Search found 238 matches

by sq256
Thu May 10, 2018 1:47 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - May 2018
Replies: 300
Views: 29906

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - May 2018

I doubt the PR flights are doing well. They have to fly those aircraft somewhere. PR has quite a low cost base (vs Australian airlines) and there is a large community of Philippino's living in Australia who travel home regularly. PR's loads ex-BNE appear to have been very high since switching to no...

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by sq256
Tue May 01, 2018 11:56 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - May 2018
Replies: 300
Views: 29906

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - May 2018

VA Tasman Changes Sydney – Auckland eff 28OCT18 Increase from 11 to 21 weekly (14 on weekends) https://www.routesonline.com/news/38/airlineroute/278371/virgin-australia-trans-tasman-nw18-service-changes/ Shouldn't AKL-SYD more read 3x Daily week days, and 2x Daily weekend? Allot of seats for VA to ...

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by sq256
Tue May 01, 2018 1:23 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: The Future of Virgin brands in commercial aviation
Replies: 60
Views: 8974

Re: The Future of Virgin brands in commercial aviation

Not saying that Borghetti hasn't succeeded in taking the brand upmarket, and I'll agree the 777 seat beats QFs 330 (albeit only just) and catering is very good, but at least on Perth routes VA are continually subbing in the much poorer 737s. QF also wins generally on domestic narrowbody catering, l...

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by sq256
Sun Apr 29, 2018 9:12 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2018
Replies: 643
Views: 54431

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2018

RE: SEA speculation. If it is a operational requirement that the remaining unannounced flight originates in BNE it can route BNE-SYD-SEA-SYD-BNE similar to how QR serves Canberra as a tag from SYD. On such a routing QF can route pax ex Brisbane on the BNE/SYD/BNE tag connecting to/from Internationa...

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by sq256
Sun Apr 29, 2018 6:14 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: The Future of Virgin brands in commercial aviation
Replies: 60
Views: 8974

Re: The Future of the Virgin of Airlines

SQ are content with their stake and haven't really shown any interest in extending their stake. DL are the elephant in the room and are probably the ones to keep an eye on, with an article back in 2016 stating they haven't ruled out a VA stake in the future (despite not stating interest at the time...

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by sq256
Sun Apr 29, 2018 2:52 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2018
Replies: 643
Views: 54431

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2018

Yes, the usual and predictable QF and PER boosterism from GT. In QF related news, how much longer is it going to take for QF to announce the final route for the last of its first eight B787s? That frame is supposed to be base in BNE so maybe they are still working the numbers on BNE to DFW, SEA or ...

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by sq256
Sat Apr 28, 2018 1:56 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2018
Replies: 643
Views: 54431

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2018

Yes, the usual and predictable QF and PER boosterism from GT. In QF related news, how much longer is it going to take for QF to announce the final route for the last of its first eight B787s? That frame is supposed to be base in BNE so maybe they are still working the numbers on BNE to DFW, SEA or ...

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by sq256
Sat Apr 28, 2018 1:39 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: The Future of Virgin brands in commercial aviation
Replies: 60
Views: 8974

Re: The Future of the Virgin of Airlines

VA, despite finally starting to make money again, still needs to get its house in order after years of losses. Also, the shareholder makeup should preferably be sorted as soon as possible considering HNA and EY are both in debt (and there has been newspaper articles of both considering selling out o...

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by sq256
Thu Apr 26, 2018 9:42 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - April 2018
Replies: 548
Views: 34484

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - April 2018

VA says that there will be some reductions to its Pacific Island schedule ex-AKL - not surprising. I wonder whether RAR or TBU will be most affected? See: http://www.nzherald.co.nz/business/news/article.cfm?c_id=3&objectid=12039768. I found it funny that VA says "We believe we've got a goo...

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by sq256
Tue Apr 17, 2018 11:53 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2018
Replies: 643
Views: 54431

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2018

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-temasek-holdings-hna-group-airlines-e/exclusive-singapores-temasek-interested-in-buying-into-hnas-hong-kong-airlines-source-idUSKBN1HO0IX Interesting potential here. SQ are reportedly doing due diligence on HNA with a view in taking a significant though not majori...

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by sq256
Mon Apr 16, 2018 1:54 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2018
Replies: 643
Views: 54431

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2018

VA also carries the DL and (shortly) HX and HU codes as codeshare partners on a number of Trans-Tasman flights. I do wonder what % of traffic from DL is on VA metal for Trans-Tasman flights.

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by sq256
Sun Apr 15, 2018 4:47 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - April 2018
Replies: 548
Views: 34484

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - April 2018

Can only see DL in AKL if they are the party to purchase the EY or HNA stakes in VA. Even then, DL in AKL may be questionable (not much yield for DL/VA, and the multiple frequencies from the incumbents NZ/UA) even if DL are able to fund VA 737 feeders from the main AU capitals + the large regional c...

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by sq256
Sun Apr 15, 2018 4:33 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - April 2018
Replies: 548
Views: 34484

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - April 2018

I wouldn't think SQ's views has changed since then for them to change their mind and strip VA back to being a entirely domestic carrier. Thus VA still remaining independent in the unlikely case of a SQ takeover. Unless there is stuff going on behind the scenes which I don't know about - as there wa...

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by sq256
Sun Apr 15, 2018 4:13 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - April 2018
Replies: 548
Views: 34484

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - April 2018

In the unlikely event of SQ performing a takeover, VA will likely still remain independent of the alliances. Any attempts by SQ to bring VA into *A will be veto-ed by NZ and UA. If JB was gone and SQ owned VA then I don't see what reason UA or NZ would have to veto Star membership. It is likely tha...

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by sq256
Sat Apr 14, 2018 11:55 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - April 2018
Replies: 548
Views: 34484

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - April 2018

EY are also loss making, due to their Air Berlin and Alitalia failures, with the continual rumblings whether if they are going to beat HNA into selling their VA stake. Whether the usual suspects of SQ and DL react remains to be seen. Keeping in mind VA doesnt have much Alliance options available (ba...

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by sq256
Sat Apr 14, 2018 5:46 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2018
Replies: 643
Views: 54431

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2018

Agree David, I do think there is that possibility for AKL atleast to remain competitive there that they run 3-4 daily to SYD, 2-3 daily MEL, 2 BNE. WLG and CHC I’m not sure how many main trunk routes will do well with more than 1 daily really, partly as you say keeping planes full but not being abl...

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by sq256
Sat Apr 14, 2018 5:39 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2018
Replies: 643
Views: 54431

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2018

Yet how was NZ able to get additional peak hour slots for there additional services from AKL,WLG,CHC that we're launched this week? They must have some pull in getting slots, to be able to pick up these additional SYD slots at very short notice. The new Air NZ SYD-AKL service (NZ 112) departs SYD a...

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by sq256
Fri Apr 13, 2018 6:33 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2018
Replies: 643
Views: 54431

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2018

Also QF and VA (along with their LCC siblings) would ensure NZ either doesn't get SYD slots, or get the less ideal SYD slots (e.g late evening before curfew), also complicating any slot applications on the FRA end. Yet how was NZ able to get additional peak hour slots for there additional services ...

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by sq256
Fri Apr 13, 2018 5:26 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2018
Replies: 643
Views: 54431

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2018

Either or. Id doubt LH is looking at PER as much as QF is looking at Germany though. Isn't CDG a bigger market than FRA for Australia, meaning QF would probably consider France before Germany ex-PER? At the same time, LH has said last month that it's actively eyeing APAC opportunities (with PER of ...

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by sq256
Fri Apr 13, 2018 5:09 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: The future of Etihad
Replies: 110
Views: 20821

Re: The future of Etihad

SQ know they need the Australian-New-Zealander market. Its why they hate Qantas so much, its why they invested in Virgin Australia and haven't sold their stake, its why they are cozying up with Air New Zealand (NZ being Star and not-competing-on-Europe-routes-apart-from-London also helps). If they ...

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by sq256
Wed Apr 11, 2018 6:50 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airline Alliances that Carriers not in an Alliance Would Join
Replies: 65
Views: 5536

Re: Airline Alliances that Carriers not in an Alliance Would Join

Though the problem SQ faces (in addition to JB's anti-alliance view) is the veto from NZ and UA if they ever tried to sponsor VA into *A with an increased shareholding (as they are on good terms with JB). However, with JB's past view of SkyTeam and if he's ever to move away from his anti-alliance po...

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by sq256
Tue Apr 10, 2018 1:16 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2018
Replies: 643
Views: 54431

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2018

I do wonder which airline group is going to offload their VA stake first considering their own financial woes, EY or HNA? Of course the usual suspects of those two stakes are either SQ or DL. Although both groups usually don't comment on those rumours, with the former that's usually talked more, the...

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by sq256
Mon Apr 09, 2018 9:48 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - April 2018
Replies: 548
Views: 34484

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - April 2018

VA also have some limited beyond rights in AKL (RAR and TBU). Both would also come into play in regards to VA's beyond Oct AU-AKL schedule.

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by sq256
Mon Apr 09, 2018 9:41 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: NZ and VA end JV across the Tasman - Oct
Replies: 48
Views: 5059

Re: NZ and VA end JV across the Tasman - Oct

My Tip is probably twice daily SYD/MEL/BNE-AKL (timed to/from VA/DL Int'l flights in SYD/MEL) in the morning and afternoon serving as a "feeder" (and the leftover O&D traffic VA manages to get) and not actually competing with QF/NZ. Ditto with BNE/MEL-CHC being once-daily (split schedu...

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by sq256
Sat Apr 07, 2018 1:36 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2018
Replies: 643
Views: 54431

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2018

Also, even if SQ were to take a larger stake in VA. SQ may be good terms with JB, but JB and Luxon (NZ) still despise each other. Which is enough for NZ to veto SQ or anyone else attempting to sponsor VA into Star Alliance In addition to a NZ veto, UA still hasn't forgotten the decision by JB's pred...

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by sq256
Sat Apr 07, 2018 12:09 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2018
Replies: 643
Views: 54431

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2018

There's really not much options for VA if JB is to move away from his no alliance policy. Oneworld (due to the big brother) and Star Alliance (veto from NZ and UA) are definitely not options for VA. There's only SkyTeam (with their long time buddies DL), or the more expensive option of folding TT b...

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by sq256
Sat Apr 07, 2018 8:09 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2018
Replies: 643
Views: 54431

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2018

People seem to think that joining an alliance is free, there are massive costs for joining an alliance, and not a single airline has done that in the last 3 years. The move is towards more tailored relationships, hence my suggestion for striking a deal with GA. That would be two fold, it would give...

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by sq256
Sat Apr 07, 2018 1:52 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2018
Replies: 643
Views: 54431

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2018

Can't really see D7 at WTB. Probably at MCY when the extended runway is operational perhaps, thus to give "North Brisbane" (Maroochydore) and "South Brisbane" (Coolangatta) options.

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by sq256
Thu Apr 05, 2018 11:44 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2018
Replies: 643
Views: 54431

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2018

Things are starting to unravel for Virgin but there may be a bright side to this. It may force virgin to concentrate on its own business and not being a virtual network carrier (or whatever it was). I do think they need to join an alliance - be that skyteam or star. They are always going to struggl...

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by sq256
Thu Apr 05, 2018 11:05 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: NZ and VA end JV across the Tasman - Oct
Replies: 48
Views: 5059

Re: NZ and VA end JV across the Tasman - Oct

Basically most FF's and aviation forum site posters (including A'Net) saw this coming for some time now since the Luxon/Borghetti spat. It's a matter of when the announcement was going to be made.

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by sq256
Thu Apr 05, 2018 2:26 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: NZ and VA end JV across the Tasman - Oct
Replies: 48
Views: 5059

Re: NZ and VA end JV across the Tasman - Oct

I do think maybe a daily widenody to OOL though with additional seasonal A320 capacity. Maybe a slight increase to PER and flights to CBR, HBT. Does OOL have the yields to support a widebody with BNE up the road? Considering the beach market nature of OOL. I can see OOL being a A321NEO market, with...

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by sq256
Thu Apr 05, 2018 2:22 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - April 2018
Replies: 548
Views: 34484

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - April 2018

Seeing that EK is slowly exiting Trans-Tasman, the long rumoured BNE-WLG extension would less likely to happen. If anything, if EK wants a presence in WLG, QF would have to fly it with their 737s.

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by sq256
Wed Apr 04, 2018 11:14 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: NZ and VA end JV across the Tasman - Oct
Replies: 48
Views: 5059

Re: NZ and VA end JV across the Tasman - Oct

^^ Another note, just did a dummy booking on NZ's website. Some regional AU ports e.g. Bundaberg and Alice Springs on NZ's website already sells interlines with QF. So some smaller AU regional cities that are currently served by VA via codeshare may likely see a switch from VA to QF for interlining ...

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by sq256
Wed Apr 04, 2018 10:59 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: NZ and VA end JV across the Tasman - Oct
Replies: 48
Views: 5059

Re: NZ and VA end JV across the Tasman - Oct

NZ will more likely fly to the larger regional AU ports (e.g CBR, TSV, ROK, etc) with their own (all-Y) A320s, even if it's only a few times a week and/or seasonal. They also have the financial capital to pay for their share of Customs/Immigration costs at the currently unmanned AU regional ports if...

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by sq256
Wed Apr 04, 2018 10:00 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2018
Replies: 643
Views: 54431

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2018

Makes senses considering NZ ex-AU as a key long haul growth market where they compete with VA/DL to the US. With QF moving to 330s, places VA at a weak spot across the Tasman from a product and frequency perspective. Starting to think VA will just leave the Tasman, and move all its Tasman flights t...

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by sq256
Tue Apr 03, 2018 12:32 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2018
Replies: 643
Views: 54431

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2018

Ansett wanted to drop having it’s regional airports having direct employment by AN and wanted contractors - mainly due to the conditions enjoyed by the local airport staff, hence AN doing a complete pullout of locations such as LST and HBA, rather than the better scheduled, one or two AN 737s in an...

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by sq256
Tue Apr 03, 2018 6:46 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2018
Replies: 643
Views: 54431

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2018

The best outcome for VA would be to have SQ take a larger interest, with EY and HNA exiting. HNA have some significant issues they are trying to manage, which also makes it likely they could be seriously considering selling their stake. There's been plenty of chances for SQ to take a larger stake i...

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by sq256
Sat Mar 31, 2018 1:34 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Possibility of Lufthansa Group returning to Australasia?
Replies: 63
Views: 8774

Re: Possibility of Lufthansa Group returning to Australasia?

Too expensive for VS to send the gas-guzzling A346 beyond HKG to SYD at the time, with high operating costs outstripping revenue. VS has since returned to the Australian market, although as code-share only by placing their code on VA's HKG-MEL (and shortly HKG-SYD) flights despite the long transit t...

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by sq256
Sat Mar 31, 2018 1:06 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2018
Replies: 643
Views: 54431

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2018

LAS is also a low-yielding destination ex-AU. Extremely unlikely from either of the majors on the US or Australian ends, let alone VA.

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by sq256
Tue Mar 27, 2018 12:01 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A330 and A340 write off - retirement - scrapping thread - 2018
Replies: 167
Views: 34639

Re: A330 and A340 write off - retirement - scrapping thread - 2018

Doesn't seem to be any mention of European aviation acquiring 10 etihad 340-500s & -600s. Think they also have some other -600s. That seems a lot. Wonder what they have planned for them ? Looks like Virgin Australia is to get some of the EY A330s How many ? You'd think VA could make some money ...

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by sq256
Tue Mar 27, 2018 11:43 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Rumor: New AA Route Announcement from LAX
Replies: 178
Views: 24555

Re: Rumor: New AA Route Announcement from LAX

smi0006 wrote:
BNE? To replace capacity after QF moved BNE-LAX-JFK to a 789 from a 744.


Very unlikely at this stage considering QF is using the 3rd BNE based 789 on x3 extra BNE-LAX terminators on top of the daily BNE-LAX-JFK.

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by sq256
Sun Mar 04, 2018 1:53 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA and QF re-file for Joint Venture
Replies: 57
Views: 8192

Re: AA and QF re-file for Joint Venture

UA to some extent already sell limited QF interline tickets on their website. VA interlines on UA iirc is only available via Third Party agents. DL being JV partners with VA normally sell VA interlines on their website (and vice-versa), although third party agents also sell QF interlines on behalf o...

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by sq256
Sat Mar 03, 2018 6:21 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA and QF re-file for Joint Venture
Replies: 57
Views: 8192

Re: AA and QF re-file for Joint Venture

BNE-SFO would be a good differentiator for UA when compared to daily BNE-LAX by QF/AA and the 6x weekly VA/DL. They do have the hub at the SFO end to facilitate connections, in addition to the third party agents selling QF or VA interlines at the Australian end with UA tickets.

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by sq256
Wed Feb 28, 2018 11:55 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - March 2018
Replies: 593
Views: 53549

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - March 2018

Would the A350 not be a little bit too much aircraft for PER-SYD/MEL/BNE? Also a fleet of 10-12 would replace a fleet of 5 77Ws and 6 A330s so no room for expansion there - not that I think VA should be looking at any medium/long haul expansion anyway. By expansion I meant new routes into China and...

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by sq256
Wed Feb 28, 2018 4:09 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - February 2018
Replies: 729
Views: 56524

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - February 2018

There's also the situation of VA part-owner HNA group via HX wanting access to the "Big 4" in Australia. It also rumoured the the tit for tat between AU and HK over the years (including the JQ HK drama) is what stopping both regulators from agreeing on a increase in capacity/slots for HK c...

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by sq256
Wed Feb 28, 2018 2:45 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - February 2018
Replies: 729
Views: 56524

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - February 2018

Have heard unofficially VA were scaling back MEL-HKG to 5x to allow for daily SYD-HKG, but have not heard official confirmation from the GDS sources.

Was there only 5x new HKG slot pairs available for VA? and did the available slots came from horse trading by partner HX on VA's behalf?

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by sq256
Tue Feb 27, 2018 11:45 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - February 2018
Replies: 729
Views: 56524

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - February 2018

One of the main reasons why VA is flying the MEL/SYD-HKG route is because the bilaterals on the HKG end is full, thus no room for HX to fly to the "big 4" in their own right. It is effectively a VA/HX JV.

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by sq256
Tue Feb 27, 2018 1:10 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA and QF re-file for Joint Venture
Replies: 57
Views: 8192

Re: AA and QF re-file for Joint Venture

BNE-SEA would be tricky as SEA are hubs for AS and DL. Can only see BNE-SEA working for QF and/or AA if there's some codeshare deal with AS for feed on the SEA end.

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by sq256
Tue Feb 27, 2018 12:24 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA and QF re-file for Joint Venture
Replies: 57
Views: 8192

Re: AA and QF re-file for Joint Venture

Kidding aside, they do kind of deserve the JV. The other competitors are now combined, so they present a large and decent sized competitor to QAAntas. What? AA/QF has no competition from any JV's between the US and Australia. NZ is pretty close, but the only one between the US and Australia is AA/Q...

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by sq256
Sun Feb 25, 2018 4:53 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - February 2018
Replies: 729
Views: 56524

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - February 2018

According to the following re JQ A321LR order Providing DPS goes all A321LR from MEL, SYD and BNE, on current capacity MEL-DPS will require 3 daily and both SYD and BNE to DPS will required to go from a daily service to 10 weekly. By DPS going to A321LR it would free up 4 788's, what sort of new ro...

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