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Chances Of AA Starting MCO To GRU  
User currently offlinemia305 From United States of America, joined Mar 2013, 314 posts, RR: 0
Posted (1 year 1 month 1 week 6 days 12 hours ago) and read 5006 times:

What are the chances aa will start Mco to Gru.
I know aa has 3 to 4 flights a day to Gru from Mia
those flight are always full with pax connecting
from Mco. If the demand is there why not start it?

31 replies: All unread, showing first 25:
 
User currently offlineBigGSFO From United States of America, joined Jun 2005, 2887 posts, RR: 6
Reply 1, posted (1 year 1 month 1 week 6 days 12 hours ago) and read 4947 times:

Quoting mia305 (Thread starter):
What are the chances aa will start Mco to Gru.

Slim to none. No yield. They will let LATAM/JJ operate it and code share.

[Edited 2013-03-05 15:37:52]

User currently offlineLAXdude1023 From India, joined Sep 2006, 7320 posts, RR: 24
Reply 2, posted (1 year 1 month 1 week 6 days 12 hours ago) and read 4950 times:

MCO-GRU is a massive market.

That said, AA will never start it. The market is entirely GRU/Brazil originating, the yields are garbage, and MCO is not an AA hub.



Stewed...Lewd...Crude...Irreverent...Belligerent
User currently offlinemia305 From United States of America, joined Mar 2013, 314 posts, RR: 0
Reply 3, posted (1 year 1 month 1 week 6 days 12 hours ago) and read 4918 times:

Not even with a 767 or possibly a 757?

User currently offlinemah4546 From Sweden, joined Jan 2001, 32176 posts, RR: 72
Reply 4, posted (1 year 1 month 1 week 6 days 12 hours ago) and read 4899 times:

Quoting mia305 (Reply 3):
Not even with a 767 or possibly a 757?

No.

AA already flew MCOGRU for a short time in the late-1990's to little success. The market is significantly larger now, but the yields still significantly suck.



a.
User currently offlineLAXintl From United States of America, joined May 2000, 24320 posts, RR: 47
Reply 5, posted (1 year 1 month 1 week 6 days 12 hours ago) and read 4852 times:

Same reason no US airline operates MCO-Europe.

Again a large market, but its virtually all made up of inbound tourist.



From the desert to the sea, to all of Southern California
User currently offlinelucky777 From United States of America, joined Oct 2008, 534 posts, RR: 0
Reply 6, posted (1 year 1 month 1 week 6 days 12 hours ago) and read 4827 times:

Quoting LAXdude1023 (Reply 2):
The market is entirely GRU/Brazil originating, the yields are garbage, and MCO is not an AA hub.

But unless those originating GRU passengers plan on vacationing in MCO permanently, would they not need to also fly back home at some point?


User currently offlinebobloblaw From United States of America, joined Jan 2012, 1446 posts, RR: 1
Reply 7, posted (1 year 1 month 1 week 6 days 12 hours ago) and read 4805 times:

Quoting lucky777 (Reply 6):

What it means is that the origin part of the trip is GRU not MCO. It is brazilians traveling to MCO, not the other way around.


User currently offlinemia305 From United States of America, joined Mar 2013, 314 posts, RR: 0
Reply 8, posted (1 year 1 month 1 week 6 days 11 hours ago) and read 4709 times:

Well I know that with the flights that aa has from Mia to Gru have connecting
pax from Mco those flights are over sold or leave full leaving behind a lot of bags & pax.

That said I think with the proper planning and investment I think AA
can make it work.


User currently offlinenomorerjs From United States of America, joined Sep 2004, 423 posts, RR: 0
Reply 9, posted (1 year 1 month 1 week 6 days 11 hours ago) and read 4651 times:

AA on ORD-MCO the day DL starts ORD-WAW.

User currently offlinepanam330 From United States of America, joined Mar 2004, 2660 posts, RR: 9
Reply 10, posted (1 year 1 month 1 week 6 days 11 hours ago) and read 4613 times:

Quoting lucky777 (Reply 6):
But unless those originating GRU passengers plan on vacationing in MCO permanently, would they not need to also fly back home at some point?

They do go home - through MIA. As others have said above, the yield doesn't cut it for AA. MCO isn't a hub. If someone wants to take AA, they'll have to connect. JJ ops non-stop. AA has a lot on its plate, and isn't about to complicate things with a low-yield, long haul route from a non-hub, especially when a partner already operates it.


User currently offlineRafabozzolla From Brazil, joined Apr 2000, 1184 posts, RR: 0
Reply 11, posted (1 year 1 month 1 week 6 days 9 hours ago) and read 4433 times:

Not to mention that on the recent DOT Brazil frequency applications, AA asked for GRU-LAX and GRU-ORD, no mention of MCO whatsoever.

I personally don't think yields are all that trashy, but it does not fit AA's business plan.


User currently offlineSESGDL From United States of America, joined Jan 2001, 3452 posts, RR: 10
Reply 12, posted (1 year 1 month 1 week 6 days 9 hours ago) and read 4297 times:

Slim to none. MCO-GRU, while a large market, is low yield. Also, AA carries a decent amount of passengers from MCO-MIA-GRU anyway, why decrease the number of connecting passengers on MIA-GRU? Lastly, this doesn't fit AA's cornerstone strategy (whether that's still in effect or not I don't know) of focusing on key markets: DFW, ORD, MIA, LAX, JFK, and presumably CLT, PHL, and PHX after the merger is completed. These markets can handle the vast majority of passengers that AA caters to.

Jeremy


User currently offlineViscount724 From Switzerland, joined Oct 2006, 24075 posts, RR: 22
Reply 13, posted (1 year 1 month 1 week 6 days 8 hours ago) and read 4229 times:

Quoting LAXintl (Reply 5):
Same reason no US airline operates MCO-Europe.

Again a large market, but its virtually all made up of inbound tourist.

That's also true on Hawaii-Japan routes but U.S. carriers have been operating that route for decades and carrying mainly Japanese tourists to Hawaii.


User currently offlineItalianFlyer From United States of America, joined Nov 2007, 1077 posts, RR: 2
Reply 14, posted (1 year 1 month 1 week 6 days 8 hours ago) and read 4160 times:

Quoting Viscount724 (Reply 13):
That's also true on Hawaii-Japan routes but U.S. carriers have been operating that route for decades and carrying mainly Japanese tourists to Hawaii.

With a favorable exchange rate and more cargo than capacity. Yes, I'm sure the cargo lift to MCO is huge...but once again, not something LATAM dosent already have covered. Plus its not like MIA is far.


User currently offlineLAXintl From United States of America, joined May 2000, 24320 posts, RR: 47
Reply 15, posted (1 year 1 month 1 week 6 days 8 hours ago) and read 4131 times:

Quoting Viscount724 (Reply 13):
That's also true on Hawaii-Japan routes but U.S. carriers have been operating that route for decades and carrying mainly Japanese tourists to Hawaii.

Its actually a bit different -

Hawaii was always a historic gateway to Japan(and broader Pacific nations) since prop days. Plus you have the fact that bilaterals were rather limited and provided few service point options to access a market like Japan.

Orlando-South America nor Orlando-Europe provide any of such similarities.



From the desert to the sea, to all of Southern California
User currently offlineKcrwflyer From United States of America, joined May 2004, 3761 posts, RR: 8
Reply 16, posted (1 year 1 month 1 week 6 days 7 hours ago) and read 4004 times:

Quoting mia305 (Reply 8):
That said I think with the proper planning and investment I think AA
can make it work.

Read what people are saying on here. The yields are allegedly terrible. Why start up a new route that nobody is willing to pay a profitable fare for AA to fly? It also doesn't make any sense for them to start a new international route from a city that isn't even close to a focus city for them.


User currently offlineMcoov From United States of America, joined Jul 2011, 128 posts, RR: 1
Reply 17, posted (1 year 1 month 1 week 6 days 6 hours ago) and read 3933 times:

Quoting mia305 (Reply 3):
...or possibly a 757?

A 757-200 wouldn't make it. Besides that fact, AA is looking to get rid of all of them.


User currently onlinejfk777 From United States of America, joined Aug 2006, 8090 posts, RR: 7
Reply 18, posted (1 year 1 month 1 week 5 days 23 hours ago) and read 3681 times:
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With LATAM's TAM flying MCO to GRU its likely AA will code share on TAM flights but that going to be it.

User currently offlinetonytifao From Brazil, joined Mar 2005, 1011 posts, RR: 0
Reply 19, posted (1 year 1 month 1 week 5 days 22 hours ago) and read 3570 times:

BTW, I received a letter from TAM stating various changes to their FF program starting June. Can we see them joining One World by that time?

User currently offlineprchan From Brazil, joined Jul 2012, 36 posts, RR: 0
Reply 20, posted (1 year 1 month 1 week 5 days 22 hours ago) and read 3535 times:

This route also does not require daily flights all year. The peak season for Brazilians is between Dec-Mar and July. JJ operated GRU-MCO and GIG-MCO daily on A332, but will suspend GIG-MCO for a few months.
Being JJ in the same alliance as AA, codesharing would make the most sense.


User currently offlineripcordd From United States of America, joined Apr 2000, 1126 posts, RR: 1
Reply 21, posted (1 year 1 month 1 week 5 days 22 hours ago) and read 3527 times:

dont forget it would take 2 aircraft for this route maybe if it took 1 plane they could make it work.

User currently offlinebrilondon From Canada, joined Aug 2005, 4057 posts, RR: 1
Reply 22, posted (1 year 1 month 1 week 5 days 18 hours ago) and read 3269 times:

Quoting LAXintl (Reply 5):
Again a large market, but its virtually all made up of inbound tourist.

There maybe a market for the flights from South America to MCO, but I doubt if there is much of one year round.
What is wrong with connecting through MIA?

Quoting mia305 (Thread starter):
I know aa has 3 to 4 flights a day to Gru from Mia
those flight are always full with pax connecting
from Mco. If the demand is there why not start it?

I don't think everybody on those flights to South America are coming from MCO. Maybe they maybe connecting through MIA where AA already seems to have a large funnel to South America?



Rush for ever; Yankees all the way!!
User currently offlinepanam330 From United States of America, joined Mar 2004, 2660 posts, RR: 9
Reply 23, posted (1 year 1 month 1 week 5 days 18 hours ago) and read 3040 times:

Quoting brilondon (Reply 22):
I don't think everybody on those flights to South America are coming from MCO. Maybe they maybe connecting through MIA where AA already seems to have a large funnel to South America?

From what I've read on here, there's a substantial amount of local O&D on the MIA-South America flights, which is why they're so lucrative to AA. The connecting traffic is just icing on the cake.


User currently offlineBigGSFO From United States of America, joined Jun 2005, 2887 posts, RR: 6
Reply 24, posted (1 year 1 month 1 week 5 days 18 hours ago) and read 3003 times:

Quoting brilondon (Reply 22):
What is wrong with connecting through MIA?

Nothing is wrong about it. In fact, on AA, connecting in MIA gives MCO bound passengers more options (CNF, BSB, MAO, GIG...etc).


25 mah4546 : Doesn't require two aircraft. No premium traffic to speak of, so can be a daylight in one direction easily. In fact, I think when AA last flew MCOGRU
26 brilondon : that is what I was talking about but the OP was specifically talking about coming to and from MCO not MIA. Another reason why AA should not try a MCO
27 bobnwa : Hawaii -Japan fares are not low yield,
28 tommy767 : AA tried MCO-GRU back in Spring 2000. It didn't last, but certainly an interesting add for AA at MCO.
29 MIflyer12 : Delta is going to have a few low-J-count 767-300ERs. Maybe they can give it a try - and capture some people who don't want to fly north to ATL to conn
30 Viscount724 : Yes but those arguments are largely invalid now as HNL hasn't been the primary gateway between Asia and North America for decades, and U.S.-Japan is
31 BigGSFO : They would probably not do it for the same reason AA isn't, which is, they are in the business to make money and Orlando isn't a strategic internatio
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