Sponsor Message:
Civil Aviation Forum
My Starred Topics | Profile | New Topic | Forum Index | Help | Search 
How Long Left For The 747?  
User currently offlineW_a_s_p_i_e From United Kingdom, joined Feb 2002, 170 posts, RR: 0
Posted (13 years 9 months 4 weeks 2 hours ago) and read 2539 times:

With all these new 2 engined aircraft that fly longer and faster than before, what do you think the future of the 747 will hold? I think we will see the 747-400 fly in the way it is used now (a lot!!) for another 13-15 years. After that people will either switch to using aircraft like the 777 or A330, or they will use A380's.
What do you think?

4 replies: All unread, jump to last
User currently offlineNWA742 From , joined Dec 1969, posts, RR:
Reply 1, posted (13 years 9 months 4 weeks 2 hours ago) and read 2521 times:

Oh god not again........... Insane


User currently offlineJwenting From Netherlands, joined Apr 2001, 10213 posts, RR: 17
Reply 2, posted (13 years 9 months 4 weeks 2 hours ago) and read 2502 times:

hmm, since when is the A380 a twin  Smile/happy/getting dizzy

747s seem to last well over 30 years before being scrapped. Given that the aircraft is still in full scale production (albeit currently somewhat slower because of the economic malaise) you can expect them to be around for at least another 40 years unless there is a major breakthrough that makes ALL current aircraft designs economically obsolete instantly (and even then many will continue to soldier on because their owners can't afford to replace them with the new equipment instantly).
Given that new orders are still coming in, that will most likely be closer to 50 years even if no new modifications are created.

I wish I were flying
User currently offlineMr.BA From Singapore, joined Sep 2000, 3423 posts, RR: 20
Reply 3, posted (13 years 9 months 4 weeks 2 hours ago) and read 2490 times:

Forever, Eternity  Smile

Boeing747 万岁!
User currently offlineNa From Germany, joined Dec 1999, 11585 posts, RR: 9
Reply 4, posted (13 years 9 months 4 weeks ago) and read 2417 times:

Jwenting says it almost all.

I expect the very last 747 still be flying as goverment aircraft or for other special purposes when the last 777 will be scrapped already.
When the the bigger part of the huge 744-fleets will be due for retirement from premier airlines around 2010 there´ll most likely be a competely new version of the 747 with more economic engines that´ll serve this market. It´ll never be sold in such high numbers as the 744 (because there´s no denying that about 50% of the current segment will be taken over by the A380 and the B773ER/A346), but there´s a gap in aircraft size between the smaller B777/A340s and the A380 were there is no 1:1-competitor in sight, not even in the long run.

I hope that this is the last topic with this title. There have been to many on this forum.

Top Of Page
Forum Index

This topic is archived and can not be replied to any more.

Printer friendly format

Similar topics:More similar topics...
How Long Left For Tap's A310s posted Mon Mar 7 2005 17:55:18 by Orion737
How Much Longer For The 747? posted Sat Mar 31 2001 06:18:51 by Rw774477
Is There A Drop-Dead Date For The 747-8 Pax? posted Sat Oct 28 2006 20:16:09 by Bmacleod
25 Potential Customers For The 747-8I posted Mon Jul 17 2006 19:33:31 by FCKC
How Long To Build The DTW Mcnamara Terminal? posted Mon May 1 2006 22:34:56 by 7E72004
Ozjet - How Long Left? posted Thu Feb 2 2006 07:37:26 by Jetfuel
Why An Upper Deck For The 747? posted Sun Sep 11 2005 21:13:04 by Aman777
Should Airbus Hope For The 747 Adv? posted Mon Jun 13 2005 05:47:00 by A380900
How Much Longer For UPS 747 N675UP? posted Mon May 30 2005 19:38:39 by FlagshipAZ
How Many Caroussels For The A380? posted Sun Feb 27 2005 05:15:55 by A380900