Beaucaire From Syria, joined Sep 2003, 5252 posts, RR: 23 Posted (8 years 8 months 1 week 3 days 18 hours ago) and read 1993 times:
There are signs that Israel is willing to return the Golan to Syria in exchange for a peace-treaty.Several messages have been sent via German and Turkish diplomatic channels to Bashir al Assad.
Although no official confirmation from neither Jerusalem or Damascus,the recent diplomatic activity in Damascu is a sign things tend to unfold.German officials had several talks with Assad recently but they were kept hush-hush..
Some confirmation in the israeli press..
RJpieces From , joined Dec 1969, posts, RR:
Reply 1, posted (8 years 8 months 1 week 3 days 11 hours ago) and read 1948 times:
Quoting Beaucaire (Thread starter): There are signs that Israel is willing to return the Golan to Syria in exchange for a peace-treaty.Several messages have been sent via German and Turkish diplomatic channels to Bashir al Assad.
Very interesting things happening on this front. From what I've read, Syria has pretty much floated the idea of resuming peace negotiations with Israel but the United States is not allowing it to happen, despite many in Israel wanting to do so. The United States views it as an attempt by Assad to divert attention from the Hariri tribunal and his activities in Lebanon. The US wants to keep the pressure on Syria not to interfere in Lebanon, and feels that an artificial "peace-process" will take the spotlight off of Syria's actions in Lebanon.
I tend to agree with the American position on this one. There have been many offers by Israel to return the Golan over the years. Rabin, Peres, Barak were all serious about it, only to have it undermined by the elder Assad every time. Even Bill Clinton concluded that Assad was playing everyone off each other to hinder the peace-process. The common theme was that Assad used the peace-process every time he needed to gain some international legitimacy, and then derailed it (usually through Hezbollah) every time it came close to fruition. He could then blame Israel for responding to Hezbollah's attacks, even though it was he who orchestrated the Hezbollah attacks in the first place!
So it is really no surprise as international pressure increases on Syria that there are whispers of returning to the "peace process." In 1991, Bush 41 bought into this notion and sold Lebanon down the river for 15 years of Syrian domination in return for nothing. As we all know though, Bush 43 is different in his outlook and rightfully so in this case.
And finally, it is my belief that Assad is not interested in recovering the Golan Heights. If it were really in their national interest to do so, they could have had it back many years ago. I think that the Assad regime (since it is a minority Alawite regime) needs to keep the conflict brewing with Israel in order to stay in power. Every time Assad's power has been threatened (for example, Hama in 1982), he has created conflict with Israel via Lebanon (since the Golan Heights is off limits) in order to remain in power. Since low-level conflict with Israel is a fundamental part of his regime, I don't believe that they will ever make peace with Israel.
Allstarflyer From , joined Dec 1969, posts, RR:
Reply 2, posted (8 years 8 months 1 week 3 days 11 hours ago) and read 1941 times:
Quoting Beaucaire (Thread starter): There are signs that Israel is willing to return the Golan to Syria in exchange for a peace-treaty
One question - why would/should Israel trust Syria to keep any peace - especially if they'd be giving territory to Syria that would drop them on Israel's doorstep after all the troubles with Hezbollah?
Beaucaire From Syria, joined Sep 2003, 5252 posts, RR: 23
Reply 3, posted (8 years 8 months 1 week 3 days 10 hours ago) and read 1938 times:
Not to defend the Syrians at all -they might most certainly have had their fingers in the Hariri murder..
But Hariri was anything but a saint- he emptied the countries budget and filled his pockets quite insanely...
Solidere was his company ..
It would be counter-productive to stop peace-negotiations between Syria and Israel purely based on the outcome of the Hariri trials.Using this argument, there would never ever be any progress in cementing a durable peace in the region.
The US have dealt with much worse dictators than Assad..(The Saudi's who have closed their eyes for decades on financing terror -chanels..,Noriega,Saddam Hussein,....,Botha,Bouteflika...)makingAssad a worldwide rejected outlaw does not help Lebanon neither Israel.