KYAir From United States of America, joined Jan 2004, 362 posts, RR: 3 Posted (10 years 10 months 2 weeks 9 hours ago) and read 2657 times:
Will any future airline failures be complete, abrupt shutdowns, ala Eastern, or "melt aways", as with TWA folding and dissolving into American? I find it difficult, after watching US come back time and again, to imagine a major carrier simply ceasing ops one day. Smaller airlines fold almost daily, but could a major? I see the big airlines slowly melting away through mergers (AF and KLM), selling off routes and planes, general cutbacks, etc. The smaller, generally newer airlines seem to be the ones to outright fail, at least in this century.
I'm not interested in particular airlines, nor am I trying to start a "which airline will fail next" thread. Just interested in thoughts on how in general the over-capacity/other problems will shake out and be resolved in the coming years.
Don't cry because it's over, smile because it happened - Dr. Seuss
DAYflyer From United States of America, joined Sep 2004, 3807 posts, RR: 3
Reply 2, posted (10 years 10 months 2 weeks 9 hours ago) and read 2569 times:
I have no doubt that serious consolidation is coming to the industry. It dies need a good "shaking out" and we need serious capacity reduction. Unfortunately most merger do not result in capacity reduction, but id does look like the US/HP merger could result in a slight reductionof 60 aircraft or so. I hope that trend continues.