Web From United States of America, joined Jun 2005, 431 posts, RR: 0
Reply 1, posted (10 years 4 months 1 week 4 days 6 hours ago) and read 2326 times:
Quoting EK156 (Thread starter): Do you think this is a good time for airlines to stock up on fuel to avoid any future increase in the price
Do you mean hedge fuel for later? Because I don't know where airlines would store the vast quantities of fuel they would need to operate for an extended period of high-priced-fuel time. And even hedging might not be too smart right now, as the US petroleum industry is recovering from two hurricanes that struck a vital part of their operation, and prices are bound to go down as refineries and rigs are restored and production levels increase back to normal again.
Slarty From Canada, joined Sep 2005, 342 posts, RR: 0
Reply 5, posted (10 years 4 months 1 week 4 days 2 hours ago) and read 2240 times:
Quoting EK156 (Thread starter): It seems that the hype of the Oil Prices has calmed down and the price has been more or less stable for sometime.
What? I day-trade oil/gas as a retail investor. Other than today, Friday Oct. 7 (not sure what time zone you are in), where there was a relief rally, we had 6 continuous biz days of energy downturns ... that was a 10-15% drop, primarily based on a anticipated 3% downturn in US gasoline demand. Guess what? the rest of the world (other than Europe) is generally growing their oil consumption faster now than the USA.
Distillates, like gasoline, aviation fuel, heating oil, etc. have been even more crazy. Alternatives like natural gas have actually risen more than oil/gas.
IMHO, unlike the '71 oil crisis, we have reached the first inflection point of a longer-term bull trend, whereby this time, demand is approaching the supply. Major worldwide resources (capital, research/development, re-development, etc.) are being deployed to increase supply (lots of resources will be available in coming yars), but it is going to take a few years.
I recommend you check out the futures at http://www.nymex.com for freebie info. Look at the Jan./Feb. options contracts in particular ...