|Quoting Dougloid (Reply 1):|
That's a pretty solid take on it, Tony.
|Quoting NAV20 (Thread starter):|
"Put simply, neither candidate has a chance of gaining sufficient numbers from pledged delegates alone, and Clinton has no real chance of overtaking Obama's majority. However, if she came close, she might well field enough of the unpledged "super-delegates" to take her over the line, at which point many of the people Obama drew into the process might not even bother to vote. On the other hand, there is an unknown number of socially conservative Democrats — the sort who swelled Clinton's Ohio numbers — who would vote for McCain before Obama, a decision based not on race but on a lack of identification with a young, visibly bookish, even somewhat effete, upper-middle-class man, and a doubt as to his leadership abilities.
"Thus many continue to believe that Clinton is the preferred candidate — even if she has to be imposed by the Convention. But it isn't hard to see why that possibility has already produced promises of resignation from some party activists. Clinton doesn't do much to stop people hating her."
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