usair320
Posts: 909
Joined: Mon Nov 10, 2003 9:53 am

2010 Election Predictions.

Mon Dec 07, 2009 1:52 am

Here are some of mine:

Possible GOP pickups:

Senate:

Delaware (Only if Mike Castle is the nominee)

Conneticut (would be great for the party to expand the number of Northeastern Moderates)

Nevada (Would be like Christmas for me to see Reid defeated)

New York (If Rudy runs. He's not my first choice though, I think Peter King is more honest and knowledgable of the issues)

Arkansas (A definate long shot, but I see Blanche Lincoln getting defeated in either a Dem primary or possibly a general)

Colorado (Sen. Bennet is unelected, he has also been loyal to President Obama's agenda and his popularity is falling in this conservative state that voted for him)


House:

Pennsylvania 7th district (my home district is being vacated by Rep. Sestak so he can Challenge Specter in the primary. Running on the GOP side is well known former Delco D.A. Pat Meehan.)

Frank Kratovil (MD)
Bill Owens (NY)
Kathy Dahlkemper (PA)
Mary Jo Kilroy (OH)
Travis Childers (MS)

Bobby Bright (AL)...Although I heard he just might run for re-election as a Republican because he voted with the GOP on every signifigant piece of legislation so far.

John Adler (NJ
Carol Shea Porter(NH


Eric Massa (NY)
? McMahon(NY)...............................Many many more (add some)

Governships:

Pennsylvania (popular well known Attorney General Tom Corbett is the presumptive GOP nominee and the Dems haven't really come up with a well known candidate.)

Colorado (Polls show Ritter on the defensive)
Oklahoma (Retiring incumbent)
Wyoming (Retiring incumbent)
Kansas (Popular senator Brownback is running)
New York (Only if Andrew Cuomo dosen't run)
Massachsettes (were much better off under Weld, Celluci, and even Romney than they are now.)


Possible Dem Pickups:

Senate:

Missouri: With Sen. Bond retiring it seems the Dems have a better pool of candidates. It looks close though.

Ohio: Sen. Voinovich retiring, and same case as Missouri.

House:

Ahn Cao (LA)
Jim Gerlach (PA)..He is stepping down to run for Gov. and his district is blue leaning.
Mary Bono Mack (CA)............

Governships:

Arizona: Jan Brewer is just a Dumba$$

California
Conneticut (Jodi Rell retiring)
Vermont (Jim Douglas will not run for re-election, could be close)

Rhode Island (this could be interesting. While I believe the GOP will lose here I believe that former Senator Lincoln Chafee (R) can win as an Independant.)


Add some to either list or remove some. Look foward to your input.
 
JFKMan
Posts: 485
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RE: 2010 Election Predictions.

Mon Dec 07, 2009 1:56 am

I think the Republicans will be making some gains. I am not sure if they will gain enough to control either house. I hope here in New York we can kick both of our bum Democrat Senators.

I think the Republicans can win the governorship in Ohio. I hope so.

I hope Harry Reid gets handed his hat in Nevada. *prays*
AA - LGA
 
usair320
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Joined: Mon Nov 10, 2003 9:53 am

RE: 2010 Election Predictions.

Mon Dec 07, 2009 2:44 am

I left one senate race out. It looks like Mark Kirk (R) can win the seat in IL.
 
NIKV69
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RE: 2010 Election Predictions.

Mon Dec 07, 2009 2:50 am



Quoting Usair320 (Thread starter):
Nevada (Would be like Christmas for me to see Reid defeated)

She is ahead in the polls nicely. I think as long as she doesn't stumble and hasn't had sex with Tiger Woods we are ok. Reid losinig would make my whole Xmas! I want him to lose almost as much as Pelosi but we know she is safe since she comes from SF.
Hey that guy with the private jet can bail us out! Why? HE CAN AFFORD IT!
 
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fxramper
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RE: 2010 Election Predictions.

Mon Dec 07, 2009 2:51 am

I don't think Kay Bailey can beat Perry, but we'll see. The GOP is going to pick up some seats, but nothing major a la 1994.  twocents 
 
usair320
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RE: 2010 Election Predictions.

Mon Dec 07, 2009 5:37 am



Quoting FXramper (Reply 4):

I don't think Kay Bailey can beat Perry, but we'll see. The GOP is going to pick up some seats, but nothing major a la 1994.

I doubt it too. I Don't even believe the GOP will take narrow control of the senate, but what we can do is break up the 60 vote majority. As for the house we will see quite a few of the blue dogs that represent red districts (newly elected ones) ousted in favor of republicans. There are also some blue districts the GOP can realisticly win.
 
N174UA
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RE: 2010 Election Predictions.

Mon Dec 07, 2009 6:16 am

Governor:

Oregon - Former 2-term governor John Kitzhaber (D) will be elected to his third term. He served from 1995-2003. The current governor is term-limited, and the GOP candidate is hated by the public employee unions and has no chance in this dark blue state.

Senate:

Washington - Patty Murray will cruise to an easy re-election for a 4th term.

A lot can change in a year, folks.
 
Superfly
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Joined: Thu May 11, 2000 8:01 am

RE: 2010 Election Predictions.

Mon Dec 07, 2009 9:21 am



Quoting NIKV69 (Reply 3):
I think as long as she doesn't stumble and hasn't had sex with Tiger Woods we are ok.

Oh buts she's slept with me and I have lots of dirt on her already. I'll leak the story to the liberal media when the election gets in to full swing.  Smile



Here in California.
My Congresswoman and Speaker Of the United States House Representatives Nancy Pelosi will rightfully cruise to re-election with my support.

Jerry Brown will be governor if he decides to run. However, if Tom Campbell is the Republican nominee, I'd be OK with him winning. I know Tom Campbell and Jerry Brown and I'd be torn if they are my two choices because I like them both.
I am so glad that pretty-boy Gavin Newscum dropped out of the governors race.
He'd be a good hair stylist or interior decorator but has no place in politics.

If my fellow California Democrats nominate that worthless, whore, tramp, opportunistic, backstabbing, useless, horse-face, thug-loving, homeless-loving, drug addict-loving, drag-queen Kamala Harris as the Attorney General, I WILL vote for the Republican Attorney General nominee.
Yep, you've read that right.
Superfly would vote for the Republican Attorney General nominee IF Kamala Harris is the Democratic nominee.
I really cannot stand her!
Bring back the Concorde
 
NIKV69
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Joined: Wed Jan 28, 2004 4:27 am

RE: 2010 Election Predictions.

Mon Dec 07, 2009 2:10 pm



Quoting Superfly (Reply 7):
Oh buts she's slept with me and I have lots of dirt on her already. I'll leak the story to the liberal media when the election gets in to full swing

I know this isn't true Larry. She is skinny so there is no way you have slept with her.

Quoting Superfly (Reply 7):
Superfly would vote for the Republican Attorney General nominee IF Kamala Harris is the Democratic nominee.
I really cannot stand her!

My lord I just read a little about her. Bad news. Very bad news.
Hey that guy with the private jet can bail us out! Why? HE CAN AFFORD IT!
 
PHLBOS
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RE: 2010 Election Predictions.

Mon Dec 07, 2009 5:07 pm



Quoting Usair320 (Thread starter):
Massachsettes (were much better off under Weld, Celluci, and even Romney than they are now.)

Actually, there's that special election this January for the late Sen. Kennedy's seat. The question over that race will be, could/will the GOP FINALLY capture that seat, especially since it will be an open seat this time around (a first for decades)?

Scott Brown (R) vs. whoever wins the special Democratic primary later this month.

Quoting Usair320 (Thread starter):
Pennsylvania 7th district (my home district is being vacated by Rep. Sestak so he can Challenge Specter in the primary. Running on the GOP side is well known former Delco D.A. Pat Meehan.)

I'm from that district as well. Personally, I think last year's GOP candidate, Craig Williams, should make another run for the seat; since it will be vacant.

Of course the big question in PA will be the Democratic Primary for the U.S. Senate (Specter vs. Sestak); that should be a very interesting race to see who will face GOP candidate Pat Toomey.
"TransEastern! You'll feel like you've never left the ground because we treat you like dirt!" SNL Parady ad circa 1981
 
usair320
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RE: 2010 Election Predictions.

Mon Dec 07, 2009 11:32 pm



Quoting PHLBOS (Reply 9):
Craig Williams, should make another run for the seat; since it will be vacant.

I remember him and I voted for him, but I believe Meehan would be the more electable candidate. Polls show that against Specter Toomey actually stands a chance. I'd rather se Tom Ridge make a run, but since that's not going to happen I'm behind Toomey.
 
Superfly
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RE: 2010 Election Predictions.

Mon Dec 07, 2009 11:48 pm



Quoting NIKV69 (Reply 8):
I know this isn't true Larry. She is skinny so there is no way you have slept with her.

What happens in Vegas, stays in Vegas. Big grin

Quoting NIKV69 (Reply 8):
My lord I just read a little about her. Bad news. Very bad news.

I am hoping Bobby Shriver (Maria Shriver's brother) enters the race. I'll support him.

Quoting PHLBOS (Reply 9):
Of course the big question in PA will be the Democratic Primary for the U.S. Senate (Specter vs. Sestak); that should be a very interesting race to see who will face GOP candidate Pat Toomey.



Quoting Usair320 (Reply 10):
Polls show that against Specter Toomey actually stands a chance.

Not sure why Sestak is running. The Democrats inherited a super-star when Specter switch parties. Arlen Specter is very popular and would win regardless of political party. Not sure if Pennsylvania would elected another holy-roller after the Santorum experience.
Bring back the Concorde
 
NIKV69
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Joined: Wed Jan 28, 2004 4:27 am

RE: 2010 Election Predictions.

Tue Dec 08, 2009 12:04 am



Quoting Superfly (Reply 11):

What happens in Vegas, stays in Vegas

Unless your Tiger, actually that line is such BS. If you bang someone in Vegas people are going to hear about it trust me.

Quoting Superfly (Reply 11):
I am hoping Bobby Shriver (Maria Shriver's brother) enters the race. I'll support him.

I hope so. Harris' record is very frightening.
Hey that guy with the private jet can bail us out! Why? HE CAN AFFORD IT!
 
Superfly
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Joined: Thu May 11, 2000 8:01 am

RE: 2010 Election Predictions.

Tue Dec 08, 2009 12:26 am



Quoting NIKV69 (Reply 12):
Unless your Tiger, actually that line is such BS.

Very true.
You'd need deep pockets like Tiger Woods for anything to happen in Vegas.
Otherwise, it's just another ripoff tourist trap.

Quoting NIKV69 (Reply 12):
I hope so. Harris' record is very frightening.

Crime has gone up a lot here in San Francisco on her watch. She has given the green light to vandals that destroy personal property as she stated that she will not go after those sorts of crimes. I have to pay extra money every month to rent a garage space for my car. There is a vandal going around setting cars on fire and she hasn't lifted a finger or said a word about these crimes. Cars are keyed and broken in to by these homeless bums that she loves so much. These bums get therapy, free food & shelter yet I'd get a conviction if I kicked a bums ass for protecting my property.
Kamala Harris did not seek the death penalty in the murder of a police officer by a street thug. This street thug will get a hero's welcome in prison, free room & board, 3 meals a day, weights, Bible or most likely a Quran and respect in prison for the rest of his life on our tax dollars.
Kamala Harris only wants to go after johns that pay for prostitutes (as if that's even a problem in this city) She thinks that giving therapy to hookers & johns is somehow going to stop the world's oldest profession.
I find it ironic that she is so passionate against prostitution when she slept her way in to politics. She was fmr. mayor Willie Brown's mistress. Her relation with Willie Brown has bought her positive press from the local press and the Democratic machine here in San Francisco.
Kamala Harris is the darling of Sfgate, the Chronicle and all other major local news outlets.
Bring back the Concorde
 
Mir
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Joined: Mon Jan 05, 2004 3:55 am

RE: 2010 Election Predictions.

Tue Dec 08, 2009 12:51 am



Quoting JFKMan (Reply 1):
I hope here in New York we can kick both of our bum Democrat Senators.

I wouldn't mind seeing Schumer gone (though I don't know if I could vote for Rudy if that's who the other option is), but I'd like to see Gillibrand get a larger body of work in before I make a decision on whether she should stay or not.

-Mir
7 billion, one nation, imagination...it's a beautiful day
 
LH459
Posts: 793
Joined: Thu Sep 01, 2005 2:41 am

RE: 2010 Election Predictions.

Tue Dec 08, 2009 1:13 am



Quoting Superfly (Reply 7):
If my fellow California Democrats nominate that worthless, whore, tramp, opportunistic, backstabbing, useless, horse-face, thug-loving, homeless-loving, drug addict-loving, drag-queen Kamala Harris as the Attorney General, I WILL vote for the Republican Attorney General nominee.
Yep, you've read that right.
Superfly would vote for the Republican Attorney General nominee IF Kamala Harris is the Democratic nominee.
I really cannot stand her!

Well, you know I can't stand her either! If she's on the ticket, it will be the first time I ever vote for a Republican candidate!
"I object to violence because when it appears to do good, the good is temporary; the evil it does is permanent" - Ghandi
 
usair320
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Joined: Mon Nov 10, 2003 9:53 am

RE: 2010 Election Predictions.

Tue Dec 08, 2009 2:21 am



Quoting Superfly (Reply 11):
Not sure why Sestak is running. The Democrats inherited a super-star when Specter switch parties. Arlen Specter is very popular and would win regardless of political party. Not sure if Pennsylvania would elected another holy-roller after the Santorum experience.

He's not as popular as you would think.I liked him as a Republican sometimes, but he has renounced even the bit of fiscal conservatism he had in order to kowtow to his new base.....I agree with you about Santorum, but I actully believe Toomey is better than him. Toomey put's more of an emphasis of fiscal conservatism rather than social conservatism while Santorum did the exact opposite. I voted for Santorum in 2000, but I couldn't bring myself to do the same in 2006 so I wrote in John Heinz (R). Sen. Heinz was really the keystone states' last decent senator when you put him up against opportunist Casey, Turncoat Specter, and god-warrior (with a slimmer waist of course) Santorum.

Quoting Mir (Reply 14):
I wouldn't mind seeing Schumer gone (though I don't know if I could vote for Rudy if that's who the other option is), but I'd like to see Gillibrand get a larger body of work in before I make a decision on whether she should stay or not.

As much as I dislike Shumer he will be re-elected. It is actually Gillibrand's seat that the GOP can pick up. Honestly I believe the party should spend it's money to defeat Gillibrand (whom we have a great chance at defeating) and not even run anyone against Shumer (who is pretty popular up in NY) in order to focus on the special election.
 
NorthstarBoy
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RE: 2010 Election Predictions.

Tue Dec 08, 2009 10:22 am

I suspect the chance of Teddy's seat going to the GOP are about zilch. I suspect the Kennedy family, who have controlled that seat for some fifty years will have some say in who runs for it behind the scenes, they'll pick the candidate based on who they think Teddy would have wanted for his successor. It'll be interesting to see if whomever gets the seat is merely a placeholder until a politically motivated Kennedy decides they want it.
Yes, I'd like to see airbus go under so Boeing can have their customers!
 
PHLBOS
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RE: 2010 Election Predictions.

Tue Dec 08, 2009 3:13 pm



Quoting Superfly (Reply 11):
Not sure why Sestak is running. The Democrats inherited a super-star when Specter switch parties. Arlen Specter is very popular and would win regardless of political party. Not sure if Pennsylvania would elected another holy-roller after the Santorum experience.

'Fly, this is the same Arlen Specter that you once chastised (on an old thread) over his rebuking Philadelphia Eagles Coach Andy Reid for firing Tyrell Owens a few years back; and that he should be focusing on more important matters (which I was/am in agreement with you on BTW).

The only reason (and I do mean only) he even switched parites in the first place was that he knew (once he voted FOR the stimulus package) that he would actually lose to Toomey in the GOP primary this time around (Toomey almost beat Specter in the 2004 GOP Primary). So his switch was clearly self-serving and even many PA Democrats know/knew that.

OTOH, Rep. Sestak has had a near 100% voting record with his party.

If Sen. Specter wants to prove himself as a Democrat; he has to EARN IT amongst PA Democratic voters; NOT President Obama, Gov. Rendell, etc.

Quoting Usair320 (Reply 16):
I couldn't bring myself to do the same in 2006 so I wrote in John Heinz (R).

I think you have your states mixed. In PA (at least in Philly anyway), dead people vote; dead people getting elected in the Senate only happens in Missouri. Big grin

Quoting NorthstarBoy (Reply 17):
I suspect the chance of Teddy's seat going to the GOP are about zilch. I suspect the Kennedy family, who have controlled that seat for some fifty years will have some say in who runs for it behind the scenes, they'll pick the candidate based on who they think Teddy would have wanted for his successor. It'll be interesting to see if whomever gets the seat is merely a placeholder until a politically motivated Kennedy decides they want it.

A few things:

1. Senator Kennedy served in the US Senate 47 years, not 50.

2. Senator Kerry ran unopposed in his last re-election for the Senate in 2006; this time around there's an actual GOP candidate running for the other Senate seat.

3. I'm not 100% sure which Democratic candidate (Coakley, Capuano, Pagliuca) has stronger ties to the Kennedy family (which will be decided/voted today (12/8/2009)).
According to one article, primary voter turnout is expected to be low, despite the high-profile seat.
http://news.bostonherald.com/news/po...c_senate_seat/srvc=home&position=0

4. If enough voters (especially independents) are p#ssed off w/Gov. Patrick's performance; results of this special election could be viewed as a warning shot to him should Brown win next month. It was done once before back in 1990, when Senator Bill Bradley (D-NJ) almost lost his re-election bid to a then-unknown Christie Todd-Whitman. If the GOP is smart, they would campaign to show that the Democrat candidate, regardless of who's the victor today; agrees not only w/Presidnet Obama's policies but Governor Patrick's as well.

Last month, NJ (another mostly-Democratic state) chose Republican Chris Christie over incumbent Gov. John Corzine.
"TransEastern! You'll feel like you've never left the ground because we treat you like dirt!" SNL Parady ad circa 1981
 
usair320
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Joined: Mon Nov 10, 2003 9:53 am

RE: 2010 Election Predictions.

Tue Dec 08, 2009 5:16 pm



Quoting PHLBOS (Reply 18):
I think you have your states mixed. In PA (at least in Philly anyway), dead people vote; dead people getting elected in the Senate only happens in Missouri.

Yeah....I bet you Bob Brady's deceased great great uncle votes for him every two years. It would take a dead guy to vote for that pig  duck 
 
Superfly
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RE: 2010 Election Predictions.

Tue Dec 08, 2009 8:22 pm

Quoting LH459 (Reply 15):
Well, you know I can't stand her either! If she's on the ticket, it will be the first time I ever vote for a Republican candidate!

It would be the 2nd. time for me.
In the 1998 gubernatorial open primary, I voted for the Republican gubernatorial candidate Dennis Peron. He is a marijuana rights activist and small business owner. I found his positions to be true and genuine to the Republicans 'hands off' and 'individual liberties' ideology. He lost to Dan Lundgren who was later squashed by Gray Davis in the general election.
I didn't like Gray Davis, Al (Checkbook) Checci and Jane Harmon because they were all too conservative for my vote.

Quoting PHLBOS (Reply 18):
'Fly, this is the same Arlen Specter that you once chastised (on an old thread) over his rebuking Philadelphia Eagles Coach Andy Reid for firing Tyrell Owens a few years back; and that he should be focusing on more important matters (which I was/am in agreement with you on BTW).

Damn you have a good memory. I forgot all about that. Anyhow, I was not implying that I was a huge fan of Arlen Specter either. I was simply implying that he is a political superstar that has alot of support from independents, moderate Republicans and moderate Democrats. Pennsylvania is a blue-leaning state and Specter has won very comfortably as a Republican and should be able to win in a landslide as a Democrat.
A Specter - Toomey matchup would be a blowout in favor of Specter.
Pat Toomey would do better in a state like Oklahoma or Alabama.

Quoting PHLBOS (Reply 18):
Last month, NJ (another mostly-Democratic state) chose Republican Chris Christie over incumbent Gov. John Corzine.

Jon Corzine was unpopular years before Obama was elected President. My goodness, the guy doesn't even know to wear a seatbelt.   
The only two federal races in last month's election went Democratic in support of President Obama and House Speaker Pelosi.

[Edited 2009-12-08 12:27:30]
Bring back the Concorde
 
NorthstarBoy
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RE: 2010 Election Predictions.

Tue Dec 08, 2009 9:06 pm



Quoting PHLBOS (Reply 18):
1. Senator Kennedy served in the US Senate 47 years, not 50.

I realize that, but, keep in mind that from 1953 (I think) to 1960, Jack held the seat. the only time the seat has not been in the Kennedy family was 1960-1962 and only because Teddy wasn't old enough to run yet, so it was given to a place holder for those two years. So, realistically, the seat has been in the Kennedy family for over 50 years. that's why i said that the seat has been in the Kennedy family, because it hasn't always been Teddy's seat, before Teddy held the seat, it belonged to Jack.
Yes, I'd like to see airbus go under so Boeing can have their customers!
 
PHLBOS
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RE: 2010 Election Predictions.

Tue Dec 08, 2009 9:48 pm



Quoting Superfly (Reply 20):
I was simply implying that he is a political superstar that has alot of support from independents, moderate Republicans and moderate Democrats.

That may have been true BEFORE the infamous stimulous package vote; but he most likely lost nearly ALL GOP support (including most moderate PA Republicans) after he voted FOR the package.

Quoting Superfly (Reply 20):
A Specter - Toomey matchup would be a blowout in favor of Specter.

In the 2004 primary, Specter only beat Toomey by about 4 percentage points.

Senator Specter's recent philosophy overhaul (to more liberal Democratic mold) could be a bigger turn-off for both independent and moderate voters; the race could be closer than one thinks.

And, again not all PA Democrats (outside of the party establishment) completely trust Specter. What's not to say that he would pull another surprise 180 down the road (but not too far due to his age)?

Why not let the local Democrats decide for themselves who they want for their Senator? If Specter beats Sestak, fine; but that should be decided by the voters not the POTUS nor a lame-duck governor.

Quoting Superfly (Reply 20):
Pat Toomey would do better in a state like Oklahoma or Alabama.

Demographically, PA is essentially a red 'T' with blue at the southwest (PIT) and southeast (PHL) quadrants. If enough conservatives and independents are PO'd over what's been going on on the economic front; those from the more rural 'red' regions may come out in fuller force... which was what happened in 1994.

Quoting Superfly (Reply 20):
Jon Corzine was unpopular years before Obama was elected President.

 checkmark  But that didn't stop President Obama from making about 3 or 4 stops (as opposed to just one) within the last week or two of the campaign.

Quoting Superfly (Reply 20):
The only two federal races in last month's election went Democratic in support of President Obama and House Speaker Pelosi.

Other than NY-23 (which had a last minute drop-out of the GOP/RINO candidate, but her name was still on the ballot) what other race was there this past November (outside of the NJ and VA governor races)?

Additionally, it was later discovered that the margin of the Democrat win in that race was a lot narrower than originally announced.
"TransEastern! You'll feel like you've never left the ground because we treat you like dirt!" SNL Parady ad circa 1981
 
usair320
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Joined: Mon Nov 10, 2003 9:53 am

RE: 2010 Election Predictions.

Tue Dec 08, 2009 10:40 pm



Quoting PHLBOS (Reply 22):
Other than NY-23 (which had a last minute drop-out of the GOP/RINO candidate, but her name was still on the ballot) what other race was there this past November (outside of the NJ and VA governor races)?

I think he's talking about the special election to fill Rep. Ellen Taucher's (D-CA) seat.
 
slider
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RE: 2010 Election Predictions.

Tue Dec 08, 2009 11:00 pm



Quoting FXramper (Reply 4):
I don't think Kay Bailey can beat Perry, but we'll see. The GOP is going to pick up some seats, but nothing major a la 1994

I think Bill White has a strong chance to win the governorship in Texas. Present mayor of Houston, solid guy and I really admire him and the job he’s done.
 
Superfly
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Joined: Thu May 11, 2000 8:01 am

RE: 2010 Election Predictions.

Wed Dec 09, 2009 1:12 am



Quoting PHLBOS (Reply 22):
That may have been true BEFORE the infamous stimulous package vote; but he most likely lost nearly ALL GOP support (including most moderate PA Republicans) after he voted FOR the package.

That only seems to bea major issue among Republicans and conservative minded independents. I doubt that Specter's support for the stimulus package hurt him that much.

Quoting PHLBOS (Reply 22):
In the 2004 primary, Specter only beat Toomey by about 4 percentage points.

Those were only among conservative party faithfuls. Primary voters are always more on the extreme.

Quoting PHLBOS (Reply 22):
Other than NY-23 (which had a last minute drop-out of the GOP/RINO candidate, but her name was still on the ballot) what other race was there this past November (outside of the NJ and VA governor races)?

The election of John Garamendi to replace Ellen Tauscher.
That is the most conservative district in the Bay Area. It was once held by a Republican prior to Ellen Tauscher who was a Blue Dog Democrat that often sometimes crossed party lines.
Bring back the Concorde
 
PHLBOS
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RE: 2010 Election Predictions.

Wed Dec 09, 2009 5:07 pm



Quoting Usair320 (Reply 23):



Quoting Superfly (Reply 25):

Thanks for the info. That seemed to be one election that was not talked about too much; especially in an odd/off-year cycle.

Quoting Superfly (Reply 25):
Quoting PHLBOS (Reply 22):
That may have been true BEFORE the infamous stimulous package vote; but he most likely lost nearly ALL GOP support (including most moderate PA Republicans) after he voted FOR the package.

That only seems to bea major issue among Republicans and conservative minded independents. I doubt that Specter's support for the stimulus package hurt him that much.

It hurt him enough to change parties shortly thereafter.

Specter's loss (should it happen) wouldn't be the first time that a crucial vote on a fiscal matter cost someone their seat in the next election. Just ask former-Rep. Marjorie Margoles-Mezvinsky (D-PA 13) what happened to her in 1994 elections following her deciding vote on the Clinton tax package; she lost in a re-match against Republican Jon Fox.

Update: Massachusetts Special Primary Election for U.S. Senate
It's official: Massachusetts Attorney General Martha Coakley (D) will face off against State Senator Scott Brown (R) next month.

http://www.bostonherald.com/news/pol...9race_comes_down_to_coakley_brown/

Exerpt:
Coakley was the first to jump into the three-month sprint to replace Kennedy in the days after his death, and the bold strategy paid off in the form of a 19-point victory over Capuano. Coakley, vying to be the first female senator from Massachusetts, hauled in 47 percent of the vote to Capuano’s 28 percent. City Year founder Alan Khazei netted 13 percent while Boston Celtics [team stats] co-owner Stephen Pagliuca got 12.

Coakley’s win sets up a Jan. 19 clash with state Sen. Scott Brown, who trounced Duxbury attorney Jack E. Robinson in the GOP primary, 89 percent to 11 percent.


In another article (different newspaper), it was reported that there was only about a 10 percent turnout statewide at the polls yesterday.

http://www.philly.com/inquirer/world...idates_for_Kennedy_s_seat_set.html

Exerpt:
Election officials said turnout in Boston - a city bearing the Kennedy family image and name throughout - was a meager 10 percent, with similar turnout in most other cities.

And this is from a state (one of nine IIRC) that actually allows independents to vote in primaries; they just have to temporarily register until a party at the polling place prior to voting then re-register as an independent or other party immmediately after voting.

One thing's for certain; there's definitely a stark contrast between Coakley & Brown. Stay tuned.
"TransEastern! You'll feel like you've never left the ground because we treat you like dirt!" SNL Parady ad circa 1981
 
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Jetsgo
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RE: 2010 Election Predictions.

Wed Dec 09, 2009 6:11 pm

Reid is pretty much done. Not a single person in town has a positive thing to say about him, even liberals and/or democrats. Not to mention the plethora of "Send Reid back to Searchlight" bumper stickers on what seems like every other car...

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Joined: Thu Apr 01, 2004 6:38 am

RE: 2010 Election Predictions.

Wed Dec 09, 2009 8:41 pm



Quoting JetsGo (Reply 27):
Reid is pretty much done.

His recent slavery remark directed towards those opposed to the Health Care Reform Package, didn't exactly help his cause either.
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