesssunday/Interviews/stories/story_2001.asp there's nothing here about Jetstar having 33% - like Tullamarine, I remember it being mentioned (or has that been "inserted" by the Fairfax Press Reports today?) - so is this really a "full" transcript?
However, I'm sure Dixon has stated in the past that Jetstar will have to compete with QF Full Service head-to-head, which kind of rules out a cosy little carving up of the current network.
On 1 December Dixon stated: "JetStar will concentrate on growing this (leisure) market with value fares while opening up new destinations". Dixon was again quoted in Asia Business on 24 January this year as stating "We do not believe it will affect the Qantas business. We believe that provided we get the cost base right - and we are determined to do that - we will be able to run it in the same market as Qantas without affecting its brand or affecting its profitability."
Whatever, QANTAS has shown over the last 18months or so that whatever is current today does not necessarily apply tomorrow (is this the reason for the A332 U turn on Domestic routes?).
Interestingly, I've a flight booked in July for MEL-BME - just the sort of "leisure market" that JetStar should be looking at. QF are currently running this flight, though I don't imagine that will be the case in 12months time. As QF have recently started a similar flight pattern to BME ex SYD (presumably using a 738 which would otherwise be sitting idle overnight) this seems like a very sensible use of *current* assets. I'm sure QF have a plan for the mix of 738/763/332. Contradictrary press releases about who's doing what with which doesn't help us to understand it - but then neither will DJ.
BNE From Australia, joined Mar 2000, 3186 posts, RR: 12
Reply 13, posted (10 years 8 months 2 weeks 1 day 15 hours ago) and read 4039 times:
I can see the "What are Qantas going to do with their 767s" argument continue for the next 10 years, kind of like those NW DC9 questions.
Jetstar will gradually take over more of the domestic flying so maybe the Qantas 767s may get replaced by Jetstar A321s. I don't think anyone really knows whats going to happen in the next 10 years. Ask Qantas staff and you would probably get 10 different answers. It all depends on the success of Jetstar. If Jetstar works then the Qantas 767 might disappear all together and replaced by Jetstar 767s.
If the Boeing 7E7 is lighter than the A330 then maybe that might have a chance. It would have to be suited to the Australia short leg domestic BNE-SYD-MEL triangle.