QANTASpower From Australia, joined Aug 2002, 516 posts, RR: 7 Posted (7 years 4 months 3 weeks 1 day 10 hours ago) and read 6956 times:
With BA now only flying to SYD from LHR do members see them in the medium term possibly withdrawing from Australia all together and joining the likes of Lufthansa, KLM, Alitalia and just about all other European airlines.
While it sounds extreme they have dropped every other Australian city.
While they fly here 2 x daily I wonder how profitable they are.
YOWza From Canada, joined Jul 2005, 4781 posts, RR: 17 Reply 2, posted (7 years 4 months 3 weeks 1 day 9 hours ago) and read 6875 times:
Given historical ties and the large UK populatio in Australia and VV I can't see BA dropping Sydney ever. They may at some stage need to become creative in where they stop off on the way, but I can't see this route being dropped.
Ikramerica From United States of America, joined May 2005, 21029 posts, RR: 60 Reply 6, posted (7 years 4 months 3 weeks 1 day ago) and read 6277 times:
Once QF gets more A380s on the route, I see BA ending it, relying entirely on the codeshare with QF. And of course you can also connect in HKG or elsewhere with a QF codeshare as well, should you desire to fly BA on the longest sector.
Combined with the EK/SQ A380 competition, can't see how BA could justify the route considering the QF relationship. Allowing QF to operate it fully would also boost QF to prevent total domination by EK/SQ.
Of all the things to worry about... the Wookie has no pants.
FlyCaledonian From United Kingdom, joined Dec 2003, 1965 posts, RR: 3 Reply 7, posted (7 years 4 months 3 weeks 22 hours ago) and read 6161 times:
Despite what everyone says, you've got to remember that as well as the traditional competition from CX, SQ, TG, MH, etc, you've a little Middle Eastern carrier called Emirates that has been taking a lot of taffic on the Kangaroo route. Yes, BA has withdrawn direct services to PER, BNE and now MEL, but you can still connect at SIN. Ask yourself this - if your at BA HQ and you've got to decide whether to use a 744 flying SIN-MEL or expand into India for more revenue and codeshare with your Joint Service Agreement partner to MEL, which would you choose?
Everyone talks of the flights BA and QF used to have, the multi-stops, etc, but from the Summer you'll still have BA operating LHR-SIN-SYD, LHR-BKK-SYD plus the LHR-SIN flight (Connecting into PER and BNE flights), plus QF operating LHR-SIN-MEL, LHR-HKG-MEL, LHR-BKK-SYD and LHR-SIN-SYD - all of which are codeshared (and revenue shared) with BA. If BA and QF can fill their premium cabins to MEL and SYD then they'll retain through flights. Did BA need to operate to PER or BNE if it wasn't filling the seats in F and J? Better to codeshare with QF via SIN.
Personally I think LHR-SIN-SYD will be safe, but maybe LHR-BKK-SYD might eventually become a LHR-BKK flight, especially once the whalejet enters QF service.
Cedarjet From United Kingdom, joined May 1999, 7703 posts, RR: 55 Reply 11, posted (7 years 4 months 3 weeks 17 hours ago) and read 5655 times:
I can't see BA pulling out of Sydney, for one thing there is plenty of government business between London and Canberra and most of the British contingent fly BA business class. If Sydney was weak they'd kill one of the daily flights - no airline flies two 747s a day to a weak destination, BA could do it with a 777 easy (like Austrian / Lauda) if there was just a trickle of passengers. It may not be the cashcow of the century but it's a solid route.
Plus, BA are getting whalejets too you know. Not saying Sydney will see them (more like Narita, LA, JFK, Jo Burg, Beijing) in the first stages but don't ignore the A380. Just cos it hasn't been ordered by BA yet, it should be figured into the equation if you're speculating about BA's future.
fly Saha Air 707s daily from Tehran's downtown Mehrabad to Mashhad, Kish Island and Ahwaz
But how long does a BA 747 spend unproductive on the ground at SYD? Stopovers are from 12 to 20 hours with LHR arrival and departure restrictions. Of course QF can put their arriving aircraft on to other routes. So do not hold your breath.
Quoting S12PPL (Reply 1): It seems to me the flag carrier of the country would stay in Sydney at the very least.
What is a 'flag carrier'? I suppose in the UK it might be VS. They claim to be the British flag carrier on the nose of each of their aircraft above the girl in the bathing suit holding the Union Flag! But they have never flown to Australia.
Cedarjet From United Kingdom, joined May 1999, 7703 posts, RR: 55 Reply 15, posted (7 years 4 months 3 weeks 15 hours ago) and read 5223 times:
Oh for god's sake.
Quoting VV701 (Reply 14): What is a 'flag carrier'? I suppose in the UK it might be VS. They claim to be the British flag carrier on the nose of each of their aircraft above the girl in the bathing suit holding the Union Flag! But they have never flown to Australia.
The definition of 'flag carrier' goes deeper than the livery (and by the way, what do you think that is on BA's tail?). Or maybe you're just trying to wind us up. But if so, get your facts right - Virgin fly from Heathrow to Sydney with an enroute stop in Hong Kong every single day with an A340-600.
And may I repeat:
Quoting Cedarjet (Reply 11): Just cos it hasn't been ordered by BA yet, it should be figured into the equation if you're speculating about BA's future.
fly Saha Air 707s daily from Tehran's downtown Mehrabad to Mashhad, Kish Island and Ahwaz
VV701 From United Kingdom, joined Aug 2005, 6621 posts, RR: 17 Reply 16, posted (7 years 4 months 3 weeks 13 hours ago) and read 4807 times:
Quoting Cedarjet (Reply 15): The definition of 'flag carrier' goes deeper than the livery
First sorry about my VS error. I am clearly living in the past!
According to Wikipedia the definition of a flag carrier is every single airline or shipping company registered in a specific country. This is why I was trying to get S2PPL to explain what he meant by the term!
'A Flag Carrier refers to: A transportation company, such as a shipping or airline company that is registered in a given state. Example: American Airlines, while a private firm, is a US flag carrier.'
So that makes every US registered airline a flag carrier which is, as you say, just about as deep as you can get but is actually pretty meaningless.
Rod Eddington made it clear that Sydney was underperforming and made a poor return on assets, as well as poor profit on turnover. Willie Walsh will happily chop the route if BA finds it can redeploy the aircraft and assets on something which makes more money.
As it is, BA's Australian routes are high cost to operate and could easily slip into losses. BA is no longer BOAC. If it doesn't perform, it gets the chop.
I can only see AKL out of this list. Wonder if it is possible, now that BA have dropped MEL-LHR and given it to QF that QF could frop AKL-LAX and give it to BA. AKL currently has no european airline flying into it.
BNE/MEL/PER are all easily a one-stop service through SIN. However AKL is a two stop, trhough SIN/BKK/HKG and MEL/SYD.
NAN would not get enough traffic I don't think. QF don't even fly there. I think Fiji will be left to FJ as it is part-owned by QF.
Kiwiandrew From New Zealand, joined Jun 2005, 8435 posts, RR: 14 Reply 24, posted (7 years 4 months 3 weeks 3 hours ago) and read 3709 times:
Quoting Cedarjet (Reply 23): BA can code share on Cathay's HKG-AKL flights. Surprised they don't already in fact.
they do , at least they did when I left AKL several months ago - it is purely a marketing arrangement - they get no revenue from this sector and all pax must connect directly to/from a HKG-LHR vv BA flight - no 5th freedom traffic and no stopovers .
Moderation in all things ... including moderation ;-)
25 BCAL: As WhiteHatter said in Reply 17, Rod Eddington made it clear that flights to Australia were a poor return on assets and a poor profit in turnover. I t
26 Concorde001: You are absolutely correct about the economics of UK/Australia flights. I think BA will only return to MEL and other Australian cities when aircraft
27 Monkeyboi: This is true of many longhaul routes that BA flies. Although it is obviously not ideal to have an aircraft to sit on the ground for hours, nor is it
28 Orion737: The VFR market from the UK to Western Australia is very large indeed. I cannot understand how neither BA or QF can ignore this traffic and not even pr
29 Kiwiandrew: they could 'ignore it' precisely because it is VFR - a notoriously price sensitive market with lowish yields , however , in reality they are not igno
30 A999: The term "Flag Carrier" was first used by airlines like PanAm and TWA "showing the Flag" internationally. Southwest is not a flag carrier, neither are
31 Richard28: ISTBC, but I think that only 3 aircraft are required to operate a daily LHR-SYD service, not 5. Surely BA's flights must create a lot of demand for e
32 Orion737: Well not all the VFR into Perth from the UK is backpackers on a budget. Many of the VFR passengers would probably pay more to fly direct to Perth from
33 HKGKaiTak: Hmmm, dump more capacity on the Tasman route right in the face of their JSA partner QF? And using 747s like TG did? Aircraft utilisation may be highe
34 VV701: But 4 hours is totally unrealistic. If a 747 leaved LHR for SYD late in the evening on Day 1 it will arrive at SYD in the early morning of Day 3. It
35 6thfreedom: While agree that the ground time is totally unproductive, the thing I can't work out is why BA continued to fly wingtip to wingtip with QF on the LHR-
36 Ikramerica: I think it was used with ocean liners long before it was used by commercial aviation...
37 AirNZ: It is a red/white/blue design and 'styled' as you say.......but it is most certainly not the Union flag by any means, but at a quick glance many assu
38 HKGKaiTak: I've been wondering about this question for a while too ... QF / BA just doesn't seem to have as flexible schedules on the Kangaroo Route as EK, SQ o
39 Scotron11: Looking at BA's schedule, BA009 arrives SYD at 0610 and BA015 arrives 0635. Returning BA016 departs 1625 and BA010 departs 1715. That is 10-11 hours t
40 TNboy: Qnatas (international) couldn't give a flying kangaroo about Perth, so why should BA bother? We get direct QF services to Singapore, Tokyo, Hong Kong
41 Planesarecool: The only problem with the Hong Kong flights is that they're not quite long enough to make the return flight plus average turnaround at about 30 hours
42 Scotron11: I believe two of the 3 HKG flights have some of the limited early arrival slots anyway. I guess they have their reasons why they offer the schedule t
43 BCAL: It was a bad move on BA's part. The management at that time (under Bob Ayling?) thought that non-UK passengers were put off by the British snobbery a
44 Planesarecool: Most Asian departures depart at night because the flights are usually long enough to take the outbound, turnaround and return through to the morning t
45 VV701: Hmmmmm! Please tell BA that 'the tail of a BA aircraft does not carry the Union Flag' as they have obviously got it totally wrong. On 6 June 1999 the
46 Mr.BA: On a side note, the flight to Melbourne usually aren't full, with SOB usually not exceeding 300 on the B747-400. On the very same day SQ and QF will a
47 FlyCaledonian: As VV701 points out with his extracts, BA uses a stylised version of the Union flag based on a version from Chatham Dockyard (Hence why the tail desig
48 RayChuang: I think if BA does seriously consider leaving Australia that could open the door for QF to buy a follow-on order for the A380-800, provided that Airbu
49 Richardw: BAA is a private company that runs airports. The British Airport Authority no longer exists. It was dissolved in 1986/87 nearly twenty years ago. Mor
50 VV701: But BAA has no control or influence on the granting of slots at the airports (like LHR) that it runs. At LHR slot allocation is controlled by a commi
51 Aussiestu: I seem to remember that part of the JSA that was authorised by the joining services etc of QF/BA was that both airlines had to continue to operate sep