Search found 308 matches

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by gwrudolph
Thu Oct 18, 2018 7:51 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: UA's DEN-LHR seasonal service
Replies: 13
Views: 3085

Re: UA's DEN-LHR seasonal service

My guess is they really don’t need the sixth EWR flight in the winter anyway. I will bet they just use it to sit on the slot for slow season as inexpensively as possible and a quick smaller EWR trip does just that for them. If they thought DEN could be successful in the winter, I’d guess they would...

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by gwrudolph
Thu Oct 18, 2018 7:39 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United post Q3 2018 earnings
Replies: 40
Views: 7701

Re: United post Q3 2018 earnings

If anything, this quarter's result tells me there isn't much of a "secret sauce" at Delta. Of course, airline fundamentals are paramount, which start with a safe, reliable operation that delivers passengers to their destinations, on time, with their bags. United has made great strides in ...

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by gwrudolph
Wed Oct 17, 2018 2:44 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airlines leasing houses instead of booking hotel rooms
Replies: 120
Views: 12537

Re: Airlines leasing houses instead of booking hotel rooms

Some airlines used to own and run a few crew hotels, but have since sold them. I don’t think they want to be in that business. It is cheaper and easier to just use purchasing power to drive a good deal on blocks of rooms at hotels owned and operated by others

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by gwrudolph
Wed Oct 17, 2018 2:30 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: UA's DEN-LHR seasonal service
Replies: 13
Views: 3085

Re: UA's DEN-LHR seasonal service

Well, I believe the DEN slot came from EWR. There are five flights to LHR instead 6 like they've had before. My guess is they really don’t need the sixth EWR flight in the winter anyway. I will bet they just use it to sit on the slot for slow season as inexpensively as possible and a quick smaller ...

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by gwrudolph
Sat Oct 13, 2018 2:44 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Majors flying into another Major’s HUB?
Replies: 46
Views: 7832

Re: Majors flying into another Major’s HUB?

I've noticed that UA always seems to be weaker in their hubs to OA hubs than the OA. Never really understood why. Some examples: SFO-ATL (DL stronger) ORD-ATL (DL stronger) DEN-ATL (DL stronger) EWR-ATL (DL stronger) DFW-SFO (AA stronger) DFW-DEN (AA stronger) IAD and EWR seem to be the exceptions....

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by gwrudolph
Fri Oct 12, 2018 9:59 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Majors flying into another Major’s HUB?
Replies: 46
Views: 7832

Re: Majors flying into another Major’s HUB?

I've noticed that UA always seems to be weaker in their hubs to OA hubs than the OA. Never really understood why. Some examples: SFO-ATL (DL stronger) ORD-ATL (DL stronger) DEN-ATL (DL stronger) EWR-ATL (DL stronger) DFW-SFO (AA stronger) DFW-DEN (AA stronger) IAD and EWR seem to be the exceptions. ...

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by gwrudolph
Sat Oct 06, 2018 8:40 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Will UA ever relaunch the RTW flight?
Replies: 37
Views: 4101

Re: Will UA ever relaunch the RTW flight?

No. My understanding was UA did. But with restrictions. Such as regardless of equipment HKG-DEL could never exceed the capacity of a 763, even when flown with a 744. But a old school sUAer would know better. Honestly, I don't ever remember it being a 744 all the way around. As I recollect, it was a...

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by gwrudolph
Sat Oct 06, 2018 4:55 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United Airlines orders 9 787-9's
Replies: 172
Views: 30291

Re: United Airlines orders 9 787-9's

I'm confused by some of the reasoning here. 1) Lower acquisition cost - maybe, or maybe not if you consider the costs of cancelling the order 3) Less capacity for better yields - sometimes that's what it means - sometimes it just means lost chances of flying customers and UA has a significant share...

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by gwrudolph
Sat Oct 06, 2018 2:24 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United Airlines orders 9 787-9's
Replies: 172
Views: 30291

Re: United Airlines orders 9 787-9's

I see no reason why the 787-9 can't replace the 772's at UA. And I'd be willing to bet that Boeing would take care of any A350 penalties for a 787 and MOM order from UA. There have been no new Airbus deliveries since the merger and United really loves their 737 and 787. Meanwhile AA is about a 50/5...

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by gwrudolph
Fri Oct 05, 2018 7:25 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United Airlines orders 9 787-9's
Replies: 172
Views: 30291

Re: United Airlines orders 9 787-9's

The situation looks pretty clear to me. UA originally ordered the A359 as 744 replacements. At the time they ordered them the A3510 did not have the range they wanted, and when Airbus increased its range UA changed to that. Then UA decided to replace the 744 fleet before the A3510s could be deliver...

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by gwrudolph
Wed Oct 03, 2018 9:58 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA to end CLT-HAV
Replies: 34
Views: 6271

Re: Rumor: AA to end CLT-HAV

I expect you will see everyone else advocating this Slot should be put up for re-Allocation. Saying AA has the monopoly on the MIA-HAV market. Flyguy Ya, but who is going to want it at this point. Other than AA in MIA, no other carrier seems to need extra capacity on a route that works, and nothing...

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by gwrudolph
Tue Oct 02, 2018 7:27 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United Airlines orders 9 787-9's
Replies: 172
Views: 30291

Re: United Airlines orders 9 787-9's

A couple of things that a lot of you have gotten slightly to all wrong. The 789 is partially replacement and growth aircraft. The last 9 orders are actual 763 replacements. The 91 to 93 763 builds are getting long in the tooth and are close to their lifetime end. A couple of them are already over t...

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by gwrudolph
Tue Oct 02, 2018 6:57 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United Airlines orders 9 787-9's
Replies: 172
Views: 30291

Re: United Airlines orders 9 787-9's

I’ll conjecture here and say that I believe they originally intended the 350-1000s as the 744 replacement and the 350-900 as the 777e replacement This isn't at all likely. First, they never had both types on order at the same time. The original order was for the A350-900, and was placed in 2009 (be...

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by gwrudolph
Tue Oct 02, 2018 4:32 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: UA 737-9MAX on the Hawaii (OGG) - Mainland: Any Updates?
Replies: 28
Views: 4047

Re: UA 737-9MAX on the Hawaii (OGG) - Mainland: Any Updates?

That doesnt mean anything, Hawaii is and always has been a non-rev's dream. My office mate's wife is a UA employee and he can easily tell me how many non-revs are on a particular flight. That is a very heavy non-rev route. Non-rev dream. Please. Possibly, if your dream is to be stuck in the airport...

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by gwrudolph
Tue Oct 02, 2018 4:25 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United Airlines orders 9 787-9's
Replies: 172
Views: 30291

Re: United Airlines orders 9 787-9's

I’m still of the opinion there’s room for the 350 in United’s fleet to replace what many of the 777Es are doing today. I’ll conjecture here and say that I believe they originally intended the 350-1000s as the 744 replacement and the 350-900 as the 777e replacement, but got desperate to go sooner wit...

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by gwrudolph
Tue Oct 02, 2018 2:19 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United Airlines orders 9 787-9's
Replies: 172
Views: 30291

Re: United Airlines orders 9 787-9's

And for those praising UA's "strategic" purchase of the 77Ws, it was only barely strategic. As far as I recall, the whole deal started with UA looking for a new smaller a/c a la Airbus A223 but Boeing, wanting to snuff out the competition, came in with an absolute bottom-of-the-barrel off...

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by gwrudolph
Tue Oct 02, 2018 2:11 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United Airlines orders 9 787-9's
Replies: 172
Views: 30291

Re: United Airlines orders 9 787-9's

I’ve flown 44 segments so far this year and on Wednesday to Monday I’m doing 4 more. A mix of domestic and international. I’m pretty darn sure every single flight started with the announcement “we have a completely full flight today” I find that airlines say that as a preface to getting people to p...

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by gwrudolph
Tue Oct 02, 2018 2:03 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: SeaTac TSA - any solutions?
Replies: 34
Views: 3533

Re: SeaTac TSA - any solutions?

A little off topic, but related . . . Just went through LAX T7 recently and hadn’t been through there in a while. They did a great job at reallocating space and combining 2-3 checkpoints into one. Yes, they had to sacrifice space originally used for other things, but in doing so freed up a lot of s...

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by gwrudolph
Tue Oct 02, 2018 1:59 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Will Alaska de-hub SFO and LAX?
Replies: 82
Views: 9325

Re: Will Alaska debub SFO&LAX?

Ummm JFK, DCA, and LGA are slot constrained I stand corrected. Was thinking more in terms of LAX and frequent comments about slots vs. gates on a.net. Actually EWR as well. AS only got slots after the forced divesture of AA-US Air (I think). One thing Virgin brought for them were plenty of slots at...

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by gwrudolph
Mon Oct 01, 2018 9:55 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA to end CLT-HAV
Replies: 34
Views: 6271

Re: Rumor: AA to end CLT-HAV

I expect you will see everyone else advocating this Slot should be put up for re-Allocation. Saying AA has the monopoly on the MIA-HAV market. Flyguy Ya, but who is going to want it at this point. Other than AA in MIA, no other carrier seems to need extra capacity on a route that works, and nothing...

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by gwrudolph
Mon Oct 01, 2018 9:34 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: SeaTac TSA - any solutions?
Replies: 34
Views: 3533

Re: SeaTac TSA - any solutions?

A little off topic, but related . . . Just went through LAX T7 recently and hadn’t been through there in a while. They did a great job at reallocating space and combining 2-3 checkpoints into one. Yes, they had to sacrifice space originally used for other things, but in doing so freed up a lot of sp...

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by gwrudolph
Mon Oct 01, 2018 7:16 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United Airlines orders 9 787-9's
Replies: 172
Views: 30291

Re: United Airlines orders 9 787-9's

Isn’t the 789 a little too much airplane for a 767 replacement. The 789s don’t have to directly replace the 763s. A 789 can be used to upgauage a 788 route and then that freed up 788 can be used to replace a 763 route for example. I tend to agree. Upguage SFO-OSA, DEN-NRT, and a few of the IAD - TA...

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by gwrudolph
Mon Oct 01, 2018 1:27 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Will Alaska de-hub SFO and LAX?
Replies: 82
Views: 9325

Re: Will Alaska debub SFO&LAX?

It should, but being enjoyable doesn’t equal profit. Look at how successful ULCCs have become, and they’re about as enjoyable as root canals. People aren’t willing to pay for enjoyable air travel. VX was an experiment that was never destined to live longer than it did. If SRB was really wanting to ...

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by gwrudolph
Mon Oct 01, 2018 1:20 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Will Alaska de-hub SFO and LAX?
Replies: 82
Views: 9325

Re: Will Alaska debub SFO&LAX?

As a SFO based traveler I loved Virgin America! I flew them everywhere they flew. I am really disappointed with Alaska and their service. I hope they dehub SFO and allow United and Delta to expand as their service is better. It is too bad they were allowed to take over VX and increase fares, cut se...

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by gwrudolph
Mon Oct 01, 2018 12:11 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United Fleet Upgrade Status - 2018
Replies: 2058
Views: 264623

Re: United Fleet Upgrade Status - 2018

I honestly think the A319s (the sUA ones, delivered before 2002) and the A320s (except for 4901 and 4902) must be retired soon. These are just as old as the 747s, sUA 752s, and 763s that will be leaving soon. Furthermore, the 737s have seats with better padding, while retaining the same width as th...

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by gwrudolph
Sun Sep 30, 2018 10:10 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Will AA ever fly PHL-Asia?
Replies: 49
Views: 5509

Re: Will AA ever fly PHL-Asia?

IF any PHL/CLT or MIA flights to Asia do happen China will probably not happen, Tokyo would be much more likely since its closer. The Japanese airline do not dump capacity like the PRC airlines do, if anything JAL & ANA are too conservative a do not fly to enough of the world, Europe and Americ...

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by gwrudolph
Sun Sep 30, 2018 10:00 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United Fleet Upgrade Status - 2018
Replies: 2058
Views: 264623

Re: United Fleet Upgrade Status - 2018

Does this go way back to something I said about the old UA floral wallpaper? I’m not sure how worth it it would be to upgrade a plane that only has 1 to 2 years of life left in her to re-do it ALL, but certainly the rest of the 737-8/9’s to get most of the changes. The latest 739 I was on was a bra...

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by gwrudolph
Sat Sep 29, 2018 4:09 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Will AA ever fly PHL-Asia?
Replies: 49
Views: 5509

Re: Will AA ever fly PHL-Asia?

I take all the ORD-Asia cuts to mean AA plans on launching PHL-TYO and maybe PHL-HKG in the near future. Probably, waiting for FOI so a PHL 772 or 787 crew base can be opened. I would say if they can’t make ORD-Asia work real well, PHL-Asia doesn’t have a chance of happening anytime soon. I’m even ...

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by gwrudolph
Sat Sep 29, 2018 3:17 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Will AA ever fly PHL-Asia?
Replies: 49
Views: 5509

Re: Will AA ever fly PHL-Asia?

Ever? Maybe. But as it would only be advantageous to few that couldn't already connect via ORD, I would doubt it anytime soon. I take all the ORD-Asia cuts to mean AA plans on launching PHL-TYO and maybe PHL-HKG in the near future. Probably, waiting for FOI so a PHL 772 or 787 crew base can be open...

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by gwrudolph
Tue Sep 25, 2018 6:28 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: UA DEN-LHR
Replies: 31
Views: 6117

Re: UA DEN-LHR

It is still seasonal but has been filed to return next year. I'm sure someone else can do the math quickly, but I believe UA has always had one LHR slot that has been seasonal. It was used to increase summer frequency on EWR in the past. There just aren't enough slots to justify using one on DEN-LH...

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by gwrudolph
Mon Sep 24, 2018 7:59 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Expansion At SFO
Replies: 33
Views: 7288

Re: Expansion At SFO

I do look forward to the expansion and renovations. Some of those terminals (like the United T3 area)look just awful. What they’ve done in T2 and T3 low 60’s gates is just beautiful. SFO lets their facilities go way to far, but when they finally get around to re-doing them, they are fantastic!

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by gwrudolph
Sun Sep 23, 2018 5:46 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: How come quads outlasted trijets?
Replies: 86
Views: 14252

Re: How come quads outlasted trijets?

Lots of reasons, most already mentioned here. None of them I don't think on their own would make or break the tri-jet concept, but all put together they have lead us to where we are today. Fuel burn: A bit of a trap for logic. Quads vs. tri-jet one would think that 25% less engines would be 25% les...

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by gwrudolph
Sun Sep 23, 2018 5:44 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: How come quads outlasted trijets?
Replies: 86
Views: 14252

Re: How come quads outlasted trijets?

At least on the widebody side, I think some of those trijets barely needed three engines for their intended missions even when they were originally launched in the 70s. Some could have been twins but customer requirements for using them at airports that didn't have longer runways (corner cases in m...

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by gwrudolph
Sat Sep 22, 2018 2:04 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: How come quads outlasted trijets?
Replies: 86
Views: 14252

Re: How come quads outlasted trijets?

At least on the widebody side, I think some of those trijets barely needed three engines for their intended missions even when they were originally launched in the 70s. Some could have been twins but customer requirements for using them at airports that didn't have longer runways (corner cases in my...

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by gwrudolph
Mon Sep 17, 2018 8:45 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Hawaiian going to BOS
Replies: 138
Views: 17624

Re: Hawaiian going to BOS

So for Hawaiian, the standardization of their A330 fleet - meaning that any of their A330's are outfitted and certified to fly this route along with all the other routes, really helps in the rotation of planes from short-to-long-to-short and vice versa routing for equalization of usage. The other t...

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by gwrudolph
Mon Sep 17, 2018 7:04 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why did UA dehub MIA?
Replies: 68
Views: 9075

Re: Why did UA dehub MIA?

Miami could barely be called a hub, certainly not in the traditional sense. It had few flights and limited connections to/from the US and Central and South America. It really was a focus city that flew to South and Central America with some feed from its other hubs. http://www.departedflights.com/U...

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by gwrudolph
Mon Sep 17, 2018 6:54 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why did UA dehub MIA?
Replies: 68
Views: 9075

Re: Why did UA dehub MIA?

Ah, yes, the old "Florida is low yielding" chestnut. Must be why the most profitable legacy sources a huge amount of its total traffic and revenue from Florida. All that LCC junk, indeed.... Florida is low yielding for domestic flights. FLL is low yielding because SW, JB and Spirit have l...

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by gwrudolph
Fri Sep 07, 2018 9:51 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta uncontained engine failure - ATL-MCO
Replies: 51
Views: 16427

Re: Delta uncontained engine failure - ATL-MCO

How close to retirement is this aircraft. Pratt & Whitney engines generally from my experience have a better record for containing containing debris. An example is the GE powered United DC-10 that had an uncontained engine failure of the number two engine and severed all the hydraulic lines. It...

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by gwrudolph
Thu Sep 06, 2018 6:44 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United spend $200mil on Hawaii facilities, adjust schedules
Replies: 68
Views: 9617

Re: United spend $200mil on Hawaii facilities, adjust schedules

Um, me. Many is the time we left Denver at 5:30 or 6 to connect at SFO and get here at noontime +/- (+ in the winter, - in the summer). But that meant getting up at 2:30 or so to get to the airport, park, take the bus to the terminal--always a longer wait at 4:30 in the morning--and so on. So, yeah...

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by gwrudolph
Fri Aug 31, 2018 8:45 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United Announces EWR-PRG, EWR-NAP, SFO-AMS
Replies: 125
Views: 14848

Re: United Announces EWR-PRG, EWR-NAP, SFO-AMS

How cute! The big airlines are now all of a sudden caring about the lesser European cities now that they’ve got competition (or will), not because they really want to be there. I don't understand your post. An airline only wants to fly to a destination for two reasons: Profit and/or because they ar...

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by gwrudolph
Fri Aug 31, 2018 8:37 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United Announces EWR-PRG, EWR-NAP, SFO-AMS
Replies: 125
Views: 14848

Re: United Announces EWR-PRG, EWR-NAP, SFO-AMS

NAP surprises me. It's good for Amalfi coast tourists and the like, but there are some more difficulties in doing business in that part of Italy. UA has grown their Italian presence in the last 3 years. Going from 1x IAD-FCO and 1x EWR-MXP to adding FCO-ORD and EWR, along with EWR- VCE. I'm a bit s...

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by gwrudolph
Tue Aug 28, 2018 6:59 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: OAG Changes 8/19/2018:AS Drops FLLSFO;DL Drops JFKBGR,BMIMSP,BNACVG,FNTMSP;Y4 Adds ABQ/CLT/More
Replies: 130
Views: 14809

Re: OAG Changes 8/19/2018:AS Drops FLLSFO;DL Drops JFKBGR,BMIMSP,BNACVG,FNTMSP;Y4 Adds ABQ/CLT/More

UA cutting BWI-LAX. Not sure I completely understand what they are doing in LAX. They reduced it and sold off gates in favor of building up SFO. Then they say they are committed to growing at LAX. Then they keep reducing cities. Not sure what their strategy is . . .

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by gwrudolph
Tue Aug 28, 2018 6:30 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: US airlines gear up for next round of Tokyo HND slots allocation ahead of 2020 Olympics
Replies: 94
Views: 9727

Re: US airlines gear up for next round of Tokyo HND slots allocation ahead of 2020 Olympics

I agree. I'm guessing there will be at most 4 daily slot pairs for US carriers. UA will ask for and probably get EWR. UA might also ask for ORD/IAD but probably won't get it. DL will ask for and probably get DTW. ATL would be nice, but I don't see it happening. AA will ask for and probably get DFW....

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by gwrudolph
Mon Aug 27, 2018 5:47 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: US airlines gear up for next round of Tokyo HND slots allocation ahead of 2020 Olympics
Replies: 94
Views: 9727

Re: US airlines gear up for next round of Tokyo HND slots allocation ahead of 2020 Olympics

This time around may be very interesting and different than last time. Last time, UA and DL were still operating NRT hubs, so incremental JP flying might have made more sense. Now that they effectively have no hubs at NRT, I guess it comes down to swapping out NRT with HND services because they now ...

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by gwrudolph
Sat Aug 18, 2018 2:40 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Death of 747-400 Greatly Exaggerated
Replies: 129
Views: 19207

Re: Death of 747-400 Greatly Exaggerated

You are correct—I made a math error so 276 out of 694 are still active Wikipedia makes it 376 in use in July 2018, 216 freighters leave 163 passenger frames. If we look at all frames flying or having flown passengers: 442 747-400 21 747-400D 6 747-400ER 63 747-400M That makes it 532, of those 163 a...

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by gwrudolph
Sat Aug 18, 2018 2:36 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: UA 77W and 772
Replies: 52
Views: 8681

Re: UA 77W and 772

I suggest you go do some research on the history of UA's SYD flights because you are greatly mistaken to say UA didn't operate SFO-SYD and LAX-SYD daily when those flights where 744s and that the routes only went daily when the 77Es to over. How is ICN Star Alliance territory when KE (the largest o...

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by gwrudolph
Sat Aug 18, 2018 2:32 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: UA 77W and 772
Replies: 52
Views: 8681

Re: UA 77W and 772

UA didn’t run SFO-AKL Non stop back then there was a SFO-HNL-AKL-SYD D10 for a while which became SFO-SYD 744 then LAX-HNL-AKL-MEL 741 which became LAX-AKL-MEL 744, there was LAX-SYD 74L that became a 744, there was a LAX-SYD-BNE tag I believe 3 weekly around 91-94. There was a brief 18 months 99-0...

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by gwrudolph
Fri Aug 17, 2018 1:30 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United A321
Replies: 47
Views: 7962

Re: United A321

Based on the pic, it is just a cheap model in somebody's office. Not like it is in the lobby or the Board Room of their Willis HDQ office. There's a personal picture and one of those magic 8 balls on the shelf as well, but I'm not guessing they use that for future route planning! LOL!

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by gwrudolph
Wed Aug 15, 2018 10:18 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta F/A's & Fleet Workers Could Vote on Union Soon
Replies: 228
Views: 13354

Re: Delta F/A's & Fleet Workers Could Vote on Union Soon

I dont understand how a union, which is better for the workers, will spell doom and gloom for Delta but okay. If it's better for the workers why arent AA and UA flight attendants happy. Since unions are good and wil help Delta shouldnt't they have helped the legacies with the employees job satisfac...

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by gwrudolph
Wed Aug 15, 2018 5:19 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why can't AA make JFK-MAN work but it can JFK-EDI? And also UA from ORD & IAD to MAN?
Replies: 113
Views: 8733

Re: Why can't AA make JFK-MAN work but it can JFK-EDI? And also UA from ORD & IAD to MAN?

It is quite interesting to look at the passengers carried on direct routes to the US from both EDI and MAN in June 2018 as an example. Manchester still ahead on New York area routes and pretty much all markets, with the exception of ORD and IAD (where there is no route from MAN). Overall there were...

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