Matt D From United States of America, joined Nov 1999, 9502 posts, RR: 44 Posted (14 years 3 months 6 days 23 hours ago) and read 1135 times:
When the year 2010 rolls around, what do you think we will be thinking when we look back on the 00's?
What are your prdeictions, good, bad, or indifferent?
Just to illustrate what I am referring to, consider decades past:
When I think of the 60's, I think of tye dyed clothing, lava lamps, oldies, VW buses, Vietnam, Hawks/Doves, pshycadelia, The Beatles, Civil Rights
The 70's gave us the Brady Bunch, long gas lines, Classic Rock-n-roll, Disco, bell bottoms, platform shoes, huge cars, and international terrorism.
The 80's gave us electronic and new wave music, compact disc players, Ronald Reagan, lots and lots of new airlines, the fall of Communism and the Berlin Wall
The 90's gave us the Internet, Bill Clinton, political correctness, grunge music, a global economy, and social tensions.
Within the next 10 years, I forsee the following happening:
Social tensions running building with more and more hostility, culminating in some sort of Civil War.
The 2000 election will be repeated in some form or another in both the '04 and '08 elections.
The days of the traditional "win or lose" were forever killed with this last election. Politics will become a blood sport in the truest sense of the word.
A renaissance in music. (it will be the 80's all over again. Eventually, we will grow tired of the ubiquitous and perpetual "boy/girl" bands, and all of these Offspring and Nirvana wannabe sound alikes, and real music will return once again)
E-commerce will remain flat just as it is, and will eventually be able to peacefully co-exist with traditional retailers as opposed to trying to run them out of business.
The worlds population will nearly double, and we will almost run out of available developable land. The worlds major cities will eventually be like Calcutta-unless there is a sharp decrease in birth rates-or we start building houses in once protected areas.
Advances in medical technology will allow most people to live 110 years or longer. It may even be possible for limb replacement to become as common as dental implants.
The UN will attempt to set up some kind of "One Government Earth".
If this succeeds, it will be the end of democracy as we know it-especially if the US joins.
There will be a big nostalgia market for cassettes, LP records, and anything related to the 20th century-particularly the year 2000.
Trvlr From United States of America, joined Feb 2000, 4430 posts, RR: 20
Reply 1, posted (14 years 3 months 6 days 22 hours ago) and read 1079 times:
I don't think there will be any sort of civil war in the United States if that is what you are referring to. What exactly are these social tensions you are referring to? Are they economic or racial? Anyway in US society I think there is so much opportunity, or at least the general thought of it, that it will prevent any type of conflict from escalating. The World Stage, however, is another matter.
E-commerce will probably stay flat and may even go down a but this year and the next, but then it will porobably grow steadily throughout the last half of the decade.
There are going to be some major problems with the availability of water and natural disasters...especially in places like India, China, and Africa. Population will increase dramatically throughout this decade, but I feel that soon in the century there will be some sort of limiting factor...probably in the form of widespread famine/drought, or a pandemic that will wipe out millions of people.
I don't think the UN, and especially the rest of the world, is ready for a "One Government Earth" yet, or will be in the next 10 years. I do see more consolidation in Europe as the EU takes on more members however.
EIPremier From United States of America, joined Sep 2000, 1550 posts, RR: 1
Reply 2, posted (14 years 3 months 6 days 18 hours ago) and read 1061 times:
It'll be interesting to see if an e-business backlash occurs. In some ways, I think one already is, although this may just be the natural correction that occurs after a new medium's novelty starts wear off. Certainly, the internet has made, and will continue to make certain aspects of our life much easier. Certainly, streamlining the processes involved in daily life allows us more time to diversify our thinking, leading to societal development. However, we have so much infrastructure set up from the old "paper and pencil" economy that e-business will not take-on all of it's potential roles. Older generations will obviously not be comfortable with the pace of change, and as the seniority system continues to be an institution of the business world, technology will not be implemented at the same rate it is developed.
On the same tune, I think we will see an increased disparity between 1st and 3rd world nations, unless organizations such as the UN gain significant strength (and there are so many influential factors here, that I really don't feel a prediction can be made).
I think the US has achieved a stage of controlled dominance, where we do not infringe oppressively on other nations, but still maintain economic superiority. We have also achieved a near-pluralistic society, although work still must be done. Partially thanks to global interdependence, I see no short-term threats to the US. We must not become complacent however, and measures must be continuously implemented in hopes of maintaining the delicate balance.
I think the prospects of a SUCCESSFUL "one-government Earth" within the next ten years are very slim, and there are still plenty of unresolved ideological and economic tensions between nations. It's not a realistic expectation.
I have no idea what will happen regarding our booming population. James Burke had a TV series about this in the early 90s presented a catastrophist's view on the subject of global warming and global overpopulation. I think we can are still a good ways away from this, but problems related to the subject will probably grow faster than we can find solutions.
Anyway, that's all I have time for now. This is by no means a comprehensive analysis.