An incumbent should be 15 -20 points ahead of his oponent at this stage of a Presidential race but of course Dubya isn't.
What is the likely hood of Bush dumping Dick Cheney off the ticket?
Picking McCain or Giulani for VP
Maybe carting out Osama Bin Laden in a staged attack?
Declaring another orange alert?
I am sure Karl Rove has some dirty tricks up his sleeve to seal a 2nd. term for Dubya.