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by toxtethogrady
Thu Jan 18, 2018 1:28 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Theoretical 777-based replacement for 747?
Replies: 83
Views: 8429

Re: Theoretical 777-based replacement for 747?

parapente wrote:
The market (Emirates) have just spoken this morning.Its called the A380.


Emirates is still the only carrier willing to buy in bulk. But then, they have a rather unique business model.

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by toxtethogrady
Thu Jan 18, 2018 1:27 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Theoretical 777-based replacement for 747?
Replies: 83
Views: 8429

Re: 777-10 to be Boeing's 747 replacement.

But we don't need a VLA. The 747 8i has sold terribly, the A380 is on the brink of ending production if Emirates doesn't order more, and the 777-9 is already being pushed into a niche as possibly the largest available aircraft. And in fact, the new generation 777 is not selling great guns, either. ...

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by toxtethogrady
Thu Jan 18, 2018 1:23 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates signs a commitment for 36 additional A380's
Replies: 366
Views: 40419

Re: Emirates signs a commitment for 36 additional A380's

So are these enough frames to keep the line running? I'm not sure. At current rates, it's another 2-3 years, but they really need a Chinese order to make the airplane more sustainable.

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by toxtethogrady
Thu Jan 11, 2018 1:33 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DELTA announces 2017 profit $5.5 Billion USD
Replies: 61
Views: 11453

Re: DELTA announces 2017 profit $5.5 Billion USD

Keep an eye on oil prices - now close to $64 a barrel. Delta's refinery might be a hedge, but if this is the new normal, this year's results may be hard to duplicate.

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by toxtethogrady
Tue Jan 09, 2018 12:39 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus to increase A320 production in Tianjin
Replies: 8
Views: 1163

Re: Airbus to increase A320 production in Tianjin

http://awin.aviationweek.com/ArticlesSt ... dde5bcc479
-->

More on China's Airbus plans is in this morning's Aviation Week Intelligence Network. A330-900s and A380s are a possibility, which could lead to assembly of some components of the A380 in China.
http://awin.aviationweek.com/ArticlesSt ... dde5bcc479

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by toxtethogrady
Mon Jan 08, 2018 2:11 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Iran Air and Boeing announcing agreement to order 50 Boeing 737's and 30 Boeing 777's
Replies: 214
Views: 45827

Re: Iran Air saying deal signed to order 50 Boeing 737's and 30 Boeing 777's

kaitak wrote:
Well, let's see how Trump helps jobs in America.


He's a bit preoccupied at the moment, stable genius that he is...

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by toxtethogrady
Mon Jan 08, 2018 2:05 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus rolls out first A321neo ACF
Replies: 53
Views: 14350

Re: Airbus rolls out first A321neo ACF

The first A321neo ACF is now out in the open. First delivery scheduled for mid-2018. Press release http://www.airbus.com/newsroom/press-releases/en/2018/01/airbus-rolls-out-first-a321neo-acf.html https://imagr.eu/up/4zJBC_A321neo-ACF-Roll-Out.jpg The livery does not disguise their expectations for ...

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by toxtethogrady
Mon Jan 08, 2018 1:42 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Norwegian reveals its biggest ever year of growth in 2018
Replies: 95
Views: 13380

Re: Norwegian reveals its biggest ever year of growth in 2018

It does. It doesn't favor longer thinner markets and low fares.

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by toxtethogrady
Fri Jan 05, 2018 5:30 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Turkish Airlines to purchase up to 25 A350s
Replies: 47
Views: 10827

Re: Turkish Airlines to purchase up to 25 A350s

TK has also been rumored to be a customer for the A380, but I guess the political instability in the country doesn't make that possible.

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by toxtethogrady
Fri Jan 05, 2018 5:27 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: LAX Eastern Expansion
Replies: 7
Views: 2155

Re: LAX Eastern Expansion

As I recall, LA officials agreed to a cap on gate and hardstand positions at LAX, as part of the agreement to permit TBIT to be built. Eastward expansion may be of interest to some of the carriers, but the agreement with the neighborhoods will have to be revised to allow it to happen.

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by toxtethogrady
Wed Jan 03, 2018 8:48 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Transportation Research Board - Annual Meeting
Replies: 0
Views: 96

Transportation Research Board - Annual Meeting

TRB Week starts Sunday (1/7/2018), and the Aviation Group has plenty of sessions, workshops and committee meetings scheduled at the Convention Center in Washington, DC. There's also the Aviation Caucus Monday evening reception for aviation professionals of all stripes. So what are the big issues for...

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by toxtethogrady
Wed Jan 03, 2018 8:35 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: IAH/HOU Aviation Thread 2018
Replies: 63
Views: 5243

Re: IAH/HOU Aviation Thread 2018

drerx7 wrote:
Delta and AA seem to be stagnant in Houston. Spirit and Frontier seem utilize the 321 regularly here though.


That seems to make sense, as right now, the locals are looking for discounts. But we may see more business travel if WTI remains as high as it is...

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by toxtethogrady
Wed Jan 03, 2018 8:33 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: IAH/HOU Aviation Thread 2018
Replies: 63
Views: 5243

Re: IAH/HOU Aviation Thread 2018

Oil has crept back above $61 a barrel. I would start watching passenger trends out of the two airports, as some of the locals could start feeling flush again...

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by toxtethogrady
Wed Jan 03, 2018 8:30 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: El Al will launch flights to San Francisco Q4 2018
Replies: 68
Views: 9017

Re: El Al will launch flights to San Francisco Q4 2018

I'm actually surprised El Al hasn't tried to strike up a few deals with some of the megachurches and begun service to Texas.

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by toxtethogrady
Wed Jan 03, 2018 8:24 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Norwegian reveals its biggest ever year of growth in 2018
Replies: 95
Views: 13380

Re: Norwegian reveals its biggest ever year of growth in 2018

Oil just approached $62 a barrel (WTI). I think the good times will be over soon.

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by toxtethogrady
Wed Dec 27, 2017 4:16 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Ben Gurion Expansion
Replies: 1
Views: 1153

Ben Gurion Expansion

With traffic up 17% YoY, Tel Aviv's Ben Gurion Airport is planning an expansion...
http://www.aviationpros.com/news/12388356/ben-gurion-airport-to-undergo-major-expansion

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by toxtethogrady
Fri Dec 15, 2017 7:35 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Rumor: CX to leave OW for Star
Replies: 86
Views: 18500

Re: Rumor: CX to leave OW for Star

ldvaviation wrote:
toxtethogrady wrote:
If this is indeed confirmed, I guess we can dust off those rumors of IAH-HKG...


It has NOT been confirmed.

In many ways, it makes no sense.


That's an entirely different discussion. The aviation industry has been given to making any number of seemingly nonsensical business decisions.

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by toxtethogrady
Thu Dec 14, 2017 6:47 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: CX announces HKG-IAD with A350-1000
Replies: 77
Views: 21206

Re: CX to launch IAD

zakuivcustom wrote:
As for IAD > DFW: I don't see HKG being able to sustain 2x daily flight between HKG and DFW. The demand is not there yet.


If the rumors about CX leaving OneWorld have any credibility, they don't need to serve DFW.

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by toxtethogrady
Thu Dec 14, 2017 6:38 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Rumor: CX to leave OW for Star
Replies: 86
Views: 18500

Re: Rumor: CX to leave OW for Star

If this is indeed confirmed, I guess we can dust off those rumors of IAH-HKG...

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by toxtethogrady
Tue Nov 28, 2017 2:41 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Istanbul New Airport, Latest Pictures
Replies: 86
Views: 25387

Re: Istanbul New Airport, Latest Pictures

airbazar wrote:
toxtethogrady wrote:
DWC wrote:
Here are other pictures I Googled
Image


Gee, it's the world's largest joystick! :duck:

Careful, you'r showing your age :lol:


Hey, I'm allowed to! :cheerful:

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by toxtethogrady
Mon Nov 27, 2017 3:10 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Mumbai Airport Breaks World Record for Number of Flights in 24 Hours
Replies: 21
Views: 8048

Re: Mumbai Airport Breaks World Record for Number of Flights in 24 Hours

What they really should have said is Mumbai has two crossing runways that operate dependently. That's a little different from single-runway operations such as London City or Funchal. But that's still a lot of airplanes to process in a single day. As for averages, the practical limit for any runway o...

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by toxtethogrady
Mon Nov 20, 2017 5:06 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Istanbul New Airport, Latest Pictures
Replies: 86
Views: 25387

Re: Istanbul New Airport, Latest Pictures

DWC wrote:
Here are other pictures I Googled
Image


Gee, it's the world's largest joystick! :duck:

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by toxtethogrady
Mon Nov 20, 2017 4:50 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Amedeo looks to set up airline to utilize A380s
Replies: 88
Views: 43537

Re: Amedeo looks to set up airline to utilize A380s

LAXintl wrote:
Lapidus believes that the air transport industry is ripe for disruption


I think that's what Emirates is all about.

Are we about to see Dublin redevelop itself into an A380 hub?

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by toxtethogrady
Fri Nov 17, 2017 6:40 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA adding DFW-KEF
Replies: 171
Views: 18893

Re: AA adding DFW-KEF

sw733 wrote:
toxtethogrady wrote:
West Coast-KEF is already served. The catchment is going to be limited to the Midwest.


Already served by whom?


WOW is already in SFO and LAX.

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by toxtethogrady
Wed Nov 15, 2017 3:20 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: BA reported to be in talks to acquire SQ A380s
Replies: 78
Views: 32110

Re: BA reported to be in talks to acquire SQ A380s

This is going to be the final nail in the coffin for new build A380s. Why should an airline buy new airframes when they can purchase gently used examples with another 15+ years of life for a relative song? Seems like Airbus to EK to bargain hunters is going to be the new "trickle down". I...

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by toxtethogrady
Wed Nov 15, 2017 3:16 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates may fully restore capacity on flights to the U.S. as demand recovers
Replies: 24
Views: 5602

Re: Emirates may fully restore capacity on flights to the U.S. as demand recovers

TryToFlySomeday wrote:
I really hope EK does go back to double daily in SEA and LAX. Provides more choice for my cousin in LAS. I'd also like to see EK fly an A380 to DFW, IAH and ORD again.


You'll know EK is seriously ramping back up when the A380s return to Texas.

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by toxtethogrady
Wed Nov 15, 2017 1:39 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA adding DFW-KEF
Replies: 171
Views: 18893

Re: AA adding DFW-KEF

West Coast-KEF is already served. The catchment is going to be limited to the Midwest.

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by toxtethogrady
Thu Nov 09, 2017 6:11 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: News about new World Airways (ULCC start up)
Replies: 30
Views: 4572

Re: News about new World Airways (ULCC start up)

It's a Laker Airways retread. Off the website...

"...We plan to announce our new brand look and feel within the next few weeks, under the direction of our Founding CMO, Freddie Laker...”

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by toxtethogrady
Thu Nov 09, 2017 6:06 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: China to order 300 Boeings
Replies: 61
Views: 14630

Re: China to order 300 Boeings

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles ... or-america

"...Boeing Co.’s $37 billion aircraft order consists mostly of previously agreed deals, according to officials with knowledge of the matter..."
-->

Bloomberg weighs in...

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles ... or-america

"...Boeing Co.’s $37 billion aircraft order consists mostly of previously agreed deals, according to officials with knowledge of the matter..."

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by toxtethogrady
Thu Nov 09, 2017 6:01 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Progress On JFK TWA Terminal 5 Hotel Project (PICS)
Replies: 78
Views: 11914

Re: Progress On JFK TWA Terminal 5 Hotel Project (PICS)

[img] And a few renders of what it is supposed to end up looking like, that seem to be better than the earlier ones we had, IIRC: http://static6.businessinsider.com/image/59d404c9c68d7b29008b732f-1200/now-mcr-is-redeveloping-the-site-with-the-addition-of-two-hotel-towers-and-a-total-of-505-guest-ro...

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by toxtethogrady
Tue Nov 07, 2017 5:29 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Poland Gets an Airport
Replies: 3
Views: 724

Poland Gets an Airport

A pretty big one - $10 billion US investment to build a facility capable of 100 million passengers, somewhere between Warsaw and Lodz. In a country where passenger counts currently sit at 34 million a year. Hub dreams... https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-11-07/poland-approves-plan-to-buil...

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by toxtethogrady
Tue Nov 07, 2017 5:26 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why no IAH-HKG on UA or CX?
Replies: 53
Views: 5635

Re: Why no IAH-HKG on UA or CX?

I think AUS in this case means American US, which makes more sense...

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by toxtethogrady
Mon Nov 06, 2017 7:56 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why no IAH-HKG on UA or CX?
Replies: 53
Views: 5635

Re: Why no IAH-HKG on UA or CX?

I am referring to the banking industry. Houston is weak in that sector. Texas hasn't had much of a banking sector since its banks went belly-up in the late '80s. Houston has a large delegation of foreign banks, for whatever that's worth. But Hong Kong is more than just finance. HKG is a global hub ...

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by toxtethogrady
Mon Nov 06, 2017 5:39 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why no IAH-HKG on UA or CX?
Replies: 53
Views: 5635

Re: Why no IAH-HKG on UA or CX?

notconcerned wrote:
PVG is another major city not served by IAH. But as many others have stated, IAH is already well served with connections to NRT, PEK, TPE and multiple 1-stop options (along with SFO connections).


The rumors of China Eastern persist...

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by toxtethogrady
Mon Nov 06, 2017 5:37 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why no IAH-HKG on UA or CX?
Replies: 53
Views: 5635

Re: Why no IAH-HKG on UA or CX?

DFW-HKG would not exist without OneWorld. As the Etihad experience seems to have confirmed, DFW is not much of an international market without AA's support.

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by toxtethogrady
Fri Nov 03, 2017 8:12 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus Working With Emirates on New Order for Flagship A380
Replies: 948
Views: 703589

Re: Airbus Working With Emirates on New Order for Flagship A380

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-11-03/airbus-working-with-emirates-on-new-order-for-flagship-a380 says: I suppose if EK makes a big enough commitment to replace existing A380s and others replace some subset of their fleets it can limp along at its current rate for a decade, no? At some...

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by toxtethogrady
Fri Nov 03, 2017 8:06 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Etihad to drop Dallas DFW
Replies: 89
Views: 15729

Re: Etihad to drop Dallas DFW

I guess this was supposed to be a shot across the bow at AA, but I'm not sure AA is paying attention. Clearly, Etihad without AA has no need to be at DFW...

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by toxtethogrady
Fri Nov 03, 2017 8:04 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Passengers "Who Just Met", Join Mile High Club, Get Arrested on DL
Replies: 59
Views: 12548

Re: Passengers "Who Just Met", Join Mile High Club, Get Arrested on DL

questions wrote:
However, I am curious...


Yellow or blue?

(Okay, those of you who don't get the reference are much younger than me...)

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by toxtethogrady
Wed Nov 01, 2017 3:07 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United's future at Dulles
Replies: 72
Views: 11457

Re: United's future at Dulles

I couldn't find any threads talking about United at Dulles. In particular what we should expect in the future. At the moment United operates just over 200 flights a day to 102 destinations. Could we see an increase in daily flights and/or destinations and what routes could we see open or close? Cou...

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by toxtethogrady
Wed Nov 01, 2017 3:02 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Will we ever see US to Vietnam nonstop?
Replies: 31
Views: 7492

Re: Will we ever see US to Vietnam nonstop?

continental004 wrote:
If anyone operates USA-Vietnam nonstop it’ll undoubtedly be VN. A big fat MAYBE on UA from SFO.


I would not rule out Vietjet. Perhaps first to Honolulu and then to the US West Coast.

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by toxtethogrady
Wed Nov 01, 2017 3:00 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Passengers "Who Just Met", Join Mile High Club, Get Arrested on DL
Replies: 59
Views: 12548

Re: Passengers "Who Just Met", Join Mile High Club, Get Arrested on DL

I love how the focus is that they "just met". Shaming???? LOL "A man, 28, and woman, 48, who had just met, were caught committing a ### act in their seats on a Delta flight Sunday from Los Angeles to Detroit, WDIV-TV (Channel 4) reports." http://www.freep.com/story/news/local/mi...

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by toxtethogrady
Wed Nov 01, 2017 2:19 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Rumor: United close to acquire 30-40 used A319/A320
Replies: 91
Views: 22318

Re: Rumor: United close to acquire 30-40 used A319/A320

I remember the days when Easyjet would have been acquiring the jets from United, not the other way around.

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by toxtethogrady
Tue Oct 31, 2017 7:19 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Bahamasair to start IAH
Replies: 17
Views: 2977

Re: Bahamasair to start IAH

http://www.chron.com/business/bizfeed/a ... 272540.php
-->

Absolute surprise to me. They're showing up in two weeks. Hope they can increase it beyond two flights a week.
http://www.chron.com/business/bizfeed/a ... 272540.php

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by toxtethogrady
Thu Oct 19, 2017 4:09 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United reports 2017Q3 earnings
Replies: 106
Views: 15459

Re: United reports 2017Q3 earnings

LAXintl wrote:
diluted earnings per share of $2.12


Given Hurricane Harvey, I'd say the earnings were diluted... :duck:

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by toxtethogrady
Thu Oct 19, 2017 4:02 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: LATAM Brasil eyes LIS and BOS in 2018
Replies: 41
Views: 4716

Re: LATAM Brasil eyes LIS and BOS in 2018

EddieDude wrote:
GRU-BOS on JJ is a bit surprising


Or perhaps not. Big Portuguese market in New England. It's the reason the Cape Verde airlines are there.

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by toxtethogrady
Thu Oct 19, 2017 4:00 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Thai Airways (TG) confirms intent to return to the US
Replies: 179
Views: 19306

Re: Thai Airways hopes to return to US - nonstop to California/New York

I have a feeling that even if a non-stop BKK-SFO, BKK-LAX, and BKK-JFK were launched, it would not do well at all. First of all, Thailand is a low yielding tourist market which doesn't really seem to attract business travelers. I would not discount the medical tourism market, where Thailand excels....

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by toxtethogrady
Tue Jun 13, 2017 12:23 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: IAH's Future International Carriers
Replies: 13
Views: 3083

Re: IAH's Futute International Carriers

Whats going on at AI for pick IAH or DFW? I thought they already picked is DFW and IAH is out. They can't seem to make up their mind. But AI is a Star Alliance carrier, which would favor IAH. Times of India: http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/city/guwahati/air-india-mulls-thailand-china-flights-fro...

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