Search found 754 matches

  • 1
  • 2
  • 3
  • 4
  • 5
  • 16
by olle
Sun Aug 12, 2018 7:15 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: BA line up at JFK photo.
Replies: 127
Views: 26839

Re: BA line up at JFK photo.

So frequency matters? ;-) do they leave to UK every 30 minutes?

Jump to post
by olle
Wed Aug 08, 2018 2:48 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Brexit Phase 3: an enthusiastic jump from the cliff-edge
Replies: 1101
Views: 18927

Re: Brexit Phase 3: an enthusiastic jump from the cliff-edge

I thought the EU didn’t need the UK? Looks like it’s dawning on the remainiacs the EU does need the UK after all, otherwise its citizens will be at risk. https://www.google.co.uk/amp/s/amp.theguardian.com/politics/2018/aug/07/eu-patients-may-miss-out-on-medicines-in-no-deal-brexit-says-astrazeneca ...

Jump to post
by olle
Mon Aug 06, 2018 12:56 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Brexit Phase 3: an enthusiastic jump from the cliff-edge
Replies: 1101
Views: 18927

Re: Brexit Phase 3: an enthusiastic jump from the cliff-edge

In the first Brexit thread we talked about that 24 month was defined for devorce agreement and not for an fta. What we did not see was that the UK government had more complication to define its own policy and avoid internal fighting then negotiating with EU. Second. UK continue to consider itself un...

Jump to post
by olle
Mon Aug 06, 2018 12:00 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Brexit Phase 3: an enthusiastic jump from the cliff-edge
Replies: 1101
Views: 18927

Re: Brexit Phase 3: an enthusiastic jump from the cliff-edge

The question to be asked if EU sitizen pays more in taxes then you spend in public. Services. EU sitizen temporarily in UK shall get healthcare using blue healthcare card and it's country of origin facturated. EU sitizen in UK without residents shall be thrown out after 3 month. Very simple... Firs...

Jump to post
by olle
Sat Aug 04, 2018 4:04 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Brexit Phase 3: an enthusiastic jump from the cliff-edge
Replies: 1101
Views: 18927

Re: Brexit Phase 3: an enthusiastic jump from the cliff-edge

The question to be asked if EU sitizen pays more in taxes then you spend in public. Services.

EU sitizen temporarily in UK shall get healthcare using blue healthcare card and it's country of origin facturated.



EU sitizen in UK without residents shall be thrown out after 3 month.

Very simple...

Jump to post
by olle
Fri Aug 03, 2018 6:40 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Brexit Phase 3: an enthusiastic jump from the cliff-edge
Replies: 1101
Views: 18927

Re: Brexit Phase 3: an enthusiastic jump from the cliff-edge

People using healthcare services most the first and last 3 years of their life's. Immigrants if not in age of starting families are normally net contributors to sociaty.

Jump to post
by olle
Fri Aug 03, 2018 10:57 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Brexit Phase 3: an enthusiastic jump from the cliff-edge
Replies: 1101
Views: 18927

Re: Brexit Phase 3: an enthusiastic jump from the cliff-edge

Everyone would like to get out of EU if A; Net contributors still have access to single market, do not need to pay to EU, not accept immigration from less rich areas. B; Bigger countries can go back and show the power over the smaller countries, like UK against ROI C; Countries used to receiving mon...

Jump to post
by olle
Fri Aug 03, 2018 7:35 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Brexit Phase 3: an enthusiastic jump from the cliff-edge
Replies: 1101
Views: 18927

Re: Brexit Phase 3: an enthusiastic jump from the cliff-edge

Brexit seems to become an hard one considering that the UK political system cannot accept the options given by EU not agree between themselves an alternative that has the chance being accepted by EU. Now we are weeks from the deadline. I suggest that UK pays it's bill on the way out and then we see ...

Jump to post
by olle
Thu Oct 05, 2017 4:49 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Brexit - EU position
Replies: 1541
Views: 75017

Re: Brexit - EU position

This only shows how complicated brexit will become.

Jump to post
by olle
Sat Sep 30, 2017 9:55 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A330neo MTOW increase
Replies: 180
Views: 35270

Re: A330neo MTOW increase

I still have the sensation that the A330 will suprise us again in the future... ;-)

Jump to post
by olle
Sun Sep 24, 2017 10:37 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DOT Approves Norwegian Air UK permits
Replies: 39
Views: 3212

Re: Norwegian's UK subsidiary given final approval by U.S. Department of Transportation for transatlantic operations

In 2019 how will norvegian solve ownership rules? Will uk allow non uk ownership over 49%?

Jump to post
by olle
Wed Sep 06, 2017 3:24 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Hi Fly to add second hand A380s
Replies: 229
Views: 8150

Re: Hi Fly to add second hand A380s

How will this affects prices of A380s considering all old A380s was supposed to be scrapped?

Jump to post
by olle
Fri Sep 01, 2017 8:56 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Official 747-8 Flight Tracking/Production Part 18
Replies: 2065
Views: 201327

Re: Official 747-8 Flight Tracking/Production Part 18

Is there any 748 still in the desert?

As I remember it did not a few new build 744Fs go straight to the desert? Have they found any home yet?

Jump to post
by olle
Fri Sep 01, 2017 7:14 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: IAG A350 Orders/Options
Replies: 101
Views: 16274

Re: IAG A350 Orders/Options

There is the Brexit variable to add to this... I have a sensation that IAG forced to have 51% EU ownership, problem for BA to fly to EU, in combination with London as the main financial center of EU will become one of 3 European financial centers will change the balance inside IAG dramatically the n...

Jump to post
by olle
Thu Aug 24, 2017 5:42 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Theresa May's plans for EU citizens branded a 'damp squib' by the European Parliament
Replies: 568
Views: 13990

Re: Theresa May's plans for EU citizens branded a 'damp squib' by the European Parliament

But EU asks UK for presenting the model for the exit bill being calculated from. Does UK pretend they will gain anything by going to October without showing they are serious?

Jump to post
by olle
Sun Aug 20, 2017 2:35 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: 16 out of 55 PW A320neo grounded
Replies: 168
Views: 34987

Re: 16 out of 55 PW A320neo grounded

The GTF will be positive considered in the market if the GTF let say 2022 start to be much more efficient then the LEAP of course in combination that PW by then has made the GTF into a product that the users can rely on.

Jump to post
by olle
Thu Aug 10, 2017 8:37 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Theresa May's plans for EU citizens branded a 'damp squib' by the European Parliament
Replies: 568
Views: 13990

Re: Theresa May's plans for EU citizens branded a 'damp squib' by the European Parliament

Olddog wrote:
What was the cost for Davies 2 hours trip in Brussels last negotiation?


Private jet for a 45 min meating?

Jump to post
by olle
Wed Aug 09, 2017 4:41 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Theresa May's plans for EU citizens branded a 'damp squib' by the European Parliament
Replies: 568
Views: 13990

Re: Theresa May's plans for EU citizens branded a 'damp squib' by the European Parliament

15% was of the last budget. Since that budget most east europe has grown dramatic. Ireland has grown etc. This means that many countries anyway was supposed to recieve less.

Jump to post
by olle
Mon Jul 31, 2017 12:02 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus to cut A380 production to 8 frames in 2019
Replies: 115
Views: 16330

Re: Airbus to cut A380 production to 8 frames in 2019

Not sure what development costs you're refering to, everyhting todate has been paid and accounted for by Airbus, there is no deferred costs to be written off like with the 787. At the current production rate they are making a small profit on every plane they build, but the amount of profit will dec...

Jump to post
by olle
Fri Jul 28, 2017 9:16 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qatar cancels 4 A350s due to supplier issues
Replies: 198
Views: 38388

Re: Qatar cancels 4 A350s due to supplier issues

I can imagine that he explains the problem that QR creates as launch customer and the aggressive style of management that AAB shows.

Jump to post
by olle
Thu Jul 27, 2017 7:23 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Leeham: 787 deferred cost not shrinking fast enough
Replies: 323
Views: 26066

Re: Leeham: 787 deferred cost not shrinking fast enough

There's a related commercial point. A few of our a.net friends would like to see a rework of the 789 and 78J to boost MTOW and payload/range. The current 789 isn't competitive against the 359 at the outer end of the payload/range curve and the 78J can't compete on trans-Pacific routes. But with $26...

Jump to post
by olle
Thu Jul 27, 2017 6:51 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Leeham: LH shows indications to reduce 779 order
Replies: 224
Views: 36316

Re: Leeham: LH shows indications to reduce 779 order

Delta cares about cargo. Not as much as United, but still about $700 million worth. A plane which is maxed out with pax and bags can't carry cargo. And since a 77L can fly 18 hours fully loaded (160000 lb payload), that's plenty of cargo to SYD, or JNB. The A350 in it's current form can't match tha...

Jump to post
by olle
Tue Jul 25, 2017 7:20 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: We may dream: worlds mega projects
Replies: 39
Views: 1842

Re: We may dream: worlds mega projects

Next project is a connection Sweden Germany with bridge / tunnel connecting on level Berlin.

Jump to post
by olle
Tue Jul 25, 2017 7:19 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: We may dream: worlds mega projects
Replies: 39
Views: 1842

Re: We may dream: worlds mega projects

What is happening right now is that Scandinavia is connected by bridges to the continent. Missing is Sweden - Finland over Stockholm - Åbo level.

Jump to post
by olle
Tue Jul 25, 2017 7:07 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Theresa May's plans for EU citizens branded a 'damp squib' by the European Parliament
Replies: 568
Views: 13990

Re: Theresa May's plans for EU citizens branded a 'damp squib' by the European Parliament

Now we soon reaching holiday periods in Europe. I suppose that the negotiation will halt until September. Is this correct? If yes what has been achieved? As I understand it major part of the negotiations much be concluded pretty soon in order to make the EU parliament accept to open free trade negot...

Jump to post
by olle
Tue Jul 25, 2017 7:01 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Leeham: LH shows indications to reduce 779 order
Replies: 224
Views: 36316

Re: Leeham: LH shows indications to reduce 779 order

But why buy a 778x when you can normally fly an A350 for the same cash if you don't know you can fill the beast? In the case of the ME3, they know they can. They start these routes with ~250 seat 777-200LRs and move up to ~350-seat 777-300ERs (of which they block seats in order to make the required...

Jump to post
by olle
Sun Jul 23, 2017 9:22 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Leeham: LH shows indications to reduce 779 order
Replies: 224
Views: 36316

Re: Leeham: LH shows indications to reduce 779 order

The 779 will need to show a real nice introduction with numbers on or over expectations while the 35k comes closer and closer 77w in performance each day with much less weight and fuel consumtion.

Jump to post
by olle
Sun Jul 23, 2017 12:54 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Leeham: 787 deferred cost not shrinking fast enough
Replies: 323
Views: 26066

Re: Leeham: 787 deferred cost not shrinking fast enough

The main question here that is asked: "fast enough?" The current considered run of 1300 frames will probably not recover all investments and production cost, the USD 30 billion. So now we talk about what 1500? 1800? frames before all is repaid. This is probably total OK if the current gene...

Jump to post
by olle
Sun Jul 23, 2017 11:14 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Leeham: LH shows indications to reduce 779 order
Replies: 224
Views: 36316

Re: Leeham: LH shows indications to reduce 779 order

Would it not be smarter for LH to skip the 777x? The deposits can be changed to 787 used into the LH group.

Also LH has complained about the 777x to much is defined by ME3. Perhaps the A350 9 and 10 improvements and better then expected performance is giving results?

Jump to post
by olle
Sat Jul 22, 2017 9:40 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Leeham: 787 deferred cost not shrinking fast enough
Replies: 323
Views: 26066

Re: Leeham: 787 deferred cost not shrinking fast enough

sxf24 wrote:

Yeah, just because the RR 7000 is based on the TEN does not mean it is as efficient.


What is the difference in efficiency between RR1000 RR1000TEN RR7000?

Jump to post
by olle
Fri Jul 21, 2017 6:18 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Leeham: LH shows indications to reduce 779 order
Replies: 224
Views: 36316

Re: LH apparently cancel 14 of 34 779s

Well top management of LH has been talking about that LH has too many 779 on order. Independent if it is correct that the 34 options for 779 lapsed this means no more 779 to LH. If 20 779 go down to let say 12-15 frames how do LH do its purchases from Boeing? 748 seems to be an error now 779 seems t...

Jump to post
by olle
Fri Jul 21, 2017 5:20 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Leeham: 787 deferred cost not shrinking fast enough
Replies: 323
Views: 26066

Re: Leeham: 787 deferred cost not shrinking fast enough

Considering that until today the 2 most successful production runs, B777 and the A330/340 has around 2000 produced / on order how many 100 787 can be considered as early examples?

Jump to post
by olle
Fri Jul 21, 2017 5:15 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus And Boeing 2017 Orders
Replies: 645
Views: 159250

Re: Airbus And Boeing 2017 Orders

It seems that Airbus and Boeing has overestimated Widebody market in general.

777x is supposed to be produced 10 per month.

A350 10 per month

787 14 per month

A330 6-7 per month....

How long time will this work?

Jump to post
by olle
Fri Jul 21, 2017 5:08 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Leeham: 787 deferred cost not shrinking fast enough
Replies: 323
Views: 26066

Re: Leeham: 787 deferred cost not shrinking fast enough

The biggest challenge to selling the 787 is a lack of availability. The number of A330neo sales is anemic as most airlines understand there is no opportunity to finance the aircraft: it is a good airplane, but with such a niche engine/operator market that the residual value will poor. Strong demand...

Jump to post
by olle
Fri Jul 21, 2017 10:46 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Leeham: 787 deferred cost not shrinking fast enough
Replies: 323
Views: 26066

Re: Leeham: 787 deferred cost not shrinking fast enough

What has been described is a clear business case for A333Neo. Can be produced and sold for USD 100 million. If A333NEO is 30-40% less expensive compared to B789 and with efficiency within 1-2% from B789 for 80-90% of its missions, it will be sold in big quantities as long as Boeing need to handle it...

Jump to post
by olle
Mon Jul 17, 2017 2:46 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Theresa May's plans for EU citizens branded a 'damp squib' by the European Parliament
Replies: 568
Views: 13990

Re: Theresa May's plans for EU citizens branded a 'damp squib' by the European Parliament

Still what happens with Services? And passporting for UK finance sector? If the UK wants to have access to the EU financial markets, they will have to comply to all the rules and it is up to the UK to decide if they want that or not. Same goes to services to some extent. So why do UK / US financial...

Jump to post
by olle
Mon Jul 17, 2017 7:22 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Theresa May's plans for EU citizens branded a 'damp squib' by the European Parliament
Replies: 568
Views: 13990

Re: Theresa May's plans for EU citizens branded a 'damp squib' by the European Parliament

Still what happens with Services? And passporting for UK finance sector?

Jump to post
by olle
Fri Jul 14, 2017 7:17 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Theresa May's plans for EU citizens branded a 'damp squib' by the European Parliament
Replies: 568
Views: 13990

Re: Theresa May's plans for EU citizens branded a 'damp squib' by the European Parliament

I think that for EU it will be a good thing that UK leaves and get a Norway like position. UK has blocked EU development during years and it seems like Germany and France now can move EU into something more advanced for Schengen, economic area, defence etc. If UK opts to apply again to EU in one gen...

Jump to post
by olle
Fri Jul 14, 2017 7:04 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Theresa May's plans for EU citizens branded a 'damp squib' by the European Parliament
Replies: 568
Views: 13990

Re: Theresa May's plans for EU citizens branded a 'damp squib' by the European Parliament

The UK still dont get it; European parlament has 3 major checks before accepting UK - Eu starting negotiating a trade deal. And this trade deal if similar to Eu Japan will not include services; fail one of this 3 subjects and EU will not accept any divorce bill; Ireland - UK border handling EU citi...

Jump to post
by olle
Thu Jul 13, 2017 11:33 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Theresa May's plans for EU citizens branded a 'damp squib' by the European Parliament
Replies: 568
Views: 13990

Re: Theresa May's plans for EU citizens branded a 'damp squib' by the European Parliament

The UK still dont get it; European parlament has 3 major checks before accepting UK - Eu starting negotiating a trade deal. And this trade deal if similar to Eu Japan will not include services; fail one of this 3 subjects and EU will not accept any divorce bill; Ireland - UK border handling EU citiz...

Jump to post
by olle
Wed Jul 12, 2017 3:36 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus is examining 'A380-Plus'
Replies: 1034
Views: 192647

Re: Airbus is examining 'A380-Plus'

https://leehamnews.com/2017/07/10/a380plus-first-analysis-part-2/ "The A380Plus improvements makes the A380 competitive on Cash Operating seat mile Costs with the Boeing 777-9." NO! It cannot be! After all a common a-net wisdom is that even NEOing the A380 is not enough. We need new wings...

Jump to post
by olle
Tue Jul 11, 2017 12:39 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus is examining 'A380-Plus'
Replies: 1034
Views: 192647

Re: Airbus is examining 'A380-Plus'

Smoke coming up from EK, RR and Airbus and we try to read from the smoke... 1. RR says we have a new gen engines 2025. A380 with more efficient engines then B779 is better then the XWB engines. 2. EK says we want X% more efficient A380 at least match the B779. We see this happens with NEO. They also...

Jump to post
by olle
Mon Jul 10, 2017 12:19 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus is examining 'A380-Plus'
Replies: 1034
Views: 192647

Re: Airbus is examining 'A380-Plus'

According to Leeham the proposed changes do bring the A380 level with the estimated CASM of the 777-9. How will purchase price for a A380+ and B779 be per unit and per seat? If CASM is similar and a A380+ with similar costs as todays A380 compared to a B779 with big investments in new wing etc the ...

Jump to post
by olle
Sun Jul 09, 2017 7:46 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Donald Trump is 'blocking' a G20 agreement because it has a line about climate change
Replies: 56
Views: 1201

Re: Donald Trump is 'blocking' a G20 agreement because it has a line about climate change

Changing to self driving electrical cars and trucks from todays fossil fuel based transport system is compared to changing from horse and wagon 100 years ago. How much productivity will be lost in USA? My guess is that USA petrol based GOP is too late to change anything. It is like promote pen and p...

Jump to post
by olle
Tue Jun 27, 2017 6:44 pm
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: Airbus beefs up A350-1000, A350-900
Replies: 117
Views: 26970

Re: Airbus beefs up A350-1000, A350-900

How will A350-10 compare to the B77W with these new figures?

Jump to post
by olle
Tue Jun 27, 2017 10:40 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Investment and ROI 737max vs 320neo family
Replies: 1
Views: 755

Investment and ROI 737max vs 320neo family

Now we start to see a defined 737max vs 320neo families.

How much is invested in the families?

When will the investme ts be repaid?

Jump to post
by olle
Tue Jun 20, 2017 6:33 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus is examining 'A380-Plus'
Replies: 1034
Views: 192647

Re: Airbus is examining 'A380-Plus'

What Airbus is doing here is to make it possible that EKs early A380s is being replaced by A380+. I would like to know if the B77W vs A380 and B779 vs A380+ differense in efficiency is maintained in this way. I can also see that a A380+ becomes even cheaper per seat compared to B779 with major inves...

Jump to post
by olle
Mon Jun 19, 2017 5:11 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus is examining 'A380-Plus'
Replies: 1034
Views: 192647

Re: Airbus is examining 'A380-Plus'

13% more efficient per seat i huge number. Will this recreate the A380 as the most efficient widebody per seat again? In 2025 with a NEO treatment this will put the A380 into its own leage. As I remember it Emirates asked for similar numbers when they talked about 200 A380s. Now they get similar num...

Jump to post
by olle
Thu Jun 15, 2017 10:53 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Trump expected to withdraw from the Paris agreement
Replies: 427
Views: 11406

Re: Trump expected to withdraw from the Paris agreement

The question is not the Paris agreement to be or not to be. When the agreements was defined around 2010 with the negotiations in Copenhagen the world looked very different at 2025 compared to the 2025 vision we have today. Even major oil companies start talking about that not peak oil will be reache...

Jump to post
by olle
Mon Jun 12, 2017 5:26 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: United Kingdom General Election
Replies: 220
Views: 5749

Re: United Kingdom General Election

The problem is that the A50 is ticking... Each day lost is a day less to avoid to fall off the cliff...

I have the impression that UK politics elit seem to believe their own propaganda.

We go to Brussels, Mr Junker will be drunk and he will sign whatever we show him!

Jump to post
  • 1
  • 2
  • 3
  • 4
  • 5
  • 16