Search found 10330 matches

by keesje
Fri Dec 15, 2017 9:21 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: What will Delta replace the 777 fleet with and is DAL going to order more?
Replies: 39
Views: 4728

Re: What will Delta replace the 777 fleet with and is DAL going to order more?

The 777-8/-9s will be so much heavier than the XWB's that I'm wondering what will happen if Airbus enlarges the A350's a bit more and the 777-9's capacity advantage is less. https://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2014/12/9932311_14186689180693_0.png . Airbus must have shared concepts & launch c...

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by keesje
Fri Dec 15, 2017 1:25 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: What will Delta replace the 777 fleet with and is DAL going to order more?
Replies: 39
Views: 4728

Re: What will Delta replace the 777 fleet with and is DAL going to order more?

the 777-9 might be good for Delta's Pacific flights and if a NMA ever get launched it seems a good replacement for many Delta 767 routes.

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by keesje
Fri Dec 15, 2017 12:00 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: What will Delta replace the 777 fleet with and is DAL going to order more?
Replies: 39
Views: 4728

Re: What will Delta replace the 777 fleet with and is DAL going to order more?

The A350-900, A330-9 are close in capacity to Delta 777-200ER's. The 744s are a different question, they are much larger than A350-900s.

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by keesje
Thu Dec 14, 2017 2:25 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: What can Boeing do to get an edge over Airbus?
Replies: 61
Views: 8077

Re: What can Boeing do to get an edge over Airbus?

Build some bigger 737-follow on that is based on 787 technology and the 777X production robots. Optimize the narrowbody-diameter by using CFRP to carry cargo containers. Maybe provide modular wing sizes. Not everybody needs to go transpacific all the time. Probably. Something 10% more efficient tha...

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by keesje
Thu Dec 14, 2017 2:07 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United 737 MAX Fleet
Replies: 53
Views: 9838

Re: United 737 MAX Fleet

I think United Airlines is totally comfortable with their 737-10 commitment.

Even though everybody else seems to be reaching different conclusions.

United has a very unique route structure.

Image

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by keesje
Thu Dec 14, 2017 1:42 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta orders 100 P&W powered A321neo aircraft, plus 100 options
Replies: 304
Views: 44394

Re: CNN: Delta to order 100+ Airbus A321neo Aircraft

100+100 and had already 122 A321CEo on order. Delta will have 320 A321s. Kind of massive A321 fleet AA is going to. It will be 197 seats, 20 in First Class, 30 in Delta Comfort+ and 147 in the main cabin. Great config for 4 crew members I guess. The only reason Boeing lost the order was their unwill...

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by keesje
Thu Dec 14, 2017 11:02 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta orders 100 P&W powered A321neo aircraft, plus 100 options
Replies: 304
Views: 44394

Re: CNN: Delta to order 100+ Airbus A321neo Aircraft

LUCKY Delta Flight Attendants ! I sure wish we (at UNITED) ordered Airbus narrowbodies. I love working them , especially the A319s ! Can't stand working of 737s. I am happy though that we will be working to Tahiti from my home (and home base) of San Francisco. But still, would MUCH, MUCH rather wor...

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by keesje
Thu Dec 14, 2017 10:54 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737 MAX 10 vs Airbus A321neo analysis
Replies: 54
Views: 12481

Re: Boeing 737 MAX 10 vs Airbus A321neo analysis

I think the marketshare difference 737-9/-10 ivs A321 s much bigger than most people see. There are 5000 NEO's in the backlog and A321 deliveries are closing in on 50% of total A320 family deliveries. Telling each other the A321NEO has e.g. 1400 A321 doesn't mean so much. There is a constant A320->A...

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by keesje
Wed Dec 13, 2017 10:56 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta orders 100 P&W powered A321neo aircraft, plus 100 options
Replies: 304
Views: 44394

Re: CNN: Delta to order 100+ Airbus A321neo Aircraft

Comforting, blaming the CSeries blocking / management / politics. But it’s hard to find a MAX-10 USP for Delta. Or any other carrier. http://www.telegraph.co.uk/content/dam/Travel/2017/june/boeing-737-max-10-snow.jpg Reality is kicking in again. AA, Jetblue, Hawaiian, Frontier, Spirit, Delta. What d...

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by keesje
Wed Dec 13, 2017 8:35 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta orders 100 P&W powered A321neo aircraft, plus 100 options
Replies: 304
Views: 44394

Re: CNN: Delta to order 100+ Airbus A321neo Aircraft

It would lead to a large A321 fleet. Delta has 120 A321CEO’s on order already. Similar choice as AA, Spirit, Jetblue, Frontier, Hawaiian, Virgin America.

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by keesje
Wed Dec 13, 2017 6:36 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737 MAX 10 vs Airbus A321neo analysis
Replies: 54
Views: 12481

Re: Boeing 737 MAX 10 vs Airbus A321neo analysis

If the 737-10 can do almost all transcon flights, has significantly better airfield performance than the 737-9 and is cheaper than the A321NEO, it is a serious competitor.

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by keesje
Wed Dec 13, 2017 4:08 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta to issue RFP for up to 150 Narrowbodies
Replies: 399
Views: 82990

Re: Delta to issue RFP for up to 150 Narrowbodies

Boeing just kicked Delta regarding the C-Series. Do people really believe that it will be peace, joy and pancakes after that? If Airbus and Boeing will come up with comparable offers, it will be Airbus. If Boeing goes really low they have a chance. I doubt DL would make a decision based on emotions...

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by keesje
Wed Dec 13, 2017 2:30 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737 MAX 10 vs Airbus A321neo analysis
Replies: 54
Views: 12481

Re: Boeing 737 MAX 10 vs Airbus A321neo analysis

Why does the NEO have LEAP-A fans on their aircraft? Why not the LEAP-B ?

It would easily fit & be lighter. Why the hassle?

Image

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by keesje
Wed Dec 13, 2017 8:59 am
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Germany Considers Tornado Replacement
Replies: 560
Views: 49868

Re: Germany Considers Tornado Replacement

I see chances growing the Luftwaffe ends up with a fleet strike optimized Rafales as part of a bigger deal. It seems Merkel is done with Trump & the home support he gets.

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by keesje
Wed Dec 13, 2017 7:34 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta to issue RFP for up to 150 Narrowbodies
Replies: 399
Views: 82990

Re: Delta to issue RFP for up to 150 Narrowbodies

If they end up going with Airbus, then there has to be some bad blood going on between Delta and Boeing. Even before the C-Series debacle, they were moving away from Boeing. I can't believe that an US-based airline would not fly either of Boeing's two recent crown jewels, the 787 Dreamliner and the...

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by keesje
Tue Dec 12, 2017 10:14 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta to issue RFP for up to 150 Narrowbodies
Replies: 399
Views: 82990

Re: Delta to issue RFP for up to 150 Narrowbodies

CS300 was not part of the original Delta deal. At that stage the Mobile FAL and Airbus were out of sight.

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by keesje
Tue Dec 12, 2017 5:21 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing officially forms program office to flesh out 797 plans
Replies: 765
Views: 135376

Re: Boeing officially forms program office to flesh out 797 plans

http://members.iinet.net.au/~1300subbox/797.jpg Maybe an extension into an ideal, slightly higher circular fuselage wouldn't be heavier. As said, for high BPR engines / rotation angles, you need long legs anyway. It would create the options for airlines to include LD3's / pallets, lavatories, galle...

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by keesje
Tue Dec 12, 2017 2:28 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing officially forms program office to flesh out 797 plans
Replies: 765
Views: 135376

Re: Boeing officially forms program office to flesh out 797 plans

I think that if you buy a 300+ seat / 5000Nm aircraft you expect it to be capable enough to transport standard cargo on top of the passenger loads, unconstrained on all your TATL routes, up to Italy and /or ATL-IAH-ORD. Like your 767s, A330s, 787s. Something less capable for part of those routes mig...

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by keesje
Tue Dec 12, 2017 12:28 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta to issue RFP for up to 150 Narrowbodies
Replies: 399
Views: 82990

Re: Delta to issue RFP for up to 150 Narrowbodies

The C series issue is going to cost DL money. Either because of delays or there does end up being some sort of tariff. These costs cannot be totally divorced from this RFP. While costs of acquiring and running a 737 or A320 fleet may be a wash. These additional costs in another part of DLs books st...

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by keesje
Tue Dec 12, 2017 12:21 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing officially forms program office to flesh out 797 plans
Replies: 765
Views: 135376

Re: Boeing officially forms program office to flesh out 797 plans

seahawk wrote: The problem with this is that according to the known market research less than 15% of all interested airlines want more than 250 seats, while over 50% asked for less than 200 seats. Partycrasher! This isn't about Boeing or Airbus. It's about a 757-sized aircraft vs a 767-sized aircra...

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by keesje
Mon Dec 11, 2017 11:28 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: The $200m "Ghost" airport in Mozambique.
Replies: 39
Views: 8688

Re: The $200m "Ghost" airport in Mozambique.

There are many African countries with poor civil rights, few natural resources and extremist killing any development in the craddle. Mozambique apparently isn't one off them. Despite its past of colonialism and terrible civil wars. -> Mozambique been one off the most successful countries of Africa o...

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by keesje
Mon Dec 11, 2017 10:57 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing officially forms program office to flesh out 797 plans
Replies: 765
Views: 135376

Re: Boeing officially forms program office to flesh out 797 plans

So I plotted the aircraft numbers. As we can see there is a consistent link between the range of the aircraft and the empty weight per passenger. http://members.iinet.net.au/~1300subbox/passvsrange.jpg The ranges quoted are with a light passenger payload. With the maximum passenger amount usually t...

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by keesje
Sun Dec 10, 2017 9:41 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing officially forms program office to flesh out 797 plans
Replies: 765
Views: 135376

Re: Boeing officially forms program office to flesh out 797 plans

This thread title is the following: Boeing officially forms program office to flesh out 797 plans A Program Office does not define what is produced, that is the responsibility of the "797 Project Team" or whatever title Boeing uses for such a team The Program Office (PO) is tasked with th...

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by keesje
Sun Dec 10, 2017 1:00 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing officially forms program office to flesh out 797 plans
Replies: 765
Views: 135376

Re: Boeing officially forms program office to flesh out 797 plans

If we take the lightest variants of twin aisles, and the most (unusual) positive seating numbers (767 at 8 abreast, A310 at 9 abreast, A321 just max 220 seats) it becomes clear the NB 757 and A321 are much lighter per seat. A310 - Operating empty 80,142kg (176,683lb), Max passenger capacity at nine ...

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by keesje
Sat Dec 09, 2017 9:24 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing officially forms program office to flesh out 797 plans
Replies: 765
Views: 135376

Re: Boeing officially forms program office to flesh out 797 plans

I read somewhere the 757 costed almost as much to build as a 767. It was build like a WB. I think that if Boeing doesn't launch a 250ish NMA, Airbus will sell even more A321s and will launch a bigger NB based on it anyway. I’m not sure what built like a widebody means. The fundamental difference be...

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by keesje
Sat Dec 09, 2017 7:19 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing officially forms program office to flesh out 797 plans
Replies: 765
Views: 135376

Re: Boeing officially forms program office to flesh out 797 plans

I think the backers of a twin aisle NMA solution are slowly loosing ground. The economics look unconvincing, Probably somewhere halfway in between 737 and 787. Technical breakthroughs that can not be applied to a longer, lighter same capacity NB are invisible. https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/-cCtD...

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by keesje
Sat Dec 09, 2017 1:28 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing officially forms program office to flesh out 797 plans
Replies: 765
Views: 135376

Re: Boeing officially forms program office to flesh out 797 plans

I read somewhere the 757 costed almost as much to build as a 767. It was build like a WB.

I think that if Boeing doesn't launch a 250ish NMA, Airbus will sell even more A321s and will launch a bigger NB based on it anyway.

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by keesje
Fri Dec 08, 2017 7:47 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing officially forms program office to flesh out 797 plans
Replies: 765
Views: 135376

Re: Boeing officially forms program office to flesh out 797 plans

Drag, weight, maintenance costs and required engine power so far showed a strong relation with fuselage cross section. lets a assume for a minute that won't go away because of groundbreaking new technological magic. :boxedin: At that stage expanding on a NB concept decreasing some of it inherent di...

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by keesje
Fri Dec 08, 2017 12:18 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Germany Considers Tornado Replacement
Replies: 560
Views: 49868

Re: Germany Considers Tornado Replacement

Maybe we can return to a more factual debate. Not every new fighter purchase needs to be a debate about the pros and cons of the F-35. In the German case the first question is how long can you fly the Tornado. Airbus thinks until 2035+, the Luftwaffe sees incalculable risks in flying the Tornados a...

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by keesje
Fri Dec 08, 2017 10:18 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing officially forms program office to flesh out 797 plans
Replies: 765
Views: 135376

Re: Boeing officially forms program office to flesh out 797 plans

This is why your long skinny 6 abreast is pretty much a 757-300NEO ? Nope. The A320 has already a wider fuselage than 737/757 and the concept above adds 10-12 inch. Combined that's a lot over a 757/737. https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/-XSZq70Ph0nw/WgLiQGz3xnI/AAAAAAAADOs/lnQC79nMhpA9CUBJqwlmIcpOh...

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by keesje
Fri Dec 08, 2017 12:38 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing officially forms program office to flesh out 797 plans
Replies: 765
Views: 135376

Re: Boeing officially forms program office to flesh out 797 plans

Drag, weight, maintenance costs and required engine power so far showed a strong relation with fuselage cross section. lets a assume for a minute that won't go away because of groundbreaking new technological magic. :boxedin: At that stage expanding on a NB concept decreasing some of it inherent di...

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by keesje
Thu Dec 07, 2017 3:01 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing officially forms program office to flesh out 797 plans
Replies: 765
Views: 135376

Re: Boeing officially forms program office to flesh out 797 plans

Drag, weight, maintenance costs and required engine power so far showed a strong relation with fuselage cross section. lets a assume for a minute that won't go away because of groundbreaking new technological magic. :boxedin: At that stage expanding on a NB concept decreasing some of it inherent dis...

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by keesje
Thu Dec 07, 2017 2:30 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus weighs response if Boeing launches new mid-market model
Replies: 895
Views: 170034

Re: Airbus weighs response if Boeing launches new mid-market model

Keesje, I find your commentary conflicting. First you say that you think the NMA will shrink in capacity and range I think Inevitable w'll see Boeing cut back on capacity and range of it's offering. The segment they identified seems to only to get strong support from Boeing executives. Spacey 6 abr...

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by keesje
Thu Dec 07, 2017 1:09 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Germany Considers Tornado Replacement
Replies: 560
Views: 49868

Re: Germany Considers Tornado Replacement

Scoreboards don’t lie; how many 117’s were lost? Losses are always known 20-25 yrs later. Both sides always have totally different numbers. Earlier on aircraft "missing", "unconfirmed", "suffered technical failures", never "they blew us out of the sky" Propag...

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by keesje
Thu Dec 07, 2017 12:04 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qatar Airways reconfirms and upsizes its order for 50 A321neo ACF
Replies: 41
Views: 17245

Re: Qatar Airways buys 50 new Airbus jets

The cynic in me suspects that QR's original neo order will quietly be cancelled at some point. Smoke and mirrors, I think. The original order was supposed to be converted to the A321neo: QR to convert entire A320neo order to A321neo Hence the question if today's announcement is a new order, or a co...

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by keesje
Thu Dec 07, 2017 8:57 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qantas considering 777-8 or A359ULR to replace 744ER's to fly SYD-JFK and SYD-LHR non-stop
Replies: 897
Views: 175584

Re: Qantas considering 777-8 or A359ULR to replace 744ER's to fly SYD-JFK and SYD-LHR non-stop

An -8% PIP, sharklets and low passenger count (<400) brings an A380 a long way. I would prefer the spacey & quiet cabin of the A380 on real long flights. A380s already do ULH flights as we speak & fleet /cockpit commonality would be very good :wink2: https://uk.flightaware.com/live/flight/U...

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by keesje
Thu Dec 07, 2017 12:39 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qantas considering 777-8 or A359ULR to replace 744ER's to fly SYD-JFK and SYD-LHR non-stop
Replies: 897
Views: 175584

Re: Qantas considering 777-8 or A359ULR to replace 744ER's to fly SYD-JFK and SYD-LHR non-stop

An -8% PIP, sharklets and low passenger count (<400) brings an A380 a long way. I would prefer the spacey & quiet cabin of the A380 on real long flights. A380s already do ULH flights as we speak & fleet /cockpit commonality would be very good :wink2: https://uk.flightaware.com/live/flight/UA...

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by keesje
Thu Dec 07, 2017 12:03 am
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Canada may cancel F18 deal
Replies: 226
Views: 20618

Re: Canada may cancel F18 deal

A result of the anti Canada decision by Boeing and the CoC,
Blocking a non competing product & call in the government for support.
It not not only hurt credibility but costs billions too.

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by keesje
Wed Dec 06, 2017 10:24 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus weighs response if Boeing launches new mid-market model
Replies: 895
Views: 170034

Re: Airbus weighs response if Boeing launches new mid-market model

There are 1700 A330/A340 build so far. With far reaching commonality between the A340s and the A330's. To isolate the A340 type as a failure, seems a little baised / opportunistic. It sold "just" 377 aicraft, but the ROI should be calculated on unique A340 investments only. Engines, engine...

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by keesje
Tue Dec 05, 2017 11:53 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing officially forms program office to flesh out 797 plans
Replies: 765
Views: 135376

Re: Boeing officially forms program office to flesh out 797 plans

A few months I posted this, to illustrate the enormous improvements that R&D has brought us over the last 40 years Resulting in top notch design and innovation, combining better costs and environmental friendly technology to safeguard our earth for future generations. https://lh3.googleuserconte...

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by keesje
Tue Dec 05, 2017 11:25 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus weighs response if Boeing launches new mid-market model
Replies: 895
Views: 170034

Re: Airbus weighs response if Boeing launches new mid-market model

I didn't say there would be two clean sheet programs. I am envisioning two models of a new airplane from Boeing. The shorter one with more range competes against the A321LR on medium haul (transatlantic) and the longer one with less range competes against the A330neo on short haul (regional flying ...

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by keesje
Tue Dec 05, 2017 7:43 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus weighs response if Boeing launches new mid-market model
Replies: 895
Views: 170034

Re: Airbus weighs response if Boeing launches new mid-market model

I think Inevitable w'll see Boeing cut back on capacity and range of it's offering. The segment they identified seems to only to get strong support from Boeing executives. Spacey 6 abreast with AKH capability seems hard to beat by any WB, and would be at least 20% more costly to operate if all recen...

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by keesje
Mon Dec 04, 2017 11:49 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus weighs response if Boeing launches new mid-market model
Replies: 895
Views: 170034

Re: Airbus weighs response if Boeing launches new mid-market model

If Airbus launches early, we may see a repeat of what happend in 2010 (Boeing launching the 737 MAX instead of clean-sheet 737 replacement). Maybe that is already happenjng. Airbus completing a design, discussing with a few large, discrete airline customers. While the other guys closely dissemilate...

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by keesje
Mon Dec 04, 2017 4:53 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing officially forms program office to flesh out 797 plans
Replies: 765
Views: 135376

Re: Boeing officially forms program office to flesh out 797 plans

Summary Technology is at the heart of the new target EIS for the NMA. The 737 replacement was always intended to follow the NMA. Supply chain asked for 767 production rate ramp-up feasibility . Hi Newbie, if your conclusions will be Boeings, I can hear the Airbus bottles popping everywhere. Yes, ma...

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by keesje
Mon Dec 04, 2017 3:54 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing officially forms program office to flesh out 797 plans
Replies: 765
Views: 135376

Re: Boeing officially forms program office to flesh out 797 plans

The average turn around time for the A330 is about an hour where as when QF operated the 767 the average turnaround was 45 minutes. Taking this into account providing a 797 could reduce the turnaround times to 45 minutes to what they are currently that would add the extra frequency That extra frequ...

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by keesje
Mon Dec 04, 2017 3:14 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus weighs response if Boeing launches new mid-market model
Replies: 895
Views: 170034

Re: Airbus weighs response if Boeing launches new mid-market model

. I have the feeling Airbus might not wait until 2027, to sell a derivative making a ton of money without competition. Why wait for Boeing :confused: What about 2022-23 ? It seems engineering will be sitting on their hands and free cash flow ( ;) ) is everywhere. http://www.cardatabase.net/modified...

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