B757300 From United States of America, joined Dec 2000, 4114 posts, RR: 21 Posted (11 years 2 weeks 5 days 8 hours ago) and read 1346 times:
WTNT34 KNHC 222246
TROPICAL DEPRESSION IVAN SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER 67
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
6 PM CDT WED SEP 22 2004
...IVAN REGENERATES INTHE GULF OF MEXICO...
AT 6 PM CDT...2300Z...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR
A PORTION OF THE GULF OF MEXICO COAST FROM THE MOUTH OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER LOUISIANA WESTWARD TO SARGENT TEXAS.
AT 6 PM CDT...2300Z...THE POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION IVAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE
89.3 WEST OR ABOUT 155 MILES SOUTH OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH
AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS MAINLY TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND IVAN WILL LIKELY REGAIN TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH BEFORE LANDFALL.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE PLANE WAS 1008
WATER LEVELS HAVE BEEN RUNNING .5 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE NORTHWEST GULF OF MEXICO. IVAN WILL GENERATE AN
ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE THESE EXISTING WATER LEVELS.
THEREFORE... WATER ELEVATIONS OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTHEAST OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER
AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR THE PATH OF IVAN.
REPEATING THE 6 PM CDT POSITION...26.9 N... 89.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 10 PM CDT.
They put the advisories out in ALL CAPS and I didn't really feel like retyping the whole thing.
Falcon84 From , joined Dec 1969, posts, RR:
Reply 2, posted (11 years 2 weeks 5 days 4 hours ago) and read 1264 times:
This has got to be the single most amazing tropical system of all time! I figure, in a month, it will be meandering out towards, oh, Hawaii, or Guam, or Japan. Then, early next year, it'll show up back in Florida....
Garnetpalmetto From United States of America, joined Oct 2003, 5515 posts, RR: 52
Reply 3, posted (11 years 2 weeks 5 days 4 hours ago) and read 1252 times:
LOL Falcon. This hurricane season has been nothing but weird. The first ever recorded hurricane in the South Atlantic, a hurricane moving from the Atlantic to the Pacific. I'd say a circumnavigation of the globe is definitely in order.
South Carolina - too small to be its own country, too big to be a mental asylum.
TheCoz From , joined Dec 1969, posts, RR:
Reply 4, posted (11 years 2 weeks 5 days 4 hours ago) and read 1249 times:
Let's rename this storm "Butch". Could you imagine spending a day with "Ivan" and "Francis"? Picture it, spending the day with your friends, Ivan and Francis...I'm thinking that day will be spent yawning at the library.
Tom in NO From United States of America, joined Nov 1999, 7194 posts, RR: 31
Reply 7, posted (11 years 2 weeks 4 days 16 hours ago) and read 1161 times:
The Hurricane Center was apparently doing handstands over what to call this offshoot/remnant of Ivan. One faction wanted to give the next name in line (I think Matthew), another wanted to leave it Ivan seeing as the majority of Ivan went extra-tropical in the northern Atlantic.
I heard last night that one reason that the name Ivan was kept was due to governmental pressure against the insurance industry. Simply, government did not want to give it an additional name that would cause any damage from a newly named storm to create another insurance deductible that affected owners would have to be responsible for.
In other words, Hurricanes Charlie and Frances created two separate sets of insurance deductibles. A new name would have created another deductible.
As for effects of TS Ivan now, a bit of rain here, and about 20 mph winds, nothing out of the ordinary for us.
Tom at MSY
"The criminal ineptitude makes you furious"-Bruce Springsteen, after seeing firsthand the damage from Hurricane Katrina
DesertJets From United States of America, joined Feb 2000, 7875 posts, RR: 14
Reply 8, posted (11 years 2 weeks 4 days 16 hours ago) and read 1151 times:
Last night on the Weather Channel they showed a 7-day satellite loop of Ivan. And what was pretty clear was that the center of circulation did stay intact and spin off on the Carolina coast, cross back over Florida and move back into the Gulf. Really quite interesting to watch, as far as the Weather Channel goes.
Stop drop and roll will not save you in hell. --- seen on a church marque in rural Virginia