SWALUVFA From United States of America, joined May 2002, 277 posts, RR: 6 Posted (11 years 3 months 1 week 4 days 12 hours ago) and read 2075 times:
OK, for the past 5 years now (or maybe more) United and American have been the two largest carriers in the USA, and world. With both of them in VERY bad shape right now, do yall think that Northwest and Delta are going to be the next big 2? After the economy and the airline industry settle down and get back on their feet in the next few years, will Delta and Northwest take AA and UA's spot? Time will tell!!
MAH4546 From Sweden, joined Jan 2001, 31772 posts, RR: 73 Reply 2, posted (11 years 3 months 1 week 4 days 12 hours ago) and read 2062 times:
AA is not in as bad a shape as people think. First of all, surprisingly, they are thinking smart with thier recovery plan, which many analysts say is wonderful. Second, they are loaded with cash in the bank and assets that airlines like Continental could only dream of having.
Jcs17 From United States of America, joined Jun 2001, 8065 posts, RR: 41 Reply 4, posted (11 years 3 months 1 week 4 days 11 hours ago) and read 2024 times:
I think that AA has made fairly negative public announcements because they dont want their earning announcements to come as total shocks to investors. AA will pull out okay. I also think that UA is safe, they have too much to lose if they go under. If things really start going downhill there, I could see some investors coming in and bailing them out. On the other hand USAirways is a goner, no doubt in my mind about it. USAirways is in an impossible situation right now, especially with the huge influx of RJs in a lot of there main routes. No high-spending business traveler wants to fly on an RJ, and will try to stick with a main airline if he has a choice. No one, not even Gordon Bethune, could turn this one around. I expect the spoils of USAirways to be broken up 4 ways, just my guesses here...Philadelphia hub and some Airbus aircraft to Northwest, Pittsburgh hub and 767s, 757s, and some 737s to Delta, LGA hub and A320s to JetBlue..Neeleman will spend a ridiculous amount of money to grab the LGA hub and routes, the Charlotte hub and the remaining 737s will go to Continental. Thats just the way I see it panning out once US goes under.
Jaws707 From United States of America, joined Aug 2001, 708 posts, RR: 1 Reply 5, posted (11 years 3 months 1 week 4 days 10 hours ago) and read 1981 times:
I just want to say that Southwest and Jetblue will not be in the running for any spots in the top 5 US carriers anytime soon. Without any international exposure or any larger aircraft they will never be looked upon the same as NW or AA.
HlywdCatft From United States of America, joined Jan 2001, 5321 posts, RR: 7 Reply 7, posted (11 years 3 months 1 week 4 days 3 hours ago) and read 1890 times:
If it comes down to US Airways and United going belly up, Southwest may try to go international. I know this sounds funny, but can't a 737-700 cross the atlantic? Although I would never want to fly anything that small over the ocean?
Jcs17 From United States of America, joined Jun 2001, 8065 posts, RR: 41 Reply 8, posted (11 years 3 months 1 week 4 days ago) and read 1785 times:
Although the 737-700 can make it across the Atlantic after it is ETOPS certified, I just dont think that Southwest will decide to do it. Apparently, there were huge disagreements at WN when they decided to do transcon service, people thought that the route was just too long for the low service that WN provides. I mean where would Southwest fly out of to go to Europe, perhaps MHT or PVD. I'm sure that Gatwick or DeGaulle wouldnt be served, instead maybe Stansted, Manston or Charleroi could get WN service, but I highly doubt WN will even try it. I think that WN will first attempt service to Mexico or Canada, maybe even Nassau wouldnt be a terrible idea. I highly doubt that WN will serve Europe within 5-8 years.
STT757 From United States of America, joined Mar 2000, 16559 posts, RR: 52 Reply 10, posted (11 years 3 months 1 week 4 days ago) and read 1726 times:
"LGA hub and A320s to JetBlue..Neeleman will spend a ridiculous amount of money to grab the LGA hub and routes"
What money, Jet Blue is operating with all borrowed money. They're only 2 years old! And Jet Blue was launched with tremendous support from NY politicians like Governor Pataki and Sentator Schumer for the sole purpose of bringing domestic service to JFK and lowering fares to Up-State.
They would not be happy if Jet Blue deviated from JFK to build at LGA.
Jmacias34 From United States of America, joined Sep 2000, 379 posts, RR: 0 Reply 11, posted (11 years 3 months 1 week 3 days 23 hours ago) and read 1653 times:
Southwest should have no desire to become an international carrier. With Southwest's business plan they could easily become the nation's #1 carrier. And just because they aren't the biggest carrier doesn't mean they aren't making the most money - which is the name of the game.
Ual777contrail From , joined Dec 1969, posts, RR: Reply 12, posted (11 years 3 months 1 week 3 days 22 hours ago) and read 1619 times:
southwest will only rise one rank if US goes under.
jetblue wont even be a factor in 5 years.they will always be second rate.
with glenn tilton taking over ual,he will make ual a stronger airline.
the unions will agree to help one another and we will once again gain lost ground with the whole usairways,avalar, and the crappiest management team in airline history. we have got a new ceo that is from a diffrent industry, he will turn things around. we have already proven that promoting within the company didnt work(goodwin) and for those of you who say someone without the expirience in the airline industry wont make it, maybe you should look to those who have led the way(greenwald,mullen)
in 5 years my list will be this.
this is my opinion of the whole deal.most of you on this post seem to always post anti-UNITED posts.
it isnt loyaly for the company, it is a gut feeling that ual will be back soon.
Jcs17 From United States of America, joined Jun 2001, 8065 posts, RR: 41 Reply 13, posted (11 years 3 months 1 week 3 days 22 hours ago) and read 1614 times:
STT757; if Neeleman wants the money to finance gates at LGA he can get it, and in no way am I saying that JB would abandon JFK, but instead JFK will be used as a connection airport. LGA will be largely a local airport used for east-coast traffic on US old routes.
STT757 From United States of America, joined Mar 2000, 16559 posts, RR: 52 Reply 14, posted (11 years 3 months 1 week 3 days 21 hours ago) and read 1606 times:
Jet Blue and Southwest are not in the hub business, so connecting traffic means very little.
And if you think banks and investment groups are falling all over themselves to loan airlines money (especially a 2 year old start up) your mistaken, especially with the instability in the industry which might get worse with a invasion of Iraq.
MD88Captain From United States of America, joined Nov 2001, 1324 posts, RR: 21 Reply 15, posted (11 years 3 months 1 week 3 days 21 hours ago) and read 1587 times:
Neeleman is too smart to go to LGA. Why destroy your well thought out and successful business plan by hubbing out of a congested, delay ridden airport like LGA? JFK is perfect for JB. LGA would be a disaster. Hyper competition. An airport layout that suffers horribly in weather. It goes to one runway operation cutting capacity by 50% when high winds go beyond aircraft limits. No Cat II or Cat III capability. Short runways limiting transcon takeoffs. LGA is busy all day long. Any hiccup in operation screws LGA for hours and sometimes all day long and the next day too. JFK is really busy only a few hours a day. JB needs to stay and expand out of JFK.
CactusA319 From United States of America, joined Jan 2000, 2918 posts, RR: 27 Reply 17, posted (11 years 3 months 1 week 3 days 21 hours ago) and read 1557 times:
jetBlue is a second-rate airline? Hardly.
Although I don't see them being a major within the next five years, I definitely don't see UA being on top of the heap by 2007. New CEO or not, United is probably going to shrink and probably be 3rd or 4th. Also this new CEO has absolutely no airline experience. We'll see how that works. However that's just my opinion. I could be wrong.
Mikeymike From United States of America, joined May 2000, 406 posts, RR: 2 Reply 18, posted (11 years 3 months 1 week 3 days 19 hours ago) and read 1476 times:
I tend to agree with you that Tilton will bring UAL around. There are some issues I dissagree with and that is especially on the organized labor at UAL. I don't believe that any of the unions will end up helping one another. The Unions postured to prohesized rhetoric to get the old management out. (Thats a good thing) however I believe that in a years time, the unions will have settled back to there militant (just my choice of words) ways of bullying management into giving them what they want. Does this mean that UAL will sink. No! I think UAL will go into bankruptcy and Tilton will re-organize with the help of the unions to become a smaller but more lean company. They will emerge in the top 5 but I don't believe at the number one spot.
Jcs17 From United States of America, joined Jun 2001, 8065 posts, RR: 41 Reply 19, posted (11 years 3 months 1 week 3 days 18 hours ago) and read 1409 times:
Nowhere in my post did it say that JB would be successful at all if they took over USs operations at LGA. I just think that it could be a really rash move that a quickly growing JB could make, I mean weve seen this kind of thing happen time and time again. Where an airline just wants to see its route map grow and sometimes doesnt think about the future of its routes down the line. I.E.-West Pac moving from COS to DEN.