Re: Australian Aviation Thread - June 2021

Rex update to ASX forecasts $15m loss, compared to previous break-even forecast. First loss for Rex for a long time, too, I think? https://cdn-api.markitdigital.com/apiman-gateway/ASX/asx-research/1.0/file/2924-02383084-2A1302750?access_token=83ff96335c2d45a094df02a206a39ff4 Hold on I thought that ...

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - May 2021

"Radical plan to BUY BACK Qantas for $9 billion so passengers aren't ripped off - with national carrier now dominating Australia's skies" https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-9635729/Radical-plan-Australian-government-buy-Qantas-three-decades-privatised.html I think the most radical t...

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - May 2021

The latest outburst from REX sees them accuse Qantas of ripping off their customers and Virgin as a weak competitor https://australianaviation.com.au/2021/05/rex-calls-virgin-weak-competitor-as-it-flies-melbourne-canberra/ I dont know what is in it for Rex by talking about their competitors like th...

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - May 2021

REX fined $60k for failure to comply with continuous disclosure rules regarding capital route expansion https://asic.gov.au/about-asic/news-centre/find-a-media-release/2021-releases/21-105mr-rex-pays-66-000-penalty-for-alleged-continuous-disclosure-breach/ Thats got to hurt. Not as much as their 20...

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - May 2021

A price war will only go so far, as we all know there’s a limit to how long each party can sustain it. . It comes to who has the deepest pockets to absorb the inevitable losses, out of QF Group/VA/Rex, Rex comes out last in that metric. Why is it that so many on here want REX to fail? I don't think...

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2021

Rex now crying foul to the ACCC because QF and VA are 'coordinating' to dump capacity onto the domestic market to 'crush' Rex: https://www.smh.com.au/business/companies/rex-appeals-to-umpire-as-aviation-dogfight-gets-personal-20210429-p57nkn.html I know Rex like a good headline, but honestly did the...

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2021

To some perhaps an insignificant change (and apologies if already discussed)....but I noticed QF changed their baggage allowance for economy to/from North America for tickets purchased from 25/3/21. I believe UA already charge for a second bag, whereas Delta does not. I guess this further delineate...

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2021

All good points, but these are hardly insurmountable. Witness Air Chathams, a smaller operator than Rex, who were able to operate AKL-NLK from September 2019 until COVID struck (and who will no doubt be back again sooner or later). V/F Oh those requirements are absolutely attainable, I wasn't sugge...

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2021

Have REX got 737's that are certified to fly to NZ? Have REX got an International Airline Licence? Have REX met all NZ/AUS regulatory requirements for operating international flights? All good points, but these are hardly insurmountable. Witness Air Chathams, a smaller operator than Rex, who were a...

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2021

And as we have seen in the last couple of weeks with OOL and ADL. REX has seen demand at short notice, adapted there plans on jump on it. REX has publicly said they are look at additional aircraft to join the fleet in the middle of this year. An daily BNE/SYD/MEL-ZQN service this winter, almost see...

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - March 2021

Rex to launch Sydney-Canberra flights from April 19 https://www.executivetraveller.com/news/rex-canberra-sydney-flights Rex getting onto the SYD-CBR route because it is a monopoly route where QF is "price gouging" the market. When QF operate a new service onto a Rex monopoly route, it is ...

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - March 2021

QF would need to drop or match on their 7.00am, 8.00am and 8.30am flights to squeeze them out, also Jetstar would need to drop on 6.00am, 6.05am and 7.20am So for every flight REX starts QF / JQ would need to compete on over 6 flights (although less on thinner routes) but you get the idea... So how...

Re: Australian Aviation Thread- February 2021

REX has reduced the frequency on SYD-MEL next week with 1 737 operating 3 return services, it will be reduced to 2 daily on launch day, REX is blaming the recent lockdown for staff being in quarantine, not sure I entirely believe that https://www.executivetraveller.com/news/rex-cuts-sydney-melbourn...

Re: Australian Aviation Thread- February 2021

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Re: Australian Aviation Thread - January 2021

I did a quick dummy search on Flight Centre for the random date of 26th March, a Friday, on flights from SYD -MEL. filtered by price VA $80 JQ $107 QF $110 ZL $121 VA are going to give them a real run for there money. Does anyone know if the interline agreement between VA and ZL is going to continu...

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - January 2021

I also assume EK is filthy with the Aust Gov about other things; eg no being eligible to receive JobKeeper payments. (I agree with the Aust Gov on that one). Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Even if they were eligible, it wouldn't be a particularly high amount as their local workforce would just ...

Re: Vaccine Confident: Qantas to Resume International Flights in 3Q21

With domestic (state) borders you are completely correct, but international border restrictions are indeed a Commonwealth issue. The states are responsible for organising quarantine,* but the actual decision to close (and therefore open) the international border sits with the Commonwealth governmen...

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - January 2021

Optimistic if you ask me... Qantas reopens bookings for all international flights from July 2021. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk The UK and US, definitely optimistic. Asia - possibly but unlikely. But the main issue will be the vaccination rate in other countries. No one is opening borders unti...

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - January 2021

Just wondering, is United still flying into and out of both Sydney and Melbourne, looking at some 2020 Sydney plane spotting videos on you tube and seen United on them, as well seeing United using a 777 into Melbourne, so have they kept flying to here right through out this pandemic? Don't know abo...

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - January 2021

Just wondering, is United still flying into and out of both Sydney and Melbourne, looking at some 2020 Sydney plane spotting videos on you tube and seen United on them, as well seeing United using a 777 into Melbourne, so have they kept flying to here right through out this pandemic? Don't know abo...

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - December 2020

Rex has finally launched its new website (screenshot below) and now also has a Facebook and Instagram presence. Welcome to the 21st century Rex! Interesting to note on their social media channels that SYD-MEL flights go on sale tomorrow, Tuesday 2 December, the same day their new B737NG livery will...

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - November 2020

Once you're protected, what do you care if someone else on your flight is not? You can't get it from them, you're immune. That's the point of vaccination, no? The current vaccines are not 100% effective, so there will still be people who are vulnerable to COVID even though they may have been vaccin...

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - November 2020

So VA 2.0 have dropped ~30 aircraft from the pre-COVID fleet and now Rex is aiming to have 30-40 aircraft by the end of 2022? Pretty optimistic is putting it mildly.... Is domestic traffic going to recover to pre-COVID levels? If not, the only way for Rex to get to 30-40 aircraft is if QF/JQ give up...

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - October 2020

Depending on how REX goes with their Jet services, if they had 'moderate' success than there's the chance that ZL could be 'talked up' as a potential member. ZL's predecessors were formerly Star Alliance affiliates through their now defunct former owner. For an airline that has yet to actually fly ...

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - October 2020

Ironically i dont think any have travelled to the NT, (at least didnt made the news) which was part of the "bubble". Well it wouldn't have made any news because as you mention NT is part of the bubble, there are also no direct flights between NZ and DRW, so the only way they can get to ge...

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - October 2020

Well it's five times the level of ownership that will be in place moving forward. I understand how the structure of VAH and VAH works, my point was more that the optics are now significantly different which might change things. What looked and felt like an Australian operation backed by a bunch of ...

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - October 2020

At least in the past there seemed to be a fairly robust local management team and a decent percentage of the airline was locally owned (even if not a full majority). A decent % as in 10%? Prior to COVID, 90% off VA was owned by SQ/EY/HNA GROUP/Nanshan, all foreign entities, the remaining 10% was fr...

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - October 2020

And, it's official. Paul Scurrah is now an ex-Virgin, Jayne Hrdlicka taking over. https://www.executivetraveller.com/news/virgin-australia-ceo-paul-scurrah-resignation #aviation So first JB and now JH to take on their former boss at VA. Perhaps AJ will reinstate the axed QF Intl CEO role and bring ...

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - September 2020

Rex confirms lease of six Boeing 737s to start its triangle network, first delivery on November 1 https://www.executivetraveller.com/news/rex-sydney-melbourne-boeing-737-flights So based on that article, REX now has ambitions to expand beyond SYD/MEL/BNE and will include CBR/ADL/PER (ex-SYD)… A quo...

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - September 2020

The plan also reveals that REX would be a domestic only LCC++ with comparable costs to JQ and 5-10% lower than QF Just to clarify the above quote, the 5-10% is in reference to "fares" being 5-10% lower than QF rather than "costs". 5-10% lower fares than QF is basically the same ...

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - September 2020

https://www.executivetraveller.com/news/regional-express-rex-frequent-flyer REX is now planning to launch a FF program, so much for keeping their cost base down... Also this little tidbit from the article gave me a chuckle: "Regional Express earmarks the eventual value of its frequent flyer pro...

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - September 2020

QF HQ will stay in Sydney and Jetstar HQ in Melbourne, but in the process will get big savings from each government. Brisbane will keep heavy maintenance as that investment alone isn’t going to be replaced overnight. It’s all part of doing business :) The reality is that AJ has his digs in Sydney, ...

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - September 2020

Interesting counter piece from Rex around QFs statements around funding and certain routes - https://www.rex.com.au/MediaAndPressClippings/MediaReleaseList.aspx?Site=MC Call me old fashioned but both carrier should stay in their lane and avoid commenting on the strategy of their competitors. REX ge...

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - September 2020

REX revenue up $4 million vs last year despite coronavirus... :scratchchin: https://www.smh.com.au/business/companies/rex-s-airline-miracle-revenue-grows-thanks-to-government-handouts-20200831-p55r29.html Around 20% of their total revenue of $321m was made up of government assistance ($62m). And her...

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - August 2020

There are 3 points about REX that give me hope that they will succeed with a jet fleet 1 they claim to have never had loss Past performance doesn't mean a thing. They've never operated jet aircraft, they're going from a 36 seat aircraft to a 180 seat aircraft. 2 this is despite relatively low load ...

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - August 2020

They may also pick up more regional pax helping fill flights. But I don't think that is their primary business case for launching capital city services. They want the Point ot Point traffic and there should be enough demand for them to fill 10 aircraft. Unfortunately you have 2 significantly larger...

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - August 2020

QF seem to think sending there 789s off to storage makes more sense. Yet NZ is operating there 789s up 6x daily into Australia with most being only freight. Yep QF would know better than most of us what is best for their fleet :roll: What NZ does with their fleet is not particularly relevant to QF ...

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - July 2020

I found this rundown of Virgin sponsorships online: with the AFL; with AFL clubs Carlton, Greater Western Sydney and Gold Coast; as naming rights sponsor of the Supercars championship since 2016; as well as with the Australian Chamber Orchestra, Belvoir Street Theatre, Queensland Ballet, Virgin Aus...

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - July 2020

http://xmirus.com/portfolio/deutsche-bank-place/ This says theyre still there? I dont recall them moving out to Mascot?. The site you've linked to is the site of project management consultancy who were involved in the initial development of DB Place, so I wouldn't be relying on that website for a l...

Re: End of an era: Last Qantas 747 retired today

My first flight on a QF 747 was to HKG, my last flight on QF 747 was to HND last year. Glad I had that final opportunity to travel on her.

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - July 2020

Even with the capacity cuts, it can command the routes it does operate. EK is on terms with QF, EY is down, it's really only QR they have to contend with on the Kangaroo route. CX ain't going anywhere, KE, OZ, JL, NH, TG, CZ, CA, GA, and AI are either focused on other areas or on the floor. Well of...

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - July 2020

Rex having another dig at QF for starting a new route to OAG on 20th July calling it predatory. Rexs' most expensive fare on this route is over $500 and they sell still them at peak times. REX has asked the government to "review" any assistance provided to Qantas under the various COVID-1...

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - July 2020

I'm away that this is way out there and likely impossible for hundreds of reasons so don't berate me but if VA REALLY wanted to do some slot sitting, could they wet lease a plane and crew from ANA ? Yup it's a silly suggestion. You wet lease an aircraft where you don't have spare aircraft/staff, VA...

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - July 2020

gpasternak wrote:

From my armchair CEO position, if VA flew to AKL, HND, LAX/SFO and code shared with Star Alliance members NZ/NH/UA/AC/CA/BR it might be a small but successful operation.

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - June 2020

Flymetothemoono wrote:

7 aircraft would be better. 3 each at Syd & Mel & a spare.
.

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - June 2020

I agree, I would also argue VA may have a tough time selling tickets. Whilst their brand isnt damaged, people will lack confidence. Why would they have a tough time selling tickets? They're a known quantity, have just been freshly recapitalised and have an existing frequent flyer program and base t...

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - June 2020

The problem with a small fleet and tight turns is that delays knock on throughout the day and by the end of the day your entire schedule is stuffed. This was Tiger's issue also. Yup, Tiger's issue was exacerbated by the fact that small fleet was spread across multiple destinations (SYD/MEL/BNE/CNS/...

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - June 2020

I don’t believe that an ATR42 is that much bigger in size. 48 sears versus 34. Given that they will be offering a “Business Light” product on their proposed NB jets, they may offer something sort of similar. Instead of 2x1 seating, it may just be 2x2 but with a few more inches of legroom. In absolu...

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - June 2020

So REX has gone from a speculative $200m capital injection/equity raise to now raising "at least $30m" to fund capital city services. 5-10 jets means Rex can only offer services every 1-2 hours out of SYD/MEL/BNE compared with QF/VA who offered frequency up to every 30 mins in peak times (...