MaverickM11 From United States of America, joined Apr 2000, 17363 posts, RR: 46 Posted (8 years 2 months 1 week 4 hours ago) and read 1984 times:
Does anyone have an idea of how many nonrev standbys show up for a flight versus how many list to be on that flight? I'm sure it's closer to 100% on international flights and closer to 0% on domestic flights. This would be a helpful estimate to figure out how many of the bazillion nonrevs listed on my flight tonight are actually going to show up . I'd like to think it's 50% for international flights but anyone with any actual consistent experience would be helpful!
UALFAson From United States of America, joined Mar 2004, 700 posts, RR: 4
Reply 1, posted (8 years 2 months 1 week 4 hours ago) and read 1968 times:
Based on my experience, it largely depends on time of day and where you're going.
For example, late evening domestic flights tend to have a lower "show" percentage since people misconnect, get stuck in after-work traffic, etc. Also, red-eyes to the east coast have a higher no-show since people list for multiple flights even though they're not supposed to, trying to cover their bases and get on whatever they can (LAX-IAD/BWI/PHL for example).
You're right that it's much higher for int'l flights. In this case, it depends on frequency. You're going to have a higher percentage show for a once-a-day flight (ORD-HKG on UA, for example) than if people know they have a backup (3x IAD-LHR, for example). I would speculate that the percentage is probably in the 75 % range, but again that's mere speculation based on my fair amount of experience.
If there are multiple flights, always show up for the first one since you have a better shot with misconnect revs and non-revs. Keep in mind that tonight is the start of a 3-day holiday weekend in the U.S.
What airline/route are you planning on, if you're comfortable sharing?
"We hope you've enjoyed flying with us as much as we've enjoyed taking you for a ride."
MaverickM11 From United States of America, joined Apr 2000, 17363 posts, RR: 46
Reply 2, posted (8 years 2 months 1 day 12 hours ago) and read 1772 times:
Quoting UALFAson (Reply 1): What airline/route are you planning on, if you're comfortable sharing?
I was planning on going to Argentina but there were a lot of nonrevs listed at the last minute. I ended up going to Central America instead, and even there it seemed like 100% of the nonrevs that were listed actually showed up.
Cancidas From Poland, joined Jul 2003, 4112 posts, RR: 11
Reply 3, posted (8 years 2 months 1 day 12 hours ago) and read 1764 times:
it depends on how smart they are. if there are 18 nonrevs listed and only 2 open seats you would hope that those who know they have no seniority don't show up for thier sake. i don't bother if i know that there is no way i'm getting on the plane... if there is a chance, you bet you a$$ i'll be there to get myself on!
"...cannot the kingdom of salvation take me home."
F9Animal From United States of America, joined Dec 2004, 5001 posts, RR: 28
Reply 4, posted (8 years 2 months 1 day 12 hours ago) and read 1750 times:
It is hard to say. It also depends on location. Trying to fly into Vegas on a Friday and leave on a Sunday is next to impossible during peak season (and when is Vegas not at a peak season anymore.)
Also, it is hard to base it when so many non-revs don't cancel their reservation. Many catch earlier flights, and list for 14 flights and not show.
With my experience, I know that HP has a high amount of non-rev show up for flights out of PHX. F9 has a pretty high percentage of non-revs that show too. Domestically, I would venture to guess about 60-70% do show for their flights.
If you are sweating about making a flight, that is usually not a good thing. Either you have to be to work, or something that is very important to need to be on the plane. The ball always seems to roll in the direction of not making the flight. Why? Because I have bad luck if I must be somewhere, and the flight is showing full. LOL!
This is a good message to send to others that don't cancel their non-rev reservations! You know who you are! LOL!