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Where Will We Be In 3 Years?  
User currently offlineJetdeltamsy From United States of America, joined Nov 2000, 2987 posts, RR: 7
Posted (10 years 6 months 4 days 23 hours ago) and read 2806 times:

Assuming the price of oil stays above $35 a barrel, what do you see happening in the US domestic industry?

Which companies will survive financially? How will they retool their operations to cope with LCC's? Will hub and spoke networks survive at all? What will happen to pay rates and benefits?

Will hubs close? Will fleets be grounded (i.e. MD80)? Will any carriers cease to exist? Which ones and why?

The author foresees DL/NW/CO cooperating very closely. DL will close it dfw hub. CO will close cle. Both will deploy those assets to operate point to point networks. UA and US will perish. AA will continue to be without a domestic network partner.



Tired of airline bankruptcies....EA/PA/TW and finally DL.
6 replies: All unread, jump to last
 
User currently offlineTs-ior From Tunisia, joined Oct 2001, 3492 posts, RR: 6
Reply 1, posted (10 years 6 months 4 days 18 hours ago) and read 2758 times:


I hope we will be in Heaven in 3 years !!!


User currently offlineAlessandro From , joined Dec 1969, posts, RR:
Reply 2, posted (10 years 6 months 4 days 16 hours ago) and read 2729 times:

Down sizing is the main thing, perhaps Embraer will sell many airplanes in the future to the US domestic market?



User currently offlineLuv2fly From United States of America, joined May 2003, 12150 posts, RR: 49
Reply 3, posted (10 years 6 months 4 days 15 hours ago) and read 2716 times:

If any of us have the ability to see into the future then lets buy the winning big game lottery ticket.....


You can cut the irony with a knife
User currently offlineQR332 From , joined Dec 1969, posts, RR:
Reply 4, posted (10 years 6 months 4 days 15 hours ago) and read 2704 times:

Luv2fly,
Only if it is shared out equally between us ofcourse...

But, on topic, I think UA will survive but US won't. I just don't see UA closing because they are in a much stronger position than US, who will be screwed quite soon as it seems.


User currently offlineLuv2fly From United States of America, joined May 2003, 12150 posts, RR: 49
Reply 5, posted (10 years 6 months 4 days 15 hours ago) and read 2702 times:

QR332 I tend to agree about US over UA although I see UA downsizing to get it right. Also not sure about the sharing idea! You mentioned it first so your at the head of the list.


You can cut the irony with a knife
User currently offlineBjg231 From United States of America, joined May 2004, 163 posts, RR: 0
Reply 6, posted (10 years 6 months 4 days 12 hours ago) and read 2651 times:

IMHO, I foresee US passenger numbers to finally return to health. Most if not all of the domestic mainlines and LCC's (who knows about Independence) will be posting small or large profits after the breakup of United, and those large CO and DL orders for 7e7's (now labeled the 787) will finally exist.


On another note, I give it about 1-2 more posts before someone makes a NW DC-9 joke.



If at first you don't succeed, then skydiving is not for you.
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