But the flights are seasonal, so they won't have to worry about off season, but yes around Xmas, those flight will be full. I don't think folks holidaying in the Grenadines are Rouge's typical passengers as you say. It's worth mentioning that Rouge comes to GND once or twice a week as well, and a significant percentage of the passengers are VFR, especially with their sometimes great last minute fares. Couple weeks ago, my brother came down here for around 200US (one way), purchasing his ticket two days before travel.[/quote]
Rouge into GND is a year round operation so they would have to be more VFR friendly. After all the Canadian leisure market to the Eastern Caribbean is very winter centric, so it will be the VFR market which would keep it flying the rest of the year.
Sure the VFR market into SVD will use it but I don't know that this will be enough for the mid Jan to Easter period when VFR traffic slumps. Rouge into GND can combine the VFR and the leisure markets as the type of tourists flying in are your more conventional package types and they are staying in GND.
Problem with SVD is that the tourists aren't staying on that island but are transferring to Canouan, Union, or Bequia. The question will be how many will fly via SVD instead of BGI where connectivity is better and most likely so will the fares.
I cannot speak for Canada but I know that the Grenadian population in the NYC area is considerably bigger than the Vincentian, in fact its probably as big or bigger than the Bajan.
I would be more confident of AA from MIA or B6 from JFK as the US-SVD market (VFR and travel by residents of SVG) is larger.