FirstClass! From , joined Dec 1969, posts, RR: Posted (13 years 9 months 2 weeks 3 days 8 hours ago) and read 1146 times:
First, I would like to say I had to take a leave
of extended absence from this board due to one of
my uncle's death. It feels wonderful being back on
this board again.
Now, has anyone noticed that AirTran, Vanguard,
and Pan Am(III) are starting to add flights in
Pennsylvania, USAirways' territory? Vanguard and
Pan Am(III) will be moving into Pittsburgh while
AirTran appears to be opening a mini-hub in
Philadelphia. I'm thinking that these airlines
believe USAirways' FA's will strike. What is
your opinion on this issue?
I would like to hear from you people and start
conversing again like old times. Take care, and
good night to all.
Rominato From United States of America, joined Nov 1999, 268 posts, RR: 1 Reply 1, posted (13 years 9 months 2 weeks 3 days 7 hours ago) and read 955 times:
I don't think the moves are made specifically on the premise that the FA's will strike... However, if that happens, it can't hurt those three. I think Pan Am III will be in and out in no time. They just don't seem serious about trying to be a legit air carrier. Case in point, visit their website. Parts of it haven't been updated in months... it's terrible.
D L X From United States of America, joined May 1999, 10806 posts, RR: 52 Reply 2, posted (13 years 9 months 2 weeks 3 days 4 hours ago) and read 938 times:
Of the three, only Airtran is anywhere near a threat. And on top of that, they aren't setting up a hub in Philly. 5 flights that aren't to ATL does not equate a hub, I'm sorry. On top of that, US ran them out of Philly and Dulles once already, and that was before Metrojet. They can do it again.
US has a lot more to worry about with other airlines such as UA and DL and their labor issue.
Hypermike From United States of America, joined Dec 1999, 1001 posts, RR: 5 Reply 3, posted (13 years 9 months 2 weeks 3 days 4 hours ago) and read 931 times:
I still believe that the true threat to US Airways in a labor strike will be Southwest. Again, Southwest is sitting on two gates at PIT. Those two gates can mean upto twenty flights a day for Southwest, and don't think for a minute that Herb isn't thinking about this.
D L X From United States of America, joined May 1999, 10806 posts, RR: 52 Reply 4, posted (13 years 9 months 2 weeks 3 days 3 hours ago) and read 929 times:
Yeah, well, Herb just also lost a plane. Don't forget that they are stretched to their limits and can't get planes fast enough. If it had not been for their BUR mishap, they might have been able to do something at PIT. But, now it's doubtful.
Critter From United States of America, joined Jan 2000, 267 posts, RR: 2 Reply 5, posted (13 years 9 months 2 weeks 2 days 21 hours ago) and read 925 times:
I think it is ironic that Airtran's new director of route planning and markets is a former USAirways employee. I believe that he was instrumental in setting up the Metrojet ordeal before W&G got and now can't decide what they want to do with it. Airtran loads are very good out of PHL and don't be surprised if they start doing more point to point flying as they recieve more 717's
I also agree with Rominato, PanAm III is just a flash in the pan. They really don't seem to be whole hearted in their attempt.
FirstClass! From , joined Dec 1969, posts, RR: Reply 9, posted (13 years 9 months 2 weeks 1 day 18 hours ago) and read 874 times:
US used MetroJet to run AirTran out of Dulles. Personally, that wasn't necessary. United had more of a threat from AirTran than did USAirways. Unfortunately, United has decided to punish MetroJet at Dulles and they are actually succeding.
Yes, AirTran did poor with the PHL-BOS route, but I don't think AirTran will be ran out of PHL so easily this time around. Sure, Wolf can put all of his energy on AirTran and then what do you have, an FA strike because he failed to meet their needs, instead, wanted to drive a low-fare out of PHL. After all he can only do one thing at a time. And then AirTran can return and profit from USAirways' absence.
D L X From United States of America, joined May 1999, 10806 posts, RR: 52 Reply 11, posted (13 years 9 months 2 weeks 1 day 16 hours ago) and read 883 times:
Dudes. I think there are an awful lot of mistaken people about UA vs. Metrojet, and Metrojet vs. Airtran. First off, the big rampup that UA did when US started building on IAD had only one shared route with US: IAD-BOS. And that came a whole year after US began 15 daily flights IAD-BOS and return. So, to say that UA beat US and MJ at IAD is really silly because people really aren't doing their homework.
Second, MJ didn't run Valuejet/Airtran out of the IAD-BOS market, mainline US Airways did, and again, this was long before UA got off its duff and did anything but bleed. UA didn't even match Airtran's fares. I know this from experience because I travel this route very frequently.
"Yes, AirTran did poor with the PHL-BOS route,"
You mean they got their butt kicked...
"... but I don't think AirTran will be ran out of PHL so easily this time around. Sure, Wolf can put all of his energy on AirTran..."
Airtran is flying to US's fortress hub, to all of 3 destinations. Do you really think it requires much effort to fly more jets at lower fares to defend the hub? The yield management computers probably handle that already.
"... and then what do you have, an FA strike because he failed to meet their needs**, instead, wanted to drive a low-fare out of PHL. After all he can only do one thing at a time. And then AirTran can return and profit from USAirways' absence. "
I think you are quite mistaken on the roles of management. First off, any Chairman/CEO/President/etc. that can only do one thing at a time will find himself either fired, or run out of business awfully quick. That's just not going to happen. Currently, US is handling F/A negotiations, (surprisingly well, I may add), accepting delivery and introducing new planes to the fleet, orchestrating a possible merger with AA, organizing a new advertizing blitz at the conclusion of the F/A issue, and dealing with the little parasitic competitors like FL, Vangaurd and PA.
** I'm not sure if you meant to give a very onesided report about F/A issues, but please do realize that you can easily turn this around and say that the problem is also that the F/As failed to meet management's needs. It is a two way street.
Critter From United States of America, joined Jan 2000, 267 posts, RR: 2 Reply 12, posted (13 years 9 months 2 weeks 1 day 15 hours ago) and read 876 times:
You really think that anyone ran Airtran out of IAD? It's like this! The bean counters at Airtran looked at the route structure, loads, future markets, market share etc. and said, we can either stay in IAD and make money or we can open up more cities and make more money. Not to mention the fact that by opening more cities and adding more frequencies to various markets they can attract a larger customer base. This was all done in anticipation of adding point to point flights at a later date, as evidence by the now open PHL to Forida markets. As I already said don't be surprised to see Airtran adding more point to point flights as more 717's roll off of the assembly line at Long Beach.
Airtran turns a profit with a low 60% load factor and that is with fuel hungry DC-9's. That is only going to get better with time as the 717 becomes the predominant a/c in the fleet. The 717 is a mere 20% more efficient in fuel alone not to mention the savings in maintenance, spare parts, etc. This all translates into a harder time of running them out of any market when the competition has to fill 70% or better of their seats!
FirstClass! From , joined Dec 1969, posts, RR: Reply 15, posted (13 years 9 months 1 week 5 days 10 hours ago) and read 839 times:
D L X:
AirTran had several more routes out of IAD like IAD-MCO and IAD-MDW. I agree w/ you on the fact that US finished AirTran on IAD-BOS and IAD-MCO but MetroJet was the one that pushed the stake into AirTran's heart at IAD. IAD-MDW was going nowhere so AirTran abandoned it and said adios to their hub.
As for PHL, AirTran flies into Delta's fortress hub which is much worse than USAirways' PHL.(I think it is a mallot pounder to have a competitor w/ high frequency plus widebody aircraft) True they have less flights there but that doesn't mean things can change...
P.S. If Wolf performs all those multiple tasks then he must be one stressed man. (Or is he? Since BA is looking at him should something happen.....)
AirTran makes money wherever they can(The philosophy of any low-fare). If they were making money in IAD I'm sure they would have stayed. If they felt PHL was also another money-maker, well hey, two hubs in the northeast isn't so bad now is it?!!
P.S. I liked your point on the 717s w/ AirTran and how it will help them in the future.
Also, I have been told that the Gulfport/Mirage Resorts contract is expiring soon. If AirTran abandons Gulfport look for more flights. As of where, perhaps PHL, ATL, and/or MCO, or a new city.