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Who Could Reasonably Defect From Their Alliance  
User currently offlinequestions From Australia, joined Sep 2011, 797 posts, RR: 1
Posted (2 years 1 week 1 day 20 hours ago) and read 15193 times:

There's been plenty of speculation on here about which airline should be in which alliance and what would make up the perfect alliance. We know that several airlines have anti-trust immunity and joint venture agreements. Given the operations and marketing complexities and cost of defecting, which airlines have reasonable flexibility to defect from their alliance? And to which alliance would they go?

11 replies: All unread, jump to last
 
User currently offlineaeroblogger From India, joined Dec 2011, 1363 posts, RR: 0
Reply 1, posted (2 years 1 week 1 day 19 hours ago) and read 15179 times:

US to OneWorld is the most likely "defection" in the near future.

Changing alliances is a very expensive proposition, and therefore it is uncommon.



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User currently offlinePHX787 From Japan, joined Mar 2012, 7639 posts, RR: 18
Reply 2, posted (2 years 1 week 1 day 19 hours ago) and read 15074 times:

Quoting aeroblogger (Reply 1):
US to OneWorld is the most likely "defection" in the near future.

Exactly. This is the only one I see so far.


CO defected from Sky when they were in merger processes (or maybe before?) with UA



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User currently offlinemayor From United States of America, joined Mar 2008, 10473 posts, RR: 14
Reply 3, posted (2 years 1 week 1 day 19 hours ago) and read 15062 times:

Quoting PHX787 (Reply 2):

CO defected from Sky when they were in merger processes (or maybe before?) with UA

It was before..........once the DL/NW merger was final and NW's "golden share" was no longer viable, they were able to leave Skyteam and move to Star. CO always was a reluctant member of Skyteam, anyway.



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User currently offlineQazar From Canada, joined May 2006, 333 posts, RR: 0
Reply 4, posted (2 years 1 week 1 day 19 hours ago) and read 14974 times:

TAM also leaving STAR for OneWorld...

User currently offlinejetblueguy22 From United States of America, joined Nov 2007, 2800 posts, RR: 4
Reply 5, posted (2 years 1 week 1 day 16 hours ago) and read 14675 times:
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With this new deal with Emirates is Qantas likely to hop out of Oneworld? I can't imagine they benefit overly much from the alliance with the exception of American feed at LAX and DFW.
Blue



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User currently onlineOzarkD9S From United States of America, joined Oct 2001, 5115 posts, RR: 21
Reply 6, posted (2 years 1 week 1 day 16 hours ago) and read 14549 times:

Quoting jetblueguy22 (Reply 5):


With this new deal with Emirates is Qantas likely to hop out of Oneworld? I can't imagine they benefit overly much from the alliance with the exception of American feed at LAX and DFW.
Blue

There's still JL and the JetStar Japan arrangement and they co-operate with LA a good deal. oneworld still works for QF in several areas. The big loser in this was BA, and that may not be as big a loss as some think.



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User currently offlineordjoe From United States of America, joined Aug 2010, 709 posts, RR: 0
Reply 7, posted (2 years 1 week 1 day 11 hours ago) and read 12977 times:

US and TAM would be my only plausible guess. EK I think will stay on their own, and QF will stay in OW. It is so expensive to join an alliance, you are sort of married to the alliance at that point. It would be nice if KE left for star or OW; KE is way too premium of an airline for ST.

User currently offlinevaus77w From Australia, joined Aug 2011, 143 posts, RR: 0
Reply 8, posted (2 years 1 week 1 day 11 hours ago) and read 12607 times:

What about CX? Ditch Oneworld for Skyteam?

User currently offlinexiaotung From New Zealand, joined Jan 2006, 846 posts, RR: 0
Reply 9, posted (2 years 1 week 1 day 10 hours ago) and read 12337 times:

Quoting vaus77w (Reply 8):
What about CX? Ditch Oneworld for Skyteam?

Does not make sense as they are tied with CA which is in *A. There has been speculation though that CX could ditch OW for *A.


User currently offlineJQflightie From Australia, joined Mar 2009, 987 posts, RR: 1
Reply 10, posted (2 years 1 week 1 day 10 hours ago) and read 12271 times:

Quoting ordjoe (Reply 7):

i just did a trip around asia and europe, all on SkyTeam Member airlines, Business Long Haul on MU, CZ and SV, and i can tell you now those chinese carriers are ready to give the majors a run for their money, so ease tell my they arnt so premium and why KE is too premium for SkyTeam?



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User currently offlinevaus77w From Australia, joined Aug 2011, 143 posts, RR: 0
Reply 11, posted (2 years 1 week 1 day 9 hours ago) and read 11663 times:

Quoting xiaotung (Reply 9):
Does not make sense as they are tied with CA which is in *A. There has been speculation though that CX could ditch OW for *A.

Yeah that is true, although would they really want to join Star with SQ a member?


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