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Transatlantic Capacity Reductions Detailed  
User currently offlineenilria From Canada, joined Feb 2008, 7718 posts, RR: 15
Posted (3 years 5 months 2 weeks 1 day 18 hours ago) and read 1758 times:

I thought I'd calculate the impact of the capacity changes for each of the Atlantic Joint Ventures. It is a somewhat surprising divergence.

DL/AF/AZ/KL
2011
MAR +13% versus 2010
APR +12%
MAY +7%
JUN +9%
JUL +8%
AUG +7%
SEP +4%
OCT +4%
NOV -3%
DEC -4%
I'm actually surprised it is not down more given all the announced cuts. I'm shocked it was up so much earlier in the year as well.

UA/CO/LH
MAR +8%
APR +4%
MAY +2%
JUN +3%
JUL +3%
AUG +2%
SEP +1%
OCT +1%
NOV -3%
DEC -5%
Nearly the same pattern as DL, but with smaller numbers. Interesting.

AA/BA/IB
MAR +5%
APR +6%
MAY +6%
JUN +6%
JUL +6%
AUG +5%
SEP +6%
OCT +6%
NOV +6%
DEC +6%
No seasonal adjustment at all and showing an increase for Fall when everybody else shrinks. Are they smarter than everybody else or is this another great example of how AA's lack of frequency adjustments shackle them?

5 replies: All unread, jump to last
 
User currently offlineMAH4546 From Sweden, joined Jan 2001, 33289 posts, RR: 71
Reply 1, posted (3 years 5 months 2 weeks 1 day 18 hours ago) and read 1746 times:

Quoting enilria (Thread starter):
Are they smarter than everybody else or is this another great example of how AA's lack of frequency adjustments shackle them?

No. It's an example of how AA sticking to key markets helps them.



a.
User currently offlineenilria From Canada, joined Feb 2008, 7718 posts, RR: 15
Reply 2, posted (3 years 5 months 2 weeks 1 day 18 hours ago) and read 1671 times:

Quoting MAH4546 (Reply 1):
No. It's an example of how AA sticking to key markets helps them.

So you think this is a studied plan to gain market share as the others retrench? I guess it just seems a little static in terms of the growth and not really adjusted to demand. Is that an illusion you think?


User currently offlinesimairlinenet From United States of America, joined Oct 2005, 922 posts, RR: 2
Reply 3, posted (3 years 5 months 2 weeks 1 day 18 hours ago) and read 1641 times:

Quoting enilria (Thread starter):
Nearly the same pattern as DL, but with smaller numbers. Interesting.

Aside from US Airways, Delta has the highest European seasonality of transatlantic carriers. See http://www.anna.aero/2009/11/27/uk-a...le-to-seasonality-on-routes-to-us/ for an illustration of this.


User currently offlinesxf24 From United States of America, joined Aug 2007, 1262 posts, RR: 0
Reply 4, posted (3 years 5 months 2 weeks 1 day 18 hours ago) and read 1622 times:

Quoting MAH4546 (Reply 1):
No. It's an example of how AA sticking to key markets helps them.

Helped them lose more money?


User currently offlineMAH4546 From Sweden, joined Jan 2001, 33289 posts, RR: 71
Reply 5, posted (3 years 5 months 2 weeks 1 day 18 hours ago) and read 1602 times:

Quoting enilria (Reply 2):
So you think this is a studied plan to gain market share as the others retrench?

No, not necessarily. Its simply that London and Paris aren't hurting as much as Amsterdam and Prague. A benefit of AA's European network is that it piles a lot of capacity into traditionally strong markets that weather economic downturns much, much better. It also helps that Miami-Europe, major for AA/BA/IB, isn't hurting at all. AA was going to go back to year-round to Rome and Dublin this year, but that was canned.



a.
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