Search found 526 matches

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by texl1649
Thu Feb 15, 2018 7:22 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Embraer E190-E2 performs better than expected
Replies: 60
Views: 7596

Re: Embraer E190-E2 performs better than expected

I doubt too many orders are going to happen for more gtf planes until a real delivery stream and reliable feedback is available.

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by texl1649
Thu Feb 15, 2018 4:22 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Embraer E190-E2 performs better than expected
Replies: 60
Views: 7596

Re: Embraer E190-E2 performs better than expected

I’m sure there are reasons, but what are they, as to why they couldn’t stretch it by three or four rows? E200?

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by texl1649
Sun Feb 11, 2018 12:52 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus stops accepting PW1100G engines
Replies: 206
Views: 37938

Re: Airbus stops accepting PW1100G engines

The gearbox (made by GE owned avios) hasn’t been a problem at all. The whole program otherwise is basically a joke though. Small wonder Bombardier has only delivered one plane so far this year.

The 737 program will probably be the big winner here.

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by texl1649
Fri Feb 09, 2018 6:11 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: WSJ: Amazon to Launch Delivery Service That Would Vie With FedEx, UPS
Replies: 92
Views: 8897

Re: WSJ: Amazon to Launch Delivery Service That Would Vie With FedEx, UPS

It will be an interesting evolution if true. Amazon will need fedex, usps, and ups over the next ten years no matter what.

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by texl1649
Thu Feb 08, 2018 7:51 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: 1st A330-800 emerges from the paint shop
Replies: 145
Views: 32744

Re: 1st A330-800 emerges from the paint shop

I assume this remains a play in two ways (a) in case the NMA isn't launched from Boeing, to have a solution closest in size to the 767 remainders, and (b) for future freighter/military sales. The market seems not to have a lot of interest in it, otherwise. Perhaps, but not likely, it is also a way t...

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by texl1649
Wed Feb 07, 2018 2:12 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing officially forms program office to flesh out 797 plans
Replies: 1135
Views: 192407

Re: Boeing officially forms program office to flesh out 797 plans

GE clearly feels they can/might/likely will (I dunno) win it without having to negotiate with Pratt for a license (yes, this is a big issue; they make it via Avios but PW owns lot's of the IP rights to various ranges and applications, something like a thousand individual patents I think). Naturally,...

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by texl1649
Mon Feb 05, 2018 4:09 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: My Thoughts 787-8 upgrading
Replies: 15
Views: 3572

Re: My Thoughts 787-8 upgrading

They really aren't looking at investing money in the -8 only to have it 'marginalize' the 797 MoM market, I think. Offer/Sell the 788 as-is until the 797 is mature (or, rather, it's sales pipeline is) and it's time for a MAX version of the whole 787 family. Hint: this will happen when a new/larger w...

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by texl1649
Mon Feb 05, 2018 1:10 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qantas defines ULR requirements, delays order decision
Replies: 157
Views: 19896

Re: Qantas defines ULR requirements, delays order decision

More data is being collected I would imagine on the new engines for the 778 monthly. Boeing and GE almost invariably improve performance by a percent or two, with real confirmed data, vs projections. I’m sure Leeham will have an article about how this is a sign Airbus will win though, in a few minut...

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by texl1649
Wed Jan 31, 2018 1:08 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Korean Airlines ordering A330, A350, 787 or 777 ?
Replies: 41
Views: 7097

Re: Korean Airlines ordering A330, A350, 787 or 777 ?

Some 779, some 78J, and hold on some until 78j ER happens.

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by texl1649
Fri Jan 26, 2018 3:42 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Is AA going to cancel their A350 order?
Replies: 157
Views: 37057

Re: Is AA going to cancel their A350 order?

With AA continuing to drive toward 'full integration' in long term planning I don't think it's really about 'longer flights' so much as 'ideal and flexible hub crew bases.' Really doubt Airbus loses overall here, but crew commonality may drive toward even more A320 series purchases rather than goin...

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by texl1649
Fri Jan 26, 2018 2:05 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Is AA going to cancel their A350 order?
Replies: 157
Views: 37057

Re: Is AA going to cancel their A350 order?

With AA continuing to drive toward 'full integration' in long term planning I don't think it's really about 'longer flights' so much as 'ideal and flexible hub crew bases.' Really doubt Airbus loses overall here, but crew commonality may drive toward even more A320 series purchases rather than going...

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by texl1649
Fri Jan 19, 2018 6:09 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Norwegian 787 sets record for quickest subsonic transatlantic flight
Replies: 70
Views: 17096

Re: Norwegian 787 sets record for quickest subsonic transatlantic flight

Heh. I had to go to the interweb to check my recollection. Per Wikipedia: “The Convair 990A is still the fastest non-supersonic commercial transport to have ever been produced. During May 1961, one of the pre-production 990 prototype aircraft set a record of .97 Mach in level flight at an altitude o...

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by texl1649
Fri Jan 19, 2018 2:48 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Norwegian 787 sets record for quickest subsonic transatlantic flight
Replies: 70
Views: 17096

Re: Norwegian 787 sets record for quickest subsonic transatlantic flight

I would think a Convair 880/990 might have been run transatlantic a time or two, between London and NY, but maybe not. Mach .97 in level flight would be tough to beat for subsonic records.

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by texl1649
Thu Jan 18, 2018 3:47 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Norwegian 787 sets record for quickest subsonic transatlantic flight
Replies: 70
Views: 17096

Re: Norwegian 787 sets record for quickest subsonic transatlantic flight

I think they meant quickest speed wise not time wise. This is pretty cool! I’m glad it wansnt a BA flight or something with fully flat seats in J and F, because that would suck to pay for the fully flat seats only to have breakfast being served directly after dinner with no time to sleep between. F...

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by texl1649
Wed Jan 17, 2018 10:54 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing, Fed Up With Zodiac Forms Seat Making Venture
Replies: 8
Views: 2513

Re: Boeing, Fed Up With Zodiac Forms Seat Making Venture

Boeing will offer any other seat of course, but any delays will be on the airline.

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by texl1649
Thu Jan 04, 2018 5:17 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Southwest orders more 737 Max 8s and defers 737 Max 7s
Replies: 105
Views: 15287

Re: Southwest orders more 737 Max 8s and defers 737 Max 7s

There’s no operational urgency for swa but Boeing has just taken the first frame from Wichita. It’s now just a simple shrink from the 8. The 700 was much more expensive to Boeing. If anything this justifies their decision not to go forward with the original 7max plans. That would have been costly, a...

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by texl1649
Thu Jan 04, 2018 2:19 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Southwest orders more 737 Max 8s and defers 737 Max 7s
Replies: 105
Views: 15287

Re: Southwest orders more 737 Max 8s and defers 737 Max 7s

A family does make sense, if only to rotate the engines around to minimize maintenance costs. SWA with modern revenue management (and growing population in most of it's hubs) can surely use a mostly (80-90 percent) -8max size fleet.

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by texl1649
Wed Jan 03, 2018 5:36 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing officially forms program office to flesh out 797 plans
Replies: 1135
Views: 192407

Re: Boeing officially forms program office to flesh out 797 plans

What if Boeing really got aggressive? They seem committed to the 797 program, resource wise. But I haven't seen this scenario posited; they do announce 797 Mom (2 or 3 frame sizes at launch) this year. Concurrently, they also announce the 7007 NSA family, same cockpit, 2 sizes, different wings, to ...

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by texl1649
Wed Jan 03, 2018 4:15 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing officially forms program office to flesh out 797 plans
Replies: 1135
Views: 192407

Re: Boeing officially forms program office to flesh out 797 plans

What if Boeing really got aggressive? They seem committed to the 797 program, resource wise. But I haven't seen this scenario posited; they do announce 797 Mom (2 or 3 frame sizes at launch) this year. Concurrently, they also announce the 7007 NSA family, same cockpit, 2 sizes, different wings, to f...

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by texl1649
Thu Dec 28, 2017 4:53 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: 2018 77W Top Off Orders
Replies: 46
Views: 8572

Re: 2018 77W Top Off Orders

Are there still 'bridge' production slots for the 777 that are unfilled? Sure, Boeing could produce more but I thought the most recent coverage indicated they'd basically sold the slots they needed to.

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by texl1649
Fri Dec 22, 2017 2:59 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing has held takeover talks with Embraer: WSJ
Replies: 432
Views: 47489

Re: Boeing has held takeover talks with Embraer: WSJ

Boeing is committed to growing their services business dramatically over the next 10 years. That's a pretty obvious motivation, I believe, for pursuing a partnership/acquisition with Embraer (but not the C-series Aircraft Program, which has something like a global fleet of 25 planes). Boeing certain...

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by texl1649
Tue Dec 19, 2017 5:01 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing may consider restarting 767 pax model production
Replies: 839
Views: 161577

Re: Boeing may consider restarting 767 pax model production

Heh, 787 replies to the 767 Pax re-start thread. You have to admit that's pretty funny.

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by texl1649
Thu Nov 30, 2017 5:34 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qantas considering 777-8 or A359ULR to replace 744ER's to fly SYD-JFK and SYD-LHR non-stop
Replies: 897
Views: 183114

Re: Qantas considering 777-8 or A359ULR to replace 744ER's to fly SYD-JFK and SYD-LHR non-stop

You guys seem fixate on smaller aircraft, and QANTAS is asking specifically for 300 seats. Hence, no 787 or A350-800 - based solution will be offered. This is boeing's order to lose, 777-8 with auxillary tanks seems to be the best option. Though I'm keeping my fingers for A350-900ULR to win this on...

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by texl1649
Wed Nov 29, 2017 8:11 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Virgin Atlantic and Bio fuel, what happened?
Replies: 19
Views: 6296

Re: Virgin Atlantic and Bio fuel, what happened?

It was/is a political marketing ploy, but people buy tickets based on price and schedule, not "green goals." Lanzatech was an interesting partner, but there's not really enough profit/cost reduction potential given the massive increase in petroleum reserves the past 10 years. (Plus, it's h...

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by texl1649
Tue Nov 21, 2017 12:30 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: How does Delta like their A350 so far?
Replies: 40
Views: 16488

Re: How does Delta like their A350 so far?

Must be good. ATL-ICN is scheduled. DTW fans will say this is the end of DTW as the 359 will end up in ATL, LAX, MSP, & SEA and DTW will get the Ford Pintos of the fleet. Given the state of Detroit and it’s environs nowadays, that’s probably a bit logical. It’s not really a healthy/growing metr...

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by texl1649
Wed Nov 15, 2017 9:18 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Narrowbody order bubble?
Replies: 29
Views: 9668

Re: Narrowbody order bubble?

How many LCC carriers can accurately predict their massive growth rates in 7 years? None.

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by texl1649
Tue Nov 14, 2017 5:34 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA adding DFW-KEF
Replies: 171
Views: 19031

Re: AA adding DFW-KEF

I assume some good connections to Europe will be possible. London/Paris for like $120-150 round trip, right? Is this just AA trying to push WOW out of DFW (and SFO I suppose)?

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by texl1649
Mon Nov 13, 2017 10:15 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Dubai Air Show 2017 - Boeing Orders
Replies: 188
Views: 66588

Re: Dubai Air Show 2017 - Boeing Orders

keesje wrote:
Any upcoming 777-9 orders ?

Image


Maybe Saudia? I guess the 777-9 is really struggling in the middle east?

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by texl1649
Mon Nov 13, 2017 9:00 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing may consider restarting 767 pax model production
Replies: 839
Views: 161577

Re: Boeing may consider restarting 767 pax model production

The news of the day at Dubai, clearly, is the image Boeing shared of the 77x cockpit, which includes a selector switch for wing tips up or down. This is, of course, the same cockpit from the 767 which was grafted onto the 777, right? Right?

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by texl1649
Mon Nov 13, 2017 4:33 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus Working With Emirates on New Order for Flagship A380
Replies: 948
Views: 704089

Re: Airbus Working With Emirates on New Order for Flagship A380

This board loves to critizize Boeing over accounting practices, including carrying paper losses forward many years, and using cash flow to buy back shares, but it seems it's Airbus shareholders who probably wish they had at least a portion of Boeing's cash flow generating capacity.

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by texl1649
Mon Nov 13, 2017 3:22 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 777X - Updated Information And Developments
Replies: 2650
Views: 251257

Re: Boeing 777X - Updated Information And Developments

^^^Great zoom shot there. Thanks. I wonder if there is something that extends the tips automatically once the throttles are pushed forward or if there is anything preventing the AC from taking off with them folded? The AvWeek article (which can be read after free email registration) says that the a...

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by texl1649
Mon Nov 13, 2017 3:14 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus Working With Emirates on New Order for Flagship A380
Replies: 948
Views: 704089

Re: Airbus Working With Emirates on New Order for Flagship A380

Like I said a few months ago, it's part of negotiations. Because they want to seal the deal now at the airshow everything is in the pressure cooker and more under the magnifying glass right now: Indeed the airshow adds pressure to close the deal. The rulers of Dubai would have liked to have had a n...

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by texl1649
Fri Nov 10, 2017 10:27 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Will Lockheed Martin Get Back in the Commerical Aviation Biz?
Replies: 16
Views: 4087

Re: Will Lockheed Martin Get Back in the Commerical Aviation Biz?

Their box wing concept was interesting/pretty, but also problematic. There would be massive forces (torsional/twisting etc) in such a design at different speeds from the tail/engine/upper wing box etc. Their real challenge would essentially be 'what could we possibly build that we would be highly co...

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by texl1649
Fri Nov 10, 2017 5:30 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Will Lockheed Martin Get Back in the Commerical Aviation Biz?
Replies: 16
Views: 4087

Re: Lockheed Martin Back in Commerical Aviation Biz

You would think the tri-star scars would fade over time. Lockheed has steadily refused interest in that though (outside of Sikorsky/C-130's etc). They certainly no longer have any marketing/airline contacts, and it's inconceivable that a civil conversion of any C-5/C-17 replacement would be simply c...

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by texl1649
Tue Nov 07, 2017 9:52 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Analyst predicts Airbus will eventually terminate CSeries program
Replies: 156
Views: 32049

Re: Analyst predicts Airbus will eventually terminate CSeries program

Differences: the DC9 was old, and a pure orphan with one derivative. Frankly, the engine wasn't cutting edge either, by the time Boeing got it into the sales line up. labor relationships, niche below the related Airbus portfolio (717/DC9 was obviously a competitor), unproven, zero installed base (co...

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by texl1649
Thu Oct 26, 2017 12:34 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing may consider restarting 767 pax model production
Replies: 839
Views: 161577

Re: Boeing may consider restarting 767 pax model production

Is there any chance Hawaiian is the airline in question? They wouldn’t need that many but are obviously considering 358 alternatives.

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by texl1649
Tue Oct 24, 2017 3:05 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus seeks to cut repayments to government from controversial 'launch investment' for new jets
Replies: 101
Views: 14095

Re: Airbus seeks to cut repayments to government from controversial 'launch investment' for new jets

I guess they are figuring out the cash flow to "invest" into the C-series in a year. By decreasing their own "government investment" subsidy repayments. Haha.

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by texl1649
Mon Oct 23, 2017 9:41 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing may consider restarting 767 pax model production
Replies: 839
Views: 161577

Re: Boeing may consider restarting 767 pax model production

If it gets a new engine, could it possibly be the new ge (or cfm?) engine for the 797 rather than the genx?

That would really be interesting as it seems the design must be in advanced stages and would warrant attention from fedex and usaf of course down the line too.

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by texl1649
Mon Oct 23, 2017 2:00 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing may consider restarting 767 pax model production
Replies: 839
Views: 161577

Re: Boeing may consider restarting 767 pax model production

Actually I had noticed many months ago that some of the US majors seemed to have halted their programs to retire their 767s, especially. Which seemed puzzling, as these frames looked likely to be a pain-in-the-butt for their operators due to declining serviceability well before 2025 came around. Fo...

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by texl1649
Sat Oct 21, 2017 11:13 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing may consider restarting 767 pax model production
Replies: 839
Views: 161577

Re: Boeing may consider restarting 767 pax model production

If they adapted the engines from the 747-8, has been suggested earlier in the thread, what would the engine change alone be worth in terms of increasing fuel efficiency? 6-8 percent. Not a big deal to low frequency or short haul carriers, but interesting if looking at 2-4 years of sales or if you’r...

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by texl1649
Fri Oct 20, 2017 10:11 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing may consider restarting 767 pax model production
Replies: 839
Views: 161577

Re: Boeing may consider restarting 767 pax model production

Replacement of cf6 with genx was done pretty easily for the 748 so the pylon and engineering work to Boeing controls/interfaces can’t be that hard. Three years seems like the timeframe and ge would love to then snag the future freighter and tanker orders once it’s built. The partnership could also h...

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by texl1649
Wed Oct 18, 2017 2:19 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Future CSeries Orders (Post Airbus-Bombardier deal)
Replies: 189
Views: 22933

Re: Future CSeries Orders (Post Airbus-Bombardier deal)

No one has been ordering aircraft in this size range, whether it's EMB, BBD, Airbus or Boeing. I don't see how this helps sell this particular aircraft, and no they won't redesign a cockpit right after getting it certified. There's not going to be a common type rating with an A320 series for the C-s...

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by texl1649
Tue Oct 17, 2017 6:41 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Potential of a Boeing+Embraer j/v?
Replies: 37
Views: 4817

Re: Potential of a Boeing+Embraer j/v?

This is basically not possible. 2 reasons; 1. EMB and Boeing have totally different design philosophies and corporate cultures. There's nothing to suggest this is changing, or that the complex web of Brazilian government/taxes/labor rules would appeal to Boeing from a joint venture relationship. 2. ...

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by texl1649
Tue Oct 17, 2017 2:57 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus and Bombardier Announce CSeries Partnership
Replies: 1568
Views: 175935

Re: Breaking: Airbus and Bombardier Announce C Series Partnership

So Boeing eliminated a competitor, and likely the greater threat altogether (cs500), while trump gets a win by bringing production to Alabama. Never has a trade dispute ended so quickly to the advantage of the complainant. The Canadian and Euro taxpayers subsidize a delta purchase, even more. I don’...

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by texl1649
Mon Oct 16, 2017 7:58 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Bombardier exploring sale of aircraft programs
Replies: 136
Views: 20954

Re: Bombardier exploring sale of aircraft programs

CSeries makes a lot of sense for Airbus, kill A319, develop CS500 and target rewinged A322 firmly in the NMA space. Two narrow-bodies and two wide-bodies sound like a nice line-up. Make the CS-series cockpit like the others in the family, especially the A320 series and you have the flexibility up f...

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by texl1649
Mon Oct 16, 2017 7:02 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Bombardier exploring sale of aircraft programs
Replies: 136
Views: 20954

Re: Bombardier exploring sale of aircraft programs

No deal imminent: http://www.reuters.com/article/us-bombardier-airbus/bombardier-pursues-options-for-aerospace-division-no-deal-imminent-sources-idUSKBN1CL21J As part of that process, the Canadian train-and-plane maker has held informal talks with Chinese companies among others in recent months, bu...

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by texl1649
Mon Oct 16, 2017 5:35 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Bombardier exploring sale of aircraft programs
Replies: 136
Views: 20954

Re: Bombardier exploring sale of aircraft programs

It sounds like the province won't agree to the Chinese terms, to me, and Bombardier management realizes they'll never make money at this thing now, with no means to shutter it or provide/get the funding for the must have CS500 variant. They're finishing the year with zero chance of US sales in the n...

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by texl1649
Mon Oct 16, 2017 10:21 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Will WN go with the bigger 737s?
Replies: 54
Views: 5830

Re: Will WN go with the bigger 737s?

The main issue for them would be additional flight attendants. For some reason, southwest prefers to “keep it simple” in this area. They would have no trouble with filling many -10 max but the staffing (and ensuing boarding group changes I guess) might be a real drawback.

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by texl1649
Sun Oct 15, 2017 10:32 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qantas to take delivery of 1st 787-9 this Tuesday (17 Oct), next route for 787-9 may be announced this week
Replies: 158
Views: 18910

Re: Qantas to take delivery of 1st 787-9 this Tuesday (17 Oct), next route for 787-9 may be announced this week

Per ostrower on Twitter: Qantas CEO Alan Joyce says two 787-9s carry the same number of passengers as an A380, but two 787 flights are “a bit cheaper” than one A380. Hmmmm... Digging in a bit deeper: ⋅ 787 x 2: 00F + 84J + 56W + 332Y = 472 pax ⋅ A380: 14F + 64J + 35W + 371Y = 48...

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