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Sars And Global Stability  
User currently offlineN79969 From , joined Dec 1969, posts, RR:
Posted (13 years 1 month 3 weeks 3 days 12 hours ago) and read 1109 times:

This SARS outbreak has a potentially huge and adverse impact on global stability. It is widely-quoted that the Chinese economy must grow something like 7-10% annually just to keep up with population growth. One of the reasons that the US has consistently kept free trade relations with China (besides cold cash) was to prevent the unemployment and upheaval that would certainly result if China were cut out of US markets. If China were to experience massive internal disruption, some experts have theorized that the government would drum up nationalism and could attack Taiwan.

Despite SARS relatively low mortality rate, it has the potential to severely disrupt China's economy particularly in the crucial Pearl River Delta region.

Right now it just seems like a nasty disease but history takes some strange turns sometimes.

5 replies: All unread, jump to last
User currently offlineN79969 From , joined Dec 1969, posts, RR:
Reply 1, posted (13 years 1 month 3 weeks 3 days 11 hours ago) and read 1026 times:

Does anyone else have thoughts on this?

I am really worried considering that China is using its resources to hide the problem rather than agressively dealing with the issue. It's stupid to save face if you have less face to save as a result.


User currently offlineNWA742 From , joined Dec 1969, posts, RR:
Reply 2, posted (13 years 1 month 3 weeks 3 days 11 hours ago) and read 1022 times:

LOL j/k N79969.

I agree with you on China.

It seems as those SARS is much less of a problem in the US. The number of cases is very low. Most of those who have the disease are not even being hospitalized, most have not developed pneumonia, and most recover within 7 days.

I think the US is much better off for 2 reasons:

A. The cases in the US have originated from Asia, from Asian people. Scientists say the virus can only live for 3 hours in the air, so it weakens more and more every minute it's in the air, also, the virus may weaken continously in the body, since most people recover from the illness. Therefore, it's a weaker strain for someone who catches it from someone else and so one. The US strains have probably traveled a long way, providing plenty of situations for the virus to weaken.

B. The US has the best healthcare, far better than most of Asia.


User currently offlineNWA From United States of America, joined Jun 2001, 1200 posts, RR: 2
Reply 3, posted (13 years 1 month 3 weeks 3 days 7 hours ago) and read 1017 times:

I hear its got some cases in Toranto, which is were I am going in 3 weeks for my senior trip. If I die, you guys get to split up my user neame.  Wink/being sarcastic

23 victor, turn right heading 210, maintain 3000 till established, cleared ILS runwy 24.
User currently offlineN79969 From , joined Dec 1969, posts, RR:
Reply 4, posted (13 years 1 month 3 weeks 3 days 3 hours ago) and read 1011 times:


Disturbing picture.

I am not worried about the disease hitting the US...I'm worried about the destabilizing effect it will have in China where there is worse health care and a government bent on insisting that all is well.

User currently offlineN79969 From , joined Dec 1969, posts, RR:
Reply 5, posted (13 years 1 month 1 week 3 days 10 hours ago) and read 994 times:

Now that things have become decidedly worse, I think this thread is more timely. Unfortunately. I think China is in for a major social and economic crisis. If 5% mortality rate holds, that could millions of deaths in China and economic disaster.

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