Sponsor Message:
Civil Aviation Forum
My Starred Topics | Profile | New Topic | Forum Index | Help | Search 
MSP Growth  
User currently offlineMountainFlyer From United States of America, joined Jul 2005, 477 posts, RR: 0
Posted (2 years 10 months 1 week 5 days 17 hours ago) and read 2540 times:

I love following the evolution of airlines and airports over time. Since the DL/NW merger, two airports have given me a keen interest, MSP and DTW. DTW is generally regarded as the second largest DL hub after ATL and the most likely candidate for future expansion. MSP, on the other hand, is often regarded as perhaps stable, not necessarily likely to suffer the same fate as CVG and MEM, yet likely to be reduced over time in favor of building up other hubs such as DTW.

Recenly I was looking at some government statistics for airport activity for the twelve months ended October 2011 (latest data available), and I found some interesting facts on both MSP and DTW. I was not able to figure out how to make the respective airports stick in links, so after clicking on the link below, you must select MSP or DTW manually from the airport list near the top right.

http://www.transtats.bts.gov/airports.asp?pn=1

Some key and somewhat surprising things I noted from these reports:

-MSP's total passenger numbers are slightly higher than DTW.

-In addition, MSP actually grew by nearly 3% during the twelve months ended October, 2011. If this trend continues through the end of the year, this would actually be the first annual growth in passenger numbers for MSP since 2005. DTW on the other hand, grew by less than 1%.

-MSP had nearly 2 million higher DL mainline passengers than DTW for the time period.

-MSP had total number of departures growth during the twelve month time period vs a decline at DTW. However, DTW had higher numbers of departures due to its higher regional traffic.

-It is difficult to tell total number of combined DL and DL Connection passengers since the report separately lists the regional carriers and only gives individual numbers for the largest ones, but it would appear they are just about neck and neck.

So, given those facts, what are your thoughts? Is the growth at MSP due to DL or is it other carriers? I do realize this data only goes through the end of October, however, it covers a twelve month span and compares it to the same twelve month span one year prior. Does anyone have any other data to add/compare to this?

[Edited 2012-02-13 10:13:32]

[Edited 2012-02-13 10:14:05]


SA-227; B1900; Q200; Q400; CRJ-2,7,9; 717; 727-2; 737-3,4,5,7,8,9; 747-2; 757-2,3; 767-3,4; MD-90; A319, 320; DC-9; DC-1
9 replies: All unread, jump to last
 
User currently offlinepoint2point From United States of America, joined Mar 2010, 2766 posts, RR: 1
Reply 1, posted (2 years 10 months 1 week 5 days 16 hours ago) and read 2377 times:

Quoting MountainFlyer (Thread starter):
Recenly I was looking at some government statistics for airport activity for the twelve months ended October 2011 (latest data available), and I found some interesting facts on both MSP and DTW. I was not able to figure out how to make the respective airports stick in links, so after clicking on the link below, you must select MSP or DTW manually from the airport list near the top right.

http://www.transtats.bts.gov/airport...?pn=1

Just a quick comment on this source, and that is if one uses just this site, then these are probably just domestic numbers. And if the numbers are just domestic, so with that then obviously international pax numbers are being omitted, and that may prevent a full picture of what's going on.....

The link below:

http://ostpxweb.dot.gov/aviation/international-series/sept2011.pdf

is a site where the DOT gives some international information. On a page near the end, it shows how many international pax are handle by an airport. In this case, the time frame is YTD Sept 2011, and the numbers of int'l pax for MSP are 2,259,982 and with DTW it is 3,023,572. And since DL is most likely a high percentage of the international traffic for both airports, could this alter the overall count of both airports somewhat?

 


User currently offlineMountainFlyer From United States of America, joined Jul 2005, 477 posts, RR: 0
Reply 2, posted (2 years 10 months 1 week 5 days 16 hours ago) and read 2320 times:

Thanks for pointing that out. I didn't notice that was US data only. That changes things a bit, although not immensely. It would appear given that information that DTW remains on top in overall Delta passengers, although I still find it interesting that DTW's domestic traffic appears to be declining while MSP is at least somewhat stable if not growing.

Also, it's possible that the international numbers at MSP have more dilution in them due to Sun Country flying a good amount of international relative to the "other" airlines at both MSP and DTW. Without knowing, I would imagine that DTW has no other carrier besides DL that flies any significant amount of international.

[Edited 2012-02-13 11:32:45]


SA-227; B1900; Q200; Q400; CRJ-2,7,9; 717; 727-2; 737-3,4,5,7,8,9; 747-2; 757-2,3; 767-3,4; MD-90; A319, 320; DC-9; DC-1
User currently offlineHPRamper From United States of America, joined May 2005, 4147 posts, RR: 8
Reply 3, posted (2 years 10 months 1 week 5 days 15 hours ago) and read 2266 times:

DTW always took a back seat to MSP in terms of domestic connectivity. It is, however, the Worldgateway and as such there is larger gauge of aircraft at DTW than at MSP, overall. Many international routings will connect domestic pax through MSP, on to DTW to take a flight overseas. So I'm not surprised at these numbers and they show that imho not a whole lot has changed in the relationship of MSP to DTW since the DL/NW merger.

User currently offlinepoint2point From United States of America, joined Mar 2010, 2766 posts, RR: 1
Reply 4, posted (2 years 10 months 1 week 5 days 15 hours ago) and read 2221 times:

Quoting MountainFlyer (Reply 2):
Thanks for pointing that out. I didn't notice that was US data only. That changes things a bit, although not immensely.

Yes, changes some, and I'll agree most likely not really immensely.

With some additional research and paperwork review, the airports themselves probably have the best source of data here concerning what you are looking at..... I think that if looking here for DTW and selecting the correct time frame

http://www.metroairport.com/about/releases.asp

and then here for MSP and likewise

http://mspairport.com/about-msp/stat...rations-and-passenger-reports.aspx

and then with this info, although probably not in any way drastically altered from what is posted above, I think that there will be some better precision as to the picture of both airports than what the DOT site can give .


User currently offlineMountainFlyer From United States of America, joined Jul 2005, 477 posts, RR: 0
Reply 5, posted (2 years 10 months 1 week 5 days 15 hours ago) and read 2140 times:

Quoting point2point (Reply 4):

Excellent stuff! Thanks for posting that.

So after reading that information, it would appear that MSP did in fact post a growth in passenger numbers for 2011. That is still significant considering they have been declining since 2005. However, it would also appear that nearly all of the growth at MSP can be attributed to Southwest, Sun Country, and F9 (even when combined with the loss of Midwest numbers).

Another interesting note from that data, DL as a whole was relatively flat (0.03% growth 2011 over 2010). When you take into account the old NW numbers, it appears that mainline as a whole has decreased around 5% with regional flying picking up the slack. At DTW, the picture is similar with about an 8% decline in DL mainline passenger traffic in 2011 largely picked up by regionals.

[Edited 2012-02-13 12:44:11]


SA-227; B1900; Q200; Q400; CRJ-2,7,9; 717; 727-2; 737-3,4,5,7,8,9; 747-2; 757-2,3; 767-3,4; MD-90; A319, 320; DC-9; DC-1
User currently offlinepoint2point From United States of America, joined Mar 2010, 2766 posts, RR: 1
Reply 6, posted (2 years 10 months 1 week 5 days 14 hours ago) and read 2064 times:

Quoting MountainFlyer (Reply 5):
Excellent stuff! Thanks for posting that.

Your welcome, and I think that usually the airports themselves will offer a bigger picture of what's going on there than does the DOT, since the DOT tends to, most importantly, usually separate domestic from international.

And I think that this site

http://www.metroairport.com/about/AviationStatistics.asp

is probably better for DTW than that that I posted above.

Have fun going through all of the numbers. And keep us posted.....

 


User currently offlineMountainFlyer From United States of America, joined Jul 2005, 477 posts, RR: 0
Reply 7, posted (2 years 10 months 1 week 5 days 14 hours ago) and read 2020 times:

Quoting point2point (Reply 6):
And I think that this site

http://www.metroairport.com/about/AviationStatistics.asp

is probably better for DTW than that that I posted above.

Yes, that is what I ended up using. Their numbers are not as concise as MSP's nicely formatted numbers. I had to do some good old ten keying to figure out the DTW numbers. It paints a very interesting picture though as I mentioned above. I think I am more impressed at the Sun Country numbers than anything else: nearly 18% passenger growth at MSP in 2011, and that with MSP's "hometown airline."



SA-227; B1900; Q200; Q400; CRJ-2,7,9; 717; 727-2; 737-3,4,5,7,8,9; 747-2; 757-2,3; 767-3,4; MD-90; A319, 320; DC-9; DC-1
User currently offlinePITrules From United States of America, joined Jun 2000, 3255 posts, RR: 6
Reply 8, posted (2 years 10 months 1 week 5 days 14 hours ago) and read 1969 times:

This is a very good source for airport traffic data. It is probably more current than the DoT sites as the info is provided directly by the airports and it is updated every week.

http://www.anna.aero/category/airport-analysis/

Click on "American Airport Traffic Trends" in the left column, which brings up:

http://www.anna.aero/american-airport-traffic-trends/

It is much easier to compare basic traffic data between several airports using this than going to each of the individual airport sites. You can get on their email list too and it will be sent to you every week.



FLYi
User currently offline747fan From United States of America, joined Jun 2007, 1191 posts, RR: 1
Reply 9, posted (2 years 10 months 1 week 5 days 8 hours ago) and read 1647 times:

Quoting MountainFlyer (Reply 5):
Another interesting note from that data, DL as a whole was relatively flat (0.03% growth 2011 over 2010). When you take into account the old NW numbers, it appears that mainline as a whole has decreased around 5% with regional flying picking up the slack. At DTW, the picture is similar with about an 8% decline in DL mainline passenger traffic in 2011 largely picked up by regionals.

Alot of this has to do with the DC-9 retirements. Much of this capacity, especially on former DC-9-30 routes, has been shifted to large RJ's (such as Compass E-175's on many shorthaul markets out of MSP). In the case of DTW, cities such as SYR, ALB & PVD that used to get DC-9-30's & '40's now see perhaps more frequencies to Detroit than before but now these routes are mostly dominated by 50-seat RJ's.


Top Of Page
Forum Index

This topic is archived and can not be replied to any more.

Printer friendly format

Similar topics:More similar topics...
AA: Growth To Be "Disproportionally International" posted Thu Feb 2 2012 10:18:30 by EricR
DL LEX-MSP On JAN26 - Acft Hit By Truck? posted Fri Jan 27 2012 02:59:42 by tonytifao
DL 744 @ MSP Tonight posted Tue Jan 24 2012 16:37:56 by mplsjefe
Happy Birthday MSP - Lindbergh Terminal Turns 50 posted Sat Jan 21 2012 08:18:37 by ck8msp
United 777 In MSP (01/20/12) Reason? posted Fri Jan 20 2012 18:08:27 by FlyASAGuy2005
JetBlue CEO On Growth Strategy/AA Bankruptcy posted Mon Jan 16 2012 21:22:37 by catiii
Alaska Airlines Fleet Growth posted Mon Jan 9 2012 19:27:33 by dsuairptman
No More Daily DC-9 Flights From MSP By March posted Fri Jan 6 2012 19:13:45 by FSDan
Great Lakes Aviation Loads More MSP Flights posted Thu Jan 5 2012 22:50:57 by bomber996
BOS Record Passengers In 2011 And Growth In '12 posted Sat Dec 31 2011 10:25:48 by airbazar