Sponsor Message:
Civil Aviation Forum
My Starred Topics | Profile | New Topic | Forum Index | Help | Search 
Aircraft Safety 1954-2004 - Impressive Or What?  
User currently offlineBraybuddy From Ireland, joined Aug 2004, 6399 posts, RR: 30
Posted (10 years 11 months 1 day 6 hours ago) and read 2586 times:

Being off work sick and having nothing better to do, browsing through an accident database I totalled the accidents and fatalaties for two years, 1954 and 2004. The results were remarkably similar, despite a 50 year gap and a massive increase in air travel and a large increase in aircraft size:

1954: 34 accidents, 664 fatalaties
2004: 31 accidents, 587 fatalaties

Both figures include private and air taxi accidents, but exclude military.

[Edited 2005-07-05 19:09:08]

8 replies: All unread, jump to last
User currently offlineNWCOflyer From United States of America, joined Jun 2003, 707 posts, RR: 13
Reply 1, posted (10 years 11 months 1 day 6 hours ago) and read 2568 times:

Is really amazing when you consider how many thousands more planes are in the air, and how many millions more are traveling now. Certainly if there is an upside in the world of aviation right now, it is dramatically improved safety.

The New American is arriving.
User currently offlineCondor From Germany, joined Mar 2001, 68 posts, RR: 0
Reply 2, posted (10 years 11 months 1 day 6 hours ago) and read 2553 times:

Yes, if you consider that traffic increased dramatically over the past 50 years you have to say that the current safety stats are impressive indeed. I wonder how it will look like in another 10 or 20 years. Traffic will increase even more but the airspace is not unlimited. The result might be that we´ll have even closer seperations than today. So lets hope the accidents won´t become more...

Oliver Brunke

User currently offlineCommavia From United States of America, joined Apr 2005, 13500 posts, RR: 62
Reply 3, posted (10 years 11 months 1 day 6 hours ago) and read 2538 times:

Impressive is definitely the right word for it. To think that in the course of any given day, giant metal tubes take to the skies probably 30,000 times carrying people and cargo, and that on probably 360 out of 365 days of the year, not one of them ever even comes close to any other one. That's is amazing -- just goes to prove once again that flying is by far the safest way to travel.

User currently offlineScbriml From United Kingdom, joined Jul 2003, 15369 posts, RR: 45
Reply 4, posted (10 years 11 months 1 day 6 hours ago) and read 2512 times:
Support Airliners.net - become a First Class Member!

I think that record is likely to improve somewhat in the short term. It's interesting to note that (as far as I'm aware) no A330, A340 or 777 has been lost in service.

It will be interesting to see what happens to accident rates and losses as we see more third tier airlines now starting to use older Western type. I'm thinking of A310s, 737s and 757s now replacing older Russian types in many Russian airlines.

Time flies like an arrow. Fruit flies like a banana!
User currently offlineBraybuddy From Ireland, joined Aug 2004, 6399 posts, RR: 30
Reply 5, posted (10 years 11 months 1 day 5 hours ago) and read 2490 times:

I can remember, probably twenty years ago, that insurers were predicting a large hull loss rate of one per month in the years ahead. That would have resulted in probably 2,500+ fatalaties every year. Thankfully, this never materialised.

User currently offlineFlyAUA From Austria, joined May 2005, 4621 posts, RR: 55
Reply 6, posted (10 years 11 months 1 day 5 hours ago) and read 2428 times:

Quoting Braybuddy (Thread starter):

Yeah, impressive indeed. Also... just FYI, in Maastricht Upper Area Control Centre, safety is improving even though traffic is on the rise and has actually even reached record levels  thumbsup 

Get well soon by the way *sympathy*

Not drinking, also isn't a solution!
User currently offlineGlareskin From Netherlands, joined Jun 2005, 1323 posts, RR: 1
Reply 7, posted (10 years 11 months 1 day 4 hours ago) and read 2400 times:

It is really impressive what is achieved.

For more information I can recommend www.airdisaster.com Good info and statistics about accidents in air travel. On http://www.airdisaster.com/statistics/yearly.shtml you will find more info on safety statistics.



There's still a long way to go before all the alliances deserve a star...
User currently offlineIkramerica From United States of America, joined May 2005, 22175 posts, RR: 59
Reply 8, posted (10 years 11 months 1 day 4 hours ago) and read 2386 times:

It all comes down to more reliability of machines which comes from computer diagnostics, higher precision and consistency of parts manufacturing, and improvements in maintenance techniques and requirements.

I would also so that the liberalization/deregulation of the industry around the world has helped, as airlines must compete more directly on cost and reliability, and having a safe, trouble free plane helps on both fronts, which encourages all manufacturers to prioritize safety and dispatch reliability.

Of all the things to worry about... the Wookie has no pants.
Top Of Page
Forum Index

This topic is archived and can not be replied to any more.

Printer friendly format

Similar topics:More similar topics...
Info Needed On Aircraft Safety Regulation&testing posted Sat Nov 11 2006 01:12:31 by UA777300ER
AR New Image Or What? posted Mon Aug 14 2006 19:49:11 by USADreamliner
How Is An Aircraft's Safety Tested? posted Wed Jan 18 2006 13:57:39 by FlyingRev
New EU-Safety Regulations Make Sense Or Not? posted Tue Jan 3 2006 01:14:03 by Jorge1812
Is He Stupid Or What? posted Wed Jul 13 2005 12:02:29 by Falcon790
TPE - Hong Kong Every 30 Days! Am I Lucky Or What posted Fri Mar 25 2005 14:32:22 by Surrenr
Who Or What Is Y0? posted Tue Mar 22 2005 22:07:21 by Amy
Aircraft Safety posted Sun Feb 27 2005 00:42:27 by Samair
Who Or What Is Focus Air? posted Thu Dec 16 2004 16:42:50 by GARUDAROD
Delta MD-11s. . .Are They Coming Back, Or What? posted Wed Jun 30 2004 20:08:48 by DIA