Search found 2040 matches

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by frmrCapCadet
Thu Jun 21, 2018 1:40 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: China Eastern calls for bids to supply 150 single-aisle jetliners
Replies: 24
Views: 2465

Re: China Eastern calls for bids to supply 150 single-aisle jetliners

The gross trade deficit US/China is based on final wholesale prices, as I understand it. If you deduct items supply chain items genuinely from the US and third countries the deficit is cut almost in two.

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by frmrCapCadet
Tue Jun 19, 2018 11:03 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Wells Fargo sues AA for not returning leased planes on time
Replies: 65
Views: 10308

Re: Wells Fargo sues AA for not returning leased planes on time

Has a major American airline ever found themselves in this situation before (bankruptcy courts excepted)?

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by frmrCapCadet
Tue Jun 19, 2018 3:12 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Reuters: Airbus is studying A321XLR with extended range over LR
Replies: 141
Views: 17085

Re: Reuters: Airbus is studying A321XLR with extended range over LR

That warmed over 321 stands to make a lot of money over the next 7 years. Airbus can do whatever it wants with that pile of money.

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by frmrCapCadet
Tue Jun 19, 2018 3:03 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus shelves A320neo-plus study
Replies: 314
Views: 39695

Re: Airbus shelves A320neo-plus study

Airline economics are peculiar to say the least. Prudence dictates wringing the last little bit of use by adjusting and expanding the size of existing models. Spectacular losses are common the developing any new model. Failures and near failures make this site more fun than the Super Bowl. Those ris...

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by frmrCapCadet
Mon Jun 18, 2018 8:19 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Leeham: VLA era is over; are 779/A35K too large?
Replies: 95
Views: 15223

Re: Leeham: VLA era is over; are 779/A35K too large?

The VLA market is in disarray. Not only are the 787/350 eating its lunch but the 321neo (and to a much lesser degree the 737MAX) are impinging. A potential MOM from Boeing is further muddying the future. I suspect it will be another 5 years before this all will clarify. And about that time won't the...

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by frmrCapCadet
Mon Jun 18, 2018 4:18 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus shelves A320neo-plus study
Replies: 314
Views: 39695

Re: Airbus shelves A320neo-plus study

Admit then that the thread was accurately triggered by a legitimate Airbus executive quote. Airbus is allowed to change its mind.

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by frmrCapCadet
Fri Jun 15, 2018 2:16 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta to cut Seattle-Hong Kong, announces Seattle-Osaka
Replies: 278
Views: 24163

Re: Delta to cut Seattle-Hong Kong, announces Seattle-Osakab

Was the profitability always questionable? Yes. According to the book Glory Lost and Found which is a behind the scenes about Delta and its BK, the NWA Pacific network lost money for 8-years running. NWA had lost its once Pacific dominance being left too reliant on lower yield consolidator traffic ...

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by frmrCapCadet
Thu Jun 14, 2018 3:34 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: RR Ambitions
Replies: 26
Views: 2292

Re: RR Ambitions

PM - I prefer the term "home team". We obviously feel loyalty to a company providing so many jobs in our home territory. But that does not mean we do not feel free to criticize or see things as they are.

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by frmrCapCadet
Wed Jun 13, 2018 2:14 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Will Boeing build its new mid-market aircraft in Washington?
Replies: 119
Views: 9505

Re: Will Boeing build its new mid-market aircraft in Washington?

Seattle is under stress - adding jobs by the tens of thousands for an incredibly long period - creates stressed transportation system, roads, buses parking. Even the ferry system is creaking its way through a 5 year update. Washington State has no income tax, nor tax on grocery food. Support for U o...

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by frmrCapCadet
Tue Jun 12, 2018 1:24 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Rolls-Royce: More 787 groundings imminent.
Replies: 66
Views: 17130

Re: Rolls-Royce: More 787 groundings imminent.

"One of the little mentioned footnotes of that delay, was that even 5 years AFTER the original EIS of the 787, both engine makers were still not meeting spec. " Just want to second how this is so often not noted! And these engines had an extra 3 or 4 years to meet specs. Had the 787 come i...

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by frmrCapCadet
Sun Jun 10, 2018 3:31 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: G7 summit ends in disarray as Trump abandons joint statement
Replies: 193
Views: 4458

Re: G7 summit ends in disarray as Trump abandons joint statement

There was reason to believe that Putin wanted the EU sufficiently weakened, NATO severely compromised, and major US allies around the world split from the US. He is succeeding.

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by frmrCapCadet
Sat Jun 09, 2018 2:45 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: First 777 ever built heading to Museum of Flight
Replies: 80
Views: 15791

Re: First 777 ever built heading to Museum of Flight

res engines: wouldn't there be a lot of retired engines available? When we talk about engines how much of what hangs from the wing is involved?

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by frmrCapCadet
Fri Jun 08, 2018 8:12 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Will Boeing build its new mid-market aircraft in Washington?
Replies: 119
Views: 9505

Re: Will Boeing build its new mid-market aircraft in Washington?

And in any event increased automation will continue to result in lower sized work forces, not only for new planes, but for all planes.

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by frmrCapCadet
Fri Jun 08, 2018 3:55 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: What Is The Real Difference Among Full Service, LCC and ULCC Carriers?
Replies: 65
Views: 4429

Re: What Is The Real Difference Among Full Service, LCC and ULCC Carriers?

probably one would need to make a chart to really assess the difference. Seat width and pitch, luggage charges, nuisance fees, All over comfort, all overs service, satisfaction with flight and service appropriate for price, when things go amiss do they fix it, etc. interlining available and price. M...

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by frmrCapCadet
Thu Jun 07, 2018 3:14 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Oroville Dam Might Not Make It (Northern California)
Replies: 127
Views: 6273

Re: Oroville Dam Might Not Make It (Northern California)

Civil engineers rate overall US infrastructure as D+, and about $3 trillion over the next twenty years to update. That is about as much money as we spend and will spend on the never ending mid-east wars. Someday US taxpayers will wake up and we will spend that money on ourselves (and maybe a little ...

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by frmrCapCadet
Tue Jun 05, 2018 2:26 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Two A380s To Be Sold For Spares
Replies: 45
Views: 10584

Re: Two A380s To Be Sold For Spares

res 'haters'. Just about everyone thinks the 380 is a great plane, and would choose to fly on it if possible. But from the very beginning Zvesda (sp?) and others have said the business case was not there. A number of our respected a-netters (as well as a-nutters) were insistent that a business case ...

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by frmrCapCadet
Mon Jun 04, 2018 4:13 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus sales chief defiant on A330neo demand as Boeing seals new win
Replies: 132
Views: 26319

Re: Airbus sales chief defiant on A330neo demand as Boeing seals new win

The huge victory of the 330 was Airbus taking advantage of the 787s years of delays and initial high cost of production. They sold hundreds. Most of us see that window has shut.

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by frmrCapCadet
Sun Jun 03, 2018 2:24 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Folding 777 Wingtips
Replies: 76
Views: 15290

Re: Folding 777 Wingtips

There always are ambiguities in costs and weight. Boeing did not have to spend money designing an other sort of wing tip treatment. Hence the 'penalty' with a folding wing tip needs to be reduced by whatever it would have cost and weighted to do some other sort of advanced wing tip.

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by frmrCapCadet
Sun Jun 03, 2018 2:10 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Brexit EU position Phase 2
Replies: 1549
Views: 37061

Re: Brexit EU position Phase 2

I pray every night that Theresa May grows a spine and has a Night of the Long Knives. Every Brexiteer sacked from Government posts. We could then have a Grand Coalition, a Government of National Unity. This could then ram through a bill stating that Brexit is too difficult, too dangerous to busines...

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by frmrCapCadet
Sun Jun 03, 2018 1:43 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: 2 - 5 - 2 Configuration on a 777
Replies: 48
Views: 8690

Re: 2 - 5 - 2 Configuration on a 777

And the person in the center does have two ways to get out, in either case over two other persons.

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by frmrCapCadet
Sat Jun 02, 2018 3:57 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus faces “unprecedented challenge” to hit delivery target
Replies: 104
Views: 13418

Re: Airbus faces “unprecedented challenge” to hit delivery target

How did Airbus get to this point and why didn't it react earlier. The existing FALs have been optimized to the maximum The 320 backlog is huge, so to sell more planes they need more open slots The payoff for more efficient and faster assembly and delivery will be huge amounts of profits But: redoing...

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by frmrCapCadet
Fri Jun 01, 2018 1:33 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Self-driving vehicle strikes and kills pedestrian
Replies: 167
Views: 5002

Re: Self-driving vehicle strikes and kills pedestrian

Let me restate what happened. Other posters have said it, but here is what pops: The Volvo had a pedestrian sensing system and automatic braking. Uber disabled it. The system did detect the pedestrian and would have worked. The Uber system did sense the pedestrian six seconds before the collision, b...

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by frmrCapCadet
Fri Jun 01, 2018 12:50 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus faces “unprecedented challenge” to hit delivery target
Replies: 104
Views: 13418

Re: Airbus faces “unprecedented challenge” to hit delivery target

Do any of us wonder if certain a-nutters will believe even this? I remember when Boeing switched over there was a snafu or two. Interesting times for Airbus. No question that they will succeed. The engine mess actually gives them some time to do the switch over.

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by frmrCapCadet
Thu May 31, 2018 1:41 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: The A380 from a Part-Out perspective.
Replies: 33
Views: 5046

Re: The A380 from a Part-Out perspective.

EK 380 fleet is big enough to cope with a down for maintenance plane. Most of the other users aren't. A simple (or simplistic?) solution would be for the other users and Airbus to have generic 380s spotted around the globe as spares - somewhere between 2 and 5 would likely be enough. Those not very ...

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by frmrCapCadet
Wed May 30, 2018 3:49 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why were the 757 and 767 such dead-end designs?
Replies: 109
Views: 16532

Re: Why were the 757 and 767 such dead-end designs?

Bring back the Silver Cloud. Never been a car like it. (sarcasm)

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by frmrCapCadet
Tue May 29, 2018 10:20 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates replacing full A380 landing gear sets
Replies: 21
Views: 6860

Re: Emirates replacing full A380 landing gear sets

slamming a million pound, say, against 22 wheels maybe a couple times a day for 12 years - kind of impressive.

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by frmrCapCadet
Mon May 28, 2018 7:41 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why were the 757 and 767 such dead-end designs?
Replies: 109
Views: 16532

Re: Why were the 757 and 767 such dead-end designs?

The 320/737 have probably reached as close to perfection as humans get with regards to useful modals, efficiency, performance, materials etc. Once these two models started increasing in size and performance there was no room left for the 757 to successfully compete. (which is not to say that it does...

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by frmrCapCadet
Mon May 28, 2018 6:33 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Will the 797 look more like the 757 or A310?
Replies: 55
Views: 10245

Re: Will the 797 look more like the 757 or A310?

I think discussion on this site has asserted that frontal drag is less a factor for drag than weight and wetted area. Perhaps someone more technical can offer a brief summary, or links to the discussions.

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by frmrCapCadet
Sun May 27, 2018 7:40 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airliners: The Most Uncompetitive Industry?
Replies: 87
Views: 7617

Re: Airliners: The Most Uncompetitive Industry?

Not an economists, but can offer some old and true chessnuts: Free markets are somewhat of a myth. The real question is how free. Tariffs, safety regulations, patents, and copyrights limit. As do monopolies, duopolies, manipulations of a variety of sorts. Also lobbying and corruption do their damage...

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by frmrCapCadet
Sun May 27, 2018 4:16 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airliners: The Most Uncompetitive Industry?
Replies: 87
Views: 7617

Re: Airliners: The Most Uncompetitive Industry?

I think the economic life of a car is now about 12 years. And when you figure that likely includes only one major repair, and relatively inexpensive maintenance it is somewhat awesome.

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by frmrCapCadet
Sun May 27, 2018 3:23 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airliners: The Most Uncompetitive Industry?
Replies: 87
Views: 7617

Re: Airliners: The Most Uncompetitive Industry?

Books that have not been written include an overview of airline economics and car dealer economics. There may be one of the first from a few years ago but not available at our library and very expensive and probably out of date. The second not at all. A lot of our discussion here are useful because ...

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by frmrCapCadet
Sun May 27, 2018 3:14 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airliners: The Most Uncompetitive Industry?
Replies: 87
Views: 7617

Re: Airliners: The Most Uncompetitive Industry?

Books that have not been written include an overview of airline economics and car dealer economics. There may be one of the first from a few years ago but not available at our library and very expensive and probably out of date. The second not at all. A lot of our discussion here are useful because ...

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by frmrCapCadet
Sat May 26, 2018 3:29 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airliners: The Most Uncompetitive Industry?
Replies: 87
Views: 7617

Re: Airliners: The Most Uncompetitive Industry?

An advert from 1960: http://i.pinimg.com/564x/f5/f7/9f/f5f79ffa6caea417bce569d6d030a4a9.jpg $298 is $2500 today accounting for inflation Good catch! Cars: most cars decades ago were getting old at about the 50K miles or 5 years. A friend still has his Avalon 12 years later, 250K miles, he paid top ...

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by frmrCapCadet
Fri May 25, 2018 1:40 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A310 - too early?
Replies: 72
Views: 13156

Re: A310 - too early?

The original 330 did not have the long range legs it does not, but IIRC it always was a little to heavy to specialize in shorter legs against the 737/320.

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by frmrCapCadet
Fri May 25, 2018 1:30 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Prelude to Middle East hubs losing clout as super connector in the wake of growing nonstop links bypassing them?
Replies: 64
Views: 9114

Re: Prelude to Middle East hubs losing clout as super connector in the wake of growing nonstop links bypassing them?

In part it can be explained that competitors learned to compete. My standard example: When EK first came to Seattle their service and prices outclassed all airlines - trips to India, Thailand, Australia, Ethiopia EK ruled. That quit being true a few years ago. That does not mean that EK does not con...

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by frmrCapCadet
Thu May 24, 2018 3:11 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: FAA Gives Final Approval to 777X Folding Wings
Replies: 110
Views: 11984

Re: FAA Gives Final Approval to 777X Folding Wings

Advisory to the overly cautious: Prepare to walk in the future. It is probable that most future designs will include folding wingtips. I expect those thousands of 797s will have them, so they can park in the 320/737 spaces. And if the 380 ever re-wings .......

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by frmrCapCadet
Tue May 22, 2018 6:32 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Folding 777 Wingtips
Replies: 76
Views: 15290

Re: Folding 777 Wingtips

What percent of airplanes going technical are related to moving wing parts? Probably greater than zero, but would guess not all that high.

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by frmrCapCadet
Thu May 17, 2018 8:55 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: EU to reactivate 'blocking statute' against US sanctions on Iran for European firms
Replies: 87
Views: 5249

Re: EU to reactivate 'blocking statute' against US sanctions on Iran for European firms

So we don't like China, EU, Japan, South Korea, Pakistan, Iran, Mexico, and Canada, at the point of picking a fight with Great Britain. And they are all going to help us with North Korea.

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by frmrCapCadet
Wed May 16, 2018 3:18 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why is the A350 so expensive?
Replies: 142
Views: 25607

Re: Why is the A350 so expensive?

In the 90s and '00s' Boeing redesigned their manufacturing in a few big swoops - and the cockups were astounding (and expensive). And ugly (ask Washington state legislature and look at what it did to Seattle area employment). The senior execs figured they needed to get out of town before they were r...

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by frmrCapCadet
Wed May 16, 2018 1:37 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing has held takeover talks with Embraer: WSJ
Replies: 518
Views: 58743

Re: Boeing has held takeover talks with Embraer: WSJ

Given the sales over the last year for the C series we are not exactly seeing a booming niche. And many of us hoped to see lots of sales, and maybe more rural-ish areas served.

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by frmrCapCadet
Tue May 15, 2018 2:59 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA revises emotional support animal policy
Replies: 5
Views: 1610

Re: AA revises emotional support animal policy

Safeway now allows only (trained) service animals in its stores. About time. Disgusting - all of the dogs in grocery carts.

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by frmrCapCadet
Mon May 14, 2018 8:17 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Brexit EU position Phase 2
Replies: 1549
Views: 37061

Re: Brexit EU position Phase 2

Brexiters seem to be positioning themselves to shed any blame to the half-assed Brexit that may happen - it will all be the fault of the remainers - who, in my view, ought to just chuck the whole thing. As long as they are going to get the blame just remain.

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by frmrCapCadet
Sun May 06, 2018 2:15 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Southwest is not a Dangerous Airline (article)
Replies: 39
Views: 4550

Re: Southwest is not a Dangerous Airline (article)

It is always interesting when someone takes the time to come up with fair and accurate statistics. My only criticism is that documentation of source of data, and more explanations of the use of that data was lacking. The graphs confirm when we have read online here over the years.

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by frmrCapCadet
Sun May 06, 2018 1:56 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Bloomberg article: Watch Out, Airlines. High Speed Rail Now Rivals Flying on Key Routes
Replies: 239
Views: 19009

Re: Bloomberg article: Watch Out, Airlines. High Speed Rail Now Rivals Flying on Key Routes

The US great grandfathers* built much of the infrastructure we now enjoy (abuse, and do not maintain). It is time to spend some money - wisely and a lot more previous poster imagines. Look at the tax rates we paid in the 40s, 50s, 60s - that infrastructure was not built with tweets and texts - it to...

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by frmrCapCadet
Sat May 05, 2018 8:08 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Bloomberg article: Watch Out, Airlines. High Speed Rail Now Rivals Flying on Key Routes
Replies: 239
Views: 19009

Re: Bloomberg article: Watch Out, Airlines. High Speed Rail Now Rivals Flying on Key Routes

Moderately high speed rail could be optimal for 150-300 mile trips. Vancouver BC to Eugene is about 435 miles, and while that really is flying distance the corridor covers much of the population of British Columbia, Washington, and Oregon. Averaging including stops over 65mph would be fairly compell...

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by frmrCapCadet
Sat May 05, 2018 1:46 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Southwest Finally Announces Intentions to Serve Hawaii
Replies: 452
Views: 57150

Re: Southwest Finally Announces Intentions to Serve Hawaii

As I remember it, consensus here was WN revamped its frequent flyer rewards quite possibly with Hawaii in mind. Previously any 8(?) flights were rewarded with a free ninth. Eight short flights and a free flight to Hawaii would be a money loser. Still the big bonus is that every seat has always been ...

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by frmrCapCadet
Wed May 02, 2018 3:57 pm
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: Container Capability MoM sized Aircraft, Extendable AKH, LD3-45
Replies: 34
Views: 4363

Re: Container Capability MoM sized Aircraft, Extendable AKH, LD3-45

I have asked before, if you want to go a few thousand miles with lots of passengers and lots of freight wouldn't you buy a 330 or 787?

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by frmrCapCadet
Wed May 02, 2018 3:45 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Brexit EU position Phase 2
Replies: 1549
Views: 37061

Re: Brexit EU position Phase 2

Extreme Right (or Fascists if you prefer) whether of the Islamic, Buddhist, Christian, or Marxist versions are long believers in the One man, One vote, One time rule. They always assume they can get at least one vote, and then rule forever. Long live the British Empire Caliphate. Not! As I understan...

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by frmrCapCadet
Tue May 01, 2018 2:51 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airline companies stare at a burning issue as fuel prices skyrocket
Replies: 54
Views: 9436

Re: Airline companies stare at a burning issue as fuel prices skyrocket

I think the consensus on oil reduced consumption is that sometime between 2022 and 2027 electrification of transportation will reduce oil by 2 billion barrels a day, and from there ever decreasing. My guess is that this will happen on the early side. This will leave lots of 'gas' available for aviat...

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by frmrCapCadet
Sun Apr 29, 2018 3:15 pm
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: Blade Inspection Results - Curious Minds Want to Know
Replies: 29
Views: 2626

Re: Blade Inspection Results - Curious Minds Want to Know

Given the maturity and safety record of modern commercial aviation most accidents are likely to be one-off events. Hard to correct for them. Very properly the major NTSB investigations look into all of these. But politically very difficult to cope. 100% correction is not possible.

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