Sponsor Message:
Civil Aviation Forum
My Starred Topics | Profile | New Topic | Forum Index | Help | Search 
What 1st? 737 Or 777(A) Replacement?  
User currently offlinePropulsion From United Kingdom, joined Jun 2004, 294 posts, RR: 3
Posted (9 years 2 months 4 weeks 1 day 8 hours ago) and read 2083 times:

Hello. I was just wondering having read other recent posts, which aircraft would make more sense to find a replacement for first? The 737 or 777?

They are both doing well in sales, but the prospects for the A-market and other early 777's appears to be due to experience some dwindling once the 787 (less so) and A350 (more so) really get going as alternatives (for some variants).

On the otherhand, would a 737 replacement mass seller be a better bet to gain a headstart against a future A320 replacement or can this market afford to wait? Indeed, would be best to see what Airbus offers first or not?

Additionally, to what extent would the decision be dependent upon the go-ahead or otherwise for a 747Adv? I know it may make matters more pressing towards the 777, but the -200LR and -300ER seem to be doing well, although they will obviously not be suitable as direct replacements for the other early generation 777s for all carriers.

Your thoughts and comments are much appreciated. Thank you.


A bus is a vehicle that runs twice as fast when you are after it as when you are in it.
3 replies: All unread, jump to last
 
User currently offlineBill142 From Australia, joined Aug 2004, 8451 posts, RR: 8
Reply 1, posted (9 years 2 months 4 weeks 1 day 8 hours ago) and read 2052 times:

737. Apparently a 737 composite replacement, not unlike the 787 is already being considered.

User currently offlinePropulsion From United Kingdom, joined Jun 2004, 294 posts, RR: 3
Reply 2, posted (9 years 2 months 3 weeks 6 days 16 hours ago) and read 1904 times:

I thought that both were 737 and early 777 replacements were 'being considered', but that the the good sales (especially of the 737NG) mean they would let it run for a while.

It is because of this that I wonder whther it might well be worth waiting for the A320 replacement first? Or would that not be good commercial sense?



A bus is a vehicle that runs twice as fast when you are after it as when you are in it.
User currently offlineLightsaber From United States of America, joined Jan 2005, 13110 posts, RR: 100
Reply 3, posted (9 years 2 months 3 weeks 6 days 16 hours ago) and read 1878 times:
Support Airliners.net - become a First Class Member!

There is already strong demand for a 737 capable of trans-Atlantic range. Basically a 757 replacement in range with a 737 size pax load.

Quoting Propulsion (Reply 2):

It is because of this that I wonder whther it might well be worth waiting for the A320 replacement first? Or would that not be good commercial sense?

Whomever goes 2nd can customize the airframe for the market that the 1st misses. However, if the first 737/320 replacement is good, economies of scale will give a *huge* 1st mover advantage a la 707 vs. DC-8 where routes were "owned" by the airline who received delivery 1st.

Quoting Propulsion (Thread starter):

Additionally, to what extent would the decision be dependent upon the go-ahead or otherwise for a 747Adv?

Nyet. The 773ER is competitive for another 7 or 8 years. At that point, that market segment will be saturated for another 5-7 years. While you are correct that the demand for the 777 replacement will be dependent somewhat on the availability of the 747adv, we're talking too far out to effect the decision to replace the 737.

Personally, I believe the economics of the E-jets will force an earlier replacement of the 737 than Boeing would like. But that's just my opinion.

Lightsaber



Societies that achieve a critical mass of ideas achieve self sustaining growth; others stagnate.
Top Of Page
Forum Index

This topic is archived and can not be replied to any more.

Printer friendly format

Similar topics:More similar topics...
What's Bigger, DC10 Or 777? posted Tue May 29 2001 08:13:38 by SJCguy
Design A New 737 Or 320 Replacement posted Thu Jul 8 1999 04:05:17 by William
Why No 737, 767. 777 For NW posted Tue Aug 29 2006 06:41:40 by FL370
No Market For 737 Or A319? posted Sun Aug 6 2006 23:49:45 by QXatFAT
LAX Domestic 747 Or 777 posted Fri Aug 4 2006 20:07:41 by IFEMaster
Alitalia Looking For 5 Used B 767 Or 777? posted Wed Jun 28 2006 10:51:12 by Lospaziale
What Is Delta's MD-11 Replacement? posted Tue Jun 20 2006 19:40:51 by 1337Delta764
NW Considering A-380, 747-8, 744, Or 777 Freighter posted Mon Jun 12 2006 22:19:04 by PITrules
New Airbus Vs 787 Or 777? posted Thu May 11 2006 04:51:44 by A380900
SBA Runway Length..can It Handle A 737 Or Larger? posted Thu Mar 23 2006 09:17:14 by Stealth777