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by DobboDobbo
Sun Jan 21, 2018 12:50 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: MAN news - 2018
Replies: 45
Views: 1111

Re: MAN news 57: Seattle calling

ORD is being cut to seasonal as AA have an aircraft issue. The 767 is being drawn down, and the 757 is to be cut from the ORD base entirely. Seems they won't have a Transatlantic narrowbody at ORD for a while. The situation regarding entry points is probably going to be impacted by the Alaskan take...

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by DobboDobbo
Fri Jan 19, 2018 11:25 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: MAN news - 2018
Replies: 45
Views: 1111

Re: MAN news 57: Seattle calling

Steering the topic back on to Manchester... I've noticed that there are no American Airlines flights to Chicago past 04th September, is that the end or just that they've not put the next two months of flights in? (It wouldn't surprise me if it was indeed the end since I'm planning on Chicago for my...

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by DobboDobbo
Thu Jan 18, 2018 11:29 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: VS to lease 4 A332's to cover 789 downtime
Replies: 183
Views: 52607

Re: VS to lease 4 A332's to cover 789 downtime

Cheers Skipness - yes, I was referring the the A333 in percentage as opposed to gross terms. If they aim for a MAN specific configuration, on the A332 and possibly A333, you'd probably focus on a decent sized PE cabin. I understand UC does okay, but if VS want to regularly fill seats, compete with T...

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by DobboDobbo
Thu Jan 18, 2018 9:09 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: VS to lease 4 A332's to cover 789 downtime
Replies: 183
Views: 52607

Re: VS to lease 4 A332's to cover 789 downtime

The A333s have served VS well on MAN-ATL/JFK/SFO/BOS/BGI/LAS, and these are (or at least were before renovation of upper class) the most premium heavy configuration in their fleet. Whether that is best for the MAN market, I don't know, but I would imagine if they plan to keep them for any period lon...

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by DobboDobbo
Wed Jan 17, 2018 7:43 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: MAN news - 2018
Replies: 45
Views: 1111

Re: MAN news 57: Seattle calling

Hainan will be 4 weekly barring July-October when it will be daily. Whilst 4x weekly is not to be sniffed at, this is a slightly odd one given the fanfare of how the route was performing better than expected a few weeks ago. I don't know how it places MAN to get services to CAN and PVG, with both s...

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by DobboDobbo
Wed Jan 17, 2018 5:22 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: MAN news - 2018
Replies: 45
Views: 1111

Re: MAN news 57: Seattle calling

I believe the unusual current flight numbers have led to speculation CX had provisionally allocated numbers for a late afternoon/early evening arrival/departure.

I think this plan has been shelved, so don't expect anything before 2019.

EDIT - I'd go with what User001 thinks...

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by DobboDobbo
Wed Jan 17, 2018 4:25 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: VS to lease 4 A332's to cover 789 downtime
Replies: 183
Views: 52607

Re: VS to lease 4 A332's to cover 789 downtime

How’s the interior of these aircraft? Do they have PTV’s? It hat be a pain to not have product consistency. I think the PTV answer is, yes, but to Air Berlin standard so probabably not a consistent product. I understand the plan is to renovate the interior to introduce VS products (including premiu...

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by DobboDobbo
Wed Jan 17, 2018 3:24 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: VS to lease 4 A332's to cover 789 downtime
Replies: 183
Views: 52607

Re: VS to lease 4 A332's to cover 789 downtime

AFAIK they're on initial 1 year leases, with a view to extend these if that's successful. These will be the smallest AC in the fleet and could really help for lower demand routes in season downtime whilst giving more slack in the summer, and allowing more frequencies. Virgin Holidays seems to be gr...

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by DobboDobbo
Tue Jan 16, 2018 2:15 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: VS to lease 4 A332's to cover 789 downtime
Replies: 183
Views: 52607

Re: VS to lease 4 A332's to cover 789 downtime

It'll be interesting to see what, if anything, VS do with these airframes once the B789 issues are resolved. If they want to expand, will they use these airframes? Or can they cascade enough A333s when more A35K and B789 arrive? I suspect they offer a better rate of return than the A346, so my guess...

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by DobboDobbo
Tue Jan 16, 2018 10:35 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Potential New AA routes from CLT
Replies: 97
Views: 7426

Re: Potential New AA routes from CLT

CLT-MAN, maybe, but if the entire plane is just going to connect to Florida (inevitably it will), just fly it to MIA instead. I'd never say never, but AA has struggled at MAN in the last year or two. ORD has retreated to a short summer season, and JFK has been cut. There are "non-MAN" fac...

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by DobboDobbo
Fri Jan 12, 2018 9:45 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: MAN news - 2018
Replies: 45
Views: 1111

Re: MAN news 57: Seattle calling

Good to see El Al (sounds like mainline now) looking like it's appearing.

With a fair wind, we may see a couple more European flag carriers appear in the coming months.

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by DobboDobbo
Thu Jan 11, 2018 8:34 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: MAN news - 2018
Replies: 45
Views: 1111

Re: MAN news 57: Seattle calling

Annual figures out.. 27.79 million or up 8 5% http://www.bqlive.co.uk/transport-infrastructure/2018/01/11/news/manchester-airport-celebrates-a-bumper-year-29895/ Here is MAG's press release: http://mediacentre.magairports.com/mags-three-airports-serve-4-million-more-passengers-in-2017/ 2017 total: ...

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by DobboDobbo
Mon Jan 08, 2018 9:05 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: MAN news - 2018
Replies: 45
Views: 1111

Re: MAN news 57: Seattle calling

It seems the expanded UK-China bilateral (+50 new weekly return flights) excludes London routes. https://www.flightglobal.com/news/articles/london-excluded-from-extra-uk-china-frequencies-444675/ I've seen rumours of Air China to Shanghai, Hainan to Guangzhou and Xiaman to Xiamen speculated elsewhere.

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by DobboDobbo
Tue Jan 02, 2018 11:34 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: IAH/HOU Aviation Thread 2018
Replies: 63
Views: 5246

Re: IAH/HOU Aviation Thread 2018

quote="DobboDobbo"]DME also, did well due to cargo as well. Though right now it low season for Europe travel. It nice to fly to MAN then take a train to London, save money on buying flight to LHR on BA or UA. The position with cargo broadly reflects the position with passengers. SIN-IAH i...

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by DobboDobbo
Tue Jan 02, 2018 9:57 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: IAH/HOU Aviation Thread 2018
Replies: 63
Views: 5246

Re: IAH/HOU Aviation Thread 2018

It's worth keeping an eye on SQ over the winter. SIN-IAH traffic has been steady, but low, at roughly 55-70 passengers per sector flown. The route therefore needs strong demand MAN-IAH to continue viability. Over the summer months traffic on the MAN-IAH sector was good, but over winter it has droppe...

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by DobboDobbo
Mon Jan 01, 2018 5:19 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: BHX and TATL
Replies: 37
Views: 4583

Re: BHX and TATL

Bhx can fill 2 a380s from EK a day eastbound, you would think it could take a 777 westbound TATL at the very least I think going east you have the double whammy of a dominant carrier (EK) able to funnel large volumes of passengers through its hub before distributing them around Africa, Far East, In...

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by DobboDobbo
Sun Dec 31, 2017 11:00 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: VS to lease 4 A332's to cover 789 downtime
Replies: 183
Views: 52607

Re: VS to lease 4 A332's to cover 789 downtime

The plan for the A332s during S18 is to service ANU, BGI, and UVF temporarily from Gatwick. https://www.routesonline.com/news/38/airlineroute/276336/virgin-atlantic-outlines-a330-200-london-network-in-s18/ Agreed. In the short term, not all the A332s are MAN based, but I would guess they will be by...

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by DobboDobbo
Sun Dec 31, 2017 10:00 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Forward Bookings on Qantas PER-LHR exceeding expectations
Replies: 56
Views: 13779

Re: Forward Bookings on Qantas PER-LHR exceeding expectations

While London is obviously the the big hitter, some of those passenger levels are nothing to sneeze at. Paris is sitting right at 250,000 a year, and thats 500+ passengers a day. QF would only have to capture less than half of that to make it work, which isn't really a stretch. Really there is a few...

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by DobboDobbo
Sun Dec 31, 2017 12:20 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Forward Bookings on Qantas PER-LHR exceeding expectations
Replies: 56
Views: 13779

Re: Forward Bookings on Qantas PER-LHR exceeding expectations

Per the graphic in the below article, there is an enormous gap between Australia-London demand, and the next highest (Paris and Manchester). In short, I don't think anyone can expect a rapid expansion of QF services into any European port aside from London in the near future. https://blueswandaily.c...

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by DobboDobbo
Sat Dec 30, 2017 11:36 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: VS to lease 4 A332's to cover 789 downtime
Replies: 183
Views: 52607

Re: VS to lease 4 A332's to cover 789 downtime

Also the fleet of Malaysian indicates they are going to want the newest frames from AerCap and Virgin only needs them for a year or so. The impression I have is that VS will keep these for longer than 1 year, something like 4-5 years (refitting with VS hard products). Indication is that they wanted...

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by DobboDobbo
Fri Dec 29, 2017 11:19 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Chicago aviation news - 2017
Replies: 206
Views: 28568

Re: Chicago Aviation News

AA’s loss is UA’s and others’ gains. Maybe they’ll add more when T5 expands, but AA seems comfortable with seasonal flights and letting OneWorld partners handle all. I wouldn’t be surprised if AA dropped ORD-MAN and it was picked up by UA or BA. If UA wasn’t so awful, they could be kicking AAs ass....

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by DobboDobbo
Fri Dec 29, 2017 11:06 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Washington State air service discussion 2017
Replies: 330
Views: 26475

Re: Washington State air service discussion

Less realistic: -MT extends the season for SEA-MAN during S19 I think this is right, the aircraft MT will use on the route is leased from "air tanker" which has no IFE. For a 10 (or thereabouts) hour sector, that is a major issue. I'd be surprised if MT bring the route back next year, but...

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by DobboDobbo
Tue Dec 12, 2017 5:47 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boston aviation - 2017
Replies: 1559
Views: 167843

Re: Boston Aviation - Part 13

Well MT can't be doing so bad on BOS-MAN, they've upped themselves to 3x weekly (1,3,5) for the Summer 18 reason, I think this season was only 2x weekly and coupled with VS's 2x. https://www.thomascookairlines.com/en/generated/timetable_S2018.pdf There are indications VS might try MAN-BOS year roun...

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by DobboDobbo
Tue Dec 12, 2017 10:49 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: MAN news - 2017 (57): Seattle calling
Replies: 141
Views: 36041

Re: MAN news 57: Seattle calling

November 2017 stats A conflicting story. Passenger numbers continue to grow at just under 2% despite Monarch's collapse, but cargo is substantially down. Passengers Rolling 12 month: 27,764,247 November 2017: 1,731,446 November YoY change: +1.9% Cargo November 2017: 10,232 November YoY change: -4.9%...

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by DobboDobbo
Mon Dec 11, 2017 9:48 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: VS to lease 4 A332's to cover 789 downtime
Replies: 183
Views: 52607

Re: VS to lease 4 A332's to cover 789 downtime

It sounds like VS are loading the new seatplans (i.e. for A332) on their schedules. I can't seem to find any. Which routes did you put in for dates? I was only getting 747s and A330-300s :banghead: Hi James, it should be generally available. Don't know if there is a distinction between desktop/mobi...

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by DobboDobbo
Sun Dec 10, 2017 9:50 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: MAN news - 2017 (57): Seattle calling
Replies: 141
Views: 36041

Re: MAN news 57: Seattle calling

In VS news (discussed on separate thread) is appears that VS are leasing some (reported up to 4) ex Air Berlin A332s to base at MAN so the A333s can cover B789 shortage at LHR (caused by engine trouble). There will be painted and internally refitted to VS standards by the start of the summer season....

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by DobboDobbo
Sun Dec 10, 2017 8:18 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: VS to lease 4 A332's to cover 789 downtime
Replies: 183
Views: 52607

Re: VS to lease 4 A332's to cover 789 downtime

It sounds like VS are loading the new seatplans (i.e. for A332) on their schedules.

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by DobboDobbo
Thu Dec 07, 2017 9:58 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: VS to lease 4 A332's to cover 789 downtime
Replies: 183
Views: 52607

Re: VS to lease 4 A332's to cover 789 downtime

Whilst MAN is having to play the poor relation to LHR, this is no great surprise given (aside from anything else) the slot position at LHR. I have no problem with this. On the positive side, it feels like VS are going to a decent amount of effort to keep the MAN programme going. I don't know whethe...

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by DobboDobbo
Wed Dec 06, 2017 9:27 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: VS to lease 4 A332's to cover 789 downtime
Replies: 183
Views: 52607

Re: VS to lease 4 A332's to cover 789 downtime

Whilst MAN is having to play the poor relation to LHR, this is no great surprise given (aside from anything else) the slot position at LHR. I have no problem with this. On the positive side, it feels like VS are going to a decent amount of effort to keep the MAN programme going. I don't know whether...

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by DobboDobbo
Tue Dec 05, 2017 8:46 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: VS to lease 4 A332's to cover 789 downtime
Replies: 183
Views: 52607

Re: VS to lease 4 A332's to cover 789 downtime

It would rather kill the S18 expansion...

I had thought DL were covering VS' LHR routes but I wonder if either the problem is worse than initially thought or DL don't have the slack in their system.

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by DobboDobbo
Tue Dec 05, 2017 8:44 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: MAN news - 2017 (57): Seattle calling
Replies: 141
Views: 36041

Re: MAN news 57: Seattle calling

Internaute wrote:
I’ve been told that MAN may be in line for an increased frequency from the Winter ‘18 timetable, still on A350.


You would assume the non-consecutive flight numbers (CX219/CX216) is with one eye to this, but you never know what the future holds.

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by DobboDobbo
Tue Nov 28, 2017 10:55 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - November 2017
Replies: 369
Views: 23922

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - November 2017

the loads on DOH-AKL aren't that stellar (although much better than DXB-AKL A380). I hadn't realised that the A380 DXB-AKL loads were poor. Elaborate? That's reflective of my experience. DXD-AKL - packed. AKL-DXB - 50% loaded at best (some of this may be due to blocking seats, but this went beyond ...

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by DobboDobbo
Tue Nov 28, 2017 1:07 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - November 2017
Replies: 369
Views: 23922

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - November 2017

IMHO, NZ and SQ should co-ordinate - either: - Replace SQ's daily 77W with a 10x weekly service (likely on the 359) - Add 3x additional NZ flights per week (either on the 772, 77W or 789) This would allow for more connections to EZE. Cheers, C. I think a tweak to SQ's SIN-AKL service would also hel...

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by DobboDobbo
Fri Nov 24, 2017 9:58 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - November 2017
Replies: 369
Views: 23922

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - November 2017

Have to say, the SQ European flights (departing mid-morning European time) don't connect well coming back from AKL, CHC, WEL. The connection into NZ's SIN-AKL is pretty good, but SQ (I think they are in a JV with ANZ on these routes?) could probably pick up more market share EU-NZ with some relativ...

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by DobboDobbo
Thu Nov 23, 2017 2:52 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: MAN news - 2017 (57): Seattle calling
Replies: 141
Views: 36041

Re: MAN news 57: Seattle calling

How is it that BA doesn't consider establishing a second hub at Manchester Ringway? Primarily, A320s and B788s (when the B78Js arrive; right now, it could be 3-class B772s) could be based there. I think this is a reasonable question. Its not a question about feasibility, or whether it would make mo...

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by DobboDobbo
Wed Nov 22, 2017 9:46 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - November 2017
Replies: 369
Views: 23922

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - November 2017

Have to say, the SQ European flights (departing mid-morning European time) don't connect well coming back from AKL, CHC, WEL. The connection into NZ's SIN-AKL is pretty good, but SQ (I think they are in a JV with ANZ on these routes?) could probably pick up more market share EU-NZ with some relative...

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by DobboDobbo
Wed Nov 22, 2017 6:22 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Which city may become JAL’s next international destination?
Replies: 199
Views: 23059

Re: Which city may become JAL’s next international destination?

Except size of the cities/airports is not the only thing in the world. DUS - Large Japanese presence, both in business and people. VIE - Actually no flights right now, with the flight restarting in May 2018. By OS and in addition to probable tourism demand to the region, tons of connection availabl...

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by DobboDobbo
Wed Nov 22, 2017 2:03 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Which city may become JAL’s next international destination?
Replies: 199
Views: 23059

Re: Which city may become JAL’s next international destination?

Here is a list of smaller airports in Europe with direct links to Tokyo: Oslo , Düsseldorf, Vienna, Brussels, Helsinki, Warsaw (Milan as well but that is an unusual situation). Actually OSL has no other connections to Asia than BKK (TG). Both OSL and ARN are missing a link to TYO. I stand corrected...

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by DobboDobbo
Wed Nov 22, 2017 1:26 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Which city may become JAL’s next international destination?
Replies: 199
Views: 23059

Re: Which city may become JAL’s next international destination?

In the big picture, the UK is London and the rest is farmland. Whilst I agree ANA give the best chance of a MAN-TYO link, such decisions are made on the facts and not perception. In the bigger picture, the only city in Europe comparable with London is Paris, and even that is a stretch. The reality ...

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by DobboDobbo
Thu Nov 16, 2017 11:58 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA adding DFW-KEF
Replies: 171
Views: 18899

Re: AA adding DFW-KEF

BHXflyinghigh wrote:
I’m intrigued as to what ‘signs’ indicate SFO and BOS go year round when their initial summer run this year was cut short and hasn’t been increased next year AFAIK.


Like I say, and as you have noted, it is no better than signs at this stage, but take a look at OAG.

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by DobboDobbo
Wed Nov 15, 2017 9:09 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA adding DFW-KEF
Replies: 171
Views: 18899

Re: AA adding DFW-KEF

But VS can’t even maintain ATL and JFK daily through the winter months so I’m not sure what good throwing DTW into the mix would do. It’s quite clear to see that MAN’s US ops are gearing more and more towards leisure P2P and the more direct options TCX, and to a lesser extent VS, continue to add th...

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by DobboDobbo
Wed Nov 15, 2017 8:30 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA adding DFW-KEF
Replies: 171
Views: 18899

Re: AA adding DFW-KEF

At MAN the AA/BA JV is being soundly defeated by a combination of: (i) DL/VS flying into JFK/ATL with some P2P; (ii) TCX P2P flying; and (iii) the likes of SQ, UA and FI offering a diverse range of options. The market shows it's not a shrinking one, or that it lacks premium demand. One of the issues...

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by DobboDobbo
Tue Nov 14, 2017 11:09 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA adding DFW-KEF
Replies: 171
Views: 18899

Re: AA adding DFW-KEF

As for the ORD-MAN drawback, I think that it's a testament to a couple of things. First, there is just no business case for it anymore. The business traffic between the two cities is virtually nothing lately and AA could not sustain the losses during the winter months that it was incurring. Secondl...

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by DobboDobbo
Tue Nov 14, 2017 10:30 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA adding DFW-KEF
Replies: 171
Views: 18899

Re: AA adding DFW-KEF

Disappointing to see AA retreat further at MAN.

Having cut JFK, the long season on the B788 indicated AA were going to compete at ORD. Alas, their TATL network continues to shrink. The more DL/VS expand, the more AA contract. I wonder what moves are afoot behind this?

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by DobboDobbo
Mon Nov 13, 2017 3:31 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Thai Airways (TG) confirms intent to return to the US
Replies: 179
Views: 19309

Re: Thai Airways hopes to return to US - nonstop to California/New York

TG can preform much better in Europe for two main reasons I know of. 1) Thailand is a HUGE vacation market from Europe. The US, not so much at all. 2) TG carries a lot of passengers between Europe and Australia/New Zealand. All of which makes me question why TG don't appear to view BKK-MAN-JFK as a...

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by DobboDobbo
Mon Nov 13, 2017 11:14 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: MAN news - 2017 (57): Seattle calling
Replies: 141
Views: 36041

Re: MAN news 57: Seattle calling

MAN continues to grow in October. Obviously the full impact of Monarch's demise has not yet been felt, but it gives cause to believe the trajectory can remain an upward one. Rolling 12 month total: 27,732,67 October 2017 total: 2,404,521 Year on year growth: +3.1% Still larger in October than STN, s...

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by DobboDobbo
Sun Nov 12, 2017 7:52 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: UA new WB future positions and destinations
Replies: 28
Views: 5670

Re: UA new WB future positions and destinations

Assuming UA continue to redeploy the B752 on domestics, you might see a B763 or B788 on EWR-MAN (I don't know if UA plan on deploying the B787 to EWR).

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by DobboDobbo
Sat Nov 11, 2017 10:57 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Alex Cruz " vows to make BA a premium carrier again "
Replies: 40
Views: 8078

Re: Alex Cruz " vows to make BA a premium carrier again "

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pAXQ5POgUYI

Of interest, he is asked about more BA regional flying, including long haul. He does not deny it is being evaluated, but there is nothing imminent.
-->

Here is a recording of the interview.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pAXQ5POgUYI

Of interest, he is asked about more BA regional flying, including long haul. He does not deny it is being evaluated, but there is nothing imminent.

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by DobboDobbo
Tue Nov 07, 2017 7:35 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Which city may become JAL’s next international destination?
Replies: 199
Views: 23059

Re: Which city may become JAL’s next international destination?

One of the common misconceptions about MAN is that it only serves Manchester. That is squarely not the case. MAN also serves a catchment area that includes the cities of Leeds, Liverpool and Sheffield. Less clearly it also serves the cities of Newcastle and Birmingham. If you do not include Birmingh...

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by DobboDobbo
Mon Nov 06, 2017 2:51 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Which city may become JAL’s next international destination?
Replies: 199
Views: 23059

Re: Which city may become JAL’s next international destination?

The other market JL (or ANA) can capture from MAN is the Kangaroo route - of which MAN is the third largest market at the European end (after London and Paris). The Kangaroo route is also part of the reason why MAN-Middle East has the second largest capacity in Europe (after London) and also why you...

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