flymco753 wrote:Spirit is going to continue growing Detroit while growing other stations as well. I see them flying 40 daily flights by 2022 with adds to PHX, BDL, EWR, PBI domestically and MBJ, PUJ internationally. That alone doesn't include new stations that would most likely get a flight like BNA, AUS/SAT, JAX, RDU, etc. Spirit isn't going anywhere, they're going to keep expanding and rapidly, we're talking probably 3-5 routes a year.
Delta OTOH, like I posted above, will probably only add DTW-SJC by 2020, most growth will probably be done with JV carriers, so DL could end MEX and gi e them both to AM as would MTY while adding BJX or QRO, maybe both. DL will probably ditch YVR and give it to WS, while WS adds YYC and some Encore routes, which would probably take over some DL flying to current Canadian cities. DL could end GRU, in turn Azul could do VCP or LATAM to GRU 2x a week. DL probably won't add a 2nd ICN flight it'd be KE. DL would add HKG and that's it for Asia. DL won't add ANC nor HNL ever. Maybe, maybe they'll do DUB only if WOW is drowning in money or EI does it (which at this point is likely). Give it time, VS will be back but take over DL's LHR flight and make it once daily. I see AF taking over one of the 2 DL CDG flights, so AF would go 2x and DL 1x. If LH adds MUC, DL's MUC will suffer, ends the route. I could also see a lot of CRJ routes leaving; HSV, LIT, TUL, SAV, and other destinations that are only served once daily on CRJ's from DTW. This is my worst case scenario, I'm not saying this is all going to happen, I'm saying this is a scenario that DL could pull if they wanted to scale DTW down.
I doubt DL will shrink that much at DTW, they upgauged a bunch of flights, as I read in this thread, for the summer, and they seem to be recommitting to DTW (and CVG) and the broader Midwest this year.
DTW does have to compete with/share east-west traffic flows with MSP on DL, but it seems like DTW is better positioned for most connections. MSP is father north, and serves a purpose, but DTW seems to have more growth opportunities in the long term.
DTW-ANC would seem likely as they cut ATL from a 763 to a 757 for Summer 2018, but additional MSP/SEA/ATL frequencies might come first before new routes. If they started it, I would expect weekend/;less than daily to start. How about DTW-GDL, MKE has it on Y4?
I expect more and more mainline service to reach DTW, the 717 seems to be moving in more on IND-DTW, for example.