Sponsor Message:
Civil Aviation Forum
My Starred Topics | Profile | New Topic | Forum Index | Help | Search 
Will We Need More Pilots..  
User currently offlineFlycarib From , joined Dec 1969, posts, RR:
Posted (13 years 4 months 3 weeks 5 days 6 hours ago) and read 983 times:

Hi all, if this topic has been put out and discussed already please bear with me. I've heard that in the next 5 to 10 years there's going to be a shortage of pilots due to retirement and thus a huge hole in the industry. Is this true?? Any comments or web sites to check out would be greatly appreciated.

Thanks!!


8 replies: All unread, jump to last
 
User currently offlineMit From United States of America, joined Dec 2000, 166 posts, RR: 0
Reply 1, posted (13 years 4 months 3 weeks 5 days 4 hours ago) and read 959 times:

Competition/technology is making flight cheaper to all and economic growth is making flight more affordable to many. Both of those are longterm trends pointing to increased demand for pilots. There aren't many longterm factors that will decrease demand. (One could imagine pilotless airplanes, major energy / enviromental crises or virtual reality teleconferencing, but those don't seem likely anytime soon.)

As for supply, the market is tight right now. (Flight schools have real problems keeping instructors.) The baby boomers start hitting 60 in four years, and the military is turning out significantly fewer pilots than in decades past. However, the "echo boom" will enter the workforce soon, and a tight market will attract plenty of people. And the airlines will do what it takes to get pilots. In the past, they have even hired single-engine private pilots! Maybe we'll see US majors extensively using ab initio programs.

So will there be a "shortage?" Depends what you mean, but in terms of pilot job opportunities, the future looks good.


User currently offlineFlyboy767 From , joined Dec 1969, posts, RR:
Reply 2, posted (13 years 4 months 3 weeks 5 days 2 hours ago) and read 942 times:

According to the Airbus market report there is going to be a major shortage of pilots in the next 10-15 years...apparently it could get so bad that the majors could be hiring straight outta college...so if you're lookin for a job in the airlines and you're in your teens like me then things look pretty good for you. Smile

Happy flying


User currently offlineChe From United States of America, joined Feb 2000, 537 posts, RR: 0
Reply 3, posted (13 years 4 months 3 weeks 5 days ago) and read 927 times:

Thats great!!  Smile  Smile! I am 15 and I want to be a pilot. So I figure in 10 years or so (thats a long time) i will be ready to get a pilot job. Of course a lot could change by then.
che


User currently offlineSushka From United States of America, joined Nov 1999, 4784 posts, RR: 14
Reply 4, posted (13 years 4 months 3 weeks 4 days 20 hours ago) and read 913 times:

Hey Im 15 also! , Do you think they will lower the amount of hours needed?


Pershoyu Spravoyu Litaki!
User currently offlinePilot1113 From United States of America, joined Aug 1999, 2333 posts, RR: 11
Reply 5, posted (13 years 4 months 3 weeks 4 days 20 hours ago) and read 912 times:

I don't think they'll drop the number of hours or hire out of college. The airlines follow basic economic theory and are thus, cheap.

I could see them dropping certain routes that aren't as profitable as some and consolidating flights. This wouldn't hurt the business person as many are now flocking to fractional ownership programs (ie: FlexJet and NetJet) or are buying their own aircraft. As there is no mandatory retirement on business flying, they can hire recently retired airline pilots.

The only people, that I foresee, being hurt are the leisure traveller. Many of these people only travel at certain times of the year, so they don't care if a Monday flight from JFK to ORD is dropped (or consolidated on to a bigger aircraft at a later time), just as long as they get there.

- Neil Harrison


User currently offlineCaddy From Canada, joined Jan 2001, 13 posts, RR: 0
Reply 6, posted (13 years 4 months 3 weeks 4 days 19 hours ago) and read 907 times:

Well since I am already in the industry I can safely say that there is already a shortage of pilots slowy begining and the demand is already starting to go up.

As for the travelers Pilot1113 is correct in terms of the leisure travellers!

So to put it short there will be a big demand, but if I where you I wouldn't waste any time getting it and I really won't lose any contacts that you might have!

Remember in this industry it's not what you know, it's who you know!!


User currently offlineCaddy From Canada, joined Jan 2001, 13 posts, RR: 0
Reply 7, posted (13 years 4 months 3 weeks 4 days 19 hours ago) and read 905 times:

Well since I am already in the industry I can safely say that there is already a shortage of pilots slowy begining and the demand is already starting to go up.

As for the travelers Pilot1113 is correct in terms of the leisure travellers!

So to put it short there will be a big demand, but if I where you I wouldn't waste any time getting it and I really won't lose any contacts that you might have!

Remember in this industry it's not what you know, it's who you know!!


User currently offlineDelta737 From United States of America, joined Jun 1999, 516 posts, RR: 10
Reply 8, posted (13 years 4 months 3 weeks 4 days 19 hours ago) and read 913 times:

There will always be a need for pilots, but generally, the "pilot shortage" will never happen.

Flight schools talk about the "pilot shortage" to sell more training packages.

Career books talk about the "pilot shortage" to sell more books, magazines and services.

Politicians talk about the "pilot shortage" to press legislation to kill the mandatory age-60 retirement rule.

Airlines talk about the "pilot shortage" to pressure the FAA for more lenient work regulations to maximize efficiency without hiring extra pilots.

If you want to be a pilot, by all means, go for it! it's the best job in the world and good pay to boot.

But if you're chasing the latest occupational field experiencing a shortage, I wouldn't suggest aviation. it's got to be in your blood or not at all!

Doug Taylor
Delta MD-90 FO
www.jetcareers.com


Top Of Page
Forum Index

This topic is archived and can not be replied to any more.

Printer friendly format

Similar topics:More similar topics...
We Need More Of These posted Sat Nov 5 2005 05:22:17 by I530j
When Will We Hear More From AC? posted Wed Jun 11 2003 04:46:26 by Jean Leloup
When Will We See More Room On AA 777s posted Mon Apr 2 2001 04:52:49 by FlyVirgin744
When Will AA Recall More F/A's & Pilots? posted Tue Mar 19 2002 19:45:01 by AA@DFW
Will We See US Airlines Order More Boeing? posted Mon Sep 17 2001 18:12:40 by DIA
Will The Need For Commercial Pilots Decrease? posted Mon Sep 17 2001 02:40:40 by FuturPilot
Will We Ever See SAA Ordering 777s? posted Tue Nov 28 2006 10:19:58 by LY777
EK's Tim Clark On A380: "We Need That Aircraft" posted Tue Nov 7 2006 23:15:42 by PlaneHunter
Lauderdale Realizes They Need More Gates... posted Fri Oct 6 2006 04:32:26 by Njdevilsin03
When Will SA Need To Renew It's Fleet? posted Mon Oct 2 2006 05:42:15 by JAM747