US has committed to joining some international airline alliance within the next future?
I'm hedging my bets, but here's my forecast:
*alliance: 40% (lucrative east coast FF base/feed to european partners... UA FF/codesharing would be a problem though)
oneworld: 30% (American FF ties will end, but can always be reinstated... will BA still be a problem?)
qualiflyer: 25% (in need of a US airline, US has the east coast-Europe feed)
Skyteam or Wings: 5% (not going to happen with Delta or Continental, US's 1st and 2nd largest NE/Eastern Seaboard competitors)