DCA-ROCguy From United States of America, joined Apr 2000, 4488 posts, RR: 33 Posted (12 years 10 months 1 week 3 days 23 hours ago) and read 1386 times:
What happens to the division of DC-area air traffic if DCA is closed permanently? How do you think the airlines will reroute traffic between IAD and BWI? What kind of divisions do you see? Would certain airlines have reasons to bias one airport more than the other? How would your hometown routes play out? Figure 20 percent overall service reduction along with industry standard.
I'm figuring a roughly 55-45 split in favor of Dulles, due to acess difficulties to Dulles from east of the Potomac.
Right now, Rochester, New York has the following service to the DC area:
Skychuck From , joined Dec 1969, posts, RR:
Reply 3, posted (12 years 10 months 1 week 3 days 23 hours ago) and read 1331 times:
US would shift to BWI. They have plenty of gates. Metrojet would be history. UA would stick with IAD. Other carriers split the difference. BWI and IAD would get new runways. IAD is looking at 2 runway options now, would probably build both. Direct Metro links to both airports, with minimal stops. Shuttle flights might be a casualty.
D L X From United States of America, joined May 1999, 11187 posts, RR: 52
Reply 4, posted (12 years 10 months 1 week 3 days 22 hours ago) and read 1323 times:
I think US would buck the idea of moving to BWI. It's just too close to PHL.
US has a lot of gates on the B concourse at IAD. (I think almost as many as they have at DCA.)
And, US has shown in the past that it just isn't afraid of ACA, I mean United, at IAD.
I also think the shuttle services can survive at IAD. All throughout the time I was in college, US had hourly flights to BOS and LGA from IAD on DC9s and small 737s. Usually, they were full. Part of the time, the flights actually said "US Airways Shuttle" on their titles. if DCA is closed, I wouldn't be surprised if these planes show up at IAD again.
Send me a PM at http://www.airliners.net/aviation-forums/sendmessage.main?from_username=NULL
Mah4546 From Sweden, joined Jan 2001, 32596 posts, RR: 72
Reply 5, posted (12 years 10 months 1 week 3 days 18 hours ago) and read 1283 times:
Will AA runs ten flights a day between Miami and Washington, and 8 go to DCA (one each to IAD and BWI). I could see AA splitting half/half between BWI and IAD. UA runs 5 daily IAD and 1 daily DCA flight from Miami. The DCA flights would probably be just dropped, IF (and that's a very big and very unlikely IF), DCA closes.
Kohflot From , joined Dec 1969, posts, RR:
Reply 6, posted (12 years 10 months 1 week 3 days 17 hours ago) and read 1274 times:
Other interesting questions arise:
Does Alaska serve SEA-IAD and go up against UA? I wouldn't be surprised to eventually see jetBlue enter this route, if the LGB and OAK service work well.
Do America West and Frontier start IAD service, or just add frequencies to BWI? My hunch is the latter...
What happens to the USExpress carriers that relied on DCA? There has already been a downsizing of the Express operation at BWI and ACA is already entrenched at IAD. Potomac is the airline that should be real concerned, as Allegheny, Piedmont, Chautauqua, and Trans States should have enough flying in other places to make up for what's lost at DCA.
I'd be surprised if National makes it through the next month, so I'm not real sure they'll be moving to IAD.