Search found 71 matches

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by SC430
Sat Apr 21, 2018 4:25 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Is Boeing outfoxing Airbus?
Replies: 114
Views: 19935

Re: Is Boeing outfoxing Airbus?

But the biggest question is why you would see the 787/A350 models delivering evenly? Uhm, dunno.. the A350s bigger backlog? The back log is only bigger because they are not delivering them - I didn't think that needed to be pointed out. Boeing's delivery ramp-up was twice as fast. Why do some out h...

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by SC430
Fri Apr 20, 2018 7:29 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Is Boeing outfoxing Airbus?
Replies: 114
Views: 19935

Re: Is Boeing outfoxing Airbus?

What production rates do you expect for the A350/A330 and the 787/777? I see a planned 14/month for the 787 and 5/month (?) for the 777 in around 2019. The A350 was planned at 10/month but Airbus talked about increasing that to 13/month. The A330 is planned at 6/month. That to me seems quite even b...

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by SC430
Fri Apr 20, 2018 2:39 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Is Boeing outfoxing Airbus?
Replies: 114
Views: 19935

Re: Is Boeing outfoxing Airbus?

I couldn't agree more. The big story in wide bodies was that A380 sales/deliveries have stalled to a point unthinkable, while the 787 is selling and being delivered at a record pace for wide bodies. In the 5-year period of 2008 - 20012 the market share for WB based on number of frames delivered was...

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by SC430
Thu Apr 19, 2018 2:14 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Is Boeing outfoxing Airbus?
Replies: 114
Views: 19935

Re: Is Boeing outfoxing Airbus?

Boeing has been ahead of Airbus in MANY ways ...... the 380 vs 787 is a good example of that and knowing where the market trends were going. Also the winglets ..... look at what Airbus is just now getting to and how closely it looks to Boeings product. I couldn't agree more. The big story in wide b...

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by SC430
Tue Apr 17, 2018 8:16 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Alaska Having Problems with Airbus Aircraft
Replies: 77
Views: 18270

Re: Alaska Having Problems with Airbus Aircraft

Super80Fan wrote:
This just seems like AS whining about it so they make it easier/convince themselves to stick to all Boeing.


For whatever sense that makes.....

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by SC430
Fri Apr 13, 2018 7:39 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus shelves A320neo-plus study
Replies: 255
Views: 28424

Re: Airbus shelves A320neo-plus study

MOM will happen https://seekingalpha.com/news/3345328-boeing-ceo-sees-4kminus-5k-potential-sales-mid-range-jets?app=1&uprof=75&dr=1#email_link A fact based on a “vision”? Or won’t happen. When they show metal, I’ll believe. Until then it’s just more and more PR trying to get customers hooke...

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by SC430
Wed Apr 11, 2018 3:49 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus And Boeing 2018 Orders
Replies: 198
Views: 45394

Re: Airbus And Boeing 2018 Orders

Not according to the mentioned standards. But we’ll, maybe they can just do it because of your opinion, of course. How brave is ignorance. There is no courage in ignorance of the facts. John Leary publicly called the Amedeo arrangement a firm order. It never was, how much other garbage is in that b...

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by SC430
Wed Apr 11, 2018 1:37 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus And Boeing 2018 Orders
Replies: 198
Views: 45394

Re: Airbus And Boeing 2018 Orders

I can think of 30 A380 still in the backlog but not in the delivery plan. Shouldn't they be removed from backlog? Not according to the mentioned standards. But we’ll, maybe they can just do it because of your opinion, of course. How brave is ignorance. There is no courage in ignorance of the facts....

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by SC430
Tue Apr 10, 2018 10:43 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus And Boeing 2018 Orders
Replies: 198
Views: 45394

Re: Airbus And Boeing 2018 Orders

Imagine if Airbus applied the same disciplines. The backlog would take a substantial hit. I wonder how many of those huge narrow body orders would pass muster. Maybe Boeing made this move as a subtle challenge to Airbus. Airbus has adopted the IFRS 15 standard as of 1 January 2018. This is the inte...

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by SC430
Tue Apr 10, 2018 6:18 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus And Boeing 2018 Orders
Replies: 198
Views: 45394

Re: Airbus And Boeing 2018 Orders

Imagine if Airbus applied the same disciplines. The backlog would take a substantial hit. I wonder how many of those huge narrow body orders would pass muster. Maybe Boeing made this move as a subtle challenge to Airbus.

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by SC430
Mon Apr 09, 2018 12:54 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Is Boeing outfoxing Airbus?
Replies: 114
Views: 19935

Re: Is Boeing outfoxing Airbus?

Seeking Alpha articulate's it well "We maintain our view that Boeing's decision to pursue the 787 Dreamliner while Airbus was lost on A380 development was a strategic home run: "It's Official: Boeing Declares Victory." The A380, in our view, was a huge misallocation of resources for A...

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by SC430
Sun Apr 08, 2018 5:51 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Is Boeing outfoxing Airbus?
Replies: 114
Views: 19935

Re: Is Boeing outfoxing Airbus?

Boeing's head fake was the Dreamliner. While Airbus wasted time and money on the A380, Boeing developed the 787 and it's kicking ass!! For a follow up kick the 777X will finish the job.

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by SC430
Sun Apr 08, 2018 3:56 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: American Airlines orders 47 additional 787's (22 788's and 25 789's), cancels A350 order
Replies: 556
Views: 70845

Re: American Airlines orders 47 additional 787's (22 788's and 25 789's), cancels A350 order

I speculate that the recent success in 787 sales is due to combination of 1) projected improvements in manufacturing in the future resulting in lower costs but still a reasonable margin 2) projected bundled maintenance in the future as Boeing brings more work in house and away from third parties 3)...

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by SC430
Sat Apr 07, 2018 3:29 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: American Airlines orders 47 additional 787's (22 788's and 25 789's), cancels A350 order
Replies: 556
Views: 70845

Re: American Airlines orders 47 additional 787's (22 788's and 25 789's), cancels A350 order

I guess Boeing knew what they were doing as far as increasing deliveries to 14/ month. The Deamliner is a record setting wide body!! record setting sales pace and deliveries. Now who was it that denigrated it as the "plastic plane" that would never be built?

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by SC430
Fri Mar 30, 2018 7:19 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: BOC Aviation orders six Boeing 787-9s
Replies: 8
Views: 1496

Re: BOC Aviation orders six Boeing 787-9s

I think Boeing will end 2018 with a higher backlog on this program than it began the year with. The 787 program will be the leader for sales and deliveries for any WB program to date. A fantastic aircraft. Which makes me wonder about the part of the article saying they will take delivery in 2018 an...

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by SC430
Fri Mar 30, 2018 6:36 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: BOC Aviation orders six Boeing 787-9s
Replies: 8
Views: 1496

Re: BOC Aviation orders six Boeing 787-9s

I think Boeing will end 2018 with a higher backlog on this program than it began the year with. The 787 program will be the leader for sales and deliveries for any WB program to date. A fantastic aircraft.

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by SC430
Sun Mar 25, 2018 12:20 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Bloomberg: Airbus A330 Neo Dropped From American Airlines Wide-Body Contest
Replies: 235
Views: 30135

Re: Bloomberg: Airbus A330 Neo Dropped From American Airlines Wide-Body Contest

Strato2 wrote:
bigjku wrote:
If the 787 can be priced low enough to where Airbus can’t follow with the A330neo it’s a dead duck.


Can as well be Airbus is pricing it's products responsibly vs. the competition.


Why would they start being price conscious now, when they are desperate for A330 orders? Makes no sense.

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by SC430
Tue Mar 13, 2018 11:36 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Dog Dies in Overhead Bin on United Airlines Flight
Replies: 491
Views: 30874

Re: Dog killed onboard United Airlines flight (in cabin)

Tittle is a bit sensationalist. A dog died aboard a United flight, no one killed it.

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by SC430
Fri Mar 09, 2018 4:31 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Virgin Atlantic cancels order for 6 A380s
Replies: 109
Views: 24468

Re: Virgin Atlantic cancels order for 6 A380s

What took them so long? Firming up of the latest EK order. Notice that every A380 cancellation over the past years was reported in Airbus' orders spreadsheet at the same time an A380 order was booked... When EK firms up their 16 options, we'll probably see a cancellation of the Amedeo A380 'order',...

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by SC430
Thu Mar 08, 2018 8:55 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Virgin Atlantic cancels order for 6 A380s
Replies: 109
Views: 24468

Re: Virgin Atlantic cancels order for 6 A380s

Does anyone else feel bad for the A380 project? Such a marvelous bird... Big yes, marvelous - not particularly. Both the 787 and A350 were much more innovative and ground breaking. Materials and processes from both of these programs will be adapted to future designs, A380 not so much. In fact I wou...

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by SC430
Wed Mar 07, 2018 2:15 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Pressure mounts on Airbus A330 in widebody order battle
Replies: 283
Views: 37443

Re: Pressure mounts on Airbus A330 in widebody order battle

I would not pay too much attention to editorial comments. It's just an opinion and they change tone when a large order is announced. Is Airbus becoming solely dependent on A359 in the wide body market? The jury is still out. The entire A330 backlog is healthy (> 300 orders / 4-5 years production) a...

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by SC430
Wed Mar 07, 2018 12:38 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Wizz Air closing bases incl. Prague
Replies: 59
Views: 8437

Re: Wizz Air closing bases incl. Prague

This is an airline operating 88 aircraft with 281 on order. I smell deferrals on the horizon. I smell some ignorance. Try a good shower gel. Those 281 planes are for growth and replacement of the oldest planes. Furthermore those new planes will be delivered in an 9 year timeframe, so net growth wil...

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by SC430
Tue Mar 06, 2018 10:12 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Bamboo Airways to order 24 A321neo
Replies: 5
Views: 2070

Re: Bamboo Airways orders 24 A321neo

24 not 240? Proof JL has indeed left the building :):)

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by SC430
Mon Mar 05, 2018 3:37 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Wizz Air closing bases incl. Prague
Replies: 59
Views: 8437

Re: Wizz Air closing bases incl. Prague

gatibosgru wrote:
SC430 wrote:
This is an airline operating 88 aircraft with 281 on order. I smell deferrals on the horizon.


And you base that on what exactly?


Common sense and simple arithmetic.

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by SC430
Sun Mar 04, 2018 4:35 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Wizz Air closing bases incl. Prague
Replies: 59
Views: 8437

Re: Wizz Air closing bases incl. Prague

This is an airline operating 88 aircraft with 281 on order. I smell deferrals on the horizon.

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by SC430
Thu Mar 01, 2018 2:20 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AirAsia sells aircraft leasing unit
Replies: 18
Views: 973

Re: AirAsia sells up to 182 Airbus jets for $1.2 billion

"ordering hundreds of Airbus planes at bargain prices in recent years to become one of Airbus’ biggest customers" this is why Airbus profits are low. Other than JL"s ego, his need to announce deals the reselling of delivery slots is not good for Airbus. This kills profits and makes a...

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by SC430
Thu Mar 01, 2018 12:14 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AirAsia sells aircraft leasing unit
Replies: 18
Views: 973

Re: AirAsia sells up to 182 Airbus jets for $1.2 billion

"ordering hundreds of Airbus planes at bargain prices in recent years to become one of Airbus’ biggest customers" this is why Airbus profits are low. Other than JL"s ego, his need to announce deals the reselling of delivery slots is not good for Airbus. This kills profits and makes a...

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by SC430
Tue Feb 27, 2018 10:22 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus might push A320 family production rate to 70 aircraft per month
Replies: 135
Views: 14165

Re: Airbus might push A320 family production rate to 70 aircraft per month

And even then at say 800 per year (c 11.5 months per year output) it still represents a backlog of 7 1/2 years production. Interesting is the comparison of these 7.5 years with other backlogs. E.g. the 787 backlog only accounts for 3.87 years production at 14/month. For those who think 70/month are...

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by SC430
Mon Feb 26, 2018 1:52 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta refuses to upgrade US curling team gold winners
Replies: 122
Views: 20537

Re: Delta refuses to upgrade US curling team gold winners

bacchus101 wrote:
enilria wrote:
If the seats were available they should have done it for PR value if nothing else. If the seats were full then understandable.


Agreed. This was a golden PR opportunity.



Totally exaggerated. PR value would have been minimal. A blip on the radar of life.

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by SC430
Sat Feb 24, 2018 3:05 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: The A380 and US airlines: Too late or still a chance?
Replies: 111
Views: 14177

Re: The A380 and US airlines: Too late or still a chance?

It’s totally un-American to think small and unambitious. So it will happen. The A380 is the best aircraft flying in the long-haul space from a customer perspective, and also the safest. Asian routes out of LAX, SFO, DTW, JFK and ATL would work for DL and UA and HA from HNL. If the A380 was a US pro...

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by SC430
Thu Feb 22, 2018 2:08 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Trump to oppose Boeing-Iran deal
Replies: 37
Views: 3789

Re: Trump to oppose Boeing-Iran deal

As an Airbus shareholder, I'm very grateful for Trump's tireless diplomatic efforts. :lol: instead of giving them billions in cash like Obama did to fund terrorism. :banghead: :banghead: It was their money. So you return it to them in cash? Pallets of cash loaded on military transports? Also I beli...

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by SC430
Thu Feb 22, 2018 3:29 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Trump to oppose Boeing-Iran deal
Replies: 37
Views: 3789

Re: Trump to oppose Boeing-Iran deal

Trump never shows his cards until the end. Until then everything is posturing. Let it play out.

I personally would like the deal to go thru - I'm happy seeing the Iranians spend money on airliners, instead of giving them billions in cash like Obama did to fund terrorism.

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by SC430
Thu Feb 22, 2018 1:14 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus increases profit by 189% in 2017
Replies: 36
Views: 3443

Re: Airbus increases profit by 189% in 2017

The higher percentage of WB frames delivered B vs A will keep the keep the crown in Seattle for years to come. If Boeing can maintain that. Will be based on freighters and military variants if they do. Geoff The 767 line is at 2.5/month, and the 747 line is at 0.5/month. http://investors.boeing.com...

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by SC430
Wed Feb 21, 2018 4:52 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Leahy: A380 could have had better engine technology
Replies: 154
Views: 17540

Re: Leahy: A380 could have had better engine technology

Let's not forget JL following the announcement by Boeing to build the 87 declared it a bluff, a plastic plane that would never be built. This guy was the Rex Ryan of the airline industry.

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by SC430
Wed Feb 21, 2018 2:07 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing expects to deliver record 810-815 commercial airplanes in 2018
Replies: 2
Views: 616

Re: Boeing expects to deliver record 810-815 commercial airplanes in 2018

I am happy to see more attention on deliveries. Planes delivered and the value of those delivered is hugely more significant than orders in the current environment. In my opinion the (5) annual points of interest in order of importance are: 1) Value of annual deliveries (obviously wide body deliveri...

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by SC430
Wed Feb 21, 2018 3:35 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Leahy: A380 could have had better engine technology
Replies: 154
Views: 17540

Re: Leahy: A380 could have had better engine technology

Not suprising this guy couldn't just retire and keep his mouth shut. This diarrhea of the mouth helps no one, expect more of it.

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by SC430
Sat Feb 17, 2018 12:56 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus might push A320 family production rate to 70 aircraft per month
Replies: 135
Views: 14165

Re: Airbus might push A320 family production rate to 70 aircraft per month

And while narrowbody backlogs are growing, widebodies cannot get out of their slump. 777, 747 & A380 are at their lowest rates ever, A330neo sales are poorer than expected and although their backlogs are just as large, few new orders have been coming in for the A350 & 787. Nothing new about...

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by SC430
Fri Feb 16, 2018 10:26 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus might push A320 family production rate to 70 aircraft per month
Replies: 135
Views: 14165

Re: Airbus might push A320 family production rate to 70 aircraft per month

As I pointed out last year, 2018-2020, OEM sales staff will spend as much time negotiating cancellations and deferrals, as writing new business. And apparently, Boeing and Airbus are making good money out of deferrals and cancellations. A Paris Air Show player offers some brutal home truths for air...

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by SC430
Fri Feb 16, 2018 8:45 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus might push A320 family production rate to 70 aircraft per month
Replies: 135
Views: 14165

Re: Airbus might push A320 family production rate to 70 aircraft per month

For the record Airbus has over 1,700 frames (28%) of total back log from eight airlines that currently only fly 728 planes. There are cancellations in this bunch for sure.

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by SC430
Fri Feb 16, 2018 7:36 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus might push A320 family production rate to 70 aircraft per month
Replies: 135
Views: 14165

Re: Airbus might push A320 family production rate to 70 aircraft per month

Last November, Airbus had a backlog of 5488 A320 family aircraft. At 70 per month that backlog is still worth 6 years and 6 months of production. Boeing on the other hand had 4065 orders for its 737 family, worth 5 years and 11 months of production at their planned peak of 57 aircraft per month. Fo...

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by SC430
Thu Feb 15, 2018 5:12 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus increases profit by 189% in 2017
Replies: 36
Views: 3443

Re: Airbus has a high of 189% in profits in 2017

The FY 2017 Earnings Disclosure http://company.airbus.com/investors/Publications.html profit for the period 2,873 million EUR about 3,5 billion USD that are real profits no deferred cost pushed to the future I think that should lay to rest talks about 2017 having been a bad year at Airbus. 13,349 m...

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by SC430
Thu Feb 15, 2018 12:29 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus increases profit by 189% in 2017
Replies: 36
Views: 3443

Re: Airbus increases profit by 189% in 2017

Geoff1947 wrote:
800 commercial jet deliveries forecast for 2018, if engine suppliers meet their commitments. Guess that’s a big ‘if’ but it would set a challenging target for Boeing to match.

Geoff


The higher percentage of WB frames delivered B vs A will keep the keep the crown in Seattle for years to come.

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by SC430
Mon Feb 12, 2018 2:14 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Tariffs or sanctions against Airbus imports into the US are possible if Airbus loses at the WTO, says Boeing
Replies: 78
Views: 9213

Re: Tariffs or sanctions against Airbus imports into the US are possible if Airbus loses at the WTO, says Boeing

Let's see.... Boeing made it's case before the WTO fifteen years ago. If the case had no merit it would not have been decided in Boeing's favor witch led to appeals by Airbus. The appeals process is now winding down and Boeing and Airbus will have to live with the findings. Unless many here feel the...

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by SC430
Sun Feb 11, 2018 2:07 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: WSJ: Amazon to Launch Delivery Service That Would Vie With FedEx, UPS
Replies: 92
Views: 9295

Re: WSJ: Amazon to Launch Delivery Service That Would Vie With FedEx, UPS

There is a significant difference between having some planes flying around, and offering a true end to end logistics service. That said, ups and fedex have had a lock on the US market for so long, some competition would be good for them. Even if just the threat of it... that said, I’ve never unders...

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by SC430
Sun Feb 11, 2018 1:18 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why was the A380F a failure?
Replies: 96
Views: 15982

Re: Why was the A380F a failure?

chunhimlai wrote:
A380F does not fail since it never exists



Hmmm.... So Airbus took deposits on a program that did not exist? Nice try, but not supported out by the facts.

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by SC430
Wed Feb 07, 2018 7:59 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why isn't Airbus more profitable?
Replies: 123
Views: 10569

Re: !

Boeing declared net earnings in million USD according to Boeing annual accounts 2009 to 2016 2009 1,312 2010 3,307 2011 4,018 2012 3,900 2013 4,585 2014 5,446 2015 5,176 2016 4,895 together 32,639 million USD deferred cost 787 production losses 27.308 million USD end of 2016 Real net earnings over ...

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by SC430
Tue Feb 06, 2018 1:48 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why isn't Airbus more profitable?
Replies: 123
Views: 10569

Re: Why isn't Airbus more profitable?

Selling it planes too cheaply !!!

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by SC430
Sat Jan 20, 2018 3:00 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why A-380 doesn’t sell in more densely populated countries?
Replies: 86
Views: 8763

Re: Why A-380 doesn’t sell in more densely populated countries?

The A380 is ahead of its time. China and Japan will need some sooner or later, as high congestion at airports is only going to get worse, and VLA's are the solution. If Japan doesn't need them now, they never will. This idea that VLA's are the only solution to congestions is an idea created by Airb...

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by SC430
Sat Jan 20, 2018 2:56 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Emirates firms up order for up to 36 additional A380s
Replies: 494
Views: 58964

Re: Emirates signs a commitment for 36 additional A380's

Emirates have announced a commitment of 36 additional A380's. The commitment includes 20 firm and 16 options Dubai-based Emirates Airline has signed a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) to acquire up to 36 additional A380 aircraft. The agreement was signed this morning at the airline’s headquarters ...

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