Kimmykun From United States of America, joined Dec 2002, 445 posts, RR: 2
Reply 4, posted (12 years 2 weeks 3 days 5 hours ago) and read 1402 times:
I sometimes dream random events in the future. Like I've dreamt being in a bakery paying for a coke and a few days later it happened exactly as I had dreamed it. Same cashier, the same people around, even the same clothes... It's always weird when it happens. It's like a deja vu thing. Though it's more like a premonition than a prediction... Hmm, never mind then.
CPH-R From Denmark, joined May 2001, 6280 posts, RR: 3
Reply 6, posted (12 years 2 weeks 3 days 4 hours ago) and read 1379 times:
Rarely predicts anything - though I have experienced, a few times, where a situation I experienced in my dreams actually played out before me while awake. I've had the pleasure of finishing someones sentence a couple of times, since I could remember that they said in the dream :-o
Qb001 From Canada, joined Apr 2000, 2053 posts, RR: 4
Reply 7, posted (12 years 2 weeks 3 days 1 hour ago) and read 1363 times:
I'm a card carrying member of a skeptic association ("Les Sceptiques du Québec"), and each year we organize a "prediction contest".
The goal is to demonstrate that when making predictions, there's always some that will become reality, and astrologers and other charlatans are just lucky, from time to time. For instance, 99.999999% of all astrologers or other charlatans did not predict 9/11. Here in Québec, one astrologer said she knew about it, but she didn't want to tell because she thought it would create panic. Sure...
The 0.000001% missing is to take in account an astrologer from Hong-Kong who made a very vague allusion to some possible problems in the American sky the day of 9/11. If we are being very generous and we say this guy was right, we can also say he was lucky.
So our little contest demonstrates that you are going to be right once in a while, no matter what you predict. Our stats show a success rate of around 20%. It has picked up a bit in recent years because people taking part in the contest tend to make more "serious" predictions. Whereas, in the past, people had fun making the silliest predictions (I, for one, once predicted a tsunami would hit Switzerland. See what I mean...). Last year, the success rate was 16%, and the #1 prize went to a guy who predicted a major crash in Iran with a margin of error of 2 days. He predicted the crash would take place Feb.14, and it unfortunately happened Feb.12 (unfortunately for the people who died, not for the prediction itself).
You can test this by yourself (that's what being skeptic is all about). Make a list of, say, 100 predictions. 100 "events" that you think will take place before Dec 2003. And see by yourself the results. If you made "reasonable" predictions, unlike mine about a tsunami in Switzerland, you'll probably be on the money 15%-20% of the time.
Here's a few prediction of mine, feel free to add your own:
UA will close one of its hub
Boeing will end the 757 production
At least one minister will resign from Blair's cabinet
The Yankees will win the World Series
The Cubs will win the World Series
OJ will not find the real murderer
There are going to be massive demonstration in the streets of Montréal this fall
There are going to be massive demonstration in the streets of Paris this fall, maybe some ATC strikes also
Americans will find no WMD in Iraq
Paul Martin is going to be Canada's next Prime Minister (easy one)
Never let the facts get in the way of a good theory.
AerLingus From China, joined Mar 2000, 2371 posts, RR: 0
Reply 8, posted (12 years 2 weeks 2 days 19 hours ago) and read 1337 times:
Back in Spring 2001, I was going on a school trip to Hawaii and as we were sitting at the gate waiting to board, I muttered to my friend that something with the flight didn't seem quite right and I couldn't figure out what. Just a strange feeling. Anyway, it was announced that the film projector had broken.
About 7 months ago, with all of the intense flooding in Mexico, I had a wierd dream that I was in a small Pacific seaside town that was being pounded by a typhoon and floods. Then I woke up, turned on the TV and saw the floods in Mexico, and it looked just like my dream. Not so much a prediction, but according to someone I know, that's called "precognition." I've actually done wierd stuff like that a couple of times before. I'm chalking it up to being a series of coincidences, but I've had a hell of a lot of coincidenes.
GoAround From United Kingdom, joined Jul 2003, 616 posts, RR: 0
Reply 9, posted (12 years 2 weeks 2 days 19 hours ago) and read 1333 times:
I've had this before, but saw it reported recently that scientists have discovered that what happens with this is that your brain will, as you see something happening, 'reprogram' history and you will believe you dreamed the particular event happening, when you actually never did.
Very weird.... it happens to everyone, nothing triggers it, it just happens.