enilria From Canada, joined Feb 2008, 6137 posts, RR: 13 Posted (10 months 3 weeks 4 days 1 hour ago) and read 7805 times:
INSTRUCTIONS
WHAT IS THIS REPORT?
This compares what is for sale THIS WEEK for the stated period versus what was for sale LAST WEEK...It does NOT compare to last year or now (UNLESS OTHERWISE STATED).
HOW DO I READ IT?
XXX-YYY DEC 4>5 JAN 4>5 ; means that the listed airline changed the frequency between the two airports to add from 4 to 5 roundtrips in December and January. No other months were changed. I only list one direction, although it is possible the listed change is only one way. It is too difficult to average the two directions. I assume the change is roundtrip and that is most often the case.
HOW ARE THE DAILY DEPARTURES CALCULATED?
This report uses total operations for the month listed, divided over the days in the month.
WHAT ARE THE FRACTIONAL FLIGHTS?
Non-daily operations create fractional weekly service. In most cases flights are rounded, but in the case of international service or markets with low frequency, fractions are shown. If a flight operated 5 days out of 7, it would show 0.8 flights.
WHY ARE THERE WEIRD FREQUENCIES AT Macedonian Airlines (Greece)">IN FAR AWAY MONTHS FOR LCCs?
Most airlines publish schedules 11 months in advance. This report covers the next 9 months. That avoids seeing schedules as they are loaded. Several LCCs load their schedules less than 9 months into the future. Their schedules may also end mid-month. If B6 loads their schedule until Jan15, all flights in Janaury will show half frequency because of the way the report is created.
WHY IS A WHOLE AIRLINE'S SCHEDULE SHOWN AS CHANGING FOR A FUTURE MONTH?
Similarly to the previous question, some airlines load their schedule from nothing inside the 9 month window of this report. When their schedule is extended it will show as new service because there was no previous schedule to compare to. In some instances I will show a more valid comparison against another period.
THOSE FLIGHTS AREN'T DELTA, THEY ARE PINNACLE
This report only shows the marketing code. It is too complicated to show all the operators.
THE FREQUENCIES MAY HAVE CHANGED AS YOU SHOW, BUT THE SEATS DIDNT CHANGE BECAUSE OF EQUIPMENT SWAPS
That is a natural weakness of a frequency based report, but it provides something to discuss below.
THE FREQUENCY DOESN'T SHOW A CHANGE, E.G. 4>4
This happens as a result of rounding. There is a change in service that is large enough to be listed, but through rounding it does not appear.
I marked some of the ones I thought were interesting with an "*".
9K ACK-BOS SEP 13>12 OCT 15>12
9K ACK-EWB SEP 7>6 OCT 10>7
9K ACK-HYA OCT 15>16
9K BOS-MVY SEP 11>10 OCT 15>12
9K BOS-PVC SEP 9>8 OCT 12>9
9K EWB-MVY OCT 5>4
9K HPN-HYA SEP 0.1>0.0
9W JFK-BRU SEP 1.0>0.3 OCT 1.0>0 NOV 1.0>0 DEC 1.0>0 JAN 1.0>0 FEB 1.0>0 MAR 1.0>0
AA JFK-GRU OCT 1.0>2 NOV 1.0>1.5
AA MIA-GGT AUG 1.0>0.9 SEP 1.0>0.7 OCT 1.0>0.7 NOV 1.0>0.9
AA MIA-LRM AUG 1.0>0.8 SEP 1.0>0.6 OCT 1.0>0.5 NOV 1.0>0.8
AA MIA-MHH AUG 1.2>1.0 SEP 1.0>0.6 OCT 1.0>0.6 NOV 1.0>0.8
AA ORD-BNA SEP 8>9 OCT 8>9
AA ORD-DFW SEP 18>17 OCT 18>17
AA ORD-PSP MAR 1.7>1.0
AC FLL-YOW DEC 0.5>0.4
AC FLL-YUL DEC 4>3
AC FLL-YYZ JAN 4>5 FEB 4>5 MAR 4>5
AC HNL-YVR NOV 1.0>0.9
AC MCO-YHZ MAR 0.4>0.5
AC MCO-YOW JAN 0.4>0.2 FEB 0.4>0.3
AC MCO-YUL DEC 1.5>1.4 JAN 2>1.6 FEB 2>1.8
AC MCO-YYZ NOV 3>4 DEC 4>5
AC MIA-YYZ NOV 1.4>2
AC RSW-YYZ OCT 0.6>0.5 NOV 2>1.1
AC TPA-YHZ JAN 0>0.2
AC TPA-YUL NOV 0.3>0 DEC 0.4>0.3
*AS BLI-OGG NOV 0>0.4 DEC 0>0.5 JAN 0>0.6 FEB 0>0.6 MAR 0>0.6
AT JFK-CMN NOV 1.0>0.9 JAN 1.0>0.7 FEB 1.0>0.6 MAR 1.0>0.8
DL ATL-MEX FEB 4>3 MAR 4>3
*DL PDX-NRT NOV 1.0>0.7 DEC 1.0>0.7 JAN 1.0>0.7 FEB 1.0>0.7 MAR 1.0>0.7
*DL SEA-PEK NOV 1.0>0.6 DEC 1.0>0.6 JAN 1.0>0.6 FEB 1.0>0.6 MAR 1.0>0.6
*DL SFO-NRT NOV 1.0>0.7 DEC 1.0>0.7 JAN 1.0>0.7 FEB 1.0>0.7 MAR 1.0>0.7
**DL SLC-MEX SEP 0.5>0.0 OCT 0.5>0 NOV 0.6>0 DEC 0.6>0 JAN 0.8>0 FEB 0.9>0 MAR 0.8>0
DL SLC-RNO OCT 5>4 NOV 5>4 DEC 5>4 JAN 5>4 FEB 5>4 MAR 5>4
G4 SBY-SFB OCT 0.3>0.1
G4 SFB-SHV OCT 0.3>0.0
*HA HNL-BNE DEC 0>0.4 JAN 0>0.5 FEB 0>0.4 MAR 0>0.4
KS BHB-BOS SEP 4>0.5 OCT 0.9>0
LA SFO-LIM NOV 0.6>0.7 DEC 0.6>0.7
*LO EWR-WAW NOV 0.3>0 DEC 0.2>0 JAN 0.3>0 FEB 0.3>0 MAR 0.3>0
Reverse of last week
*NK ACY-ATL SEP 0.1>1.0 OCT 0>1.0
**NK BWI-DFW SEP 0>0.8 OCT 0>1.0 NOV 0>1.0 DEC 0>1.0 JAN 0>1.0 FEB 0>1.0 MAR 0>1.0
**NK BWI-FLL SEP 0>1.7 OCT 0>2 NOV 0>2 DEC 0>2 JAN 0>2 FEB 0>2 MAR 0>2
Where did the slots go???
**NK DCA-FLL SEP 3>0.3 OCT 3>0 NOV 3>0 DEC 3>0 JAN 3>0 FEB 3>0 MAR 3>0
Wow, predicted they'd be in IAH, IAH-MEX next
**NK DFW-IAH SEP 0>0.7 OCT 0>2 NOV 0>2 DEC 0>2 JAN 0>2 FEB 0>2 MAR 0>2
OZ CMH-ORD JAN 0.3>0.1
OZ LGA-ORD SEP 0>1.0 OCT 0>1.0 NOV 0>0.7
OZ MSP-ORD SEP 0.5>1.4 OCT 0.4>1.4
OZ SEA-ICN NOV 1.0>0.7 DEC 1.0>0.7 JAN 1.0>0.7 FEB 1.0>0.7 MAR 1.0>0.7
UA DEN-ABQ NOV 7>6
UA EUG-PDX NOV 4>3 DEC 4>3 JAN 4>3 FEB 4>3 MAR 4>3
UA EWR-BUF NOV 5>6
UA EWR-CHS NOV 3>4
UA EWR-GRR NOV 1.6>3
UA EWR-GSP NOV 1.9>3
UA EWR-SAV NOV 1.9>3
UA EWR-YYZ OCT 10>9
UA IAH-ABQ NOV 5>4
UA IAH-BHM OCT 7>6
UA IAH-BRO AUG 5>4
UA IAH-BWI OCT 4>3
UA IAH-CLL OCT 5>4
UA IAH-CUN OCT 5>4
UA IAH-JAN OCT 6>5
UA IAH-LCH OCT 5>4
UA IAH-MFE OCT 9>8
UA IAH-PNS AUG 5>4
UA IAH-SJD OCT 2>1.7
UA IAH-TYR AUG 4>3
UA IAH-YEG OCT 1.8>1.7
UA LAX-ABQ NOV 3>1.7 DEC 3>1.7
UA LAX-BOI DEC 1.8>1.3
UA LAX-BOS NOV 1.7>0.9 DEC 1.9>1.4
UA LAX-DFW DEC 4>3 JAN 4>3 FEB 4>3 MAR 4>3
UA LAX-IAD OCT 9>8
UA LAX-LAS OCT 5>6 NOV 4>5
UA LAX-LIH DEC 1.2>1.5
UA LAX-PIT OCT 1.0>0.5
UA ORD-ATW DEC 6>5
UA ORD-BOS NOV 9>8 DEC 9>7
UA ORD-BUF NOV 6>5 DEC 6>5
UA ORD-CLE NOV 13>14
UA ORD-CMH NOV 6>7
UA ORD-FLL NOV 1.9>1.0 DEC 2>1.5
UA ORD-LAS NOV 5>4 DEC 5>4
UA ORD-LAX OCT 12>11 NOV 11>10 DEC 12>11
UA ORD-MIA NOV 3>2
UA ORD-PSP MAR 0>1.0
UA ORD-SAN NOV 5>4
UA ORD-SEA NOV 6>5 DEC 6>5
UA ORD-SYR AUG 6>5
UA ORD-YQB OCT 1.9>2
UA ORD-YVR NOV 4>1.9 DEC 4>3
UA ORD-YYC NOV 3>4 DEC 3>4
UA PDX-RDM FEB 3>2
UA SFO-BFL NOV 3>1.9 DEC 3>2 JAN 3>2 FEB 3>2 MAR 3>2
UA SFO-EWR NOV 8>10
UA SFO-JFK OCT 6>7
UA SFO-LAS DEC 10>9
UA SFO-MFR NOV 7>6
UA SFO-ORD NOV 15>13 DEC 15>14
UA SFO-OTH NOV 2>1.1 DEC 2>1.0 JAN 2>1.0 FEB 2>1.0 MAR 2>1.0
UA SFO-PDX NOV 9>8
UA SFO-PSC NOV 2>1.1 DEC 2>1.0 JAN 2>1.0 FEB 2>1.0
UA SFO-RNO NOV 5>4 DEC 5>4
UA SFO-SEA NOV 9>7 DEC 9>8
UA SFO-YEG NOV 1.9>1.8 DEC 2>1.4
UA SFO-YVR OCT 5>4
UA SFO-YYJ NOV 2.0>1.1 DEC 2>1.4
drerx7 From United States of America, joined Jun 2000, 4906 posts, RR: 9 Reply 2, posted (10 months 3 weeks 4 days ago) and read 7544 times:
Quoting tommy767 (Reply 1): Never thought I'd live to see IAH-BWI go to 3x daily. That's pretty low.
Does it usually go to 4x daily in the winter? It makes sense though, that's an example of a route whose transfer pax can be better carried over DEN or ORD.
PHX787 From Japan, joined Mar 2012, 4976 posts, RR: 14 Reply 3, posted (10 months 3 weeks 4 days ago) and read 7438 times:
Quoting enilria (Thread starter): *DL PDX-NRT NOV 1.0>0.7 DEC 1.0>0.7 JAN 1.0>0.7 FEB 1.0>0.7 MAR 1.0>0.7
*DL SEA-PEK NOV 1.0>0.6 DEC 1.0>0.6 JAN 1.0>0.6 FEB 1.0>0.6 MAR 1.0>0.6
*DL SFO-NRT NOV 1.0>0.7 DEC 1.0>0.7 JAN 1.0>0.7 FEB 1.0>0.7 MAR 1.0>0.7
Hmmm are these seasonal reductions, or are these going somewhere else?
point2point From United States of America, joined Mar 2010, 1961 posts, RR: 1 Reply 5, posted (10 months 3 weeks 4 days ago) and read 7164 times:
Quoting enilria (Thread starter):
UA DEN-ABQ NOV 7>6
..................
..................
..................
UA SFO-YYJ NOV 2.0>1.1 DEC 2>1.4
And this week, we see the UA hubs trending........
CLE no change
DEN
EWR
IAD no change
IAH
LAX
ORD
SFO
Well, I guess most NOV changes are cuts, except with to/from EWR flying southward.
And the right-sizing continues......
(And again, enilria, my friend, just another thanks for your efforts week in/week out with this, and a reminder that you do keep us entertained as well as informed here. I don't know what's gonna happen if one day..... for whatever reason..... maybe you just get tired of this and don't want to do this anymore, and will just stop? I'll probably have to go someplace where they can help me with my withdrawal symptoms...... So a for your past efforts and a so that you may keep on going a long, long time here with this gig.......)
STT757 From United States of America, joined Mar 2000, 16261 posts, RR: 52 Reply 7, posted (10 months 3 weeks 4 days ago) and read 7128 times:
Quoting tommy767 (Reply 1): Never thought I'd live to see IAH-BWI go to 3x daily. That's pretty low.
On the bright side one of those frequencies is a 757:
IAH-BWI 2 A319, 1 757
Quoting tommy767 (Reply 1): On the bright side it's crazy how UA will fly SFO-EWR at 10x daily in the fall.
Hub to Hub, 17 daily total from EWR and JFK to SFO.
EWR-SFO 4 A319, 3 737-800, 2 737-900, 1 757
JFK-SFO 7 757
I noticed a lot more A319s and A320s on Trans-Cons from EWR. UA has been flying them for years from IAD to the West Coast. The issue is they have less first class seats than sCO's 737-800s, not great for upgrades.
sCO 737-800s either have 16 or 20 First class seats, depending on which version. The UA A319s have 8 First Class seats, and their A320s have 12. Big difference in premium capacity. I feel UA should try to keep the Airbuses on the shorter routes and let the 737s handle the trans-Cons from EWR and IAD. Also the Airbuses lack Directv which is more of an issue on a Trans-Con than it is on EWR-TPA.
PSU.DTW.SCE From United States of America, joined Jan 2002, 6874 posts, RR: 29 Reply 8, posted (10 months 3 weeks 3 days 23 hours ago) and read 7073 times:
Quoting enilria (Thread starter): *DL PDX-NRT NOV 1.0>0.7 DEC 1.0>0.7 JAN 1.0>0.7 FEB 1.0>0.7 MAR 1.0>0.7
*DL SEA-PEK NOV 1.0>0.6 DEC 1.0>0.6 JAN 1.0>0.6 FEB 1.0>0.6 MAR 1.0>0.6
*DL SFO-NRT NOV 1.0>0.7 DEC 1.0>0.7 JAN 1.0>0.7 FEB 1.0>0.7 MAR 1.0>0.7
Quoting enilria (Reply 4): I believe they are pretty normal, but they were not planned otherwise they would have already been selling the reduced schedule.
This is normal seasonal reductions, similar wo the day-of-the-week reductions they did over at least the past 2 winters on the West Coast - Asia routes.
Note that SEA-NRT, SEA-KIX, LAX-NRT, LAX-HND remain daily on the West Coast.
My guess is that initally DL was going to try to keep daily service this winter considering how the Pacific has been outperforming so far this year, but it looks like they've changed their mind recently, considering the continued economic uncertainty.
tommy767 From United States of America, joined Aug 2003, 6173 posts, RR: 9 Reply 9, posted (10 months 3 weeks 3 days 23 hours ago) and read 6968 times:
STT757 From United States of America, joined Mar 2000, 16261 posts, RR: 52 Reply 10, posted (10 months 3 weeks 3 days 23 hours ago) and read 6923 times:
Quoting tommy767 (Reply 9):
STT, I wouldn't look at the skeds for those flights too far in advance.
Three months is not that far, it's pretty accurate.
tommy767 From United States of America, joined Aug 2003, 6173 posts, RR: 9 Reply 11, posted (10 months 3 weeks 3 days 22 hours ago) and read 6729 times:
One time I checked EWR-LAX for June 7th a week out. It was all PMCO metal and a few days later reversed to 3-4 PMUA metal, and the rest PMCO. They change it up quite frequently.
"Folks that's the news and I'm outta here!" -- Dennis Miller
STT757 From United States of America, joined Mar 2000, 16261 posts, RR: 52 Reply 12, posted (10 months 3 weeks 3 days 22 hours ago) and read 6724 times:
Looking ahead to the October schedules there is a huge influx of sUA Airbuses and 757s into IAH.
FlyPNS1 From United States of America, joined Nov 1999, 6049 posts, RR: 25 Reply 14, posted (10 months 3 weeks 3 days 22 hours ago) and read 6651 times:
Quoting enilria (Thread starter): Where did the slots go???
**NK DCA-FLL SEP 3>0.3 OCT 3>0 NOV 3>0 DEC 3>0 JAN 3>0 FEB 3>0 MAR 3>0
According to a different thread, WN just bought them.
So both ATL and BOS will stay until Nov 7th this year... our seasonal flights are at least staying longer this year, they used to stop after Labor Day..
As always, thanks for your hard work on this weekly thread!!
tommy767 From United States of America, joined Aug 2003, 6173 posts, RR: 9 Reply 17, posted (10 months 3 weeks 3 days 21 hours ago) and read 6299 times:
drerx7 From United States of America, joined Jun 2000, 4906 posts, RR: 9 Reply 18, posted (10 months 3 weeks 3 days 21 hours ago) and read 6251 times:
Quoting tommy767 (Reply 17): Definitely more busses out of IAH. Not as many 757s. Overall IAH took some cuts.
Would take these fall schedules with a grain of salt. I'm sure the a/c types will change several times before the date.
This should be commensurate with the opening of the sUA airbus and sUA756 base at IAH. I'm surfing through the schedules for Oct. 5th on united.com to see any differences...
STT757 From United States of America, joined Mar 2000, 16261 posts, RR: 52 Reply 19, posted (10 months 3 weeks 3 days 21 hours ago) and read 6233 times:
Quoting drerx7 (Reply 16): More so than now? On which routes?
Everywhere, just start plugging in routes to their timetable:
Here's some of the sUA aircraft operating from IAH, note these do not reflect the full schedules just the sUA aircraft on a particular route:
STT757 From United States of America, joined Mar 2000, 16261 posts, RR: 52 Reply 20, posted (10 months 3 weeks 3 days 21 hours ago) and read 6221 times:
There also appears to be significantly more CR7s flying from IAH in the October schedule.
greenwichsud From United States of America, joined May 2008, 55 posts, RR: 0 Reply 22, posted (10 months 3 weeks 3 days 21 hours ago) and read 6048 times:
Quoting STT757 (Reply 7): I noticed a lot more A319s and A320s on Trans-Cons from EWR. UA has been flying them for years from IAD to the West Coast. The issue is they have less first class seats than sCO's 737-800s, not great for upgrades.
It will be interesting to see if UA will have the same problems as B6 with the A320 on westbound transcons during the winter.
tommy767 From United States of America, joined Aug 2003, 6173 posts, RR: 9 Reply 23, posted (10 months 3 weeks 3 days 20 hours ago) and read 5951 times:
Quite surprising to see another daily flight added to this route, must be some good demand. Likely another CR7 on that flight
Quoting enilria (Thread starter): *AS BLI-OGG NOV 0>0.4 DEC 0>0.5 JAN 0>0.6 FEB 0>0.6 MAR 0>0.6
It will be interesting to see how this route will perform, I think it will likely more Canadians than Americans flying considering the close proximity to the border.
usairways85 From United States of America, joined Nov 2001, 3099 posts, RR: 8 Reply 25, posted (10 months 3 weeks 3 days 18 hours ago) and read 5240 times:
tommy767 From United States of America, joined Aug 2003, 6173 posts, RR: 9 Reply 26, posted (10 months 3 weeks 3 days 18 hours ago) and read 5223 times:
BoeingGuy From United States of America, joined Dec 2010, 2312 posts, RR: 7 Reply 27, posted (10 months 3 weeks 3 days 17 hours ago) and read 5172 times:
Quoting Hawaiian763 (Reply 24): Quoting enilria (Thread starter):
*AS BLI-OGG NOV 0>0.4 DEC 0>0.5 JAN 0>0.6 FEB 0>0.6 MAR 0>0.6
It will be interesting to see how this route will perform, I think it will likely more Canadians than Americans flying considering the close proximity to the border.
Apparently all of AS's BLI routes are doing really well. I'd be interested in seeing the breakdown. There's a decent cachement area on the US side too. BLI is really easy to get to and park. Even if you live in like the north side of Everett, BLI could be as quick (and much easier) to get to than SEA. Then there's all the population between there and the border including the island (Whidbey, Camano and the San Juans).
Inland and southern parts of B.C. seem like they could be as quick to get to BLI was YVR, not even counting any air fare differences. It's a quick shot across the Aldergrove or Sumas border and over to BLI on wide open highways. White Rock is probably as close to BLI as YVR if no border wait.
BLI serves a good niche for AS. It would be interesting to see if BLI could support some more limited expansion like maybe a flight to LAX, ORD, DFW, etc.
STT757 From United States of America, joined Mar 2000, 16261 posts, RR: 52 Reply 28, posted (10 months 3 weeks 3 days 17 hours ago) and read 5168 times:
The morning flight is a 73G, but as you noted big reduction in premium seating and no DirecTv. UA can't replace these narrow body Airbuses soon enough.
FlyPNS1 From United States of America, joined Nov 1999, 6049 posts, RR: 25 Reply 30, posted (10 months 3 weeks 3 days 17 hours ago) and read 5029 times:
Quoting STT757 (Reply 28): The morning flight is a 73G, but as you noted big reduction in premium seating and no DirecTv.
The DirecTV is nice, but in my experience pretty poorly used and not a very good value proposition.
Quoting BC77008 (Reply 29): UA can't replace these narrow body Airbuses soon enough.
It's going to be a long time before most of them get replaced and there's no guarantee there replacement will have DirectTV either.
usairways85 From United States of America, joined Nov 2001, 3099 posts, RR: 8 Reply 31, posted (10 months 3 weeks 3 days 15 hours ago) and read 4622 times:
Quoting tommy767 (Reply 26): Virtually no IFE? Unlike the 738/739 the UA 320 doesn't charge for IFE. Big plus there
Yea, but...
Quoting BC77008 (Reply 29): Well, yeah, as long as you like watching old re-runs of Big Bang Theory.
If the selection of shows appeals to you then it's not bad, but if you don't like the shows or you travel weekly and you're on your 2nd or 3rd trip the shows get old.
Quoting FlyPNS1 (Reply 30): The DirecTV is nice, but in my experience pretty poorly used and not a very good value proposition
In Y, yes, I rarely pay $7.99 unless it is a transcon. Though I do take full advantage of it when I am in F. What I do like are the AC outlets.
Roseflyer From United States of America, joined Feb 2004, 8748 posts, RR: 52 Reply 32, posted (10 months 3 weeks 3 days 15 hours ago) and read 4573 times:
Quoting PSU.DTW.SCE (Reply 8): Quoting enilria (Thread starter):
*DL PDX-NRT NOV 1.0>0.7 DEC 1.0>0.7 JAN 1.0>0.7 FEB 1.0>0.7 MAR 1.0>0.7
*DL SEA-PEK NOV 1.0>0.6 DEC 1.0>0.6 JAN 1.0>0.6 FEB 1.0>0.6 MAR 1.0>0.6
*DL SFO-NRT NOV 1.0>0.7 DEC 1.0>0.7 JAN 1.0>0.7 FEB 1.0>0.7 MAR 1.0>0.7
Quoting enilria (Reply 4):
I believe they are pretty normal, but they were not planned otherwise they would have already been selling the reduced schedule.
This is normal seasonal reductions, similar wo the day-of-the-week reductions they did over at least the past 2 winters on the West Coast - Asia routes.
Not completely abnormal during the slower season. These are their lowest capacity transpacific routes with the 767s. Since these routes are already down to 767s, they can't cut capacity any way other than with frequency. Other routes change frequency by adjusting aircraft type.
[Edited 2012-07-03 16:45:11]
If you have never designed an airplane part before, let the real designers do the work!
tommy767 From United States of America, joined Aug 2003, 6173 posts, RR: 9 Reply 33, posted (10 months 3 weeks 3 days 15 hours ago) and read 4597 times:
DTV is a major bummer for the cost alone. I flew MIA-EWR and it was $7.99. Had it been $4-5 then it might have been worth it.
Keeping in mind that LCD/CRT looped IFE is still the standard on many DL, AA, and UA flights. It's better than nothing such as being on a WN, NK, or US flight.
So i don't see any reason to whine about flying a 320 over a 739.
"Folks that's the news and I'm outta here!" -- Dennis Miller
drerx7 From United States of America, joined Jun 2000, 4906 posts, RR: 9 Reply 35, posted (10 months 3 weeks 3 days 15 hours ago) and read 4449 times:
Quoting usairways85 (Reply 25): Wow, pretty big hit here. This used to be 4/5 738/739. So not only a hit in premium capacity but also PMUA aircraft with virtually no IFE.
The schedule varies - on 10/9 I see varying 737s and a 752...so UA is truly rightsizing demand based on days of the week and what not - a practice that they have been doing.
Quoting FlyPNS1 (Reply 30): The DirecTV is nice, but in my experience pretty poorly used and not a very good value proposition.
For the airline its cool, because DirecTV is funding it and the retrofit. Not a very good value for the pax though.
Quoting tommy767 (Reply 33): DTV is a major bummer for the cost alone. I flew MIA-EWR and it was $7.99. Had it been $4-5 then it might have been worth it.
I agree...I purchased it on IAH-PHL...almost 4 hrs of measly programming. I think I settled on watching Top Gear marathon...all of which I had seen.
Quoting tommy767 (Reply 33): So i don't see any reason to whine about flying a 320 over a 739.
usairways85 From United States of America, joined Nov 2001, 3099 posts, RR: 8 Reply 36, posted (10 months 3 weeks 3 days 14 hours ago) and read 4384 times:
Quoting tommy767 (Reply 33): So i don't see any reason to whine about flying a 320 over a 739.
AC outlets. I just received a new laptop so my battery life is really good, however previously I was lucky to get 2 hours on my old laptop.
enilria From Canada, joined Feb 2008, 6137 posts, RR: 13 Reply 37, posted (10 months 3 weeks 3 days 13 hours ago) and read 4072 times:
Quoting point2point (Reply 5): And again, enilria, my friend, just another thanks for your efforts week in/week out with this, and a reminder that you do keep us entertained as well as informed here. I don't know what's gonna happen if one day..... for whatever reason..... maybe you just get tired of this and don't want to do this anymore, and will just stop? I'll probably have to go someplace where they can help me with my withdrawal symptoms...... So a for your past efforts and a so that you may keep on going a long, long time here with this gig.......
Thanks. Means a lot. Obviously I'm addicted too. I intend to keep doing it as long as I have access to the data.
Quoting PSU.DTW.SCE (Reply 8): My guess is that initally DL was going to try to keep daily service this winter considering how the Pacific has been outperforming so far this year, but it looks like they've changed their mind recently, considering the continued economic uncertainty.
Agreed
Quoting dbo861 (Reply 13): Quoting enilria (Thread starter):
Where did the slots go???
**NK DCA-FLL SEP 3>0.3 OCT 3>0 NOV 3>0 DEC 3>0 JAN 3>0 FEB 3>0 MAR 3>0
Southwest bought them for DCA-STL.
I guess I'm surprised that NK would sell given how much other LCCs want into DCA. They won't find WN so friendly at BWI. I wonder if IAD would have been a better choice given the utter lack of LCC service.
Quoting NKOPS (Reply 15): As always, thanks for your hard work on this weekly thread!!
Quoting Hawaiian763 (Reply 24): Quoting enilria (Thread starter):
*AS BLI-OGG NOV 0>0.4 DEC 0>0.5 JAN 0>0.6 FEB 0>0.6 MAR 0>0.6
It will be interesting to see how this route will perform, I think it will likely more Canadians than Americans flying considering the close proximity to the border.
Well, I think it is pretty certain that AS started flying these routes because of G4 when it became clear they were getting 757s. Definitely it is nearly all Canadians onboard.
Quoting drerx7 (Reply 35): For the airline its cool, because DirecTV is funding it and the retrofit. Not a very good value for the pax though.
The airline has to fly around all that weight. It's not insignificant. It's probably 3 or 4 pounds per seat + the two or three servers + the antenna/wiring + the drag from the antenna. All together it's probably 700-900 pounds on a 150 seater. That's a lot.
HPRamper From United States of America, joined May 2005, 3665 posts, RR: 8 Reply 38, posted (10 months 3 weeks 3 days 12 hours ago) and read 3819 times:
Quoting BC77008 (Reply 29): Well, yeah, as long as you like watching old re-runs of Big Bang Theory.
Still better than watching brand-new episodes of reality shows which is what you'll get on almost every channel.
Quoting enilria (Thread starter): UA SFO-OTH NOV 2>1.1 DEC 2>1.0 JAN 2>1.0 FEB 2>1.0 MAR 2>1.0
Just as I have saying, UAX are slowly pulling out of the Pacific Northwest, I know these cuts are at low season, but I don't see UAX flying much longer up here where AS/QX is so dominant. OO flying for PDX/SEA/EUG/MFR/RDM/OTH-SFO may remain for connection purposes to UA worldwide in SFO, but the EMB intra-Northwest flying is not long lived.
Next Flights: AS PDX-SEA-KOA on DH4/738 in F, HA KOA-OGG on 717 in Y, AS OGG-PDX on 738 in F
enilria From Canada, joined Feb 2008, 6137 posts, RR: 13 Reply 41, posted (10 months 3 weeks 3 days ago) and read 2797 times:
Quoting RWA380 (Reply 39): Just as I have saying, UAX are slowly pulling out of the Pacific Northwest,
I'm sure AS can staple them on to the bottom of their list of partners.
Quoting slclaxkixkhh (Reply 40): Quoting enilria (Thread starter):
**DL SLC-MEX SEP 0.5>0.0 OCT 0.5>0 NOV 0.6>0 DEC 0.6>0 JAN 0.8>0 FEB 0.9>0 MAR 0.8>0
Is this just a seasonal suspension? It's a little surprising that DL can't make SLC-MEX work, especially since both cities are Sky Team hubs.
It looks permanent. Is it really a Summer only market? Maybe AM will fly it.
STT757 From United States of America, joined Mar 2000, 16261 posts, RR: 52 Reply 42, posted (10 months 3 weeks 2 days 23 hours ago) and read 2753 times:
Quoting tommy767 (Reply 33): DTV is a major bummer for the cost alone. I flew MIA-EWR and it was $7.99. Had it been $4-5 then it might have been worth it.
Not sure if it's still the case, but when you used your CO airlines Chase credit card to activate the DirecTv you saved $2. Not sure about the new Mileage plus cards.
kgaiflyer From United States of America, joined Jul 2008, 3650 posts, RR: 1 Reply 43, posted (10 months 3 weeks 2 days 23 hours ago) and read 2722 times:
When I flew SFO-YYJ the day before Thanksgiving last year, I discovered some on the plane had bought safety tickets through YVR on AC -- so completely unpredictable is UAX on the non-stop route.
kgaiflyer From United States of America, joined Jul 2008, 3650 posts, RR: 1 Reply 44, posted (10 months 3 weeks 2 days 23 hours ago) and read 2686 times:
Quoting STT757 (Reply 7): Quoting tommy767 (Reply 1):Never thought I'd live to see IAH-BWI go to 3x daily. That's pretty low.
On the bright side one of those frequencies is a 757.
IAH-BWI 2 A319, 1 757
I'm guessing this gives more flexibility in dispatching crews since the 738s on the right side of the UA wing sit useless all day until a Houston flight departs.
Anybody notice that the BWI -- UA counter and gate people are wearing pmCO attire -- and the combined crew actually gets along (in public -- 'Miss Thing' and 'olde fart' seem to be gone) ? There must have been some serious hand-smacking
Coronado From United States of America, joined Jun 1999, 1001 posts, RR: 2 Reply 45, posted (10 months 3 weeks 2 days 23 hours ago) and read 2681 times:
Interesting article in anna.aero illustrates how airlines such as Delta, in Richard Anderson's words, are no longer willing to give back during the winter months the profits that carried over from the summer peak months. If would be interesting to chart what US airlines percentage drops are in winter months, but they are probably led by Allegiant. Also I think in a high fuel environment WN's limitations on its computer systems until they get their system upgraded makes it harder for them to shift capacity around as quickly as a Delta to react to traffic trends. Is this a fair assessment? Having said that, WN does not have the fleet flexibility to swap out a 757-300 from a summer intensive route to an A319 during the slower season, nor put that 757 back on that route for 2 or 3 weeks during the spring break mini peak season.
Quoting PSU.DTW.SCE (Reply 8): This is normal seasonal reductions, similar wo the day-of-the-week reductions they did over at least the past 2 winters on the West Coast - Asia routes.
The Original Coronado: First CV jet flights RG CV 990 July 1965; DL CV 880 July 1965; Spantax CV990 Feb 1973
enilria From Canada, joined Feb 2008, 6137 posts, RR: 13 Reply 48, posted (10 months 3 weeks 2 days 2 hours ago) and read 2002 times:
Quoting MKE22 (Reply 46): Thanks Enilria for always doing a good job with these!
Quoting Coronado (Reply 45): If would be interesting to chart what US airlines percentage drops are in winter months
Here it is for the largest carriers...
This is the % of the annual average monthly capacity adjsuted for number of days per month. Period is August 2011 to July 2012. If the airline is growing or shrinking overall that skews it. I think that skewed AA.
DL is the most agressive of the legacies...
AA J 0.99
AA F 0.96
AA M 1.01
AA A 1.00
AA M 1.00
AA J 1.02
AA J 1.04
AA A 1.06
AA S 1.01
AA O 0.99
AA N 0.94
AA D 0.97
DL J 0.92
DL F 0.89
DL M 1.00
DL A 1.01
DL M 1.02
DL J 1.10
DL J 1.11
DL A 1.12
DL S 1.00
DL O 0.98
DL N 0.92
DL D 0.92
US J 0.95
US F 0.92
US M 1.01
US A 1.01
US M 1.05
US J 1.11
US J 1.11
US A 1.05
US S 0.96
US O 0.94
US N 0.92
US D 0.96
WN J 0.91
WN F 0.91
WN M 1.02
WN A 1.04
WN M 1.03
WN J 1.09
WN J 1.09
WN A 1.03
WN S 0.97
WN O 0.99
WN N 0.95
WN D 0.95
UA J 0.93
UA F 0.92
UA M 1.01
UA A 0.99
UA M 1.01
UA J 1.11
UA J 1.12
UA A 1.08
UA S 0.98
UA O 0.97
UA N 0.92
UA D 0.97
G4 J 0.92
G4 F 1.01
G4 M 1.39
G4 A 1.20
G4 M 0.95
G4 J 1.07
G4 J 1.19
G4 A 0.91
G4 S 0.67
G4 O 0.77
G4 N 0.87
G4 D 1.05
PSU.DTW.SCE From United States of America, joined Jan 2002, 6874 posts, RR: 29 Reply 50, posted (10 months 3 weeks 1 day 21 hours ago) and read 1785 times:
Quoting enilria (Reply 48): This is the % of the annual average monthly capacity adjsuted for number of days per month. Period is August 2011 to July 2012. If the airline is growing or shrinking overall that skews it. I think that skewed AA.
DL is the most agressive of the legacies...
Interesting data. That illustrates at a high level why there are so many adjustments throughout the year. It supports the notion that has been previously stated, as you put that DL is the most aggressive at making capacity adjustments.
A couple of things come into play with DL, that lend to more seasonal capacity adjustments:
1. Abundance of TATL flying into secondary markets, that have more seasonality
2. Hubs in northern tier markets like DTW, MSP, and NYC that have seasonal spikes of traffic to fun & sun markets
3. Network that reaches into many seasonal markets in the Rockies, Canada, and Alaska that spike during summer travel season (YVR, YYC, GIG, FCA, BZN, FAI, ANC, etc.)
4. Sophisticated revenue management applications and analytics that help detect seasonal adjustments
DL is the most aggressive of the legacies at making seasonal capacity adjustments.
From your point of view certainly.
Other airlines may be "aggressive in maintaining a full schedule through off-season". From my point of view that is the more correct usage of the word aggressive for how a company works out peaks and valleys of demand. In pretty much every industry with limited capacity the companies with more seasonal throughput are the weaker ones. They survive partially on the main suppliers running out of capacity over peak times.
I would not say DL is the typical case but take a look at US's European network over Winter.
enilria From Canada, joined Feb 2008, 6137 posts, RR: 13 Reply 52, posted (10 months 3 weeks 1 day ago) and read 1303 times:
Quoting PSU.DTW.SCE (Reply 50): 1. Abundance of TATL flying into secondary markets, that have more seasonality
...and Transpac too. Fewer flights, but mega-ASMs.
Quoting PSU.DTW.SCE (Reply 50): 4. Sophisticated revenue management applications and analytics that help detect seasonal adjustments
I agree. I think CO really pioneered the concept of day-of-week cancels in a 45-60 day window in shoulder and off-peak periods. One could argue that the Europeans originated the concept. Regardless, DL is probably the most successful at implementing it which is kind of amazing for such a large carrier. I give them a lot of credit for that. I've said before that a carrier like AA which is way, way behind in this area is probably losing 5 to 7 margin points to DL in just this one area. Of course, as a traveler, I like knowing AA has a 1630 everyday if I miss the 1530, but the reality is that it is not a high priority for consumers to have schedule consistency in multi-frequency markets.
The numbers above really point out how much AA has missed the boat. I'd further add that what variance they do show above is probably nearly all int'l, while DL is much more evenly spread.
Quoting PSU.DTW.SCE (Reply 50): Quoting incitatus (Reply 49):
You mean the most seasonal.
A more correct statement would be:
DL is the most aggressive of the legacies at making seasonal capacity adjustments.
Quoting incitatus (Reply 51): From my point of view that is the more correct usage of the word aggressive for how a company works out peaks and valleys of demand.
I'm saying that DL is the most aggressive at cutting off-season capacity. The peak schedule is what used to be more or less the normal schedule that was flown all year. The Summer schedule hasn't gotten bigger (higher utilization than in the old days), the rest of the year has gotten smaller through aggressive pruning and day of week cancels which are a big, big part of it.
toxtethogrady From United States of America, joined Dec 2000, 938 posts, RR: 0 Reply 53, posted (10 months 3 weeks 1 day ago) and read 1274 times:
Quoting point2point (Reply 5): And this week, we see the UA hubs trending........
While these advance schedule lookaheads are interesting, I usually wait for the FlightStats records of actual flights to see if any of this really happens. So far, what I've seen is UA is reducing overall flights out of IAH, which they have been doing since last year, and some swapping of 752's for 753's.
enilria From Canada, joined Feb 2008, 6137 posts, RR: 13 Reply 54, posted (10 months 3 weeks 21 hours ago) and read 1168 times:
Quoting toxtethogrady (Reply 53): While these advance schedule lookaheads are interesting, I usually wait for the FlightStats records of actual flights to see if any of this really happens.
Pretty much nothing changes after the crew bid which is ~30 days prior to the month beginning typically.
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