You guys that are comparing DXB
's hub operation to NYC, ORD
don't get it.
Those cities hubs work much say, LHR
, or CDG
works like singapore. What is the difference? The flights are primarily all long range, where as places like ATL
are dominated by short-haul, 737 type flights. Which means what?
It means that the aircraft all have to come in at once to hub, and that typically can happen maybe just once, twice or three times a day. You see it in Singapore every night. All of the Qantas, British Airways and SIA 747s dominate the place, between about 9pm and midnight, the leave from everwhere from Auckland and Brisbane, to Capetown and Frankfurt. SO Petazulu and friends.... THAT is why DXB
needs all those gates and NYC or ATL
is a different business model entirely.
Now a bit about Emirates.
Here's what I think. Emirates are going to run a lot of the others out of the market, and they'll be able to do so by the Economies of scale the A380 is going to give them. They'll simply use this aircraft to undercut everybody, and possibly even sustain losses or close to it for a while, to place heat on other carriers to reduce their capacity on the routes.
The singapore government certainly is worried about DXB
overtaking them as a hub, so it is a real possibility that is what they're thinking too. It's actually faster to fly through Siberia than the middle east, something that wasn't possible until the 1990s... (from Singapore up through india into russia, up near moscow and then down to FRA
). However, given they no doubt get both very good tax conditions, and, very cheap oil, they should still be able to make this work and its not that much longer.... a tad but we may be talking another 45 mins flying time and out of 22hrs flighing, (EU to Aust) it's not such a big deal. Anyway, this is what I reckon they're up to, and why.
I think it also explains why you currently see a 773 and an A340 serving DXB
from melbourne everyday! That's already A380 capacity daily!!!!!
[Edited 2005-02-09 18:33:51]