Nimish From India, joined Feb 2005, 3265 posts, RR: 9
Reply 8, posted (8 years 10 months 1 week 5 days 7 hours ago) and read 5097 times:
Quoting PHXinterrupted (Reply 7): Right, and talk about overcapacity. Any bets as to the first of these airlines going under?
As an average Joe-Passenger, I could not care less. So long as I get cheap seats on flights, I don't care if it's a DN or 0S or IT or IC or S2 or 9W or any of the other airlines in India. And the spate of new aircraft/airlines certainly shows that there's room for more a/c in India, not less. That there's no place to park at night is another matter - anyway airlines have to finalize their slots before the a/c arrive.
And this is great news for DN & Airbus - esp after some crappy news articles talking about DN looking at 738s for the next order. Is this order a done deal, or is it still a way off before appearing on Airbus's order list?
LAXDESI From United States of America, joined May 2005, 5086 posts, RR: 47
Reply 9, posted (8 years 10 months 1 week 5 days 6 hours ago) and read 5073 times:
Quoting Blrsea (Reply 6): Indian Airlines will have around 43 new airbuses + 20 old/leased planes unless they order some more before then. So Deccan will definitely leap ahead of IC easily.
I was thinking in terms of total revenue. Air Deccan already has the largest network in India. However, they fly many ATRs and therefore will need a substantially larger number of total aircrafts to leap ahead of IC.
Blrsea From India, joined May 2005, 1426 posts, RR: 3
Reply 10, posted (8 years 10 months 1 week 5 days 5 hours ago) and read 5030 times:
Quoting LAXDESI (Reply 9): I was thinking in terms of total revenue. Air Deccan already has the largest network in India. However, they fly many ATRs and therefore will need a substantially larger number of total aircrafts to leap ahead of IC.
You are right about DN needing more aircrafts. However, with the current deal with airbus, DN will have 62 airbus + around 30 ATRs by 2012. But given that DN has single class only, and their fares are lower than IC, their revenue per seat km might not be as much as IC. On the other hand, DN with its low cost structure might have lower expenditure than IC. Anyway, interesting times ahead for Indian aviation!!
Kappel From Suriname, joined Jul 2005, 3533 posts, RR: 17
Reply 12, posted (8 years 10 months 1 week 5 days 3 hours ago) and read 4820 times:
Quoting BlrBird (Reply 11): I wonder how India aviation scene will look like say in 2010! Who is there & who is not?
Perhaps there will be some consolidation over the years, reducing the number of airlines. Really intriguing yes. Also, who will be the players on the international market by then, and how big will AI be then?
BlrBird From United States of America, joined Apr 2005, 579 posts, RR: 0
Reply 14, posted (8 years 10 months 1 week 4 days 23 hours ago) and read 4740 times:
Quoting DarthRandall (Reply 13): Do you think the Indian market will end up achieving the level of saturation seen in the U.S.?
I think it depends on lot of factors, how long can india sustain the GDP growth(avg 5-6% last decade) that in turn helps people to move up the ladder on income levels which in turn feed the pax for aviation. As of today there are about 40-45 million traveling by air I,e not even 10% Indian population(1 billion) assuming growth can be sustained you are looking at another 80-100 million that can potentially fly! As far as infrastructure is concerned it is kinda saturated.