Cumulonimbus From , joined Dec 1969, posts, RR: Posted (10 years 1 month 4 days 9 hours ago) and read 1254 times:
Well today is the start of Hurricane Season Which runs until November 30th. Just wondering what your guy's predictions are and if anybody knows what Florida may be doing different to prepare for this years seasons. Time for me to earn my keep.
TriStarEnvy From United States of America, joined Jan 2004, 2265 posts, RR: 3
Reply 2, posted (10 years 1 month 4 days 9 hours ago) and read 1242 times:
Here we go again.
We bolted from Tampa, as we all thought Charley was coming our way, and went to Orlando, and got blasted, there. Had very minor damage to home, after the other three that hit the TPA area. Our insurance company has decided to drop a lot of folks, and we are scrambling to get on with someone else.
All our power outages all happened AFTER the storms had passed from falling trees. Luckily, it was pretty overcast, and not oppressively hot.
And, I am investing in a generator, at Sams....
If you don't stand for SOMETHING, you'll fall for ANYTHING.
Cumulonimbus From , joined Dec 1969, posts, RR:
Reply 4, posted (10 years 1 month 4 days 9 hours ago) and read 1230 times:
Quoting Alberchico (Reply 3): what heppend last year will NEVER , NEVER happen again. It is absolutely RIDICULOUS to prepare for it.
I have Met many people with that way of thinking, "it will never happen again" or It will never happen to me" Well I see where that attitude got them!! Good luck to you if you do not prepare or have a plan for the Unexpected!!
Corpsnerd09 From United States of America, joined Mar 2004, 448 posts, RR: 0
Reply 5, posted (10 years 1 month 4 days 8 hours ago) and read 1231 times:
Quoting Alberchico (Reply 3): what heppend last year will NEVER , NEVER happen again.
I doubt it, considering they have now realized that hurricanes come in larger season of intensity. For about 20 years there's almost no hurricanes, than there's tons of them for another 20. It's a pattern and 2004 started it. Considering FL has the highest probability of getting hit by a storm every season, and Miami is the most probably city to get hit by a hurricane in the World . We'll probably see at least ONE hurricane hit FL this year.
If not... it could just fluke, and everyone else except FL gets hit!
[Edited 2005-06-01 17:22:39]
If you really want to do it, you will find a way; if you don't, you'll make excuses.
Tom in NO From United States of America, joined Nov 1999, 7194 posts, RR: 31
Reply 8, posted (10 years 1 month 4 days 8 hours ago) and read 1215 times:
From watching the local weather forecasts from last night, IIRC there's a 77% chance of a major hurricane striking the US mainland, a 59% of a major hurricane striking the east coast anywhere from the Florida peninsula to Maine, and a 44% chance of a major hurricane striking the gulf coast anywhere from south Texas to the Florida panhandle.
It behooves everyone who lives anywhere along the eastern seaboard, down around the peninsula of Florida, and back to Texas to be prepared in case a hurricane threatens. Here in southeast Louisiana, we are constantly reminded to have our own hurricane plans ready to implement, be it evacuating (with a specific destination, and 3 or 4 routes to get there in mind), sheltering in place with appropriate supplies, etc, etc.
It doesn't do anyone any good to put their head in the sand and say "it's not coming here". Better safe than sorry.
Tom at MSY
"The criminal ineptitude makes you furious"-Bruce Springsteen, after seeing firsthand the damage from Hurricane Katrina
Pope From , joined Dec 1969, posts, RR:
Reply 9, posted (10 years 1 month 4 days 8 hours ago) and read 1211 times:
The strike probability of a storm this year have nothing to do with the strike record last year. It's the same way that a second flip of a coin has nothing to do with the outcome of the previous flip.
It the probability of a head coming up is 50%, the probability of two heads in a row is 25% (.50 x .50). But the probability of a head coming up after a head has already come up is still 50%.
I saw an interesting statistic. When the Vegas casinos put up the electronic boards that show the 10 or 20 previous outcome on roulette, the house's take increased by over 30%. People would look at the board and try to discern a pattern or convince themselves that certain numbers were due to come up. Well, each spin of the wheel is independent from the previous spin, so the house was actually encouraging people to ignore the laws of statistics and bet more heavily on certain numbers, thereby further reducing their odds of being successful in the long-run.
Delta767300ER From United States of America, joined Dec 2003, 2562 posts, RR: 11
Reply 10, posted (10 years 1 month 4 days 7 hours ago) and read 1204 times:
I went through 3 of the Florida Hurricanes last year. Charley missed my house by about 15 miles however Frances and Jeanne came right over us. I think that we will get at least 1 this year in Central Florida.