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Regional Contracts  
User currently offlineATWZW170 From United States of America, joined Oct 2004, 904 posts, RR: 3
Posted (7 years 2 weeks 4 days 1 hour ago) and read 2161 times:

With all the RFP's that went out in the past two years, when will they be up for rebid? I know Mesa's CRJ900 flying is for a year and a half -- I know Skywest has a pretty good deal with United at this point. What about Republic and all their flying? I'm wondering only because of what the regional playing field might look like in the next 4 years.


Success is getting what you want...happiness is liking what you get
29 replies: All unread, showing first 25:
 
User currently offlineHUbsnotDubs From United States of America, joined Sep 2007, 49 posts, RR: 0
Reply 1, posted (7 years 2 weeks 4 days 1 hour ago) and read 2162 times:

I think that Skywest, Horizon and American Eagle are all ok and going to do well...Mesa, Trans States and Comair we will see and who knows about the little guys like Great Lakes and Big Sky... could some regionals combine?

User currently offlineATWZW170 From United States of America, joined Oct 2004, 904 posts, RR: 3
Reply 2, posted (7 years 2 weeks 4 days 1 hour ago) and read 2160 times:

I was hoping they would. I think Big Sky will be ok with the addition of the DL flying. Great Lakes has the Frontier codeshare and a ton of EAS flying. Comair I think is in a position to be purchased by another carrier, not sure if they have any labor issues. I think Mesa would love to purchase Comair, I would hope that wouldn't happen but rather Air Wisconsin and Comair team up.


Success is getting what you want...happiness is liking what you get
User currently offlineHUbsnotDubs From United States of America, joined Sep 2007, 49 posts, RR: 0
Reply 3, posted (7 years 2 weeks 3 days 23 hours ago) and read 2106 times:

I think Air Whisky should stay put and just keep riding the wave thier on, but Great Lakes is going to need to fnd something if thier Frontier code share dries up. I think that Xjet will either be something amazing in years to come or jut be another independence air.

User currently offlineFlyby519 From United States of America, joined Jul 2007, 1216 posts, RR: 0
Reply 4, posted (7 years 2 weeks 3 days 21 hours ago) and read 2061 times:

If the regionals were smart, they would consolidate and raise their rates for the RFPs. I doubt this will happen though, so we will continue to see dozens of carriers whipsawed against each other fighting for the same flying.


These postings or comments are not a company-sponsored source of communication.
User currently offlineCirrusdriver From United States of America, joined Nov 2006, 141 posts, RR: 0
Reply 5, posted (7 years 2 weeks 3 days 21 hours ago) and read 2044 times:

I would look for PSA, Air Wisconsin and Piedmont to increase US Airways express flying SIGNIFICANTLY, and soon. They make up only 17% of the express flying and with Mesa being Mesa, all three are poised to take over. Just my  twocents 

User currently offlineEssentialPowr From United States of America, joined Sep 2000, 1820 posts, RR: 2
Reply 6, posted (7 years 2 weeks 3 days 20 hours ago) and read 2017 times:

With $90/+ barrel oil, any regional that is not buying and flying turboprops will be in bad shape... XJT's stock has gotten clobbered by the Street, down to around $3. Look for consoldation and transformation. I will also add that regionals flying with pilots with less than 3 years total experience in Part 121 service are facing a huge liability...

User currently offlineApodino From United States of America, joined Apr 2005, 4302 posts, RR: 6
Reply 7, posted (7 years 2 weeks 3 days 18 hours ago) and read 1990 times:

Quoting Cirrusdriver (Reply 5):
I would look for PSA, Air Wisconsin and Piedmont to increase US Airways express flying SIGNIFICANTLY, and soon. They make up only 17% of the express flying and with Mesa being Mesa, all three are poised to take over. Just my

17 Percent? Where did you get that number from? Collectively, the three carriers probably make up something closer to 60 percent of the Express flying. Air Wisconsin has the biggest share of all the express flying. I don't have the exact numbers in front of me for actual percentages. Mesa's contract is up in 2011 unfortunately, so they will be around until then, unless they really have problems with the HA judgement and have to file bankruptcy. Air Wisconsin will be around until 2015, and PSA and Piedmont are wholly owned. Yes PSA and Piedmont could be spun off, but US does not need to do that right now, and with them hiring pilots again, this gives them a pool of pilots to choose from who already know the US system and how it works.

The only thing I could realistically see on the USAirways Express side is for Air Wisconsin to replace some 50 seaters with 70 seaters, but they are steadfastly determined to keep all 70 of their 50 seaters on the property (This is where in my opinion ZW blew the United Contract and let the Republic Air Group become a big player from nothing), so who knows what that will mean. Also remember that some of the Express flying for Airways is at risk or EAS, and with PIT going where its going, Trans States may not last much longer with US.

The one thing I think is going to happen is a ComAir spin off. Everyone says Mesa will try to buy them, but I don't believe Mesa Air Group is a position to buy anyone given the fact that they are losing money (Especially on the GO operation and the United Operation), and the HA case is still trying to be resolved. SkyWest would be in the best position I think, but then if that happened, Delta suddenly would find themselves almost in an All eggs in one basket scenario which they hate, with SkyWest then controlling about 80 percent of the Delta Connection operations. (Although they have others, noteably Shuttle America, Pinnacle and Freedom Air) And you could almost certainly look for Labor relations to get nasty if SkyWest starts moving ComAir flying onto the SkyWest certificate. The only other group out there with the resources to buy a spun off ComAir would probably be EastShore Aviation, which is the investment arm run by the Air Wisconsin people. If this happened, one thing I would love to see as a result would be a merged seniority list, which would probably go smoothly since both companies have somewhat a senior group (Though ZW has rapidly been getting more junior lately). We shall see what happens though.


User currently offlineATWZW170 From United States of America, joined Oct 2004, 904 posts, RR: 3
Reply 8, posted (7 years 2 weeks 3 days 13 hours ago) and read 1963 times:

To many regionals and not enough flying -- makes for a very nasty mix. Anyone have any ideas as to when we can expect to see any type of movement with the regionals?


Success is getting what you want...happiness is liking what you get
User currently offlineSkyrat From United States of America, joined Mar 2007, 173 posts, RR: 0
Reply 9, posted (7 years 2 weeks 3 days 12 hours ago) and read 1939 times:

Quoting Apodino (Reply 7):
SkyWest would be in the best position I think, but then if that happened, Delta suddenly would find themselves almost in an All eggs in one basket

I'm just not sure if they would like to do another union carrier. ASA was a big enough problem for them. However, they do have the money and it would secure a lot of Delta flying.



flown:146,a319,a320,717,722,733,735,738,744,752,763,772,crj2,crj7,crj9,dc9,dc10,e135,e145,e170,e175,frj,md80
User currently offlineSkyexRamper From , joined Dec 1969, posts, RR:
Reply 10, posted (7 years 2 weeks 3 days 8 hours ago) and read 1900 times:

Quoting Flyby519 (Reply 4):
If the regionals were smart, they would consolidate and raise their rates for the RFPs. I doubt this will happen though, so we will continue to see dozens of carriers whipsawed against each other fighting for the same flying.

So you're saying that they should make deals with each other and fix prices??? Now why would they want to do that, I'm sure the DOJ would have a big problem with that.


User currently offlineFlyby519 From United States of America, joined Jul 2007, 1216 posts, RR: 0
Reply 11, posted (7 years 2 weeks 3 days 8 hours ago) and read 1888 times:

Quoting SkyexRamper (Reply 10):
So you're saying that they should make deals with each other and fix prices??? Now why would they want to do that, I'm sure the DOJ would have a big problem with that.

No, I am just saying that if there were fewer regional operators for, then they could raise rates and make more money with less competition. This is exactly what mainline operators are doing right now. Trimming capacity/ASMs, talking about mergers, etc. Its called consolidation.



These postings or comments are not a company-sponsored source of communication.
User currently offlineHUbsnotDubs From United States of America, joined Sep 2007, 49 posts, RR: 0
Reply 12, posted (7 years 2 weeks 3 days 6 hours ago) and read 1859 times:

What about any new regional start ups? I know Vision Air is trying to get some EAS routes and has bid against Mesa and Great Lakes at a lot lower of a price and on newer a/c. Could any majors now think about having a new regional as their connection/commuter/express link...like AirTran, b6 or Wn or g4? just curious

User currently offlineCirrusDriver From United States of America, joined Nov 2006, 141 posts, RR: 0
Reply 13, posted (7 years 2 weeks 3 days 6 hours ago) and read 1836 times:

Sorry for the bad info, fellas. I should have stated that PSA makes up 17% of express flying and is poised to take over a significant portion of another US Express carriers flying. I spoke with they're chief pilot (I think was his title, could have been head of flight ops) who was jumpseating with us a few weeks ago. Either way the regionals under the US Airways banner, minus one of them, are going to get busy.

User currently offlineFreshlove1 From , joined Dec 1969, posts, RR:
Reply 14, posted (7 years 2 weeks 2 days 23 hours ago) and read 1779 times:

Quoting Apodino (Reply 7):
Mesa Air Group is a position to buy anyone given the fact that they are losing money

Losing money?? 99% of their flying is either Fee for Departure or EAS Contracts (Air Midwest)??? the only unprofitable routes are GO! and Mesa has plenty of $$$ in the bank to cover it on top of the 80 mil they have to dish out. I would love to see Johnny O finally get his but he always seems to pull a miracle out his rear to save himself


User currently offlineFutureFO From Ireland, joined Oct 2001, 3132 posts, RR: 21
Reply 15, posted (7 years 2 weeks 2 days 23 hours ago) and read 1761 times:

Actually MESA does not have the money in the bank to cover the HA and AQ lawsuits as well as possible fines by the SEC. Last heard they only around $200,000,000 in the bank. Also with the CLT ops moving to mostly RW flying and a few PSA flights. So I think that MESA may not be around for too much longer.


I Don't know where I am anymore
User currently offlineKstatepilot From United States of America, joined Mar 2007, 159 posts, RR: 0
Reply 16, posted (7 years 2 weeks 2 days 22 hours ago) and read 1734 times:

Quoting CirrusDriver (Reply 13):
Either way the regionals under the US Airways banner, minus one of them, are going to get busy.

So which airline is going to get kicked out? I know it isn't YV, they have PHX all to themselves. PSA? Piedmont? Republic? Air Wiskey? Colgan? Who else flies for U.S?


User currently offlineTornado82 From , joined Dec 1969, posts, RR:
Reply 17, posted (7 years 2 weeks 2 days 22 hours ago) and read 1728 times:

Quoting CirrusDriver (Reply 13):
Sorry for the bad info, fellas. I should have stated that PSA makes up 17% of express flying and is poised to take over a significant portion of another US Express carriers flying. I spoke with they're chief pilot (I think was his title, could have been head of flight ops) who was jumpseating with us a few weeks ago. Either way the regionals under the US Airways banner, minus one of them, are going to get busy.

Where is PSA getting the pilots from for this? They're struggling for pilots right now as it is.

Quoting Kstatepilot (Reply 16):
Colgan?

With Colgan losing pretty much their entire PIT line, they're awfully thin for US sans EAS routes.


User currently offlineApodino From United States of America, joined Apr 2005, 4302 posts, RR: 6
Reply 18, posted (7 years 2 weeks 2 days 22 hours ago) and read 1717 times:

Quoting Kstatepilot (Reply 16):
So which airline is going to get kicked out? I know it isn't YV, they have PHX all to themselves. PSA? Piedmont? Republic? Air Wiskey? Colgan? Who else flies for U.S?

It won't be Mesa or Air Wisconsin due to contracts running into 2011 and later. PSA and Piedmont are wholly owned, so it won't be them. Republic's contract is fairly new, so I don't think it will be them. Chautauqua's contract is one I don't know the status of too much. If that goes up soon, then this could be some of the flying, although their flying for US is very limited. Trans States is currently doing at risk flying for US, so I doubt this would be replaced if it ended, although it would mean even less service in PIT (As if it couldn't get any worse)

Truth be told, I don't know how reliable the source is, because I just don't see how anything can change at US, unless Air Wisconsin can find someone else who needs 50 seat RJ's, at which point they can bring 70 seaters onto the property that US clearly wants. If Mesa is forced to park RJ's in PHX, then ZW could move flying out there. However US management has made it clear they only want one express carrier doing all the PHX flying, and since Mesa has the current contract, PHX is unfortunately stuck with them for the time being.


User currently offlineEssentialPowr From United States of America, joined Sep 2000, 1820 posts, RR: 2
Reply 19, posted (7 years 2 weeks 2 days 22 hours ago) and read 1709 times:

I would also add that congestion in the NY metro will probably cause the majors to upscale the equipment, which is further bad news for the regionals that aren't flying turbo props. The performance of the RJs is horrible, and contributes to increased fuel burn for the majors.

Turboprops and big jets work well in congested airspace; RJs are in the way.


User currently offlineKstatepilot From United States of America, joined Mar 2007, 159 posts, RR: 0
Reply 20, posted (7 years 2 weeks 2 days 22 hours ago) and read 1698 times:

Quoting Apodino (Reply 18):
If Mesa is forced to park RJ's in PHX

Why would YV park aircraft?


User currently offlineFreshlove1 From , joined Dec 1969, posts, RR:
Reply 21, posted (7 years 2 weeks 2 days 22 hours ago) and read 1690 times:

Quoting Kstatepilot (Reply 20):
Why would YV park aircraft?

They don't have enough pilots. It is not just a YV problem but there are alot of YV haters on here so they make it sound as if everyone else is better and it's only Mesa that has these problems


User currently offlineKstatepilot From United States of America, joined Mar 2007, 159 posts, RR: 0
Reply 22, posted (7 years 2 weeks 2 days 22 hours ago) and read 1686 times:

Quoting Freshlove1 (Reply 21):
They don't have enough pilots.

At the moment, it's not a problem with not having enough pilots, its just that there are so many in training. Somewhere around 350 I believe. There is such a training backup right now that YV has stopped hiring pilots.


User currently offlineATWZW170 From United States of America, joined Oct 2004, 904 posts, RR: 3
Reply 23, posted (7 years 2 weeks 2 days 11 hours ago) and read 1616 times:

Mesa stopped hiring pilots? For some reason I doubt that. Looking at the webpage there are a number of hiring dates.


Success is getting what you want...happiness is liking what you get
User currently offlineHUbsnotDubs From United States of America, joined Sep 2007, 49 posts, RR: 0
Reply 24, posted (7 years 2 weeks 2 days 6 hours ago) and read 1566 times:

I you meet the minimums most regionals would hire you on the spot and if you have any turbine pic most will hire you as a street captain. What about Commut Air or Gulstream? Where do these guys go...

25 FutureFO : They get hired on a FO's at a new airline. And there are not really any street captains being hired at established carriers.
26 ATWZW170 : Compass was the only airline I've heard of that hired someone off the street as a CA. Its very interesting that Delta has said that it wants to purcha
27 Goldenshield : Lynx did this as well. Oh wait: IT'S A NEW CERTIFICATE. SOMEONE HAS TO BE CAPTAIN.
28 Doug_Or : Mesaba is hiring street captain's for the SAAB
29 HUbsnotDubs : I am not trying to start anything go to airlinepilotcentral and see most mins are very easy to achieve and street captains are being hired
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