barca From Norway, joined Apr 2012, 21 posts, RR: 0 Posted (3 years 7 months 1 week 3 days 11 hours ago) and read 12989 times:
Lets have a discussion on this topic. As we know that IAG has bought BMI from LH there are speculations and rumours going on of which routes BA want to keep or axe from LHR when they take over BMI slots that are very valuable. We know we have to wait till 11 May to hear the news.
Here is the list of BMIs destination from LHR today. Some of the routes are also served by BA today-
We know that Nice, Cairo, Riyadh, Moscow, Edinburgh and/or Aberdeen are saved as a agreement that IAG made when they took over BMI.
So the 1 million question is, which of the next destinations will be axed and where will there be new destinations or increased departures from LHR.
My suggestions are that MAN will be kept and increased with 1-2 departures and SVG will have twice departures a day from LHR with BA because this destination is a major oil destination in Europe, which means higher yield. BA have SVG very high on their list to serve this destination. You should remember that SVG is the second profitable route for KLM in Europe after SVO, so BA would like to take a market share there.
I think that Belfast, DUB will also be axed since there are many flights from London to these destinations. Elsewise I think that every destinations on the list that has not been mentioned by me will be axed or not increased where BA serve today since BA would prefer to use the free slots to US like New York, Los Angeles, Chicago, Atlanta. They might also increase daily flights to places like MAD, OSL, CPH, HEL, DEL, Mumbai I think. They might also start a route to Seoul.
These are my suggestions or speculations from me. Lets hear your view of the topic.
CaptainDoony From UK - Scotland, joined Oct 2011, 72 posts, RR: 0
Reply 2, posted (3 years 7 months 1 week 3 days 11 hours ago) and read 12906 times:
The BA domestic routes are already run at a high frequency on all the routes so I don't think BA will want to waste precious slots on more domestic when they could easily Increase capacity instead.
I think BHD will remain as a destination for now. Did BA not commit to the service?
I wouldn't be surprised to see BA just doing a codeshare with EI on DUB.
I could see BA dropping some of the Middle Eastern BMI A321 routes (e.g. FRU,ALA) which carry really low pax numbers - from TR's I've read they always seem to have 50 odd pax on board (albeit high yielding).
I think Asian expansion is odds on for what BA will do with a healthy number of the slots.
skipness1E From United Kingdom, joined Aug 2007, 3704 posts, RR: 2
Reply 4, posted (3 years 7 months 1 week 3 days 11 hours ago) and read 12873 times:
Quoting CaptainDoony (Reply 2): I think BHD will remain as a destination for now. Did BA not commit to the service?
Willie Walsh, an Irishman said he was glad BA were back on the Belfast route. However when the dust settled and a code share on BFS-LHR works better freeing up slots for long haul, I think it will be dropped. Same goes for Dublin.
BA was happy to see most of the BMED routes go to BMI and most of the traditional Euro routes were dropped years ago.
skipness1E From United Kingdom, joined Aug 2007, 3704 posts, RR: 2
Reply 8, posted (3 years 7 months 1 week 3 days 10 hours ago) and read 12704 times:
BA's own LHR-BFS was a massive loss maker due to BA's internal costing and accounting. The day that BMI's BHD-LHR moves across, what changes? The problem was revenue allocation, with the revenue going to long haul due to the large number of connections, they tried really hard to make BFS work.
GSTBA From UK - England, joined Apr 2010, 562 posts, RR: 2
Reply 9, posted (3 years 7 months 1 week 3 days 9 hours ago) and read 12605 times:
Quoting barca (Reply 5): Otherwise, I think that BA will use their slots to increase their frequency to GIG, Hong-Kong and Tokyo.
I don't think HKG will see a frequency increase this Winter. BA was planning to continue to operate the route 17 x weekly in the winter. However they have removed the planned 3 x weekly BA021/BA022 from sale for the whole of the Winter timetable
BA will use the slots to increase frequencies on some shorthaul routes (BER & DUS have already had a additional rotation added for W12) and will open 2 or possibly 3 new routes to Asia and South America
TravelsUK From United Kingdom, joined Dec 2007, 149 posts, RR: 0
Reply 13, posted (3 years 7 months 1 week 3 days 5 hours ago) and read 12305 times:
BMI operated a quite extensive series of charter flights over the summer weekends for many years to Greece, amongst other countries, EFL for example had at least 3 flights from the UK every Saturday operated by 319's & 320's for a number of smaller tour operators, any thoughts as to what will happen with these?
rutankrd From United Kingdom, joined Sep 2003, 3216 posts, RR: 4
Reply 15, posted (3 years 7 months 1 week 3 days ago) and read 11806 times:
Quoting Humberside (Reply 14): It's not really a case of these destinations going or being saved, BA already serve them. And there is nothing to stop BA increasing frequencies or capacity to replace bmi if they so wish
Don't think that's correct , true those routes ARE all operated by BA and that's exactly the reason BA have offered those slot and named routes up for redistribution (if any one wants them).
BA seem pretty satisfied with the existing frequency levels.
In fact the premise of this debate is nonsense since bmi will not exist after the summer schedule so all their current operations end.
BA are now evaluating the whole bmi operation and the number of former bd routes likely to remain is tiny.
The only one that fits automatically is a return to Beirut,
Even what should be a sure fire fit - Amman is posing problems with the need to terminate the RJ codeshare arrangements a one world partner and all.
Some of the CIS routes may fit however may need re-licensing and here the network has contracted from Bmed days.
Just Baku, Almaty (Alma Ata of old), Bishkek, Tbilisi and Yerevan remain.
From that Baku (Gas and Oil) and Tbilisi (Similarly) may remain however BA may well prefer to develop a deeper relationship with S7 via Moscow to connect these areas in future.
As frequently pointed out by one Skipness1E BA DON'T like to do tag-ons and this jeopardises Khartoum and perhaps Addis as well. (Addis is strong *A) but we shall see on these.
As for North and West Africa . BA are already active in Morocco and the Freetown route is a political expedient.
Freetown currently has good premium traffic (NGOs and military advisors etc...)
OA260 From Ireland, joined Nov 2006, 29272 posts, RR: 59
Reply 17, posted (3 years 7 months 1 week 2 days 23 hours ago) and read 11583 times:
Quoting VV701 (Reply 11): Of course yields may be a different matter. But if BA do quit DUB a lot of Diamond Club members are not going to be very pleased.
BA already have an agreement for EI lounge access ( DUB and LHR) and miles earning with EI. It would be great if BA could enhance that agreement to allow access to the EI lounges for all EI flights but I cant see it happening. The Agreement is only for LHR and LGW flights.
Yes, during 2010 BA was evaluating new destinations in Scandinavia other than the capitals, and I think GOT, SVG and BGO were the nominated ones. GOT finally won and started receiving double daily A319s in November '10.
This is one route were I imagine an extra daily flight would be no less than reasonable, especially as the current schedule looks like this:
A big chunk of the passengers fly BA to connect through LHR and with this schedule, it means that if you fly from Gothenburg you can only choose flights departing LHR after 2PM at the earliest, and if you're flying to Gothenburg you can only choose flights arriving LHR at 3PM at the latest!
As an example, next winter GOT-LHR-SAN fits perfectly with its afternoon departure from LHR, while the return is impossible (unless you want to spend the night at the airport) as the flight arrives LHR at 15.20.
Therefore, a third flight with this approximate scheduling would be ideal:
LHR20.30 - GOT23.30
GOT06.30 - LHR07.35
The BA Scandinavia Commercial Manager Peter Rasmussen has said that the route is performing better than expected and that they're there to stay.
Yes, there is a possibility for a 3rd departure to GOT, but it depends if BA would prefer to do that. I think that they are more interested to open new routes or add more frequency to more popular places.
eurowings From UK - England, joined Sep 2011, 326 posts, RR: 0
Reply 20, posted (3 years 7 months 1 week 2 days 18 hours ago) and read 10312 times:
Quoting TravelsUK (Reply 13): BMI operated a quite extensive series of charter flights over the summer weekends for many years to Greece, amongst other countries, EFL for example had at least 3 flights from the UK every Saturday operated by 319's & 320's for a number of smaller tour operators, any thoughts as to what will happen with these?
It depends on whether BA think this is a profitable use for the aircraft against operating scheduled services. However, I don't think finding a new operator for the services will be too difficult. Olympic Holidays finds a new operator every year (after the old one goes bust or wants more money) for their charter services to Greece from MAN and LGW!
BA CityFlyer has had a similar summer weekend charter arrangement on a smaller scale for the past few years. However, CityFlyer is a separate business unit to BA mainline and is influenced by the weekend curfew at LCY combined with the lack of business traffic that the airport thrives on.
nclmedic From United Kingdom, joined Oct 2009, 354 posts, RR: 0
Reply 21, posted (3 years 7 months 1 week 2 days 17 hours ago) and read 10039 times:
Quoting OA260 (Reply 7): BA already codeshare with EI out of DUB and BFS. There will be huge opposition to BHD-LHR being axed and I think BA will keep BHD as suggested. DUB is 50/50 .
Indeed they do, but this was very much because BA couldn't make any money out of either airport thanks to high competition. This is somewhat a different arena now with BD out of the picture. Also, remember that EI flies out of BFS (the international airport) and not BHD (the City airport that BD flies out of). BA would be foolish to lose an opportunity to get back into this market so I don't think it would be ridiculous to see BA flying their own metal out of BHD to either LHR or LCY.
raffik From Zambia, joined Feb 2006, 1738 posts, RR: 4
Reply 22, posted (3 years 7 months 1 week 2 days 17 hours ago) and read 9842 times:
I would be surprised if BEY was axed- it is currently a 10x weekly operation and has provides year round high loads.
3 of those weekly services continue on to Khartoum & Adis Ababa though. I imagine these two destinations will be axed and Beirut will go down to daily service, perhaps with 767/321 mixture.
Members on this forum have said that Khartoum wouldn't survive as a service in its own right unfortunately and who knows about Adis Ababa..
I guess we will have to see what will happen. It is interesting though- I have 4 BD flights to Beirut booked from now to Christmas.. and I have no idea if they are going to be changed/ cancelled