UnitedMSY From , joined Dec 1969, posts, RR: Posted (7 years 5 months 3 days 13 hours ago) and read 3467 times:
Checked the loads for the new DL MDW-LGA service starting February 15th through the 20th, there are less than 15 people traveling on 95% of the flights, this is much worse than the ORD-LGA service when it started. I have a feeling this route is doomed from the beginning, and those DL 170's will likely end up somewhere else. Poor market planning
BosWashSprStar From United States of America, joined Jan 2007, 195 posts, RR: 0
Reply 1, posted (7 years 5 months 3 days 13 hours ago) and read 3425 times:
How much worse than ORD is this? The ORD service never exactly got up to a brisk clip, either.
But still--this was always going to be a hard market for DL. If Delta can build up to the point that it's actually a competitor on par with AA in New York O&D business traffic, then once that build-up was complete, the ORD or MDW service might have worked. But today, DL is entirely outgunned in Chicago, and is not big enough in New York to support a service like this. They either need to be willing to suffer some losses on this route while they wait (possibly in vain) for customer loyalty to build in the New York market, or they need to call it off and try again in a few years.
AlexPorter From , joined Dec 1969, posts, RR:
Reply 3, posted (7 years 5 months 3 days 11 hours ago) and read 3388 times:
If DL wants this route to work, they need to just add a couple flights in the afternoon to JFK for international connections - the O&D isn't there against established carriers like CO and AA, and top-notch carriers like B6. So besides getting international connections through JFK, this won't work.
Panamair From United States of America, joined Oct 2001, 4860 posts, RR: 25
Reply 4, posted (7 years 5 months 3 days 11 hours ago) and read 3375 times:
Quoting AlexPorter (Reply 3): If DL wants this route to work, they need to just add a couple flights in the afternoon to JFK for international connections - the O&D isn't there against established carriers like CO and AA, and top-notch carriers like B6. So besides getting international connections through JFK, this won't work.
The reason the LGA-Chicago flights have moved to MDW is because they needed the ORD slots for increased JFK-ORD flights. When LGA-MDW starts, JFK-ORD will get bumped up from one daily flight currently to five daily.
DeltaDAWG From United States of America, joined May 2006, 772 posts, RR: 1
Reply 6, posted (7 years 5 months 3 days 7 hours ago) and read 3238 times:
Out of curiosity, anyone know what B6's loads look like on their ORD-JFK as well as the LGB run?
I generally believe that DL has done a good job during the BK of adding new routes and utilizing a/c on productive routes. However, MDW is the one glaring stain in that shining star.
DL dropped the mainline MD-80's and 738's from MDW almost two years ago. They moved gates many many times and for about a year only had CRJ service into MDW, even from ATL. I fly into Chicago 2-3 times per month and have always found MDW more convenient than ORD. However, the undecisive commitment that DL has at MDW has left me and other FF dismayed and upset at the level of service at MDW. Now, when I fly into MDW I make sure I am on the E70's and still avoid the CRJ's. But, I have flown FL several times just because of that undecisive nature of DL at MDW. So, while I have not flown the MDW-LGA it does not surprise me that the loads are very light. DL will have to stick this one out and show a commitment to the customers that they are going to stick around on this route, that is the only way they will turn this route around.
LHUSA From United States of America, joined Aug 2005, 562 posts, RR: 2
Reply 9, posted (7 years 5 months 3 days 4 hours ago) and read 3012 times:
Quoting DeltaDAWG (Reply 6): Out of curiosity, anyone know what B6's loads look like on their ORD-JFK
A friend of mine flew ORD-JFK a couple of weeks ago and both flights were 100% full. She said that the flights were mostly filled with young people - something I definitely never experienced on my countless LGA-ORD flights on UA. B6 did an outstanding job with marketing in Chicago. There's a huge buzz about their service.
Incitatus From Brazil, joined Feb 2005, 3994 posts, RR: 13
Reply 10, posted (7 years 5 months 3 days 1 hour ago) and read 2818 times:
Quoting Panamair (Reply 4): The reason the LGA-Chicago flights have moved to MDW is because they needed the ORD slots for increased JFK-ORD flights. When LGA-MDW starts, JFK-ORD will get bumped up from one daily flight currently to five daily.
There is only one reason. It was not making money! If the flights were profitable Delta would not have touched them. I'm gonna start a thread "Top 10 reasons why airlines discontinue routes". The most frequent excuse is "lack of aircraft", though the slot story seems to come up often too.
Floridaflyboy From United States of America, joined Jun 2006, 2006 posts, RR: 0
Reply 12, posted (7 years 5 months 3 days 1 hour ago) and read 2731 times:
Quoting Evan767 (Reply 11): Isn't this private information? Maybe if you would say the loads are pretty low, you'd be a bit safer.
Loads are not really a big deal to be kept private. If you call a lot of airline reservation lines, they can tell anyone over the phone what loads are like on a particular flight. For example, when I call to non-rev, I always ask for the loads, and they just tell me.
Wjcandee From United States of America, joined Jun 2000, 5085 posts, RR: 19
Reply 14, posted (7 years 5 months 2 days 12 hours ago) and read 2329 times:
Quoting Evan767 (Reply 13): That is different though. That's private information. This was posted on the public internet where any old airline (B6, FL, UA, AA) would have access to this information.
Future loads are widely-determinable by a variety of sources, albeit ones in the "industry". If an airline analyst at a brokerage house wanted to make enough phone calls to determine loads, he could do so. So, on the one hand, it's private, on the other hand, it is to some extent publicly-available. Day to day immediate loads (i.e. present loads) are determinable by having someone stand at the gate with a clicker, which airlines have been known to do when trying to monitor their competitors.
Past loads, of course, are reported regularly by airline and city pair by the government. So, one can get a pretty good feel for loads in past periods by monitoring public information.
I'd make one point about these upcoming flights: they are aimed at business travellers, who often make reservations in the few days leading up to the flight. You won't really know how the flights are doing until you get a little closer to departure. I agree, however, that the numbers seem light.
LGA-MDW has always been a strong route for TZ, year-in-and-year-out, and with the Southwest code share, my personal (albeit limited) observations seem to confirm that it is even stronger today. Most Chicagoans probably don't immediately think "Delta" when looking to fly to New York. With the Internet and Orbitz, of course, learning about availability becomes easier, but still...
Tomorrow, for example, DL's loads LGA-ORD seem positively anemic, while ATA's are pretty darn good. With everyone at the same $159 one-way fare, that has to hurt for DL.
TWA1985 From United States of America, joined Nov 2006, 649 posts, RR: 0
Reply 16, posted (7 years 5 months 2 days 7 hours ago) and read 2239 times:
This makes no sense to me. Delta opened their Delta Flight Center at O'Hare in 1984 and had a small hub in Chicago. So how can they pretty much abandon Chicago in the early 90's (With exception to flight to their main hubs), and then expect to rebuild service 15 years later?
Of course the customer loyalty has vanished.
You could have talked to someone in Chicago 20 years ago and they would have given Delta nothing but praise.
S5FA170 From United States of America, joined Sep 2005, 534 posts, RR: 4
Reply 21, posted (7 years 5 months 2 days 4 hours ago) and read 2054 times:
Quoting Wjcandee (Reply 20): People also have said that Shuttle America's reliability has been atrocious. Maybe this has something to do with the poor loads on the LGA-ORD service.
This statement is incorrect. For the month of January, Shuttle America was the #2 service provider in the Delta Connection family. This encompasses ontime performance and completion factors, among other things. The number 1 DCI carrier was Chautauqua Airlines. I would hardly call that "atrocious".
For the months prior to January CHQ and Shuttle were both in the top DCI carriers, and Shuttle has always maintained a completion factor over 98% and on-time performance has been good, as well.
Cubsrule From United States of America, joined May 2004, 22678 posts, RR: 20
Reply 23, posted (7 years 5 months 2 days 1 hour ago) and read 1975 times:
Quoting Wjcandee (Reply 20): People also have said that Shuttle America's reliability has been atrocious.
In my experience (and S5FA, feel free to tell me if this is untrue), the S5 operation for DL at ORD has suffered from a lot of delays due to inbound crews being late arriving on UA flights. S5 also tends to use ORD as a point at which they can swap birds to and from IND (for m/x I guess). I think S5's reliability at ORD, at least on the DL side, is worse than their reliability for DCI as a whole.
I can't decide whether I miss the tulip or the bowling shoe more
S5FA170 From United States of America, joined Sep 2005, 534 posts, RR: 4
Reply 24, posted (7 years 5 months 2 days 1 hour ago) and read 1934 times:
Quoting Cubsrule (Reply 23): In my experience (and S5FA, feel free to tell me if this is untrue), the S5 operation for DL at ORD has suffered from a lot of delays due to inbound crews being late arriving on UA flights. S5 also tends to use ORD as a point at which they can swap birds to and from IND (for m/x I guess). I think S5's reliability at ORD, at least on the DL side, is worse than their reliability for DCI as a whole.
The only time a Delta flight would be delayed for an inbound UA crew is if the crew-member is on reserve.
Our pairings are built so that one trip is exlusively Delta or United. The only time you will see line-holders perform both UA and DL flying on one trip is during weather disruptions when crews start getting rescheduled. For example, I was supposed to work a United four-day trip over Christmas that flew in and out of Denver. The first two days of that trip, I was rescheduled to perform DL flying because DEN was shutdown.
Also, the DL 170s would have come in from LGA exclusively as their is no other ORD flying for Delta on the -170. Unless it was a bluetail and hopped on an ORD-IND turn, that plane would have come in from LGA and gone back to LGA. Usually the DL planes are away from a Maintenance base (CMH/IND) for two or three days, as far as I can tell.
Prepare doors for departure and cross-check.
: That's interesting. I guess I've just had s**tty luck then. Well, thanks for telling me I was wrong.
: Oh, I didn't mean it like that! I'm just not sure how other regional airlines schedule their crews? But at Shuttle/Chautauqua, one pairing is built f
: No worries. Thanks for letting me know how you guys do things (I'm just about to book an S5 MDW-ATL flight...)
: Amazing loads - especially for a new multi-hub city in January. JetBlue did tons of marketing for these two routes, and the loads are simply outstand
: Lots of departures available next week both ways for $59 each way. Data does not corroborate the "amazing" qualifier for loads and yield. Positively
: $59 on Tuesdays and Wednesdays - the slowest days of the week. Obviously those days do not see the amazing load factors that Thursday, Friday and Sun
: well, the might just be trying to hold the 3 slots that DFW LGA had when DL moved it to DFW JFK... just a thought... I doubt it will work.. the marke
: Going back to the previous comments about S5's reliability on the ORD-LGA route, it's also important to remember that the route arguably connects two
: I wonder which airline they are stealing traffic from... Mason
: Speaking of Delta's loads, has anyone noticed the SFO-JFK flights being extemely light? I am on one next week and the flight is still empty. I was won
: Someone correct me if I'm wrong, but you can determine the load factor just by looking at the seat map on an airline's website when making a reservat