mt99
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Cuba: Did (Will) The US Give Up?

Wed Nov 20, 2002 3:06 am


I am not cuban or from the US for that matter. I dont agree with Mr. Castro, for the record i definatky dont think that that is the right way to run a country.
But he seems to have some support from the EU, and Canada. Since EU companies seem to make tons of money in cuba, clamor inside the US has been growing to ease restrictions (not sure by whom: Big Companies, cuban immgrants???)

Do you think it will ever happen. or we have to wait for Mr. Castro to croak?

I think once all restrictions are lifted Cuba, and all crazy people are out of power, Cuba will be overgflowing with toursits and become an important economic player in the region. Maybe the US knows this.. and wants to get its foot on the door before its too late, the others seems that they have already left the US behind

Step into my office, baby
 
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RE: Cuba: Did (Will) The US Give Up?

Wed Nov 20, 2002 3:38 am

In an ideal world, where politicians are actually concerned about and rewarded for the quality of their work, the Cuban embargo would have been scrapped years ago as an unmitigated policy failure. In fact, it has strengthened Castro's hold by giving him something to conveniently blame Cuba's economic problems on, besides his own mismanagement.

The only reason why it does live on is that it makes for good politics. The Cuban-American vote holds a great deal of sway in Florida, one of the biggest sources of congressional seats and electoral college votes. President Bush needs no explanation of Florida's political importance -- it's something he understands very well.

Some pressure has been building from the business community. Thousands of Americans (at risk of prosecution) go to Cuba every year via Canada and Mexico, and stay at Canadian- or European-owned resorts, leaving the U.S. tourism industry hungry to get in on the action. The U.S. agribusiness community is also interested in investing in Cuba, with or without Castro, as are the fast-food chains, rumoured to have already picked out potential locations. However, neither Holiday Inn, Cargill nor McDonald's can pack the Cuban exiles' political punch.

Unfortunately, as bad a policy as the embargo might be, I suspect Castro will turn out to be Cuba's equivalent of Spain's Francisco Franco: he will hold on to power until his natural death, followed by a transition to democracy after a few shaky years.

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